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1 [ ] (KOT RA )

2 Black Sea 40 Caspian Aral Sea M e d i t e r r a n e a n S e a Re Sea 40 Madeira Is. (Portugal) Rabat MOROCCO Algiers Tunis TUNISIA Tripoli Canary Is. (Spain) Laayoun Western Sahara ALGERIA LIBYAN ARAB JAMAHIRIYA Cairo EGYPT ad 20 MAURITANIA Nouakchott CAPE VERDE MALI NIGER ERITREA Dakar Khartoum Praia CHAD Asmara GAMBIA SENEGAL Niamey Lake Bamako Chad Banjul BURKINA SUDAN FASO N'Djamena DJIBOUTI Bissau Socotra Ouagadougou GUINEA-BISSAU GUINEA Djibouti (Yemen) Conakry NIGERIA ETHIOPIA Freetown CÔTE SIERRA Addis Ababa D'IVOIRE Lagos CENTRAL LEONE Monrovia Accra Abidjan Porto AFRICAN REPUBLIC LIBERIA Novo CAMEROON Bangui Malabo Yaoundé Lake EQUATORIAL GUINEA UGANDA Turkana Lake Principe Albert SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE Kampala Mogadishu 0 Sao Tome Sao Libreville DEMOCRATIC KENYA 0 Tome GABON RWANDA Annobón REPUBLIC Nairobi Kigali Lake (Equatorial Guinea) OF THE Victoria INDIAN OCEAN Brazzaville Bujumbura CONGO BURUNDI Kinshasa Pemba Amirante Is. ANGOLA Victoria Zanzibar Dar es Salaam SEYCHELLES 20 Ascension (UK) AFRICA GHANA ATLANTIC OCEAN St. Helena (UK) TOGO Lome BENIN CONGO Luanda ANGOLA NAMIBIA Windhoek ZAMBIA Lusaka BOTSWANA Lake Harare Kariba ZIMBABWE Pretoria Maputo Mbabane SWAZILAND Bloemfontein Maseru LESOTHO SOUTH AFRICA Cape Town Gaborone Lake Tanganyika Sea UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIA Lake Nyasa Lilongwe MALAWI MOZAMBIQUE Aldabra Is. SOMALIA Moroni COMOROS Providence Is. Farquhar Is. 20 Agalega Is. (Mauritius) Tromelin (France) Cargados Carajos Antananarivo MAURITIUS Port Louis MADAGASCAR 20 Réunion (France) km mi The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations Map NO UNITED NATIONS March 1998 Department of Public Information Cartographic Section

3 : 53

4 (K OT RA ) - 1 -

5 1.. 90, %. -,. 98 GDP U S$ 3,339, (3.4% ) 2.1%. - ( 48 ) 13 5%, U S$ 2, %. - : U S$ 1,077 ( 1.9% ) - : U S$ 1,187 ( 2.0% ) < ( : U S$ )> ( ) 1,520 (1.4% ) 1,501 (1.3% ) 2,025 (1.8% ) 2,264 (2.0% ) , ,100 1,187 ( )1. : KOT IS 2. ( ) :

6 % U S$ %, 1.6% , 97 U S$ 94 U S$ %... -,, %.(E IU ) - 5,, EU - 3 -

7 - (E COW A S ), (SADC), (COME SA ), - (A GOA ), , % 98.,,,,,,,,,

8 < > ( : U S$ ) ,250 3,049 2,821 2,347 1,086 2,521 4,442 1,977 2,944 1, , : KOT IS. ( 90% ),, 3 70%., 10.5%, 58.4%,,, 70%. < > ( :, % ) , , (26.7) (- 61.8) (- 21.4) (27.0) (10.5) (- 45.8) (45.9) (- 66.9) (9.1) (- 9.9) (58.4) (- 80.0) (37.5) (- 50.8) (- 1.7) (4.5) (- 2.8) (31.1) (7.4) (- 55.6) (- 16.3) (- 79.2) (- 27.0) (3,220) (- 40.1) (762.5) (- 6.1) (- 42.1) (- 44.8) (- 95.4) : KOT IS - 5 -

9 , US$ 985, 1.2%, 2.49%. (65 ), (28 ), (26 ), (15 )

10 (K OT RA ) - 7 -

11 1. 1) , -,,,, : 0.6% ( 98) 1.2% ( 99), ( ) : 3.3% ( ) GNP 40%, 60%, 70%. :, % - : 8.6% ( 97) 6.9% ( 98) 5.2% ( 99) :, - : U S$ 1 = RAND : ( 97), ( 98), ( 99) : 14.5% % - 8 -

