연구책임자 : 책임연구원 연구참여자 : 연구원 정웅태 유학식
., LNG,,., BRICs,,. 2030 10,. LNG,.,., 3,,,, 요약 i
,. 2009,,.. 2009. 1) (GCC),.. 2010 2010 2015 8%, 6.6%., 1) GCC():, UAE,,,, 6 ii
UAE,,,..,.,,.,. UAE,.,.,.,,, 요약 iii
. GCC.,,..,..,.,.,,. iv
....,,,.,, LNG.,,.,, CDM. 요약 v
.,, CDM.,.. LNG,, GTL/CTL,... vi
.,,.,..,., UAE., FTA. 요약 vii
While energy facilities Industry's growth in Korea turn to be slower due to lower demand of energy facilities, world energy facilities market is growing sharply due to higher demand of energy facilities from BRICS, Middle East, Central Asia and Africa regions. Besides, 10 trillion dollars of new investment is planned at global electricity market by 2030. The Middle East countries whose oil and gas exports still cover a large proportion of the national income accounts have been developing oil and gas projects. Corresponding to climate change and environment issues on energy industry, may countries is paying attention to use green energy like LNG, Nuclear and New-Renewable energy, etc. Considering such domestic and international situation affected on energy facility market, it is necessary for Korea's energy facilities industry to set up strategies to expand overseas advancement in world market. Accordingly, this research classifies developing world energy facilities market into five areas such as East-Asia, Middle East, Central Asia, Africa and Latin America and then will present strategies to expand advancement of Korea energy facilities industry to each area during next 3 years. As staring year, this year focus on Middle East and East-Asia areas. From the analysis of energy facilities demand outlook, law and government policy, obstacles and Abstract i
risk factors on domestic market in major countries in each area, this study is to show promising fields and to provide successful advancement strategies for Korean overseas energy facilities industry. In the first half of 2009, due to global economic crisis and a drop in oil prices, most oil and Gas projects in Middle East Area had been cancelled and delayed. It gave a big negative impact on overall Korea energy facilities export situation, but this situation was getting better in 2nd half in 2009, mainly due to higher oil price and increasing in investment of oil and gas projects from the Middle East Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries In next few years in Middle East, especially at Saudi Arabia, and UAE, the persistence of energy facilities industry appears to be continuous with expanding in foreign and private funds. Many oil and gas producing facilities are expected to be built in the Middle East areas by a developer rather than a contractor. It indicates that Korea firms should improve relationship with the developers in order to more bids made for energy facilities construction. Meanwhile, at the East-Asia areas, large-scale infrastructure projects, especially Power supply system is likely to grow, due to unstable power supply caused by continuous energy demand. A demand of energy facilities in two areas is expected to be ii
increasing at following energy sectors: At power generation sector, gas generation facilities would be needed more for Middle East countries to run desalination facilities, meanwhile, hydroelectric power generation facilities would need more for East-Asia countries to response of low electrification ratio and growing power demand. Also, Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia are considering introducing nuclear power facilities. At Renewable energy sectors, East Asia has appropriate conditions and resources with government's awareness and support for renewable energy business. Indonesia has tremendous biomass potential from large scale Palm farm. Vietnam and Thailand have wind and biogas potential, respectively. At Oil & gas sectors, all two areas need to expand refining facilities and upgrade aging facilities. Regardless of circumstance in and out of the areas, investment in this sector is expected to continue to be performed. In order to assess the circumstance of advancement for Korea energy facilities firms to each area, selected countries in each area are examined. As our biggest exporter for energy facilities, the Middle East countries have a big potential to sharply increase in new energy facilities due to hydrocarbon resources export and recent economic stimulus package. However, the energy facilities market in the Middle East is becoming highly competitive due to strong market power of leading international firm and emerging firms from Southeast Asia and China with low price strategy. Also the domestic firm protection policy prevents Korean firms from advancing into the country. East Abstract iii
Asian countries need more energy facilities due to continuous expanding on energy infrastructure investments. However, political uncertainty and non-organized institution and market preemption by Japanese and Chinese companies are a negative factor for our companies to advance the area. Therefore, considering such advancement potential and restriction factors, this study presents promising field and strategies for advancement of Korea firms into the areas as follows. Utility firms should pursue co-advancement with green and environment-friendly business. To do this, it needs joint venture with a consortium between power generation and green business companies or a joint export strategy. The enhancement of exports opportunities for nuclear facilities can be realized by emphasizing advertising Korean excellent nuclear operation and construction skills to countries actively considering embarking upon nuclear power programs Also nuclear diplomacy can be needed by running program like inviting foreign officials who is under nuclear program, technical training on nuclear operation skills and sharing Korea's economic growth model For advancing into oil and gas sector, Korean firms need to reinforce relationship with the client or developers of energy facilities' construction and enhance expertise on high-value business like LNG liquefaction plant construction skills. At Last, for advancing renewable business in two areas, Korean firms need to advance into large-scale green new town with new&renewable energy in Middle East countries iv
by joint with business like education, health care. In order to advance into East Asian countries, Korean firms should consider business model associated with CDM A large scale power supply is needed in Middle East and East Asia countries caused by continued industrialization and sustainable economic growth of the areas. Corresponding to climate change issues, the countries seek to clean energy development through environment friendly energy usage and green industries such as renewable energy and CDM projects which are becoming a chance to advance for Korean energy facilities firms. But it is necessary to identify clearly local factors, regional differences and potential opportunities of each country in two areas. In order to expand advancement of energy facilities market and strengthen the competitiveness in the Middle East and East Asia countries, Korea firms should secure key technologies on high-value facilities. However, in spite of setting on policy roadmap to support securing independent technologies in the fields of liquefaction plant, nuclear power plants, GTL / CTL sectors, the execution of the policy has been delayed due to insufficient fund and other reasons. Also, Korea firms should focus on expanding contract made through cooperation program with a contractor or a developer by hiring top Abstract v
