*통신1711_01-도비라및목차1~9

ISSN 2005-2693 2017. 11

2017. 11

2.6 2.9 1.5 2.8 1.8 1.2 3.1 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.6 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.2 2.5 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.9 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 130 1.0 120 110 100 90 80 70 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 20.0 16.0 12.0 8.0 4.0 0.0-4.0-8.0-12.0-16.0 i

6 6 4 4 2 0 2 0-2 -2 4 3 2 1 0 4 3 2 1 0-4 -6-4 -6 ii

12 10 12 10 8 8 6 6 4 2 0-2 -4 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 4 2 0-2 -4 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 iii

iv

v

2.8 3.0 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6-2.3 14.0 15.9 12.1 2.8 2.3 3.4 2.3 2.9 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.2 2.9 10.7 6.9 9.4 4.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.2 3.7 4.2 3.3 3.5 2.4 4.6 3.6 7.1 9.3 5.0 3.4 2.1 4.8 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.9 vi

vii

3.5 3.4 3.2 2.0 2.2 1.7 2.6 2.9 1.5 2.8 1.8 1.2 3.1 1.3 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.6 0.3 1.1 1.0 0.9 1.6 1.2 2.5 4.7 4.3 4.3 7.3 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.9 7.5 8.0 7.1 7.5 7.0 6.1 5.7 4.6 4.9 4.9 5.0 4.9 5.0 5.2 0.5-3.8-3.6-2.9-2.5-0.4 0.3 0.7-2.8-0.2-0.4 0.3 0.5 2.5 3

120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 4 3 2 1 0-1 4 3 2 1 0-1 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 60 4

1.00 1.05 1.10 1.15 1.20 1.25 1.30 1.35 1.40 130 125 120 115 110 105 100 95 90 85 80 5

2.8 2.8 0.5 0.5 1.1 0.6 (2.6) (2.4) (2.9) (2.7) 2.2 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.4 1.0 (2.7) (1.5) (2.0) (2.3) 4.7-2.3 0.9 5.9 4.4 5.2 (-3.9) (2.0) (14.4) (17.3) 6.6 10.7 2.2-1.2 6.8 0.3 (11.2) (11.6) (11.3) (8.0) 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 (2.7) (2.6) (2.7) (2.6) -0.6 2.2 1.5 0.4 2.8-2.7 (3.9) (2.1) (6.6) (2.0) 0.7 3.6 3.0 1.3 4.1-0.7 (5.3) (3.7) (10.9) (7.8) 2,691 2,725 2,754 2,733 2,708 2,784 2,780 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.4 1.5 0.9 2,594 2,624 2,655 2,645 2,591 2,675 2,683 33.7 29.9 31.8 30.2 36.0 36.7 27.9 62.6 62.8 62.8 62.9 63.2 63.0 63.0 60.3 60.4 60.5 60.6 60.8 60.6 60.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.7 6

84 82 80 78 76 74 72 70 5 4 3 2 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0-2.0-4.0-6.0-8.0-10.0 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0-0.2-0.4-0.6 7

105.9 98.7 26.3 21.5 25.5 19.4 16.8 13.3 122.3 120.4 33.5 28.3 29.7 28.0 30.4 20.0 526.8 495.4 126.0 121.9 132.4 132.1 147.1 151.0 2) -8.0-5.9-6.7-5.0 1.8 14.7 16.7 24.0 436.5 406.2 99.3 102.5 110.6 116.3 117.9 120.7 2) -16.9-6.9-10.1-5.1 4.1 24.0 18.7 17.8-14.9-17.6-3.9-5.7-4.1-8.9-6.9-5.6 97.7 92.8 22.9 22.8 23.5 21.0 20.9 15.1 112.6 110.4 26.8 28.5 27.6 29.8 27.8 20.7 3.6 1.5-2.1 1.3 1.1 1.1-5.2 0.5-5.0-5.6-1.2-2.4-1.2-0.8-1.5-1.6 5 4 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0-1 -1 8

0.7 1.0 0.7 1.5 2.1 1.9 2.3 2.0 3.8 3.1 7.5 6.1 6.1 8.4 1.2 3.8 2.1 9.1 4.7 3.6 10.2 3.7 4.4 4.2 6.0 8.6 9.6 6.7-0.2-0.5-0.5 0.4 2.1 1.3 0.9-19.2-8.1-8.1-2.3 12.0 7.7 3.4 3.3 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.5-7.4-9.2-13.0-8.7-6.9-2.4 8.0 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.9 2.5 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.2 1.5 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.9 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.5 2.3-0.2 0.7 0.2 1.4 2.5 2.4 3.2 2.4 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.4 2.2 1.6 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.7 3 2 1 0-1 -2-2 3 2 1 0-1 9

3 3 2 2 1 0 4.0 3.5 3.0 1 0 4.0 3.5 3.0-4.0-1.8-1.8 0.8 4.2 3.3 3.3-6.4-3.4-3.4 0.5 5.8 4.3 4.3 2.3 5.8 6.0 9.4 7.8 8.4 8.1-6.7-3.5-3.4 0.8 6.5 4.3 4.0-7.9-8.3-8.7-7.4-3.0 2.1 5.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.6 1.5-15.3-4.2-7.7 4.0 9.7 5.0 8.4 [-19.5] [-7.3] [-5.3] [3.4] [14.1] [8.4] [7.7] 7.4 2.6-4.2 0.1-4.0-2.9 1.1 2.5 2.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.5 1.0 10