12 : / 4 3.0% GDP : ,100 - GDP : 3,599 ( 97), 3,178 ( 98), 3,044 ( 99) ( ) : %, 8.8% - < > ( : U S$ ) ,416 37,859 35,676 34,712-6,121 5,604 4,684 3,972 37,562 39,400 37,041 34,252-1,146-1,541-1, ,892-2,264-2, ). 3 5,, 3 - :, - 9 -

13 - :, ( ) - :,,,, SLOW BU SINE SS. D/ A U SANCE L/ C D/ A, U SAN CE L/ C D/ A - - D/ A. 5%. GDP % 76.7%

14 . EU ( :Sherry, Port ) SADC : 85%, 2010 : 100% - SADC : Southern A frican Developm ent Com munity MERCOSUR - MERCOSUR (Mercado Comun Del Sur : ) - :,,, - :, (1 2 )

15 < > ( : U S$ ) / , , , , , , , ( 7 ) - ( 7%) - (W heels of A frica Im perial Group) - 1,000 - (Sappi, M ondi) - 200% 1,

16 , - (Dow, Polifin ) - : 3. 1). ( 5 ) ( 3100 ) -.,, (,, ). ( 150 )

17 ., - ( : 14.5% ) 2 ). P E, P S (Dow, Polifin ) - PE (Polyethylene) :, - P S (Poly styrene) :,,. (A/ S ) 12-15% ,000, ,000 ( ). (Anesthetic Eqipm ent, Endo T r acheal T ube, Infu sion Set s )

18 - F oley Catheter : 99 /, 1.69 / - I.V. Catheter : 21 /, 29 / ,,, OEM (CNA, F NA ) (,, ). GSM (Global System for Mobile Communications) ( 99 : 250 ) -, CAR KIT. ( : 750 ), - SABS (South A frican Bureau of St andard) - COBRA

19 : : 414, 40 : EXPO CENT RE. (, ) : 9, 11 : :. : 9, 11 :, : KOT RA,

20 ( ) PCB (1-6 ) 35, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , ,

21 (K OT RA )

22 1.. : U S$ 2,528 (1999, F OB ) - : (30.7% ), (26.8% ), (21.6% ), (20.9% ) : : U S$ 745 : U S$ 4 ( 1% ) - -,,, PVC. -,,. -,,,

23 . -, (GDP 30%, 80% ) - 98 (2000 ) -, (GDP 11.5% ) (CF A F ran c s ) - ( :,, ) CF A Euro (1 = F CF A ) (CFA Francs) (BCEAO : Banque Centrale des Etats de l Afrique de l Ouest ) BCEAO 65%. - : , %, 1 : 100 ( (Euro) ) - CFA Francs : (Communauté Financiere Africaine), (Colonies F ancaises d Afrique)

24 (Under V alue) -,.,,, 1 1,500 CF A (F OB, U S$ 22,100) ( ),.(SGS 6 ) - BIVA C Intern ation al S.A.(VERIT A S ) : - COT E CNA In spection Ltd. : - : 10 CF A ( 147 ) ( ) , 27, 2,000 ( % )

25 2000, 2001 GDP 4.3% , , 2.. < ( )> ( : ) ,638 42,557 35,641 12,679 11,464 9,999 10,785 5,478 14,326 4,794 11,353 1,950 2,999 1,148 2, ,547 1,767 3,

26 - (T V ) : T V 30%, 25%, 10% -, - P.E : 48%. - : ,000 : : US$ 700-1,500 : U S$ 1,500-4,500 (BMW, M ercedes, Lexu s, Peugeot, T oyot a, Audi) U S$ 8,000. ( )

27 - :. -,,, -,. -,,. - : - : ( 60% ) 3.. -, : - :,

28 - : ( ) - :,, ( ) - :, - - (, ) : - - : K OT RA. PC ( ) -,,,

29 (, ) : ( ) ( )

30 (K OT RA )

31 , 100, E COW A S. - OPE C ,

32 ,,,,. -,,, , ,

33 -. -,. -,, , %. -, %

34 , , 2 67 %. -,,,, % %., % % % %

35 3.. F A CE T O F A CE M EE T IN G

36 -, ,,,,,,, (SODA A SH, T OLUENE ),, F ORM (T.D.R ),, UP S,,. 2,,

37 ,, B/ L ( )

38 (K OT RA )

39 1. -,,, / / /,. -,.,, - - 1,200 U S$ 630 ( 97 ), 10. -,. ( ) -,. (, )