intelligent local agent. For overseas expansion of the energy equipment industry, the roles of Korean government are as follows: at first, national establishment of training and management systems to raise local staff and agents for Korea firms is required Second, the unified and integrated energy plant consultative body is required to configure government support for overseas expansion of energy facilities business and to adjust over-bidding on overseas plant contract. Third, energy plant export assistance center which is now in India and UAE should be more to strengthen the national level support. Fourth, Korean government need to seek new FTA with a series of middle east countries to mitigate institutional issue like licensing of foreign firms and to enhance competitiveness in the local market. vi
I. 1. 4 1. 4 2. 09 5 3. 8. 11 1. 11. 11. 13 2. 15. 15. 17 3. 20. 20. 22 4. 24. 24. 29 차례 i
. 33 1. 33. 33. 35. 45. 49. 51 2. 52. 52. 53. 61. 65. 66 3. UAE( ) 67. 67. 69. 81. 85. 86 4. 87. 87. 88. 96. 99. 100 ii
5. 102. 102. 104. 112. 117. 118. 119 1. 119. 119. 120. 129. 132. 133 2. 135. 135. 135. 143. 147. 147 3. 149. 149. 151. 155 차례 iii
. 158. 159 4. 160. 160. 161. 171. 176. 177 5. 181. 181. 181. 192. 195. 196. 199 1. 199 2. 205. 207 210 iv
< -1> 5 < -2> 2009 7 < -3> 9 < -4> 9 < -1> 11 < -2> 12 < -3> 14 < -4> 15 < -5> 17 < -6> Non-OECD Asia (, ) 18 < -7> 18 < -8> 20 < -9> 20 < -10> 21 < -11> 22 < -12> 24 < -13> GCC, 27 < -14> 28 < -15> CDM CERs 30 < -16> 3 CDM CER 30 차례 v
< -1> 36 < -2> (2000-2023 ) 37 < -3> (2009 ) 40 < -4> (2009 ) 41 < -5> 41 < -6> 42 < -7> 50 < -8> 54 < -9> 54 < -10> 55 < -11> 56 < -12> 57 < -13> ( ) 58 < -14> 58 < -15> 65 < -16> UAE (2007 ) 70 < -17> UAE 76 < -18> 78 < -19> 86 < -20> 90 < -21> 2 100 < -22> 105 < -23> 108 < -24> 109 vi
< -25> LNG 110 < -26> 114 < -27> 2 118 < -1> 120 < -2> 121 < -3> 122 < -4> 2008 124 < -5> 127 < -6> 127 < -7> CDM 129 < -8> 2 133 < -9> 136 < -10> 2008-2021 137 < -11> 137 < -12> CDM 142 < -13> 2 147 < -14> 149 < -15> 157 < -16> 165 < -17> 2012 166 < -18> 167 < -19> 171 < -20> 2 176 < -21> 2009 184 차례 vii
< -22> 186 < -23> 188 < -24> 189 < -25> DNA CDM ( 09.2 ) 192 < -26> 2 195 < -1> 201 < -2> SWOT 202 < -3> SWOT 203 viii
[ II-1] ( ) 7 [ -1] 2009-15 14 [ -2] 16 [ -3] 1 16 [ -4] 23 [ -5] 7 25 [ -6] 26 [ -7] 28 [ -1] 69 [ -1] 121 [ -2] 125 [ -3] 125 [ -4] 150 [ -5] 152 [ -6] 171 [ -7] 187 [ -1] 204 [ -2] 204 차례 ix
30,.., LNG,,,. (saturation),. BRICs,,. 2030 10, LNG,,, LNG. 서론 1
...,.,, 3,,,,,.,,,,,.,., KOTRA, 2
,,,.,,,,,,, UAE,, GCC... II, 2. V 5 5,,,,,. VI. VII.. 서론 3
2009.. 63 4,..,. 2) (GCC), 7000. < II-1> 2) GCC():, UAE,,,, 6 4
. (, ). < 표 -1> 중동및동아시아국가들의재정투자확대계획 UAE 09 15.8% 600 09 21% 100,, 400 93.6 2020 98 28 ; (2008), Kotra(2009 2 8 ) [ -1] 2009 9 30 110, 40.,. 4 36% 21, < II-2>. 최근중동 동아시아에너지설비시장현황및전망 5
2009 100. 85%. 28 50% 14.,. () 8 9, 21 9 6. UAE 8 7. 6
[ 그림 -1] 에너지설비 ( 플랜트 ) 및중전기부문수주현황 ( 09.09.30., : $, ) : < 표 -2> 2009 년중동에너지설비부문의대규모수주현황 (9 월말현재 ) ( $) SK UAE : 1.384.980 09.09 1,348,481 09.03 818,835 09.05 818,000 09.07 7 4, 2. 최근중동 동아시아에너지설비시장현황및전망 7
.., 28 14, 6, 5, 3,. 22 16, 13. 2009 3). 2010 < II-3> 2010. 3) 2008 462 $ 246 $. 8
< 표 -3> 지역별경제성장현황과전망 : (%) 07 08 09 10 Asean 5* 6.3 4.8 0.7 4.0 9.4 7.3 5.4 6.4 6.2 3.4 2.0 4.2 5.2 3.0-1.1 3.1 *:,,,, : WEO(2009.09) < 표 -4> 세계플랜트시장규모 : $ 08 09 10 11 12 909 726 824 881 941 :, 2009 9, 2010 2015. 4) 5 7% 8%, 7.4%, 6.6%.,, EPC 5) 4),,, ( 09.07). 최근중동 동아시아에너지설비시장현황및전망 9
.. UAE,,.,. EPC LNG,, EPC. EPC. 5) EPC(Engineering, Procurement and Construction), 10
. 6) < -1> 2007 84 / 2030 106/ OPEC. OPEC 2015,. < 표 -1> 권역별석유생산현황및전망 ( : / ) 2007 2015 2030 * OPEC 23.7 30.7 37.9 1.7% OPEC 35.9 44.4 52.9 2.1% OECD 19.3 18.6 20.8 0.3% 6.4 6.1 5.8-0.4% 3.7 3.6 4.1 0.5% Non- 0.8 0.8 0.5-1.8% OPEC 1.7 1.4 1.1-1.8% 2.5 2.1 1.9-1.1% 3.5 5.1 4.6 1.2% Non-OPEC 46.3 47.6 50.9 0.4% 84.3 94.4 106.4 1% : IEA, 'World Energy outlook 2008' * : 2007~2030 6),, (NGLs). 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 11
2030 55 35%. OPEC 2030 28.5 52%.. OECD Non- OECD < 표 -2> 권역별석유순수출입량 ( : / ) 2007 2015 2030-10.7-9.3-5.9-9.1-10.6-11.0 - -7.3-7.2-6.2-27.1-27.1-23.1-8.4-14.5-24.7-3.8-7.7-12.5-2.1-3.3-6.6 19.9 23.9 28.5 7.5 8.7 9.1 1.5 2.3 1.7, 8.1 8.6 10.7 40.7 46.6 55.1 : IEA, 'World Energy Outook 2008' :, 12
. 7) 430 (mangala) 3 2012 2020 10-15.,. Khurais 5 2015 3 1-2. 3 2011 Sabriyah Niqa Burgan 12 2009. 2015 6.1 /. 2012 Jamnagar 58 2008 2009. Dung Quat. 7) IEA, World outlook 2008 OPEC World Oil outlook, 2008. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 13
< 표 -3> 동아시아 중동주요국석유생산현황및전망 ( : / ) 2007 2015 2030 1.0 0.8 0.3. 0.8 0.8 0.5 10.5 14.4 15.6 2.6 2.9 3.3 UAE 3.1 3.7 3.9 2.1 3 6.4 1.3 2 2.5 : OECD, 'World Energy Outlook (2008)',. 2015 130 /., UAE, 201215. [ 그림 -2] 2009-15 년지역별추가정제시설필요용량 mb/d : OPEC, 'World Oil Outlook (2008) 14
. EIA 'World Energy Outlook 2008', Non-OECD OECD. EIA 2006 ~2030 Non-OECD 3.8%, 146%. OECD Non- OECD < 표 -4> 권역별전력수요현황및전망 ( : TWh) 2006 2015 2030 * 4,413 4,870 5,774 1.1% 3,723 4,045 4,723 1.0% 3,022 3,469 3,980 1.2% 1,413 1,837 2,089 1.1% 944 1,061 1,162 0.7% OECD 9,035 10,177 11,843 1.1% Non-OECD 1,165 682 1,514 912 1,860 1,081 2.0% 1.9% 3,669 6,574 10,589 4.5% 2,358 4,554 6,958 4.6% 506 893 1,935 5.7% 539 793 1,353 3.9% 479 667 997 3.1% 777 375 1,032 1,498 651 2.8% 2.3% Non-OECD 6,630 478 16,298 3.8% 15,665 20,757 28,141 2.5% : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' * : 2006~2030. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 15
2006 ~2030 4.5%, 5.7%. 2030.. [ 그림 -3] 세계주요국전력수요증가율 : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' [ 그림 -4] 세계주요국 1 인당전력수요량 : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' 16
(94.84%), (88%), (60%). < 표 -5> 동남아국가별전력보급률현황 94.84% 2007, 2015 100% 88% 10 3.6%, 63% 2008 16.41% 2007 : KOTRA (2009 8 ),.,. World Energy Council, GCC 10 100GW 250. IEA, 2030,. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 17
3.4%.,. 2030 3~4%,. < 표 -6> Non-OECD Asia ( 중국, 인도제외 ) 전력발전수요전망 (TOE) (%) (%) 2006 2015 2020 2025 2030 2006 2030 927 1,468 1,700 1,902 2,069 78 74 3.4 54 57 54 52 49 5 2-0.4 92 135 163 200 247 8 9 4.2 30 79 95 114 134 3 5 6.4 58 91 106 120 134 5 5 3.5 & 4 15 25 43 72 0 0 12.4 16 35 47 59 73 1 3 6.6 1,181 1,880 2,191 2,490 2,779 100 100 3.6 : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' < 표 -7> 동아시아지역전력발전현황 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ( : TWh) '07-'08 641.4 673.8 708.7 759.7 808.8 834.3 2.9% 112.9 120.2 127.4 133.1 142.4 151.2 5.9% 84.0 90.7 96.2 100.8 105.0 106.4 1.1% 52.9 56.0 56.6 56.8 59.6 59.6-0.8% 117.0 125.7 132.2 138.7 144.6 147.5 1.8% : BP, 'Statistical review of world energy report 2009' 18
EIA World Energy Outlook 2008, 2030 72%, 4.6%.,.,..,. GCC 75,000,, 2015 55,000. GCC,,,, UAE 2011.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 19
< 표 -8> 중동지역전력발전수요전망 (TOE) (%) 2006 2015 2020 2025 2030 2006 2030 (%) 8 12 16 20 24 5 6 4.6 61 80 83 84 79 35 19 1.1 101 155 192 236 298 59 72 4.6 0 0 1 2 2 0 1-2 3 3 4 4 1 1 2.9 & 0 1 2 3 4 0 1-0 0 1 2 4 0 1 39.6 171 252 298 351 414 100 100 3.7 : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 ( : TWh) '07-'08 145.7 156.4 169.7 184.3 196.0 206.3 4.9% 39.8 41.3 43.7 47.6 49.3 52.0 5.2% 12.0 13.2 14.4 15.3 17.5 19.7 12.3% < 표 -9> 중동지역전력발전현황 153.0 159.4 175.0 179.8 185.9 193.7 3.9% UAE 49.5 52.4 60.7 66.8 71.9 77.2 7.1% : BP, 'Statistical review of world energy report 2009'. IEA, 2030 1tcm, 2030 46%.,,, 20
.,, LNG,. Non-OECD, 3tcm,. OECD Non- OECD < 표 -10> 권역별천연가스생산현황및전망 ( : bcm) 2006 2015 2030 * 761 524 795 535 765 515 0.0% -0.1% 305 282 217-1.4% 51 72 104 3.0% OECD 1,117 1,149 1,086-0.1% Non-OECD 846 651 963 712 1,069 794 1.0% 0.8% 335 449 540 2.0% 59 104 115 2.9% 28 41 45 2.0% 324 483 999 4.8% 197 286 452 3.5% 139 11 182 17 287 38 3.1% 5.2% Non-OECD 1,842 2,363 3,348 2.5% 2,959 3,512 4,434 1.7% : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' * : 2006~2030. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 21
