k-smartfactory.org 세미나제조업의미래생존전략 - 스마트팩토리실증적구축사례및동향 k-smartfactory.org 세미나제조업의미래생존전략 - 스마트팩토리실증적구축사례및동향 주관 : 주최 : 일시 : 2018 년 3 월 29 일 ( 목 ) 장소 : COEX
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1 k-smartfactory.org 세미나제조업의미래생존전략 - 스마트팩토리실증적구축사례및동향 k-smartfactory.org 세미나제조업의미래생존전략 - 스마트팩토리실증적구축사례및동향 주관 : 주최 : 일시 : 2018 년 3 월 29 일 ( 목 ) 장소 : COEX 3 층컨퍼런스룸 317 호 K 스마트팩토리운영사무국 TEL : / dj@imdp.kr 주관 : 주최 :
2 K-SmartFactory.org 세미나 제조업의미래생존전략 스마트팩토리실증적구축사례및동향 일시 2018년 3월 29일 ( 목 ) 13:30~17:00 장소 COEX 3층컨퍼런스룸 (317호) 일자세미나내용비고 13:00~13:30 참가자접수 13:30~14:30 인공지능기반의예지정비기술사례 14:30~15:30 생존을위한중소 중견기업의스마트팩토리추진방안 한국인더스트리 4.0 박한구대표 ENW 손경수대표 15:30~15:50 Coffee Break 15:50~16:50 중소 중견기업의제조혁신과스마트팩토리추진사례 EPM 솔루션즈박정윤대표 16:50~ 폐회
3 인공지능기반의예지정비기술사례 한국인더스트리 4.0 박한구대표 K-SmartFactory.org 세미나
4 1 Professional Experience CEO) POSCO POSCO POSCO 2
5 3 4
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7 + A A1 A11 A12 A13 A111 A112,, A2 A21 A3 A22 A113 An 7 8
8 Predictive Maintenance
9 PRECOGNIZE (beta) + ( ) 2 3~4 ( ) (,)
10 Value Specific prediction Control Trending. 50 Pure ML (failed) Technology evolution IoT.( )
11 Precognize Machine Learning Historical data Precognize ( ) ( tn ) tag1 tag2 Normality clusters tag3 t N Unsupervised process tag4 distance saved Baseline ML Model tagn, \ machine. Based on ISO Standard 19450
12 Machine Learning Engine Graph Analysis Engine Outcome Data anomalies Baseline ML model System Model Clear Alert Historical Data Experts
13 . & 2 (no hardware, read-only) 3 : - 96 % -, ( ) - - 5,000
14 * PRECOG HTTP(S) Historian CSV Export CSV file CSV File SFTP (read-only) Virtual\Physical machine 12 core, 32Gb RAM Browser (Chrome\Firefox) Simple Script via Historian tools or Excel *PRECOG..
15 Predictive Maintenance (cold division) 3,000 4 (Abnormal Operation) 9 (Bad Sensor) 9 (Other) 3 (Part Failure) 4 Ambient Conditions) 3 (Planned Maintenance) 1 29
16 (Flare) : :45 : : Flare event on :45 Cause: Valve malfunction Active from 8/8/2017 No indications from manual observations of the data
17 2 (Flare) PRECOGNIZE, Shut-down,.,.. $ 50,000.,. 2.. PRECOGNIZE 2,500. PRECOGNIZE ( ). $ 100,000 () PRECOGNIZE.
