3.황아란

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24 .. :..... :.. ( ) Bogdanor, Vernon. (ed).. Representation of the People? Parliamentarians and Constituents in Western Democracies. Aldershot, U.K.: Gower. Cain, Bruce, John Ferejohn, and Morris Fiorina.. The Personal Vote: Constituency Service and Electoral Independence. Cambridge: Harvard University. Converse, Philip and Roy Pierce.. Political Representation in France. Cambridge: Harvard University Press. Cray, John and Matthew Shugart.. Incentives to Cultivate Personal Vote: A Ranking Ordering of Electoral Formulas. Electoral Studies. Vol. ( ). Lovenduski, Joni and Pippa Norris.. Gender and Party Politics. CA: Sage. Lijphart, Arend.. Electoral Systems and Party Systems: A Study of Twentyseven Democracies, -. Oxford: Oxford University Press. Norris, Pippa.. Women s Representation in Electoral Systems. in Rose, Richard (ed.) Encyclopedia of Electoral Systems. Washington D.C.: CQ Press. Norris, Pippa.. Legislative Recruitment. in Niemi, Richard and Pippa Norris (eds). Comparing Democracies. CA: Sage... Women in European Legislative Elites. West European Politics. Vol.. Pitkin, Hanna.. The Concept of Representation. Berkeley: University of California Press. Rae, Douglas.. The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws. New Heaven: Yale University Press. Rule, Wilma.. Electoral Systems, Contextual Factors and Women s

25 Opportunity for Election to Parliament in Twenty-three Democracies. Western Political Quarterly. Vol. ( ). Rule, Wilma and Joseph Zimmerman.. United States Electoral System: Their Impact on Women and Minorities. New York: Praeger. Sainbury.. The Politics of Increased Women s Representation: The Swedish Case. in Norris, Pippa and Joni Lovenduski. Political Recruitment. New York: Cambridge University Press. Smith, Eric and Richard Fox.. The Electoral Fortunes of Women Candidates for Congress. Political Research Quarterly. Vol..

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<B3EDB9AE3220C8C4BAB8C0DAC0C7B5E6C7A5C0B25FBCDBB1D9BFF82E687770> 조사연구(2011. 03) 12권 1호: 31-63 31 연구논문 후보자 득표율 예측 모형과 지표의 구성: 2010 광역단체장 선거를 중심으로 A Trial to Develop Forecasting Model for Turn-out Rates with the 2010 Korean Gubernatorial Election Data 1)송근원 * Keun-Won