. < -11> 5. 2030 90bcm 2008 29%.. GCC,, 2030. < 표 -11> 동아시아 중동주요국천연가스생산현황및전망 2007 2008 '07-08 2030 ( : bcm) '08-30 67.6 69.7 2.7% 90 29% 7.1 7.9 11.9% 30.1 30.6 1.4% 13.5 12.4-8.5% 60.8 62.5 2.5% 74.4 78.1 4.7% 190 143% 12.1 12.8 5.5% UAE 50.4 50.2-0.7% 72 43% 24.1 24.1-0.3% 63.2 76.6 20.9% 170 122% : BP, 'Statistical review of world energy 2009', OECD, 'Natural Gas Information(2008)' LNG, 2030 2006 3, LNG 2030 70% 22
. LNG. [ 그림 -5] 천연가스종별교역전망 : Natural Gas information, 2008 < -12>, 2006 55bcm 2030 320bcm 6. 2030 71bcm.,. 2030.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 23
< 표 -12> 권역별천연가스순수출입량 OECD ( :, %) 2006 2015 2030-15 2-53 6-143 16-241 45-333 54-477 69-97 -115 18 61 91 38-111 -143 32 61 97 47-121 -179 58 54 98 58 Non- OECD -353 24-496 30-741 41 137 198 16 30 46 14 36 8-126 19-1 2-17 14-106 48-8 21-16 29-71 61 55 17 105 22 323 32 99 50 162 57 284 63 16 11 8 4 35 12 353 19 496 21 741 22 441 15 582 17 1,022 23 : IEA, 'World Energy Outook 2008' :, 1 () 185 205 19 29 224 270 21 34. 7, 2000 65,000GWh 2007 80,000GWh., 24
.,. [ 그림 -6] 과거 7 년간의동아시아신재생전력생산규모 : Forgathy(2009). (ADB) [ -6] 8) 2007, 2014,.,.,, 8) 1 6.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 25
. [ 그림 -7] 동아시아지역의신재생에너지잠재력 : ADB, GCC., 2,000Kwh/m 2 9),,,, UAE 2,000kWh/m 2. 2,500kWh/m 2. 1,400(), UAE. 2,400. 1TWh, 9) UNEP, 'Current Status of Renewable Energies in the Middle East' 26
9.89TWh.. < 표 -13> GCC 국가들의태양광, 풍력및바이오매스잠재력비교 (kwh/ /y) (Full load hrs/y) (Twh/y) 2,100 1,605 0.85 2,200 2,463 1.08 2,000 1,421 0.15 2,500 1,789 9.89 UAE 2,200 1,176 0.69 *,. : W.E. Alnaser (2009) [ -7], 50%, 40%, 30% 10%,. (Samantha, 2009),.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 27
[ 그림 -8] 동아시아주요국들의신재생에너지비중 : Samantha(2009),.,, 1 kw, 0.1%. < 표 -14> 중동지역의신재생발전현황비교 (kw) (kw) (kw) (%) (kw) 24.1 0.00005 0.0004 0 0.002 9.4 0 0 0 0 2.8 0 0.00035 0 0.01 1.9 0 0 0 0 UAE 5.8 0 0 0 0 : Alnaser(2008, 2009) 28
. 10) Kotra (2009 4 ) 2009 3, CDM 37.4%, UN CDM 7.5%(1,550 117 ) 10.8%(491 ). CDM, CDM,,,.,,,,, 2012 CERs,,,. CDM CDM,,,, CER.,.,,,. 10) (CDM ).. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 29
< 표 -15> 진행중인 CDM 사업세계현황및 CERs CDM 2012 CERs (%) kcers (%) 3,493 76.9 2,338,282 80.4-1,682 37.0 1,949,687 67.0-1,208 26.6 573,266 19.7-491 10.8 206,608 7.1 854 18.8 422,243 14.5 95 2.1 94,038 3.2 55 1.2 37,981 1.3, 44 1.0 17,438 0.6 : UNEP Risoe Center ('09 3 ) < 표 -16> 동남아시아주요 3개국의 CDM 프로젝트건수및 CER 감축예상량 UNFCCC CER 23 3,256,000 3 828,000 15 1,091,000 : UNFCC 3..,,., 30
. 2009 1 UAE 150 KAUST(King Abdullah University of Science and Technology), (Academic Excellence Alliance partnership) 2 5, 8, 2008 11 15 ~22. UAE, 2008 Masdar PV 2014 1,000 20., Sener Groupo De Ingenieria S.A. 2009 Torresol Energy (sunbelt) (CSP, Concentrated Solar Power) 8. GE( ), WinWinD() BP Rio Tinto 'Hydrogen Energy'(), SNC Lavalin (,CCS) UAE.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 31
. 2009 1 UAE.. UAE. 32
.,, 2008 2,875 GDP 54.4%. 2009,, Global Insight 2009 0.1%, EIU 0.4%.. 30,.,.,, 2009 15.8% 1,267 (GDP 38.2% ), 600.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 33
, 2009 GDP 3.4%(173 ), GDP 10%. 2008 4,600, GDP 2007 18.7% 2008 13.5%.,,,. 2009 2 390., 2009,,,,.,,., Proleads, 2008 10 2009 4 GCC 10, 42%, UAE,,,. 34
1,400, 3,180. Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 900, 500, 900, 880. Markaz,.,.. 1,. 2000 4 10 (SCECOs, Saudi Consolidated Electric Companies) (Saudi Electricity Co.: SEC).,, 2001 (The electricity & cogeneration Regulatory Authority: ECRA).. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 35
,. SEC.,. 2024 5,. (Ministry of Water and Electricity) 2023 50,490, 2020 54,515, 2023 59,256. < 표 -1> 사우디아라비아의전력수요증가전망 ( : ) 2010 2015 2020 2023 39,262 46,600 54,515 59,256 : Ministry of Water and Electricity,. (Hajj) (Jeddah) (Makkah).,. 36
< 표 -2> 사우디아라비아의발전용량확장계획 (2000-2023 년 ) : Ministry of Water and Electricity ( ) Shuaiba 1 2,100 350 6 Rabigh 2 2,400 400 6 Shuaiba 2 3,000 600 5 Shuqaiq 2,500 250 10 10,000 Qurrayah 2 2,448 408 6 Half Moon Bay 1,632 408 4 Ras Assawr 2,856 408 7 Replant Ghazlan 1,632 408 4 Refinery 2,853 317 9 Howtat Sudair 1,140 285 4 Salboukh 1,995 285 7 Muzahimiyah 1,140 285 4 Qassim 1,710 285 6 Yanbu 1,920 320 6 Rabigh 640 320 2 Qunfudah 640 320 2 Jizan 1,920 320 6 Hail 427.5 142.5 3 Tabuk 712.5 142.5 5 Jawf 427.5 142.5 3 24,094 4,080 3,127 4,161 1,653 3,375 16,396 50,490. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 37
(Rabigh) IPP 11) 1,204 BOO 12) 2033 20 25, 80%, SEC 20%. 2008 12 2, (Acwa Power International),. PP11 IPP 21 1,800 ~2,100 25, SEC 60%, 40%. 2009 1 28 PQ(Pre-Qualification; ).., SR60 13).,. 2010,, -, -, -. 11) IPP Independent Power Producer 12) BOO Build-Own-Operate, 13) SR Saudi Riyal 38
,. - SR33.4, - SR5.2, - SR2.1, SR19.4, Madina Qassim 420 SR7.8. Madina-Qassim 470, SR8.46. Madina 140, SR2.6., Madina Qassim SR6.45, SR7.76. - 2.8GW. 2008 2,641 21%, 12 1,084 b/d. 2009 1,250 b/d, 2013 1,305 ~1,350 b/d 135 b/d 'Post 2009'., 2009 1,250 b/d 2008 Khursaniyah 50 b/d, Shaybah Nuayyim 30 b/d, Khurais 2009. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 39
120 b/d.. < 표 IV-3> 현재추진중인프로젝트 (2009 년까지완공 ) Haradh Arab Light 2006 7 (b/d) 30 Khursaniyah, Abu Hadriyah, Al-Fadli Arab Light/Extra Light 2007 50 Shaybah Arab Extra Light 2008 30 Khurais Arab Light 2009 110 (120 ) Nuayyim Arab Extra Light 2009 10 230 (2006.3 ) 1,100 2006~2009 +230 2006~2009-80 2009 1,250 : SNSAP(Saudi National Security Assessment Project) (www.icak.or.kr) 40
< 표 -4> 향후추진프로젝트 (2009 년이후 ) (/ ) Shaybah Arab Extra Light 2010 20 Neutral Zone Arab Medium 2010 15 Moneefa Arab Heavy 2011 30 Moneefa Arab Heavy 2013 30 Moneefa Arab Heavy 2013 40 135 (2009 ) 1,250 2009~2013 +135 2009~2013-80 2013 1,305 : SNSAP(Saudi National Security Assessment Project) (www.icak.or.kr) (Saudi Aramco) 7 175 b/d, 40 b/d 2. < 표 -5> 아람코의현재가동중인정유공장 (/ ) ( ) Jeddah 6 1968 75% + 25% Rabigh 40 1989 100% Ras Tanura 32.5 1945 100% Riyadh 12 1974 100% Yanbu 17 1983 75% + 25% Sasref* (Jubail ) 30.5 1985 50% + 50% Shell Samref* (Yanbu ) 36.5 1984 50% + 50% Mobil 174.5 - - : (www.icak.or.kr) Sasref* : Saudi Aramco Shell Refinery Company Samref* : Saudi Aramco Mobil Refinery Company. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 41
< 표 -6> 아람코의향후추진프로젝트 (/ ) () 2 40 50 Rabigh / 85 Ras Tanura / 60 FEED Yanbu / : (www.icak.or.kr) 2008, 267.3tcf 14) 4.1%.,. 1999 25 450. 20 57% 100tcf 15) 63% 163tcf, 5 1.9. 1980, 14) tcf trillion cubic feet, 1 15) TCF Trillion Cubic Feet 1 TCF 1 42
. SABIC( 70%),. SABIC, 2007 338, 72 1. SABIC 70%. Saudi Kayan PC 2006 4 SABIC Kayan PC, Saudi Kayan PC 90 ( 135, 60), PE( ), PP(), EG( ) EO( ),. 2009~2012 Saudi Kayan 135, Saudi Polymers co.(ncp) 120, Sipchem 100, Saudi Aramco/DOW Chemical 120. Petro Rabigh. Petro Rabigh Petro Rabigh 2,. 11 2, 5,400, 10.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 43
$35,,,. Bechtel ( ), Sabic, Sipchem, Sahara. 1 2008 1,600, 2 4 5 2022.,. Conergy - National Solar Systems King Abdullah (KAUST) 2. Conergy National Solar Systems. Conergy Sunpower Corporation, 1 2 KAUST. 11,577, 3,332 h 1,666 CO 2., Jeddah Thuwal KAUST, Saudi Oger, 1,130, GCC(Gulf Cooperation Council). 44
(SAGIA),..,. 100%,. 20% 45% 20%.,, 50%.,,. 16) (www.icak.or.kr).. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 45
(SAGIA) CR(Commercial Registration). 50 SR( 13 ).. (Comprehensive Service Centres; CSC),.,. (MInistry of Commerce), (General Directorate of Passports) (General Administration for Recruitment),. (Zakat and Income Department), (Saudi Industrial Development Fund; SIDF).,, 5, 1. 1,,. (Investor Service Center; ISC) 2000, 46
,,.,. Tax Holiday 25% 5~10. 10. 20%., 85%, 4 30%, 5 67.95%, 6 85% 2.5%( ).,,...,., (Department of Zakat and Income Tax; DZIT). 15%. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 47