40 - 80 UN,,,. - U S$ 20-25, 2-3%. -,, % 60%,. IM F - IMF U S$ 1 9, DRC ( ) IMF ( ),

41 -, 3,. - 6,., ( 3 ),. -,. -,, IMF U S$

42 , -, 98, % 40-70%. -,,. -,,.. - SADC ( ), 5,

43 . -,, U S$ 2 5 ( 6% ), % US$ 3.. -, :,. - : 3-4,. - :,

44 - :,.. - :, %. Har are. M at abelelan d Bu law ay o. Masvingo Mutare.. 30%

45 , L/ C Base. (L/ C 100% ) Bulaw ayo (8 ) KOT RA... ( )

46 (K OT RA )

47 1.. - :, * 1 GDP 300, $ 3,500 - : * 90%, 70%, 50%, 70% - : - :,,, - :,, ( ),, - :,, * IMF - :,, - :,. - :, - :,

48 . - : %, %, % - * IMF (2000 7, 5 ) :. *. *,,,. - : %, %, %. - *,, * ( 99 $72, 2000 $203 ) - : %, , % - *,, * * IMF ( 13 )

49 - : %, %, % - *. * (EPZ). EA C ( ) : 3 ( ). COME SA ( ) : , (, 90%, 80% ) SADC ( ): (14 10 ) ( : US$ ) (5 ) 4, , , , , , , , , , , :

50 - :,,,,,,, ( ) - : ( ),, (, ).. ( ) - ( ). - -, (, UP S, ), Pow er Plant ( ) -,, PVC - : -. : World Bank Health Project. - : (0.25% )

51 - ( ) : - :. - : - :. GI HR. - :, UP S, - : N ation 3.. : 5,000 (PI) : (KBS, Keny a Bureau of St andard). - Y,

52 : 90 (U SANCE L/ C)., (L/ C at sight ), (DA, DP ). ( 20% ). - Confirm ed L/ C.. [ ] -. -, (LG.) [ ] -,,,. - :,. [ ] -,,,, ( ),,,,,,,,

53 , M arketing - : - : NGO ( ) - < > - HIV/ AIDS (, ) - - (,, ) - (, ) - - ( ) - Urban Rural (IDA ) - (WR,, ) - - CDMA WLL - ( ) - ( ) - HIV/ AIDS (, ) - COME SA (21 ). - COME SA : (T V,, ),,, *, A GOA ( ) :,

54 4. < > GoldKey - : KIMEX : : : : ( ) - : ( )

55 : < > ( : U S$ ) (%) 35,434 48,719 45,343 18, ,025 10,591 9,635 4, ,856 10,199 3, ,924 2,973 4,667 1, ,881 2,759 2,735 1, ,931 2, , ,638 7,517 1, ,730 2,910 2, ,272 1, ,594 2, ,012 2, , , , , 6 2, , : M T I

56 1. ( ) : 11, A lice Lane, 3rd F loor, St andard Bank Building, (W est W ing ), Sandton, South A frica : (27-11) / 1 : (27-11) E - m ail : kotr 2. ( ) : 9 Em e Et age, Imm euble C.C.I.A., A.V. Jean P aul II Abidjan Plateau Cote D ' Ivoire 01 B.P Abidjan 01 : (225) : (225) E - m ail : kotr 3. ( ) : Plot 1310, K arim u Kotun St., Victoria Island, Lagos, Nigeria : (234-1) , : (234-1) E - m ail : a.or.kr 4. ( ) : 2nd F l., 99 J. M oyo Bldg., 99 J ason M oyo A ve., P.O. Box 4970, Har are, Zimbabw e : (263-4) : (263-4) E - m ail : ar a.co.zw 5. ( ) : Fin ance House 7th F l. Loit a St, P.O.Box N airobi, Keny a : (254-2) / / : (254-2) E - m ail : kotr

