제 3 절이동전화단말기 16) 목차 1. 59. 59. 63. 65. 68 2. 72. 72. 73. Trend 77. 80. 81 84 1. 세계이동전화단말기시장의현황과변화추이 가. 가입자규모현황및전망 ITU, 2008 40 460 16) *, (02) 570-4288, kimmin@kisdi.re.kr 16) ITU, 2009 59
제 1 장 통신산업, 2009,,,, 46. 2008 60%, 2009 46, 67%. 표 1-32 1999 년 ~2008 년세계유선및이동전화가입자현황 ( : ) 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 Main telephone lines Mobile cellular subscribers : ITU(2009) 904 975 1,034 1,083 1,135 1,204 1,262 1,263 1,278 1,267 490 738 961 1,157 1,417 1,763 2,219 2,757 3,305 4,100 : ITU(2009) : * 그림 1-13 세계이동전화단말기가입자비율 (100 명당 ) 현황 Ⅰ 60
제 3 절이동전화단말기 2008 2009 50% 2009 56%. 32 14. : ITU(2009) 그림 1-14 세계이동전화단말기가입자비율현황 Ⅱ 38.7%, 3%. 6, 1 6. 3G, 3G. 61
제 1 장 통신산업 : ITU(2009) : * 그림 1-15 2000 년 ~2009 년세계모바일브로드밴드가입자현황 2009 2 43, / 19 44%. GSM/WCDMA/HSPA 38.3 89.1%, CDMA/CDMA 1xEV-DO/Rev. A 4.4 10.2%. 표 1-33 2009 년 2 분기기술별 / 지역별이동전화가입자현황 ( 누적 ) ( :, %) Total 4,310,295,611 100.0% cdmaone 2,449,937 0.1% CDMA2000 1X 309,907,068 7.2% CDMA2000 1xEV-DO 118,688,849 2.8% CDMA2000 1xEV-DO Rev. A 12,644,062 0.3% GSM 3,450,410,548 80.1% WCDMA 255,630,141 5.9% 62
제 3 절이동전화단말기 WCDMA HSPA 133,286,097 3.1% TD-SCDMA 825,044 0.0% TDMA 1,480,766 0.0% PDC 2,740,320 0.1% iden 22,172,858 0.5% Analog 9,593 0.0% World 4,310,295,611 100.0% Africa 416,303,821 9.7% Americas 475,193,998 11.0% Asia Pacific 1,906,764,743 44.2% Europe: Eastern 462,040,510 10.7% Europe: Western 506,982,364 11.8% Middle East 243,953,091 5.7% USA/Canada 299,057,084 6.9% : GSM Association(2009. 2 ) 나. 단말기시장규모현황및전망 96 2000 57.3%, 2001, IT, 3G,,. 2002,,,,. cdma2000 1x GPRS. ( : Replacement sales) 63
제 1 장 통신산업 (Emerging market).,,,,. 2004 3G. 2004 (BRICs), 2002 29.6% 6.7. 2005 2004 21.1% 8 1,600. 2006, 21.3% 9.9. 2007, 16.5% 11.6. 96 2000, 2001,. 2002 ( : Replacement sales) (Emerging market) 03 06 20%, 07. 2008 Mobile Web,,, (ASP) ( 13.9%) (11.4%), 6% 12.2. 2009. 09 12.1 08 64
제 3 절이동전화단말기 1%.,. 2010 7 9%, (WCDMA, HSPA+), ( + ). 다. 이동통신기술현황과전망 : Qualcomm 2009 그림 1-16 이동통신서비스기술의진화 65
제 1 장 통신산업 2 (2G) 2.5, 2004 3 (3G). GSM/GPRS 3 WCDMA HSDPA(High Speed Downlink Packet Access) rel.5. 14.4Mbps HSDPA 5.8Mpbs Uplink HSUPA(High Speed Uplink Packet Access) rel.6 HSPA + An evolution of HSPA rel.7. 3GPP(3rd Generation Partnership Project) WCDMA HSDPA HSUPA rel.6. HSPA MIMO(multiple input/multiple output) 16QAM(Uplink)/64QAM(Downlink) modulation rel 7.0. / 11/42Mbps HSPA+ rel.8, 75/300Mbps(Peak data rate) LTE(Long Term Evolution) 2009. 3GPP LTE IMT-Advanced 4G 2009 rel.8. 3GPP2(3rd Generation Partnership Project2) cdma2000 1x EV-DO rev.a, Rev.B Rev.C. Rev.B backward compatibility Rev.C backward compatibility. Rev.C UMB(Ultra Mobile Broadband), cdma2000. 3GPP2 Rev.B 66