. 15%, 15%. 1975,. (Saudi Industrial Development Fund; SIDF) 50% 15, 9.5. 5%, 2%.., (), FS 17) ( 1 ), (), (),, 3 ( ),, 3 (BOQ 18) ), (,, ), 3 ( ).,,. 17) FS Feasibility Study 18) BOQ Bill of Quantities 48
1,390, 448. (Saudi Government Railroad Organization; SRO), 2001 80 80. 2006 5 5 10. Jeddah, Makkah, Madinah Riyadh Dammam Tapline.,,, UAE,,, 1986 11 Causeway. Jeddah, Dammam, Jizan, Jubail, Yanbu 5 Yanbu Jubail 2, Ras Tanura. 90% Jeddah, 1997 4 19 20ft. $150. 2008 2009 11 1.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 49
( : ) ENG < 표 -7> 사우디아라비아최근수주현황 NCP -South Plot PKG2B- Saudi Polymers Company PKG3- STG5&6 PKG1- (PKG3-CPF) 1,087,065 SATORP 818,000 1,347,295 1,043,460 SATORP 699,098 Marafiq 751,086 1,348,481 806,590 259,511-380kV 208,094 : (www.icak.or.kr) 2008/01/01-2011/05/11 2009/07/07-2013/07/31 2007/02/22-2010/04/22 2009/09/16-2013/02/15 2009/07/07-2013/07/31 2009/07/27-2012/07/26 2009/03/01-2012/02/28 2006/09/20-2009/05/31 2008/06/10-2011/06/30 2008/04/22-2010/09/21 10 NCP, PKG2B-. PKG1-. (8 ). 50
10.,,.,. 1, 2008,.,.,.,,.,,..,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 51
...,,., 2008 2009,. 2006 6.0%, 2007 7.7%, 2008 7.8%, 2009 4%.,,,,. GDP 2020 9%. 1995 2020 300 2020 3. 52
,,,,. 2008. 2009 11% 166.., 2007 12 (Oman Water and Power Procurement Co.) 7(2008~2014 ) 2,985 29mg/d.,,,.,,.. 2008 16 GW/h, 15 GW/h 11%, 10%.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 53
< 표 -8> 전력생산및공급현황 ( : GW/h) 2006 2007 2008 13,585.3 14,442.9 16,048.1 13,126.6 13,855.8 15,334.4 : (www.icak.or.kr) (Authority for Electricity Regulation) 3. ( ) Dr. Saleh Mohammed Al-Alawi, ( ) Amur Mubarak Al-Kiyumi, ( ) John Cunneen. 2008 35 mg, 35 mg 3.2%, 5.3%. 2008 12 (Oman Power and Water Procurement Co.: OPWP), 2015, 2008 3,291 79% 5,900. 2015 2,420~3,470. < 표 -9> 담수생산량및공급량 ( : ) 2006 2007 2008 33,157.9 34,079.2 35,167.5 33,108.9 33,774.0 35,548.1 : (www.icak.or.kr) (Salalah) IWPP 19) 400~430, 15MIGD 1,000 (Taqah). 2008 6 2009 4 19) IWPP Independent Water and Power Project 54
. Saudi Orger+Mitsui+WJ Towell, International Power+Mubadala+National Trading Co., Sembcorp+Oman Investment Corp.. (Al-Ghubrah) IWPP 500, 30MIGD. 2010 1/4 2010 4/4. (Sohar) IWPP 1,300, 2009 2/4 2012. (Duqum) IWPP 1,000, 2010 2/4 4/4 2015. Electricity Holding Co. Oman Power &Water Procurement Co. Oman Electricity Transmission Co. Al Ghubrah Power and Desalination Co. Wadi Al-Jizzi Power Co. Muscat Electricity Distribution Co. Mazoon Electricity Co. Majan Electricity Co. Rural Areas Electricity Co. < 표 -10> 오만전력관련국영기업,, MIS MIS Rural System : (www.icak.or.kr) : MIS(Main Interconnected System):,,,,, Salalah System: Rural System:. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 55
< 표 -11> 오만전력관련민간기업 AES Barka MIS Al Kamil Power Co. MIS United Power Co. MIS Dhofar Power Co. Salalah System Sohar Power Co. MIS Al-Rusail Power Co. MIS : (www.icak.or.kr). 2008 56 0.4%, 72.8 b/d 0.9%. 2009, 80 b/d. 75%, GDP 40%. 5 100, 20102011 90 b/d, 7 8000/d. (Petroleum Development Oman: PDO). 2/3 Fahud, Yibal, Nimr 3 12 56
. Burhan Mukhaizna.. 13, Occidental, Amoco, Japan Petroleum Exploration Co.(), Nimr Petroleum Co.( ), TotalFinaElf, Novus Petroleum() Triton International(). < 표 -12> 오만석유생산량추이 ( : b/d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (%) 824 785 782 747 701 728 0.9 : BP, Statistical review of world energy(2009) Mukhaizna, Muscat Sohar 700 Duqm. 20 b/d,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 57
< 표 -13> 오만정유시설프로젝트 ( 최근까지완공한프로젝트 ) / Oman Refining Co. /Mina Al Fahal 15,000b/d 2002.6 FCC 50,000b/d 2001.3 Alkylation 7,222b/d 2004.3 FCC 75,000b/d 2004.3 Hydrogen - 2004.3 Sohar Hydrotreater 30,824b/d - Hydrotreater 1,309b/d 2004.3 Treater 26,858b/d 2004.3 Treater 40,540b/d 2004.3 : (www.icak.or.kr) LNG LNG 50%. 28tcf. 75% Oman LNG / (IWPP). 80%, GDP 40%. < 표 -14> 천연가스생산량추이 ( : bcf/d) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (%) 1.6 1.8 1.9 2.3 2.3 2.3 0.8 : BP, Statistical review of world energy(2009) 58
100% OOC(Oman Oil Co.). Dow OPIC(Oman Petrochemical Industries Co.), Sohar 100 30 LDPE/HLDPE/LLDPE 21), 26, 2012., OOC 60%(2007 IPIC 20% ), LG 20%, GIC(Gulf Investment Corp.)20% OPP(Oman Polypropylene Co.) Novolen Sohar 2 34 PP 2006 10. Sohar Refinery Co. FCC, PP 80%., OCC 60%, Sohar Refinery Co. 20%, LGI 20% Aromatic Oman Sohar Refinery Co. 79, 21 2009. Sohar Duqm 70 (DRPC, Duqm Integrated Refinery & Petrochemicals Complex). 30 b/d 20) EBN, (4), 2008.6.20 21) LDPE Low-density polyethylene( ), HLDPE High-pressure LDPE( ), LLDPE Low-pressure LDPE. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 59
RFCC 120~150 280. DRPC 2010, 2013.,,. 15%, 10%, (OPWP) 1,360 2015 2. OPEC 2013 48% 72,.,, (Oman Power and Water Procurement Company, OPWP) 2010. 50~200,. 60
,,,,, (CDM)..., SOC,,,,,,,,,,., 49% 70%,. Omani Centre for Investment Promotion and Export Development 1997 1.,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 61
.,,,,,, 5, 5.,,,, 5,.,,..., (Commercial Registration), (Industrial Licence)., (Environmental Permit) (Land Permit).. 2.,,,. 2001 30% 2010 12%., 62
., 3 RO 22) ( 7 8)., (, ),,. 10%,. (Municipality Tax), 3%, 5%, 10%, 10%. (Oman Development Bank SAOC), 4RO( 1 ).,,,,,,, FS. 5 10, 9% 6%, 3%. 100 RO(260) 40% 300 RO(780)., 50%, 56%. Export Guarantee & Financing Unit, 22) RO Riyal Omani. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 63
. 180, 80%, 85%. 5%( 40%, 25% )~7%.,.,,, 12~15 ( ), 45 -. ONTC (Oman National Transport Company) (coach),,,,.. (Mina Sultan Qaboos), (Mina Fahel), (Mina Qalhat), (Mina Salalah). (Mina Sultan Qaboos) (1974 ). (PORT SERVICES CORPORATION). Buraimi ( ), Dibaa ( ), Khasab ( ), Masirah Raf Stn, (), Seeb (), Salalah ( ), 64
Sur (), Marmul ( ) 8 Seeb.. 1. < 표 -15> 우리기업의최근대형공사수주실적 ( : ) 2/ SMN Barka Power Company 528,617 2006/12/14-2009/04/13 GS GS / 407,852 723,317 2007/05/28 2004/09/01-2007/04/01-2010/03/31 174,799 2004/05/15-2006/09/15 : (www.icak.or.kr) 2008. 2004,, 2. < IV-15>.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 65
GCC,...,,...,.,. 66
. 2008 6%, 2009 1%, UAE (Global Insight -2.5%, EIU -1.4%). 2009 2 100. UAE 4 35%, 2009 1 UAE 113%. 35%, 30%., Amlak Finace Ta eel,., UAE 2,500, 2008 65 2009 52, 2010 47. UAE, 2009 21% 115.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 67
42% 103. 2009 368 GDP 58%, 11%., UAE GDP 5%.. 2008 UAE, 2002, UAE.. (Nakheel), (Emaar),, (Dewa), (Department of Civil Aviation), Free Zone Corporation, 260., 2008. Proleads 2008 10 2009 4 10. UAE GCC 45%. UAE, UAE,. 68
[ 그림 -1] 중동국별재입찰프로젝트금액비중 : Proleads UAE,, 2009 1 1 6 22 140%, 132%. UAE 4. 4,,,.,, 3,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 69
,,. 2007 UAE 4 16,657 2001 9,600., 2010 UAE 2007 60% 26,000. UAE. < IV-16> UAE (2007 ) 8,057 5,448 1,901 (2005 ) ( : ) 1,251 16,657 :, UAE (2008), (IWPP). 4,790, 2010 8,735, 2020 14,340. 8,400 2010~2013 10% 900,,. Al Yasat al-songhra Island 200 Western region, Zayed City, Ghiyathi, Abu Al Abyadh Island, Jenanah Island. 70
12~14%. 2011 11,100, 2017 25,000 13.5. 2007 4 170 Jebel Ali M ( Fisia Italimpianti ) 1,330 70MIGD 23). 9,000 600MIGD. Al Habab 5,000. 8~10%,. 2007~15 9%, 8 2,200. 2007 10 2008 4 6, 2007 960, 2009 180 2.,,, 5. Emirates National Grid(ENG). 23) MIGD Million Imperial Gallon Per Day, 4,546. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 71
UAE, UAE 2008 4. UAE 2020 50%, 30%, 15%, 5%. 2020 6~7%. UAE 2020 3, 70. UAE,., 2008 1. UAE,, EU. UAE CH2M Hill, UAE 1. CH2M Hill,, ENEC IAEA,. UAE 72
2009 4., UAE. 4 UAE 2008 15.5GW, 2015 2, 2020 40GW. UAE 20~25GW, 20GW., UAE ( Abu Dhabi). UAE. ESR, UAE,, UAE 600. UAE 2008 978 7.8%. 2008, UAE 298 b/d 3.6%. UAE 94%,. 270 b/d 2010. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 73