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์žฌ์›์€ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ง€์—ญ, ์ง์žฅ ๊ฐ€์ž…์ž์˜ ์ด ๋ณดํ—˜๋ฃŒ์™€ ๊ตญ๊ณ ์ง€์›์„ ํ•ฉํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ณด๋ฉด ๋œ๋‹ค. ์—ฌ๊ธฐ๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” ํƒ€๋‹นํ•ด ๋ณด์ธ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ 1๋งŒ1์ฒœ์›์˜ ๊ธฐ์  ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ƒ์ž๋ฅผ ์—ด์–ด ๋ณด๋ฉด ์ด๋Š” ๊ธฐ์  ๊ณผ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ฉ€๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•Œ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฑด๊ฐ•๋ณดํ—˜ ๋ณด์žฅ์„ฑ์€ ๊ฐ•ํ™”๋˜์–ด์•ผ ๋งˆ๋•…ํ•˜๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ๋…ธ๋™์ž ๋ฏผ์ค‘ ๊ธฐํš โ…ก ์ด๋ช…๋ฐ• ์ •๋ถ€์˜ ์˜๋ฃŒ๋ฏผ์˜ํ™”์™€ ๋ณด๊ฑด์˜๋ฃŒ์šด๋™ ๊ฑด๊ฐ•๋ณดํ—˜ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋กœ, ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋ณผ ๊ฒƒ์ธ๊ฐ€ ๋ณ‘์› ์ž๋ณธ ํ†ต์ œ ์—†๋Š” ํ—ˆ๊ตฌ์ ์ธ ์‚ฌํšŒ์  ํ•ฉ์˜ ์ตœ์œค์ • ์ •์ฑ…์œ„์› ๊น€๋™๊ทผ ๋ณด๊ฑด์˜๋ฃŒํŒ€ 6์›” 7์ผ, ๊ฑด๊ฐ•๋ณดํ—˜ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋กœ ์‹œ๋ฏผํšŒ์˜ ์ค€๋น„์œ„์›ํšŒ ๊ฐ€ ๋ฐœ์กฑํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ์–ธ๋ก ๊ณผ ๋Œ€์ค‘์˜ ๊ด€์‹ฌ์ด ๊ณ ์กฐ๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. 1๋งŒ1์ฒœ์›์˜ ๊ธฐ์  ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•˜์—ฌ, 1๋งŒ 1์ฒœ์› ๋” ๋‚ด์„œ ๊ฑด๊ฐ• ๋ณดํ—˜ ํ•˜๋‚˜๋กœ ๋งˆ์Œ ๋†“๊ณ  ๋ณ‘์›์„ ์ด์šฉํ•˜์ž๋Š”

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์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ ์†Œ๋น„ํ™•๋Œ€๋กœ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋ฌด์—ญ ๋ถˆ๊ท ํ˜•์ด ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์™„ํ™”๋œ๋‹ค. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํšŒ๋ณต๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ์•„์‹œ์•„ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•œ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๋Š” ๊ธˆ์œต์œ„๊ธฐ ์ด์ „์— ๋น„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์ œ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์ด ํ•˜๋ฝํ•œ ์ €์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ณผ์ •์ด ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜์ง€๋งŒ ๋…„์„ ์ €์ ์„ ํ†ต๊ณผํ•ด ์˜ฌํ•ด๋ถ€ํ„ฐ๋Š” ํšŒ๋ณต์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ ์ฐจ ์•ˆ์ •ํ™”๋  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค.

์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ ์†Œ๋น„ํ™•๋Œ€๋กœ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋ฌด์—ญ ๋ถˆ๊ท ํ˜•์ด ๊ตฌ์กฐ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์™„ํ™”๋œ๋‹ค. ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ ํšŒ๋ณต๋˜๋Š” ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ์•„์‹œ์•„ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•œ ์„ฑ์žฅ ์˜ˆ์ƒ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๋Š” ๊ธˆ์œต์œ„๊ธฐ ์ด์ „์— ๋น„ํ•ด์„œ๋Š” ๊ฒฝ์ œ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์ด ํ•˜๋ฝํ•œ ์ €์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ณผ์ •์ด ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜์ง€๋งŒ ๋…„์„ ์ €์ ์„ ํ†ต๊ณผํ•ด ์˜ฌํ•ด๋ถ€ํ„ฐ๋Š” ํšŒ๋ณต์„ธ๊ฐ€ ์ ์ฐจ ์•ˆ์ •ํ™”๋  ์ „๋ง์ด๋‹ค. Note.. Economist ์œ ์ต์„  )-, sun.yoo@wooriwm.com ์•ˆ๊ธฐํƒœ )-, kt.an@wooriwm.com ์œ ์ต์„ ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œ๋ณ„๊ณก( ็ถ“ ๆฟŸ ๅˆฅ ๆ›ฒ ): Imbalance์˜ Balance๊ฐ€ Great Rotation์— ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š” ์˜ํ–ฅ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋ถˆ๊ท ํ˜• ์™„ํ™”๊ฐ€ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ์ž๊ธˆํ๋ฆ„์˜ ๋ณ€ํ™”๋ฅผ ์ด‰๋ฐœ์‹œํ‚ฌ ์ „๋ง ํ–ฅํ›„ ์‹ ํฅ๊ตญ ๋‚ด์ˆ˜ ํ™•๋Œ€๊ฐ€ ๋ณธ๊ฒฉํ™”๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๋ฌด์—ญ ๋ถˆ๊ท ํ˜•์ด

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