18 ,, Fast Mover. Data Data Plant Mechanical Availability 96% Plant Process Availability (if known) Number times late replacement of cyclone\demisters other sensors caused damage to equipment a year 1 Shutdown costs Risk Costs Labor $ Plant Utilization Average cost of fixing of compressor, pump (parts, manpower) 50,000 $ 75 Average revenues per day ($) 1,250,000 Number of times compressors, pumps and similar parts are being fixed annually Number of annual overhaul days (based on overhaul period) 7 $ Annual Loss ($) 9,500,000 Assumed prevention Rate 50% $ Average cost of regular fix of compressor, pump (parts, workshops) 20,000 Annual Saving ($) $ 4,750,000 Number of Critical Systems without redundancy 30 Assumed reduction of fixing cost in case of early detection for rotating equipment 30% $ Every how many years a failure event happened to Critical Systems 12.5 Reduction of cost of replacement 40,000 $ Estimated Average days for resolution 30 Reduction of fixing costs 450,000 $ Potential Damage per event ($) 37,500,000 $ Assumed prevention rate 50% Cost of annual insurance ($) 5,000,000 Calculated annual damage based on probability ($) $ 1,500,000 Diductable amount ($) $ 6,000,000 Insurance probability of insured event 5% $ Number of people on maintnence team 12 cost of event ($) 20,000,000 Precentage spent on unplanned maintnence 50% Assuming lowering the cost (% of discount) 5% 40.0 Calculated annual saving of deductibles ($) $ 250,000 Average overtime per person (nights, weekends) spent on unplanned maintnenance a month Number of flare events because of operational failure\mistake $ 5 cost of maintenance man\day ($) 720 annually beyond standard Assumed reduction of maintenance work 15% Environmental Assumed cost of each failure event (bad PR, fines, burn of fuels, Assumed reduction of overtime work 30% 10,000 $ and branding energy costs) Annual Saving on maintenance work ($) 162,000 Annual Saving on overtime maintenance work ($) $ 207,360 Assumed percentage of events that can be prevented 50% $ Annual reduction of costs related to flare 25,000 Total Annual Savings 7,384, Damage to rotating equipment that can be prevented or reduced Assumed percentage of prevention of replacement by early detection of cyclone\demisters problems 80%
19 Preparation, Modeling workshop (2 weeks) Cold run (2 weeks) PRECOG (3) Using the Precognize (3 months) 1 VPN 2 < > IT <PRECOGNIZE > - (, ) hanpark07@gmail.com
20 생존을위한중소 중견기업의스마트팩토리추진방안 ENW 손경수대표 K-SmartFactory.org 세미나
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29 중소 중견기업의제조혁신과스마트팩토리추진사례 EPM 솔루션즈박정윤대표 K-SmartFactory.org 세미나
30 4, Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. (,, ). 2 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
31 ?? / / / ( ) // / 3 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 4 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
32 5 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. Source : 5, ( ) 6 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
33 (Key Factors of Digital Transformation) 7 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. Digital Integration of Value Chain & Supply Chain ( ) Source : EPM Solutions Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
34 : (3%), ,500 9 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 10 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
35 11 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 12 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
36 123,661 (99.4%), 2,530(77,4%) 748(48.3%), 260(51.2%) - OEM? -? - ODM, OBM? -? 13 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. Source : 14 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
37 15 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 16 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
38 17 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 18 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
39 19 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. (2016~2019) Smart Manufacturing Support Platform (SME) Toolkit Learning Center Collaboration Use Case Library,,,,,, (, ) Case 20 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
40 OEM ODM OBM Strategy & Plan (1M~) Smart Product & Service (3M~) Smart Factory (Production) (3M~) Business Model Innovation (1M~) Globalization (3M~) -,, - (PM ) - (PM ) (SML) (, ) (,,,, ) - (,, ) - ( ) - - (,,,, ) 21 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. [4-16 ] [1 : 14 ] 22 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
![[ ] [, ]](/docs-images/103/160748807/images/41-0.jpg "23")
41 [ ] [, ] 23 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 24 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
42 SMC (Sheet Molding Compound) 25 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.,, 26 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
43 /,,. ( ) 27 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. (Cloud) (16P) 1./ (8P) A. (,, ) D. B. (C/T,, ) (2~4P) (2~4P) (2~4P) (2~4P) C. (,, ) (2~4P) -,, (2~4P) (2~4P) -,,, - (,, ) - (MR) 28 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
44 / / / / / / / / * - ( ) - - -,,, (PI) - ( ), QMS - R&D, ( / ) (PLM ) 0.00 * : 4. Level Up (,,, ) 29 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
45 300% A. (,, ) B. (,, ) C. (,, ) (Cloud) 5 (WIA XF6300) 5 (60T) 31 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. :,,, GM, FORD, BMW,,,, TATA :,,,,,,,,,,,,, 32 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
46 /// ( / ) ( : 10H/D -> 24H/D) - (200% ) - - /// -2 -> 8 () - () 50% -> 95% 33 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. 34 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
47 35 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved. : ( , epmpark@unist.ac.kr) UNIST 4 ( , taeseok.jeong@unist.ac.kr). 36 Copyright UNIST & EPM Solutions. All rights reserved.
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