200 350 b/d. Upper Zakum 2007 60 b/d 2012 90 b/d. Upper Zakum 500, 160 ~200. Bab, Al Dabbiya, Jar Yaphour, Rumaitha, Shanyel 46 b/d. 80%.. UAE 2008 67.3 b/d, Ruwais 40 b/d, Umm Al-Nar 8.5 b/d, Jabel Ali 12 b/d. UAE 227.1tcf 3.5%. UAE 92.5%. Umm Shaif Abual-Bukhoosh, 150~170. Abu Dhabi Gas Industries(GASCO), Abu Dhabi Gas Liquefaction Company(ADGAS). UAE 2008, 4.8bcf( 50.2bcm), 1.6%. UAE,,., UAE Dolphin Energy 74
, -- -- 1999 2007. North Dome,. 51%, Total Occidental Petroleum 24.5%.. Abu Dhabi National Chemicals company 2009 2,. 100% (IPIC) (ADIC) 40%, (ADNOC) 20%. 5. IPIC (Borealis AG). IPIC 65%, (Borouge) 40%.,,, 1 2013. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 75
. 1. UAE 2020 UAE 7%, (World Future Energy Summit, WFES) (Abu Dhabi),. UAE, 20. 6 (50,000 ) 220. 150 1/3 50,. 2008 (2008 1 13 ), 7 2015. < 표 -17> UAE 의단계별신재생에너지개발정책 1 2008~2010 2 2009 (MIST) 3 2010 4 2010 ADFEC 5 2012 6 2013 7 2014 : KOTRA (2009.04) 76
Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Mubadala.,, Think Tank. zero-carbon, 'zero-waste', 'car-free',,,. 100 800 75% 200.,,. 20,000 8,000., 2%. < IV-18>. (Shams I). 5 10 2009 4, 2009 Masdar Institute. Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Environmena Power Systems(UAE), Environmena Power Systems(UAE). 87,777 50%, 50%,. 1 17,500. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 77
, 15,000. First Solar, Suntech Power Holdings. (Shams I). 5 10 2009 4, 2009 Masdar Institute. Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Environmental Power Systems(UAE), Environmental Power Systems(UAE). 87,777 50%, 50%,. 1 17,500, 15,000. First Solar, Suntech Power Holdings. < 표 -18> 그린기술개발및친환경기업양성 (MIST, Masdar Institute of Science and Technology) (Masdar Clean Tech Fund) (STAR, Sustainable Technologies and Advanced Research) (Masdar Business Incubator) : (2009) MIT 2006 11 Credit Suisse, Consensus Business Group 2 5,,,,,,. 78
. 4 100 2011 1. Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Aerospace Centre(DLR), Fichtner Consulting Engineers, BNP Paribas Bank( ). Generators, Switchgears, Transformers, Power towers, Collector towers, Associated facilities.. Masdar(Aby Dhabi Future Energy Company) Masdar PV GmbH Colexon Energy, Masdar 2020 1.5GW, 5 300. 2008 100 Shams-1, 2010 100 2. 5 2020 200 6 1.5GW. Shams-1 Madinat Zayed, 2., Torresol Energy 17 Gemasolar, Instituto Credito Official, Banco Popular Banesto 1.71. Andalusia Fuentes 3, 2011. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 79
, 5. UAE Dubailand 243,000 (7,000 ). 2008 2012 Dubai Properties.,,,, 10%. X_architects, SMAQ. UAE Masdar(Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company). UAE,,,,,., Masdar E.ON Array., 1GW 271 2. 2008 9 Tokyo, 1.5. 80
COSMO, 2010 (Concentrated Solar Power)., 2009 11 Masdar., UAE.. UAE.,,,,, UAE 51%.,.,,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 81
,. 55%, 50%. 10%, 5%. GCC 5%, 6 100%.,,.,,,.,.,,. 5 5.,,,. 100%,,., 15 15,.,,,,. 82
. Trade Licence, 1. Ministry of Economy and Trade. License, License.,,, (Emirates Industrial Bank).. Jevel Ali Free Zone,. Liaison Office, UAE UAE. UAE., UAE. UAE UAE UAE.,, UAE.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 83
, UAE Development Bank. Development Finance Corporation 5%. UAE,. UAE,.,,..,, 25-150. 3.,,,. 4%,..,,. 84
. 2008 UAE < IV-19>. UAE, UAE. GASCO, 2009 7 2. 10, UAE. 10, 10., 1.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 85
( : ) () 798,900 809,817 SK ADCO 818,835 GS GS < 표 -19> 우리기업의대형공사최근수주실적 4NGL P KG2-Habshan5 1,140,243 GASCO 1,202,129 GASCO 1,702,311 : (www.icak.or.kr) 2008/08/07-2011/08/31 2013/07/28 2008/05/14-2011/09/04 2009/04/23-2012/06/07 2008/01/03-2011/07/02 2009/07/29-2009/07/29-2013/05/28. UAE UAE,.,,. UAE.. 86
. 2008 806 GDP 50.5%.. Global Insight 2009 0.9%, EIU 0.7%. 36% 400, 52. 52. GDP 5%.. (70 ), (34 ), 4 (63 ), 3 (41 ), 16 5 (20 ),,. 2020 400 b/d, 150 b/d 680,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 87
.,...,,.. 10,000, 80% 7%. 2006 9. 16,544 h 7, 7 9%. 88
.. 2005/6 8 9, 6 7. 2,500 Azour North, 1,500 Sabiya, 750 Shuaiba, 500 Azour South, Doha, (CTC). 2006/7 Emergency Power Program Plant( 1,585 ),,., 2008 4 Sabiya 7. 2020. Sabiya, Az Zour North, Kiran 2030 770 Silk City, 1970-1980.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 89
2007 88%, 2010 244, 2020 970., GCC. < 표 -20> 쿠웨이트전원별발전설비개발계획 2007 2010 2020 () (%) () (%) () (%) - - - - - - - 1,019 100 244 100 970 100-897 88 - - - - - 122 12 244 100 970 100 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 1,019 100 244 100 970 970 :, (2008) 2008 1,015, 8.1%., 2 1993 Abdali, KOC(Kuwait Oil Company),. Saudi Arabian Texaco Wafra 3 (Eocene) 90. 90
2008 278.4 b/d 3.5%. Burgan, Magwa Ahmadi Greater Burgan 150180 b/d., (API) 31.4, 2.52% Kusait Export Crude(KEC). Burgan, Raudhatain, Minagish, Neutral Zone. Burgan 1938, 70 Ghawar 2, 160 b/d 60%. Raudhatain 6 25 b/d. Minagish 2 16 b/d, Neutral Zone 27 b/d. Ratqa (4 b/d) Rumaila, 1991 UN Ratqa 11., Sheikh Ahmed Al Sabah 2005 3 Sabriya Umm Niqqa 100. KPC(Kuwait Petroleum Corporation) 2020 $800.,. 2010 300 b/d, 2020. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 91
4b/d. KPC 5 KD 24) 200. Mina Abdullah Mina Al-Ahmadi KD50. KPC KNPC(Kuwait National Petroleum Company) 60 b/d 80 b/d, 61.5 b/d Al-Zour KD40., -, - 3, Shuaiba 19, Mina Abdullah 26, Mina Al-Ahmadi 47, 93. 40 4. - 4 140. 61 5 2010 4 Al-Zour. 2006 12 17 4,. 4 60 22.5, 34. 24) KD Kuwait Dinar 92
, (SPC) 4 2009 3 16., $150. KNPC, SPC. KNPC, SPC.,,.. 2008, 62.9tcf,. 2008, 1.2bcf ( 12.8 bcm) 0.4%., 35tcf.. KOC 2011 6 f 3, 2014~15 10 f 3. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 93
. 1,500 (Petrochemical Industries Company; PIC) Olefin.,,,,. 2005 3 25 3 f 3 MOU., 2006. KPC(Kuwait Petroleum Corp.) PIC(Petrochemical Industries Co.).,.. Equate (Equate) (Petrochemical Industries Company; PIC) 10 1997. Equate PIC Union Carbide Company( Dow Chemical ) 45%, 10%. PIC 94
1966,. 2 Equate-2 PIC 40 45%. Equate-2 Equate-1 85, (LDPE) 45 65. 20 PIC 7., Equate-3. The City of Silk Khabary Future City. The City of Silk Madinat al Hareer, Subiya 250 (700,000 ) Dubai Waterfront, Business Bay. 860, Kuwait City,.,,.,. Khabary Future City Fahaheel(Kuwait City ) 770,000 55. Khabary. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 95
, 2009.,, 40%,.. 100%, 49%. (,, ) 49%, 40%. 10,,,,,,,,.,,., 96
, 70, Kuwait Project'.. (Commercial Register),. (Amiri Decree).,.,,,. (DIT),. 55% 15%, 2008 2 3,.,,,. GCC 5%.,,.., (DIT).. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 97
(GCC) 6 GIC(Gulf Investment Corporation),.,,.,, IIG(International Investment Group).,,,. 3,.,..,,. 6, Shuwaikh, Shuaiba, Doha Ahmadi, Abdullah, Zoor. Shuwaikh, Shuaiba, 98
,. Shuwaikh, Shuaiba,,. Shuwaikh, Shuaiba. 21, 1~14 10m, 15~17 6.7m, 18~21 8.5m 4,055m. 1, 8, 11~13, 19~20, 21,... 1 < IV-21>. 10 (PKG ) 4, 4 7,. 10.,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 99
. 1,. < 표 -21> 최근 2 년간우리기업의쿠웨이트에너지설비수주현황 -PKG4 1,184,133 2008/07/24-2012/03/23 SK -PKG2 2,062,045 2008/07/24-2012/04/24 SK 4 694,915 2007/12/31-2011/02/28 GS -PKG1 1,995,583 2008/07/24-2012/04/24 -PKG5 1,120,614 2008/07/24-2012/03/28 1,384,980 2009/09/13-2012/06/01 AlZourNorth400kV (MEW/25/2009-2009) 163,216 2009/11/30-2011/11/29. (KPC).. 3, 2006 3. KPC 100
,. 20 KPC (KOC) (KNPC),. 150 7, (1,015, 4 ).,..,.,...,,... 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 101
. MEED( 09.6.12, 18) 2009 GDP 9%. GCC 2009 GDP 2%, 5 11%. CEO Raghavan Seetharaman 2009 GDP 9.6%,. LNG, 1 LNG 2009 4 43 2010 77. 2008 GDP 32% 27%., Sheikh Hamad Al-Thani GCC,. 2 (stable) (negative). (QCB) 3 102
, 5 41,. 30-40%., (QIA) 2 9 7 53 5%, 2009 10%., 2009.. 4 2009/10 259.7 40% 104, 111. 40 244, 60,. LNG. IMF. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 103
, Aa2. LNG 2009 GDP 9.6% 2010 23.5%. MEED 2008, LNG ( 31.2 ) 2~3,.,,, 900 f 3 ( 15%) LNG (2012 77 / ),. 2030,,.. 2008, 19.7TWh,, 7. 104