3.5 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.5 0.6 4.4 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.8 4.6 2.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.2 1.2 0.9 2.7 0.2 0.0-0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 9.7 15.6 0.1 6.4 7.4 1.0 1.6 4.5 3.1 4.8 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 7.1 2.0 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 0.5 7.2 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.6 2.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0-0.1 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 11

210 170 160 120 130 90 80 40 2,600 2,400 35 30 25 50 0 2,200 20 2,000 15 10 1,800 5 12

10 5 36 35 34 33 6 130 120 4 0-5 -10 32 31 30 29 28 2 110 100 0 90-2 80 70-4 60-6 50 13

50.0 23.9 11.0-5.4 12.2 6.7 15.5-4.3-9.9 0.6-9.2 1.6-2.9 0.4 54.3 33.8 10.4 3.8 10.6 9.6 15.1 18.1 30.0 7.7 8.8 8.4 10.9 7.4-0.4-6.7-4.1-3.6 0.2 2.7-1.6-5.4-2.1-0.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 2.5 7.0 15.9 3.3 9.0 1.6 4.5 3.2 6.5 5.7 6.9 6.5 2.0 5.7 6.0 5.8 4.7 5.7 5.0 1.8 3.8 3.7 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 0.1 1.9 2.3 1.9 3.5 3.7 4.5 2.4 2.1 1.4 0.8 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2-0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 1.6 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4 9.3 10.6 11.0 4.4 7.8 7.4 14

1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 10 8 6 4 2 0 10 8 6 4 2 0 15

3.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 3 6 2.5 2.5 2 4 2.0 1.5 2.0 1.5 1 2 1.0 0.5 1.0 0.5 0 0 0.0-0.5 0.0-0.5-1 -2-1.0-1.0-2 -4 16

-1 10 8 6 4 2 0-2 10 8-4 -4 6 4 2 0-2 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 4.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 17

18

3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 3.5 3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 21

22

230 220 210 200 230 220 210 200 190 180 170 160 3 2 1 0-1 190 180 170 160 150 150 30 20 10 0-10 23

5.0 6.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 3.0 7.0 11.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 5.9 5.9 25.0 25.0 24

25

26

394.5 380.2 320.6 (-15.7) 2,613.7 2,449.8 2,160.8 (-11.8) 3,008.2 2,830.0 2,481.4 (-12.3) 27

8 7 7 6 5 28

3.4 3.2 3.6 3.7 2.2 1.7 2.2 2.0 2.9 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.1 1.0 1.5 0.7 4.3 4.3 4.6 4.9 2.0 1.8 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.9 2.0 1.8 1.1 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.1 3.4 3.3 3.1 2.5 6.9 6.7 6.8 6.5-3.8-3.6 0.7 1.5-2.8-0.2 1.8 1.6 8.0 7.1 6.7 7.4 4.9 4.9 5.2 5.2 31

44.1 52.1 53.1 51.8 51.5 50.3 53.3 54.1 10 10 8 6 4 2 0-2 8 6 4 2 0-2 -4-4 32

2.8 3.0 2.8 3.2 2.9 2.9 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.6-2.3 14.0 15.9 12.1 2.8 2.3 3.4 2.3 2.9 2.6 3.1 3.0 3.2 2.9 10.7 6.9 9.4 4.9 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.2 3.7 4.2 3.3 3.5 2.4 4.6 3.6 7.1 9.3 5.0 3.4 2.1 4.8 33

5 5 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0-1 -1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0-0.5-1.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0-0.5-1.0 1.0 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.8 1.9 34

6 4 2 0-2 -4-6 2 1 0-1 -2 35

2.2 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.8 0 0 6 5 4 3 2 1 6 5 4 3 2 1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0-0.2-0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0-0.2-0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 t= 1t t-1+ 2tgapt-1+utt gap t-1 36

12 5 10 4 3 8 2 6 4 1 0 6 5 4 3 2 25 20 15 10 5 0-5 4 3 2 1 0-1 -2-3 -4 4 3 2 1 0-1 -2-3 -4 37

5 4 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 2 0-2 -4-6 2 0-2 -4-6 38

8 6 8 6 8 6 8 6 4 4 4 4 2 0-2 -4-6 2 0-2 -4-4 -6-6 2 0-2 2 0-2 -4-6 39

16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 114 107 97 92 92 99 103 109 116 115 99 103 10.9 10.3 8.9 5.9 6.3 7.7 7.5 8.5 9.8 9.8 9.7 8.4 40

0.10 40 0.08 30 0.06 0.04 0.02 0.00 0 20 10 41

0.1 2.9 2.9 4.6 6.3 6.1 6.7 6.5 4.9 0.8 2.1 2.6 3.3 3.7 4.3 4.8 3.1 3.3-0.8 0.8 0.4 1.4 2.5 1.8 1.9 3.4 1.7 2.4 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.5 1.4 1.8 1.5 0.7 2.4 5.6 5.1 6.9 8.8 7.5 8.5 8.0 5.6 6.1 6.9 7.1 9.2 7.3 7.7 11.0 11.9 5.5 12.8 9.7 17.0 5.6 8.1 9.1 15.3 42

104 102 100 98 96 94 200 180 160 140 120 100 104 80 102 100 98 96 94 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 43

104 102 104 102 106 106 100 100 104 102 100 104 102 100 98 98 98 96 94 98 96 94 44

130 120 110 130 120 110 0.6 0.3 0.6 0.3 100 100 0.0 0.0 90 90-0.3-0.3 80 80-0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0-0.3-0.6-0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0-0.3-0.6 45

46

47

51

52

53

54

55

56

57

58

59

60

61

62

63

64

65

66

67

68

69

70

71

72

73

74

m.bok.or.kr