제 3 절이동전화단말기 UMB 2007 UMB. 3GPP2 IMT Advanced UMB IMT-Advance 4G. 3GPP2, 2008 11 UMB. OFDM, MIMO, All IP LTE, CDMA LTE. (FWA: Fixed Wireless Access) WiMAX. IEEE 802.16x (IEEE 802.16-2004) Mobile WiMAX(IEEE 802.16e) Version, 2005 Mobility WiMAX WiBro IEEE 802.16e-2005. 4G MIMO,, OFDMA. 802.11 MAN(Metropolitan Area Network), (BWA: Broadband Wireless Access). 2006 WiBro WiMAX IMT-Advanced IEEE 802.16m. IEEE 802.16m WiBro/WiMAX IMT-Advanced 4G. 2010 4G, ITU-R (4G IMT-Advanced). IMT-2000 IMT-Advanced(4G) (System beyond IMT-2000). IMT- 67
제 1 장 통신산업 Advanced IMT-2000. IMT-Advanced 100Mbps(bits per second), 1Gbps. (ITU) 4G WiBro LTE. 2009 10 ITU (WP5D) 6, (TTA) IEEE802.16m LTE Release10 & Beyond(LTE- Advanced: an evolution of LTE). IEEE802.16m IEEE,, 51, LTE- Advanced 3GPP 39 TTA 6. ITU 2011 2 2011 ITU,. 라. 세계이동전화단말기시장의환경변화와전망 Mobile OS (Smart phone). Mobile OS,.,,., PDA, PC. 68
제 3 절이동전화단말기 OS, OS. UI(User Interface),,.. < 표 1-34> 스마트폰과주요모바일 Player 별장점 특징,, 3 ARPU SW 3 Value :. 2008. 10. 21,,. SMS WAP(Wireless Application Protocol), WEB, LCD,, MP3, GPS, TV.. 69
제 1 장 통신산업 (3G 3.5G 4G),. ), UI GPOS(General Purpose OS) ) (Wi-Fi, WiBro, WiMax, Bluetooth). < 표 1-35> 최근출시된스마트폰 Spec 및관련주요서비스현황 Player APPLE NOKIA Google Model Mobile OS IPhone 3G 5800 Express music Nexus-One iphone OS (MAC OS X ) Symbian OS Android OS (Mobile Linus ) Service APP Store, itune OVI Android Market iphone, Mobile OS. Apple iphone App Store ( ). HTC. G-mail,,, iphon App Store 70
제 3 절이동전화단말기. (5800 Express music), Apple itune (Comes With music). OVI App Store. /. (SW) /. SW Platform (Mobile OS). SW Platform(Mobile OS), SW platform Mobile OS SW,. < 표 1-36> 주요 application Marketplace 현황 Player APPLE NOKIA Google Application Marketplace Mobile OS APP Store OVI Android Market iphone OS (MAC OS X ) 99 SDK SW SW SW 30% APPLE, 70% iphone ipod touch Symbian (OVI), Android(Mobile Linux ) OS Android Android Market OS SDK,, Application SW 71
제 1 장 통신산업 Apple, Google, Nokia SW ( ) /. SW ( ),. 2. 국내이동전화단말기시장의현황과변화추이 가. 가입자추이및현황 1999 9 ( ) 2002 3 30,305,069 84 18 3,000 100 63.8. 2006 12 ( ) 40,047, 2006 80%. 4,000 1984 22, CDMA 10. 2002 3 3,000 4 8 2006 11 4,000., 97 115%, 98 105%, 99 68%, 2000 14.4%, 2001 8.3%, 2002 11.3%, 2003 3.9%, 2004 8.9%, 2005 4.8%, 2006 4.8%, 2007 8.2%, 2008 4.8% 84 (Critical Point) 1998. 2004 300, 2003 70% 6%p 72
제 3 절이동전화단말기. 6%p,. 2007 3.5G HSDPA. 2009 11 47,846,263 4,800 5%. 2010 4,875 100%. 2010 5,000. 2006 4,000 4 1,000. 5,000. 100%, 1 1 1 2. 나. 국내이동전화서비스시장의진화과정 3 CDMA 2000-1x CDMA 2000-1x EV-DO, IMT2000(W-CDMA)... 2002 cdma2000 1x,., 2001 cdma2000 1x EV-DO 2002. EV-DO 73
제 1 장 통신산업 CDMA. 2.4Mbps EV-DO MMS, VOD,. 2006 cdma2000 1x EV-DO EV-DO Reversion A, 2007 9. 32 EV-DO Reversion A 84,. 2009 93%, 2010 1 99% 2010 EV-DO Reversion A. IMT2000(W-CDMA) 2003 12. 3,,. 2006 3.5 HSDPA, 2007. 2008 5.76Mbps HSUPA, 2009 HSUPA. HSDPA HSUPA (HSPA) HSPA+. 1) EV-DO Reversion A EV-DO A(rA) 2.5 CDMA2000 1x, EV-DO. CDMA2000 1x, EV-DO EV-DO Reversion A. CDMA2000 1x 144Kbps, EV-DO 2.4Mbps EV-DO Reversion A 3.1Mbps. 3 EV-DV(Dara & Voice) Reversion A 2.5 3. EV-DV EV-DO Reversion A 74