< 표 -22> 카타르담수화발전소발전용량 Ras Abu Fontas B 990 Ras Abu Fontas A 618 Wajba 301 Sailyah 134 Ras Abu Aboud 88 Doha South Super 67 : (www.icak.or.kr) (Qatar General Electricity & Water Corporation(Kharamaa); QEWC) 1999 7 (Ministry of Electricity & Water, MEW).,,, MEW.. 2015 6,500 12%. Ras Laffan (IWPP) Ras Laffan (IWPP) 1 2004, 2 / 750, 7,500 g/d. 2001 8 Ras Laffan Power, AES( ) 55%, QEWC 25%, QP 10%, Gulf Investment Corporation( ) 10%. Ras Laffan 3. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 105
(QEWC), 25. 2,600 /40Mg/d, 40%, QP/QEWC 60%. Qatalum QP/Hydro, 9 1,350. Mott MacDonald 2007 3 EPC. Qatar General Electricity and Water Corp. Suez, Mitsui Ras Laffan. Suez Mitsui 27 227. Suez Mitsui 40%, 15%, Qatar General Electricity and Water Corp. 45%. 2,730, 6,300, 2011 4. 15% 2008, 273. (Dukhan). (Id Al-Shargi North Dome), (Bul Hanine), (Maydan Mahzam), (Al-Shaheen), (Al-Rayyan), (Al-Khalij) 6. OPEC 106
2008 137.8 b/d OPEC 13.,,, (QP), 40%, QP. 2007 64.6%,. (Umm Said), (Halul), (Ras Laffan) 3,, LNG. GCC,. QP, GTL,,, QR 25) 3,025 ( 831 ) 5(2007-11). QP 2010 74.5 b/d 102.5 b/d. 25) QR Qatar Riyal. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 107
< 표 -23> 석유상류및하류부문확장주요프로젝트 (1 b/d) (10) 285 2009 5.00 250 2011 0.40 146 2008 0.67 146 2011 1.00 : Zawya, EIA, OGN 2008 13.8% 899.3tcf. 3 (North Gas Field).. 2010 25 bcf/d. QP 2007, 2010. 2008, 7.4 bcf( 76.6 bcm) LNG., 2011 7%., 2011 7.5%. 108
QP, LNG LNG (Qatargas) LNG(Rasgas). Rasgas QP 70%, ExxonMobil 30%. Qatargas QP Total, ExxonMobil, Mitsubishi., 2012 9,000 bcf., (Barzan) 2 2013 1,260.1 bcf. (Bcf/d) () -1 1.5 2012 1.7-2 2.0 2013-25.0 2010-12 20.0 : Zawya < 표 -24> 카타르주요천연가스상류프로젝트 1.5 tcf LNG, 2010~12 LNG 3.8 tcf. LNG 2012 LNG., LNG., LNG,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 109
LNG 5 2,920. LNG GDP 2009 1,022 2010 1,394. < 표 -25> 카타르 LNG 시설현황 (Bcf) 1&2 640 1999 3 230 2004 Rasgas 4 230 2005 5 230 2007 6 380 2008 7 380 2009 2,090 1-3 1,404 1996 Qatargas 4&5 1,520 2008 6 380 2009 7 380 2010 3,684 : RasGas, QatarGas, EIA GTL,. GTL. GTL (Pearl) GTL Shell 100%. 110
2008 10 2030,. 2003 IQ(Industries Qatar) 2030, IQ QP(Qutar Petroleum) 70%,,,. QP, 2007 LNG, GTL,. QP. QP 1 Q-Chem II Qatofin QP Ras Laffan Ethylene Co., 130 2009., QChem II HDPE 35 a- (LAO) 35, Qatofin LLDPE 45. QP,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 111
. 130,, OCT 70 PP 70. 2012. ExxonMobile, 2013.. Carbon Trust Company (Qatar Investment Authority, QIA)., 2.5 (4.03 ) ' - ' QIA 1.5 Carbon Trust 0.1, 0.9., Carbon Trust Investment.,..,, (IPD). 51%,. 112
, 4%,.,.,.,, 5.. GCC 5%, 10%. (watt/hour), 0.106.,..,,,,,,.,,,. Pearl of the Gulf Island,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 113
West Bay Lagoon, Al Khor Resort 99...,.. (Public Revenue and Taxes Dept.), Entity(,, ). GCC., EPC(,, ) EP(, ). < 표 -26> 카타르법인세율 (QR) 100,000 100,001-500,000 10% 500,001-1,000,000 15% 1,000,0001-1,500,000 20% 1,500,001-2,500,000 25% 2,500,001-5,000,000 30% 5,000,001 35% : (www.icak.or.kr) 114
,. GCC,.,,,,. CIF 4%. 20%,, GCC.,.,.,. 11%, 13.5%. CR, CR... 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 115
,,.,.. 6,.. Doha, Umm Sa'id, Ras Laffan 3, 677,992GRT/1,049,447 DWT 25. 9.14m 4 7.5m 5, 1,699m. 4 LNG 11. Umm Said 9,,. Ras laffan LNG Ras Laffen. 4,. 10. 16,,,,,,, 116
,. 2007 23.7, 126. 158., Collect Call. 2002 2, 2007 35.,.. 1 < IV-27>. 2005 4, 2008 CIWPP 20.. 80 2,728 4,500.,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 117
< 표 -27> 최근 2 년간우리기업의카타르공사수주현황 ( : ) Q-Chem II Q a t a r C h e m i c a l Company 405,315 2005/12/01-2008/11/30 GS QP&Total& ExxonMobil 409,053 2005/06/20-2009/10/27 CIWPP 2,071,423 2008/05/01-2011/04/01 8-220Kv 201,948 2008/01/08-2010/07/15. GCC..,...,. 118
. 2008,,., BOT 26).,. 2009 1 45(50 ). 26) Build, Operate and Transfer,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 119
. (PLN), (IPP : Independent Power Producer), (Auto-generation/Leased Generator). 87%, 600. 2007 47.5%, 26.5%, 24.3%, 1.7%. < 표 -1> 인도네시아주체별전력생산량 ( : GWh) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 90,046 93,113 98,177 107,664 107,984 20,549 23,978 26,088 28,639 31,199 2,435 3,154 3,105 2,804 3,257 113,030 120,245 127,370 139,107 142,440 : National Electric Company 80% - 30,000, 22,236. [V-2], 2004 5,061. 7.1% GDP 6.2%, 2008 10 64.3%. 120
74% - - [ 그림 -1] 인도네시아의발전설비용량현황 : PT, PLN < 표 -2> 인도네시아전력생산및소비량 ( :GWh) 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 120,244 127,370 133,108 142,440 113,080 99,425 107,031 112,609 121,554 129,018 : Department of Energy and Mineral Resources. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 121
2008 2012 2017 2022 2026 - - (JAMALI) < 표 -3> 인도네시아지역별전력수요및용량전망 TWh 105 137 189 256 327 GW 18 22 31 42 53 GW 6.3 13 31 45 61 TWh 27 37 54 84 123 GW 5 7 9 16 23 GW 2.2 5 10 18 29 TWh 132 174 244 341 450 GW 23 30 40 58 76 GW 8.5 18 41 64 90 : KOTRA (2009) 2008, 21%. Tanjung Jati B,. PLN (Suralaya/Gresik /Cilacap ). 2008 2018 57,400, 2025 95%. 2011 10,000. 1 ( ) 6 1, 2010~2011 35 122
. 2 11,144 MV 21 3 64%. 7,366 (PLN) ( 66%) (IPP).,,. Asea(Brown) Boveri(ABB), Siemens, GE, Mitsubishi Hitachi.. DongFang Electric, Harbin Electric, China National Technical Export-Import Company (CNTIC). OPEC(Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries), 50, 92 5,000., 26.3%, 23.4%.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 123
< 표 -4> 2008 년인도네시아석유및가스소비및생산 (mtoe) 57.4 Mtoe(1.2%) 49.1Mtoe(0.3%) (mtoe) 34.2 Mote(2.3%) 62.7Mtoe(2.3%) :. : IEA, Balance of Statistics (2009) LNG 188 M 3 40 m 3.,,.,,. 100 / 60 /. 2009 Tri Wahna(6 / ) Muba (800/ ), 2013 30 / Banton, 2013 90. LPG LPG,. 124
[ 그림 -2] 인도네시아석유연료소비및생산현황및전망 : OPEC(2009) [ 그림 -3] 인도네시아정유시설현황 : OPEC(2009). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 125
.,., 2006 5 2025 5%, 2008 32, 1%, 5%, 5%., 3~4%, 95~97%. 99.5% 2008 2,000. 99.95% PT Molindo Raya Industri Co. Ltd,,,. 126
< 표 -5> 연도별인도네시아바이오에탄올생산현황 ( ) (%) ( ) (%) 2005 167,984 3.0 - - 2006 175,500 4.5 120-2007 180,500 2.9 750 525 2008 186,000 3.1 2,000 166.7 : Indocommercial 2009 52,000 200%, 2013 2,844,000. 2009 48,000 2013 2,830,000, 2009 3,000 2013 14,000. < 표 -6> 바이오에탄올시장전망 ( : 1,000 ) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 48 213 585 1,930 2,830 197,9 3 7 10 14 14 47.3 52 219 595 1,944 2,844 192.2 : Indocommercial,,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 127
CDM 27) 2009 3 UNFCC 23. CER,,, CER. CDM. 23 CDM,,,,,. CDM, CDM,. 9, (3 ), (2 ), (2 ), (1 ), (1 ). Grobal Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership(GGFR) (BP-MIGAS) EB. YBUL(Yayasan Bina Usaha Lingkungan),.. 27) (2009) CDM 128
< 표 -7> 인도네시아 CDM 프로젝트분야별현황 ( 09 년 3 월현재 ) 2012 7 791,009 3,667,825 CER 5 528,870 2,887,534 3 180,192 840,984 2 655,673 3,991,885 1,077 2 614,163 4,354,204 80,967 2 53,461 198,581 / 1 390,893 2,429,689 113,446 1 42,622 227,317 23 3,256,883 18,598,019 195,490 * : Integrated Capacity Strengthening (IGES) * : tco2. 1), (Ministry of Public Works) ( )., 100%. 30,., 100%,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 129
., 95%. 250.,, PT.PLN IBRD, ADB, PGN, Pertamina., EPC.,. ADB( ) JBIC() (PQ) 2.,,,,, 3 130
. 1994,,,,. 200 ( 300 ). 1 3 3 6. ( ) 1.,... 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 131
(PLN)..,. 5 25%, 10%., Agent.. 2008 1 2009 10,. 2. 2,,,,. 132
< 표 -8> 최근 2 년간우리기업의인도네시아공사수주현황 ( : ) ENG Dalle PT. Jakarta tank terminal 36,342 PT. dalle EnergyBatam 44,290 2009/08/01 2010/05/25 PT. Mita ENG Energi Batam : 39,700 2007/12/01-2008/05/26-2009/10/31-2011/08/31. 2008,...., Vendor... 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 133
,,,.,., CER., CDM.., CDM,,,,. 134
. 1980 2005, 400.,,,.. EGAT(Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand) 55%. 70%,,,. 2007 147,026GWh, 98,148GWh, 30,081GWh 88%. 2008-2021 2009 2% 2.19%, 2013. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 135
