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1 *.. (ASAT), (GNSS), ( ).. (global power)... :,,,,,. ( ; RMA). (Revolution in Military Affairs) (Pillsbury ; Wang and Mulvenon ; ).

2 ( ) ( ). 1).,,... 2) ( ) ( ) ( ) (ASAT, Anti-satellite weapon).,. (ASAT). (space war) (, ).. ( )

3 ( ) (, )... (asymmetric power). (PLA) (, CASC) (Johnson-Freese, ).. (space race)... ( ) ( ).,, (Martel and Yoshihara, - ;, - ).

4 . (Lewis) (Lewis, )..,,,,,,,,, % (, )... V-. (RAND) (Preston, - ).. ( ) ( ). ( ). (FBI) (Chang, - ;, - ).

5 (incubator)... (Harvey, - ;, )... (R- ) ( ) (, ).. ( -, CZ- ) ( ) (DFH- ).. (Harvey, -, ). ( ).

6 (SDI) (Yang, ).. (star wars).. ( ) (, ;, - )... ( )..,, (space power) (Martel and Yoshihara, ;, - ). ( ) ( ),,..

7 .. (Gagarin) (, ; Kogan, ).. 3). ( ). ( ) ( :,, ) ( ). (CASC) ( ) (South China Morning Post, June, )...

8 .. (RMA).,, (the fourth battlefield). (Moss, )... (CNA, - ).,, ( ). (information support) (battlefield combat) (You, - )..

9 ( ). (strategy). ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) (, ).,,.

10 ( ).. ( ) ( )..,,,. (,, - ).. (space race) (space war). ( ).,,..

11 ,,.., (,, ). ( ). ( ). (soft attack) (hard attack)... ( ) ( ) ( ) (,, ). (Pollpeter, - )...

12 (Tellis, - ; MacDonald )... ( ) (ICBM) ( ) (ASAT), (Preston, - ). 4) ( )..,, (MD).. ( ) (ASAT) (GNSS) ( )..

13 (ASAT) KT- km - C(FY- C). 5). (Lieggi and Quam, - ;, - ).,. 6). (GPS),, (, )., GPS...

14 (offensive counterspace operation). (deception), (disruption), (denial), (degradation), (destruction) (Wilson, ). ( black star) (global strike) (Aviation Week, March, ).,, ( ) (parasitic satellite) (Pilsbury ; Kan ).. (GNSS, Global Navigation Satellite Sysytem). GPS(Global Positioning System). GPS GPS. GPS

15 ( ). - ( - ). GPS. km - ( - ) ( ; International Herald Tribune, March, ). (GNSS) GPS ( )... EU(Galileo System) (Glonass System) EU. EU.. ( ). ( ). (NORAD)

16 (Aerospace Command) (,, - ). ( ) ( ), ( ) ( ), ( ), ( ).. ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ), ( ) ( ).,,,. ( - ),,, ( - ), ( ) (, ). (space war)..

17 ์ค‘๊ตญ์˜ ์šฐ์ฃผ๊ตฐ์‚ฌ๋ ฅ ๋ฐœ์ „์— ๊ด€ํ•œ ์—ฐ๊ตฌ 49 ํ‘œ 2 ๋…๋ฆฝ์šฐ์ฃผ๊ตฐํŽธ์ œ์„ค๋ช…๋„ ์ž๋ฃŒ: ๅผตๅฅๅฟ—, ไฝ•็Ž‰ๅฝฌ. ็ˆญๅฅชๅˆถๅคฉๆฌŠ (ๅŒ—ไบฌ: ่งฃๆ”พ่ปๅ‡บ็‰ˆ็คพ, 2008), p. 320.

18 (unipolar). (great power). (star wars) (People s Daily Online, January, ) ),... (asymmetric war). 8 )

19 .., MD ( ; ).... (ASAT),, (Defense News, Feburary, ). (USCC),, (strategic dialogue) (Pilsbury, ).

20 .. MD (PLA)

21 .. (ASAT), (.. )... (PAROS),... :,... (RMA),...,. A CNA Conference Report, China s Space Program: Civilian, Commercial, & Military Aspects. Alexandria, VA: CNA Cooperation,. Ball, Desmond.. Assessing China s ASAT Program, Austral Special Report - S. June. Chang, Iris.. Thread of The Silkworm. New York: Basic Books. Fong, Tak-ho.. Research to Focus on Space Warfare, South China Morning Post, June. Harvey, Brian.. China s Space Program: From Conception to Manned Space Flight. New York: Springer. Johnson-Freese, Joan.. Houston, We Have a Problem: China and the Race to Space. Current History. Vol., No.. September. Kan, Shirley.. China s Anti-Satellite Weapons Test, CRS Report for Congress. April.

22 Kogan, Eugene.. China s Long March into Space, China Brief. Volume V. Issue. March. Lewis, James A.. China as a Military Space Competitor. Proceeding of Conference Hosted by Center for Strategic and International Studies(CSIS), September. Lieggi, Stephanie and Eric Quam.. China s ASAT and the Strategic Implications of Beijing s Military Space Policy, The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis. Vol., No.. Macdonald, Bruce W.. China, Space Weapons, and U.S. Security. New York: CFR. Martel, William C. and Toshi Yoshihara.. Averting a Sino-U.S. Space Race. The Washington Quarterly, Vol., No.. Autumn. Moss, Trefor.. The Asian Space Race, Jane s Defence Weekly. October. Pilsbury, Michael P.. An Assessment of China s Anti-Satellite and Space Warfare Programs, Policies and Doctrines. Report Prepared for the U.S.-China Economic and Security Commission, January. Pillsbury, Michael P.. China Debates the Future Security Environment. Washington, D.C.: NDU Press. Pollpeter, Kevin.. The Chinese Vision of Space Military Operations, James Mulvenon and David Finkelstein (eds.), China s Revolution in Doctorin Affairs: Emerging Trends in the Operational Arts of the Chinese People s Liberation Army. Alexandria, VA: CNA Cooperation. Preston, Bob.. Space Weapons: Earth Wars. Santa Monica, CA: RAND. Tkacik Jr,,John J.. Beijing s Intentions in Space, WebMemo #, Pubkished by The Heritage Foundation. April. AsiaandthePacific/wm.cfm( :.. ). Tellis, Ashley J.. China s Military Space Strategy, Survival, Vol., No.. Wang, Baocun and James Mulvenon.. China and the RMA, The Korean Journal of Defense Analysis, Vol., No.. Willson, Tom.. Threats to United States Space Capabilities. Paper for

23 Commission to Assess United National security Space management and Organization ( (.. ). Yang, George. Mechanisms of Foreign Policy-Making and Implementation in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Caroll Lee Harmin and Suisheng Zhao (eds.), Decision Making in Deng s China: Perspectives from Insiders. Armonk: M. E. Sharpe,. You, Ji.. The Armed Forces of China. London: I.B. Tauris & Co Ltd.... No..... : :... :.,.. :... :... :... :...,. People s Daily Online, January,. Aviation Week, March, Defense News, Feburary,. India Today, February,. International Herald Tribune, March,..

24 ....

5-๊น€์žฌ์ฒ 

5-๊น€์žฌ์ฒ  ) * I... 2005 11 3 * ). ..,.. ( ). (FTA), ( )...,.,....,. ) (Kim, - ). . ( )..,. (, )..,,.....,,..,.., ). ( ). ),, (Bernstein and Munro ) (Donnelly ).. ,..,...,,. %., GDP. GDP,.,,, GDP (, )... IMF GDP,

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