제 3 절이동전화단말기. EV-DO(data only) EV-DO Reversion A. 3 EV-DV(data & voice). Reversion A 1.8, CDMA 2G. 2) HSDPA(High Speed Down-link Packet Access)/HSUPA(High Speed Uplink Packet Access) HSDPA WCDMA (Down link), IP. IMT-2000 WCDMA 2 GSM 3, 3 1x EV-DO. IMT-2000 3.5G HSDPA(High Speed Downlink Packet Access). HSDPA(Up-ink 2Mbps/Down-ink 14Mbps) WCDMA EV-DO( 153.6Kbps/ 2.4Mbps),,. HSUPA(High Speed Uplink Packet Access) HSDPA. 3.5 (G) HSDPA. HSDPA 5.8Mbps.,. HSUPA HSDPA, 75
제 1 장 통신산업 UCC. IMS(IP Multimedia Sub-system). : D/L(Down-link), U/L(Up-link) : SK IR data 2006 그림 1-17 HSPA 기술특징및사용화시기비교 3) HSPA+ HSPA+ 3 (G). HSPA+ 42MBPS, 11Mbps HSPA(HSDPA, HSUPA) 3, 2. HSPA+. HSPA+ (MIMO) HSPA+. HSPA+ HSPA, 4G. 3G HSPA. 76
제 3 절이동전화단말기 다. 기술개발트렌드및신규제품 Trend DMB, MP3,. LCD,.. DMB, MP3,,,., 3.5 (3.5G) HSDPA... (Bar),,.. TV,. 800, 200 300, 500. 2 TFT-LCD QVGA(240x320). VGA(480 854). SMS. (AM OLED), AM OLED 77
제 1 장 통신산업 TFT LCD DMB 180. LCD 1,000. (OS) PC. PC... 1) DMB (Mobile Multimedia Broadcasting) DMB, DMB, DVB-H, MediaFLO. DMB(S-DMB, Satellite DMB), 2004, TU-Media 2005 5 1. DMB(T-DMB, Terrestrial DMB) 2005 3 KBS, MBC, SBS 3 TV, YTN, DMB, KMMB 3 2005 12. 2006 DMB. DMB 2 1 3,000, DMB. DMB 11,000 6,000., DMB DMB. DMB DMB. DMB 2005 5 20 100, 2006 101. 78
제 3 절이동전화단말기 DMB 2005 282. 2007 127, 2008 185. DMB DMB. DMB 09 2 2,155. < 표 1-37> 지상파 DMB 단말기판매현황 ( : ) 08 1Q 08 2Q 08 3Q 08 4Q 09 1Q 09 2Q 185.4 205.4 209.6 178.7 181.9 282.2 : 2) MP3, MP3.. MP3 SRS 3D,. MP3 SMS. MP3, MP3. MP3. 3). ( ), 79
제 1 장 통신산업 ( ).. MP3 GPS( ).,.... 라. 내수추이및현황 2000 6 1. 2001 2000 1,420 1,369. 2002 14% 1,570, cdma2000 1x. 2003 1,389 11%,. 2004 1,580 1,600 2002. 2004 65 70%, 1,580 1,600. 2005 2004 200 1,400.,. 80
제 3 절이동전화단말기 DMB. 11, 12. 2006 2005 200 300 1,600 1,700. DMB 2005 15 20%. 2007 2,000 2006 1,600 1,700 300 400. 3G. 2008 2,320, 2007 2,089 9.6%. 2007 2,000 10%. 2008. 2007 3G, 4. 2009 2,350. 2009 11 40 20 2010. 1,200 51 52%, LG 670, 29 31%. 308, 13 14%.,, 169, 7%. 마. 수출및수입현황, 2004 44% 186 81
제 1 장 통신산업., /,,. GSM, MP3,. 2005 2004 6.9%..,,. 2006 21.3% 2006 2005 2.3%., High & Middle-end,, / (ASP) 3. ( ) 표 1-38 이동전화단말기수출입전망 ( :, ) 2007 2008 2009 P 317,241 (9.3) 384,974 (21.4) 375,296 (-2.5) 28,086 (14.6) 33,439 (19.1) 29,705 (-11.2) 2,670 (8.6) 3,680 (37.8) 3,460 (-6.0) 25,416 (15.3) 29,759 (17.1) 26,245 (-11.8) : CDMA, GSM, WCDMA, TDMA. CKD, SKD, : 2005 2007 IITA, 2009 KISDI 2007 14.6%., 82
제 3 절이동전화단말기, CKD SKD 07 08 19.1%.,. Enhanced Phone 3G..,. 09-11.2% 29,750.,., QWERTY pad UI(User Interface) High-end. 83
제 1 장 통신산업 참고문헌.. Mobile. (2005),,, 2005. 8. (2006),,. (2002),,. (2008),, 20 4 423. (2008), Mobile SW platform Mobile OS, 20 15 445. (2009), 2009 2, 21 15 468,. (2009), Wi-Fi, 21 8 461,.,,, 2003.,,, 2001.,,,, 2005. (2001),,. Gartner, Market Share: Mobile Terminals, Worldwide,. Gartner, Forcast: Mobile services, world wide, 2003 2013, 2009. 12. MobileInfo(2009), / (OS, App.Market),. 84