5.5% 6.16%. 2007 2006 (%) (%) EGAT 22.33-6,370.00 18.04 6,370.00 23.50-5,146.95 12.00 5,146.95 18.99-3,424.18 2.97 3,424.18 12.63-847.00 0.02 847.00 3.13-4.40-1.04-15,793.57 55.36 15,794.57 58.27 < 표 -9> 태국의전력생산및구매현황 - 12,096.69 42.40 10,672.64 39.37-640.00 2.24 640.00 2.36 12,736.69 44.64 11,312.64 41.73 28,530.26 100.00 27,107.21 100.00 : EGAT(Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand), 2008-2021. 2008 2015 2016-21. IPP. 136
< 표 -10> 태국전력개발계획 2008-2021 기간별프로젝트계획 ( ) EGAT 3,768.7 IPP 4,400.0 2008~2015 SPP 1,985.5 VSPP 264.0 2,186.6 EGAT () 2,800 EGAT ( ) 2,000 VSPP 300 2016~2021 2,850 - EGAT 3,200 - IPP 1,600-4,800,. < 표 -11> 원자력발전소건설추진현황및계획 1 3 2008~2010 2 3 2011~2013 3 6 2014~2019 4 2020~2021 : EGAT(Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 137
2007 EGAT 60, 2020 4,000. < V-11>, 1, EGAT, 13.4 (38 ), EGAT.. Areva, General Electric, Mitsubishi Toshiba 4. 4, GE Toshiba, Misubishi Areva,,.,. 2.. (Gulf of Thailand) 138
. (Petroleum Authority of Thailand) PTT (upstream) (downstream) PTT. PTT Thaioil(Thai Oil Company) Thappline(Thai Petroleum Pipeline Company), 4. (Ministry of Energy) & (EPPO, The Energy Policy and Planning Office),,. (NESDB). PTT Thappline(Thai Petroleum Pipeline Company) Sri Racha ~ Lumlukka Saraburi 160(mile) 70,. 4 729,100/. Map Ta Phut ARC(Alliance Refining Company, Chevron + PTT J/V) (301,000/ ), Thai Oil Co. Sri Racha(192,850), ExxonMobil Sri Racha(173,500), PTT Bangkok(61,750).. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 139
,. 14.8 f 3 (2007.1 ).,. PTT,. PTTNFGD(PTT Natural Gas Distribution) 2,300,. Erawan Rayong 3 40 f 3. 1999 - (410) JDA TTM(Trans-Thailand-Malaysia). TTM (TAGP, Trasn-ASEAN Gas Pipeline). LNG LNG, PTT LNG PTTLNG. PTTLNG Map Ta Phut 2,440 f 3 2011,. 140
2005 230.6.,, PTT. PTT 2007 2011 5 44, (GSP). 3.5 GSP 5 GSP 6, 7, 8, 2007 6 2010 3/4, 7, 8. GSP 6 2009 PDH()., 2007~2009 (Reformate, ) 13.2. 2008 6.5% 2011 8%, 15 17%.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 141
2011 8% 1500, 460, 100., 3-5% RPS. CDM 2009 3 15 CDM.,,,. TGO(Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization) CDM. UNFCCC 15 () 4, () 4, 5. < 표 -12> 태국분야별 CDM 프로젝트등록현황 2012 ( : tco 2) CER ( ) 4 48,595 346,809 () 4 310,239 3451,572 714,546 5 320,131 2884,160, 2 94,370 390,872 13 678,965 6,684,553 714,546 : IGES CDM Project Database('09 3 ) CDM UNFCCC 5, 4, 3, 1, 3. CDM 142
. CDM (ADB), Mizuho, Agence Francaise de Developpement(AFD). CDM.,,.., 49%,., (/ ), (/), (/),..,,, 76,, 400.,,,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 143
,,, (www.prd.go.th),,,,,,,,.,.,..,,,.,., (),,.., EGAT (Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand),. 144
90%,. Electricity Generating Public Company Limited(EGCO), Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding Public Company Limited(RATCH)., MEA(The Metropolitan Electricity Authority). (EGAT) 230kV 115kV/69kV, 12kV/24kV 220V/30V. EGAT /, MEA /., TTM(Trans-Thai-Malaysia(Thailand) Limited) - (JDA) &(PTT, Petroleum Authority of Thailand) &(Petronas) 50:50,,. PTT(Public Company Limited.), BCP(Bangchak Petroleum Public Company Limited.).. 8, Ministry of Finance Notification No. C13/2533(1990.9.18) 50%.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 145
.,.,. (Thai Industrial Standards Institute),,,.,,.,.,. 146
. 2. < V-13> 1 2. LNG. 6. < 표 -13> 최근 2년간우리기업의태국공사수주현황 ( : ) 812,008 2 0 0 8-0 6-1 8-2010-10-18 SK PTT Aromatics & Refining PCL 105,096 2 0 0 9-0 6-0 1-2011-12-31 GS LNG PTT LNG Co. 525,620 2 0 0 8-0 2-0 1-2011-05-31 PTT Chem. PTT Chemical 104,113 2 0 0 8-0 8-2 0 - ENG Public Co. Ltd. 2010-12-20. 2. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 147
,,,.,,,,. (Onshore, Offshore ).. CDM.,,,,,,,,,,,,. (TGO).. 148
. 1989. < V-14>, 2001 2Mtoe 2007 1.7Mtoe. 2001 2. (charcoal) (60%). 2007 14MToe, 1.7 Mtoe, 1.77Mtoe 1.4MToe. < 표 -14> 미얀마의에너지공급현황 ( : Mtoe) 2001 2006 2007 1.991 1.751 1.753 1.03 1.582 1.775 0.71 0.5 0.56 0.72 1.28 1.416 8.0 9.05 9.28 11.903 14.157 14.782 ( ) 5.4% 4.4% : BP(2009) " Statistical Review of World energy report". 2005 35.5%, 86.5%, 82%.,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 149
GDP 2005 2030 8.6%.(ADB(2009)), 2030 2.6%,. 2005 0.3Mtoe 2030 3.1Mtoe 10.5%... LNG 5.2% CNG, 0.4%. [ 그림 -4] 미얀마에너지수요전망 : ADB(2009) 150
. (MEP), (DEP) (MEPE). 32% 6 ( 168 Baluchaung No. 2) 20, 70% 150 Ahlone Hlawga. Simple cycle, TharKayta, Hlawga, Ahlone 3. 1,, 35%., 1 1 0.3Toe 28),, 2~3. 2007~2008 66 4 KWh, 36 1,900 KWh. 28) 1 1.6Toe. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 151
[ 그림 -5] 미얀마설비별발전용량 ( KWh) : ( ). 2005 0.3Mtoe 2030 2.7Mtoe 9% (ADB 2009) 2005 6TWh 2030 56.2TWh 9.6%.. ADB(2009) 2030 94.65%. 2005 38.3% 2030 4.3%, 2005 10.3% 2030 1.1%. 152
. 1, 1 f 3. (Yetagun) 12,000 (yadana) 12 f 3. 7 8f 3, 4 3f 3. 2007 2008 4768 f 3 12 f 3.,. (Myanmar Petrochemical Enterprise, MPE),,, LPG. MPE. Thanlyin, Chauk Thanbayakan 57,000 / 1/3. 7 3.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 153
Single Mooring Buoy(SMB) SMB Thanlyin. 98.4, 26.8.. 50,000/, 250.,,,.. ADB(2009) 108,000. 1986, 93.. 1987 (NEDO), 51,973.8TWh. NEDO, 365.1 TWh. 10KW 154
200. 7.. CDM,. CDM.,. 1 7 (67 )., CDM. NGO (JETRO ),..,. 100%. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 155
..,..,. 50,,., MEPE. (Myanmar Investment Commission)., /,, 12. 3, 50%, 3,. 12 26-28 156
.,. < V-15>. < 표 -15> 산업별투자동향 : US 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008-09 0 6,030.0 281.2 0 0, 142.6 35.0 471.5 137.0 114.0 6.0 0.7 0 5.0 856.0 :, Selected Monthly Indicators 80%. (MICB) (MFTB),.. 12 45,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 157
,.,..,.. 2, 2009 8 2 957(16 7900 ) A-1 3. 10 2014 9 5 6 4000, 825, 110. 51%, 8.5%, ONGC 17%, MOGE 15%, GAIL 8.5%. A-1 3 2013 5 158
5 f 3 / 5 f 3 25~30. LNG 380...,.,.,.., (Wood Pellet : ), CDM.,.. Wood Pellet.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 159
. Wood pellet. Wood Pellet. 4~5.. Wood Pellet,,.,. CDM.. 11 5 (2007.4-2012.3) 14 5 ( 3 2 ). ADB,, (NHAI), IOC 160
NHPC,,. 2 8( 700 ) 2007 6 12, 3,200. 3, 2010 3 7 3( 930 ). BOT(Build Operate Transfer) PPP(Public Private Partnership)..., (Cental Electricity Authority). (SEB : State Electricity Board),.,. 1991 29), -. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 161
. (Indian Electricity Act),,. 1990 2000,,,,. 36~42%,,. 2009~10 30) 11 8,794, 10 3,816, 1 4,978 (12.6%). 2008~09 1 3,024, 2009 1 2,000.,. 2009~10, 28, 10 (Peak Time) 20%, ( ) (Peak Time) 30%., 2008~09 30) 4 ~ 3, 2009~10 2009 4 ~2010 3. 162
14 8,000, 65% 6,785, 40% 16.,, 2001 ( ) (SEB, State Electricity Board) 4,147 3,000. 15 IPP, 2%. IPP,,. IPP Dabhol Power Company Maharashtra, IPP,.. 2012. 2012 30,000, 9,000,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 163
(20 ) ( 50-75% ), 25,536, 7,751. 2,655 (58 ) 8.5, 6. 33,000 15,000. 2012 10, 10 (2002. 4. 1 2007. 3. 31) 4.1. 50% 2.2 (NTPC)... 1,422 2009 30,000 87, 87 59 60%. 164
< 표 -16> 안드라프라데쉬의메가급전력프로젝트 ( ) Coastal Andhra Power Krishnapatnam Ultra Mega Power 4,000 East Coast Energy Pvt. Bhavanapadu Coal based Power 2,640 Athena Kakinada Power(P) Gas Based Power(Komarigiri) 2,400 NTPC Simhadri Super Thermal Power-Stage II 2,100 Andhra Pradesh Power Development co. Krishnapatnam Power 1,600 :, 2020 6,200. 2,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 165
< 표 -17> 2012년까지완공예정인민간기업주도의발전소프로젝트 (: 9,300 ) (:) Sterlite thermal power project(orissa) Sterlite Energy 2,400 Rs 7,700 Sugen gas power plant(gujarat) Torrent Power 1,147 Rs 3,200 Jallipa Kapurdi thermal power project(rajasthan) Raj 1,080 Rs 5,000 Udupi thermal power project(karnataka) Udipi Power Corp. 1,015 Rs 4,300 Karcham Wangtoo hydel Jaypee Karcham power project Hydro Corp. 1,000 Rs 6,000 Mundra thermal power project, Ph.1(Gujarat) Adani Power 660 Rs 2,300 Rosa thermal power plant(uttar Pradesh) Rosa Power Supply 600 Rs 2,600 Lanco Amarkantak thermal power plant(chhattisgarh) LAP(Lanco) 600 Rs 2,600 Teesta stage-6 hydro electric project(south Sikkim) Lanco Energy 500 Rs 3,300 Alaknanda hydel power project(uttrakhand) GMR Energy 300 Rs 1,400 : Ministry of Power, State Governments and Central Electricity Authority 166
< 표 -18> 인도전력발전수요전망 (TOE) (%) 2006 2015 2020 2025 2030 2006 2030 (%) 166 228 275 336 407 81 73 3.8 9 9 9 9 8 4 2-0.2 13 22 29 40 54 6 10 6.2 5 16 23 30 38 2 7 9.0 10 13 16 19 22 5 4 3.5 & 1 3 6 10 17 1 3 12.0 1 5 6 7 8 0 1 10.8 204 297 364 450 554 100 100 4.2 : world energy outlook(2009) 105MMT 31), 70%. (Oil and Natural Gas Corporation) 2005 2009 330 (7,264). ONGC 31) 1 (million metric ton) 733.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 167
.. LNG 15 3,, LNG. LNG, LNG. 40 m 3 LNG 9, Petronet Dahej 5,. LNG LNG,,,.,, LNG. 70% 150. 168
. 17, 7.4% 2001-2002 118, 2006-07 155.,, 3. Reliance Petroleum Ltd(RPL) (27 )...,,... 2002, Paradip (16 ).. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 169
. (Indian Oil Corporation), 2012 1,500 (33 ) 1. 2 350 (7.7 ), 630 ( 14 ). Diesel Hydro De-sulfarisation. Indian Oil Corporation Ltd, Channal Petroleum Ltd, Kochi Refinery. Ernst & Young 2008 4,, 5.,., 2030 10%. 170
< 표 -19> 국가별신재생에너지투자매력도 1 66 67 72 53 71 60 65 1 66 66 65 70 72 67 53 3 62 67 70 56 46 50 50 4 61 62 69 41 61 58 42 5 60 62 66 47 65 54 36 5 60 63 61 69 48 56 34 7 58 57 62 44 66 55 59 8 56 60 64 47 40 48 31 9 55 56 58 52 58 53 27 10 54 56 61 43 57 46 32 : Ernst & Young, 2008 3, Ernst & Young [ 그림 -6] 세계풍력시장비중 :, -. (100% ), (branch)(liaison office), (project office) 32). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 171
. 100,. (Project Office) (Subsidiary).,. ( 2 ). Entity. (Domestic Bidding), 2-3, 4-6,., CPWD(Central Public Works Department) (Public Works Department),. CPWD(Central Public Works Department), 5,., 1991 172
(piece meal) (turn-key). 2,.. (local preference).,,. PPP.. Larsen & Toubro Ltd.,. Larsen & Toubro(L&T). L&T EPC. Punj Oil Lloyed,. Indian Oil Company Ltd PMC Engineers India Ltd,, EPC.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 173
., 466 174, 1 204. 213 74%,. EPC Technimont( ), Bechtel( ), Skanska( ) Uhde( ).,, (JBIC),,,,, LNG EPC. 2004 10,,.,.,. 174
1991 7,, 40%. FDI,. 14 16%, 20%., 2000 1.37%.. District Authority (New Delhi ). 3,.,. Vendor P.O(Purchase Order),. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 175
Bulk.,,.. 2 1 ONGC. O&M,. 2009 40. APR1400. < 표 -20> 최근 2 년간우리기업의인도공사수주현황 ( : ) ONGC 2008/12/23-930,403 ENG (ONGC) 2012/12/22 SK 2009/04/16-47,564 2012/04/15 2008/05/26-33,490 TVS 2010/05/31 2009/04/01 - O&M 20,651 KPS 2014/03/31 : 176
.,..,.,. (Local preference),...,,.,.,,.,.,,. (counter guarantee). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 177
...,..,,.,., 35%, 13% 48%., 100%., 3, 30 30%.. 178
., GDP 5.3% 9.7%. 2.1% 1...., 2009 8 - (CEPA).,..,..,,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 179
.,., 7 6...,,.,.,.,,,..,.. 180
.,,,,,. 8 2006-2010. 2020,, ODA. (),,, ODA... 2006 591 h, 2007 668 h, 2008 800 h.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 181
1 2,200 3,000 h., (,,, )., 2007 59%. 30%,. 2008 15,000, 2009 14 (3,500 ) 18,500, 2010~2011. 2006~2010 17~22%. 2008 68.1TWh, 2013 116.8 TWh, 2020 294 TWh, 2030 562 TWh. 2000 73.5% 2007 94.84%, 2015 100%. ( 10 15.71% ) 2020 28,000, 2015 20 2,000,., 182
,. 6 (6th Master Plan). 2006~2015 58,000 98, 2011 ~2025 7. 8~9% 10 20% (IPP) BOT.,,. (Kon Tum) 82 ( 700 ), 10 ( 125 ), 2015 80 ( 500 ). (Nghe An) 5 2, Xong Con (24.6 ), Suoi Chang (4.3 ), 25 (1.2), 49 12 (1.2), 2020.,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 183
< 표 -21> 2009년주요발전소건설프로젝트 ( : ) Hai Phong I#2 thermal power plant 300 Hai Phong Thermal Power JSC Dong Nai 3#1&2 hydro power plant 180 EVN Qunag Ninh I#1,2 thermal power plant 600 Quang Ninh Thermal Power JSC Hai Phong II#1 thermal power plant 300 Hai Phong Thermal Power JSC Mao Khe#1 thermal power plant 220 VINACOMIN/IPP Small Individual hydro power plants 370 IPPs : EVN( ) (MOI ; Ministry of Industry), (MPI ; Ministry of Planning & Investment), (VAEC ; Vietnam Atomic Energy Commission), (EVN ; Electricity of Vietnam).,,,,,,., (INTS).,,, (IOE), (PC), (PTC), (PECC). 184
5.,,,,,,,., 2015.,,., (100 ),.,,,.,,. 1986, (1987 ), (2000 ), (2005 ),. 1975, () Cuu Long Bach Ho 1990. BP. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 185
Lan Do/ Lan Tay(1993 ), Rang Dong(1994 ), Rong Doi(1995 ). Vietsovpetro, 2002 26 b/d. Cuu Long, Nam Con Son,,. < 표 -22> 석유개발프로젝트 (15-1) Su Tu Trang Cuu Long Cuu Long JOC* (PV, KNOC, SK) ConocoPhilips, (52/97, B) Kim Long Malay ( ) *Tcf=trillion cubic feet, JOC=Joint Operating Company : (2008) 7.2 bbl 4.2Tcf* () 2011 2010 2000 Su Tu Den 2003, 2011., Bach Ho. 186
[ 그림 -7] 원유생산전망 ( : b/d) : (2008). 1993 BP Lan Do/ Lan Tay 2002, () 1997 2004 52/97, B. PetroVietnam(Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group) 2009 9 3 JV,, Petronas( ), IPIC(UAE), GS Group(). 2006 9, Ba Ria-Vung. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 187
Tau, JV, 100%, 3. 2, Quang Ngai Dung Quat, ZA1,, Thanh Hoa Nghi Son 2. < 표 -23> 분야별설비규모및발전량베트남석유화학프로젝트 Crude oil vessels 100 DWT - Ethylene and poly ethylene plant 450/ Ba Ria-Vung Tau Poly terephthalat acrylic plant 320/ Thanh Hoa Linear alkyl benzene(lab) plant 30/ Dung Quat-Quang Ngai Synthesis fiber(pet) plant 300/ Olefin and plastics (PE, PP,EDC/VCN) plant 600/ Polystyrene plant 100/ Dung Quat-Quang Ngai : PetroVietnam 20,. 2007 11.458 287.48 2.5%. 188
< 표 -24> 베트남재생에너지의발전량및비중 (: ) (%) 1.23 0.01 135 1.2 1.25 0.01 150 1.3 287.48 2.5 11458.48 100 : KOTRA, 2009( ), 2007 300 700 1.5%.. 2015 0.1 30 1000., 78%,. 64.6%,. 150KW. 15%,. 2008 12,., 2006 2.4KW.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 189
70%, 1.2.,,.. 2007 1.25,.., NGO.,.,. 190
CDM 3 (1 : 2008~2010, 2 : 2010~2015, 3 : 2015 ), 2009 ~2015 7 1 3,500 ( ODA 50%, 40%, 10% ). 10 CDM. CDM UNFCCC 3,,, 1.,, 1. KMDK REE(Refrigeration Electrical Engineering Corp) Dong Thanh 2. 2005 JBIC() CDM, CDM GHG,. JBIC, JBIC,. KOTRA(2009.4) ODA CDM, 180 UNFCC.,, CDM.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 191
< 표 -25> 베트남 DNA에서승인한 CDM 프로젝트현황 ( 09.2월 ) 1 Hydro power 97 2 Power generate from living organism 28 3 Power generate from CH4 garbage dumping ground 28 4 Burning CH4 from garbage dumping 8 5 Using Biological gas 4 6 Wind Power 4 7 Reducing HFCs emission 2 8 Geothermy 2 : KOTRA, 20009.4.,..,,,., BOT.,,.,, 192
., Electricity of Vietnam(EVN),. 1986 ( ). 2006 7, (),,,,.,. ( )., 3,000 VND(1,900), 15., 3,000 VND(1,900), 30, 45., 30%, 30%., (, ),.,, 50 ( 70 ).,.,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 193
,,, 2 2 50% ( 4, 8 ), 5,, BOT, BTO, BT,, EPZ, IZ. 1999 8,..,. 41,000km.,,,. 50%. 25, 1997 Than Tuan EPZ, 194
Linh Trung EPZ, Bien Hoa IZ.,,,.. 2009 09 SK BSR(Binh Son Refining & Petrochemical Co. Ltd.) (Operation & Maintenance). BSR (PVN) 25 Dung Quat Oil Refinery( ) 100%. 15 / (CDU) 7 / (FCC) 14, 2 10. ENG 1 9. ( : ) ENG ENG < 표 -26> 최근 2 년간우리기업의베트남공사수주현황 vietnam petrovietnam : 27,165 187,250 40,914 2011/1/8 2011/06/30 2009/1/09-2009/07/01-2008/04/18-2009/09/30. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 195
.,,,,,..,.,.,,. ( ), BOT.,.,.,.,..,,., 196
,.,., Loan Agreement 3.,. JBIC, JBIC.,.,.,...,.,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 197
.,., (CH 4 ),.,, CDM., 3.. 3,,.,,,,.,,,. 198
..,,.,.,,.,. UAE,,,.. 권역별진출확대분야및진출전략 199
,.,,..,,,,,., GCC.,,..,,. 200
< -1>, < -2, 3>. < 표 -1> 권역별진출여건및진출확대분야 10 100GW UAE, 2012 ( 12-15) CDM (IWPP) - (UAE) - (, ) (), LNG - (,, ) - ( ) () (,, ) - ( ), (LED, - (, ) ) ( ) (, ). 권역별진출확대분야및진출전략 201
< 표 -2> 중동권주요국들의진출여건에관한 SWOT 분석 UAE LNG 52, LNG (GDP 40%) ( 12% ) 2 3 (12% ) ($600 ) () $800 G C C LNG 202
< 표 -3> 동아시아권주요국들의진출여건에관한 SWOT 분석 2 :,, (CEPA) 4, ( ) SOC 8 IPP IPP BOT ( ) EPC. 권역별진출확대분야및진출전략 203
. [ 그림 -1] 동아시아권주요국가들의진출확대진출분야 [ 그림 -2] 중동권주요국가들의진출확대진출분야 204