031-88T300紈뵌

Size: px

Start display at page:

Download "031-88T300紈뵌"

아라 양
5 years ago
Views:

1 **. (dual-track policy).,... :,,,,,,,..,,

2 .,.. (HEU) (Smith and Warrick )., P-,,... - kt. ( )....,,..,.

3 ,., %. (dual-track policy).,...,....,.,......,,.. (

4 ) ,..,,.. ( ) ( ),.. ) ( b -).

5 ,,..,.,,.,.,,.,., (Harden ), ( b).,.,. ) (Blumenthal and Kagan ). ) No crisis for North KoreaWashington Post Tuesday May. )... ( : ).

6 () ( ).,,.. : WMD,,., ( a).,,., EU (Blumenthal and Kagan )..,..,, ), ( ).

7 .,.,.,..,.., MBC, ( b)... (nuclear umbrella)(nucleare extended deterrence).,..,., (NPT)

8 (Negative Security Assurance: NSA)., SCM (, - ).,., NPT..,,.,.,. ) (nuclear weapon state) (non-nuclear weapon state). ) : We will maintain a robust defense posture backed by allied capabilities which support both nations security interests. The continuing commitment of extended deterrence including the U.S. nuclear umbrella reinforces this assurance. Joint Vision For The Alliance Of The United States Of America And The Republic Of Korea, The White House Office of the Press Secretary Washington DC June.

9 ., (the strongest possible response).. (Fetter, ),.,.,.,..,.....,,..,

10 .., (nuclear-weapon-free-world) NPT...,.... ) SCM ( ).

11 .., (MD),.,.,,. ( ).,. (,, ). ( ). (Harrison ).. ) () ( ). ) - mm ( ).

12 ,....,.,..,. ( ) ( ).,.. (Yukio Satoh), (Satoh

13 ).,. (Davis et al., )...., (Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis) (Nuclear Planning Group: NPG) (deterrence policy group) (Schoff, xiv). :,,,,. (Kurt Campbell) (Yates and Whiton )...,...

14 . NATO (Multilateral Force: MLF). MLF NATO NATO NATO. NATO, MLF. NATO NATO (nuclear centralization). MLF. MLF NATO MLF, NATO (Freedman, ). NATO MLF, NATO MLF (Catudal, - ; Kamp, ). MLF NATO (NPG).,, (Yates and Whiton ). NATO.,,, -. NATO

15 , NPG (Mey and Denison, ).. NPT I,. NPT (Dunn, - ):,,. NPT, NPT. NPT I. NATO. (dual key).. (INF) II (Ground Launched Cruise Missile: GLCM). ).. (dual national control) (dual-key control). (nuclear release system). II GLCM.

16 ,,.,, (, ).....,,

17 ...,,.,.,.,.,,.,.,.,..,. )...

18 . SS-, SS-, SS- NATO. II (GLCM),.,. II GLCM, (zero option).,. II GLCM. INF,. INF ( )..

19 . (All In).,. (grand bargain).. (zero option). (double zero option)......, ) (CFR) (KS) (AS) ( a).

20 ..,..,...,. () ( ), ( )..,, ) ( ).

21 ( )...,..... (global posture review). (Davis et al., ). ). : [ ]... ( ).

22 .,.,, (, - ). (Nuclear Strategic Planning Group: NSPG) (Yates and Whiton ). NSPG. (deterrence by denial).... (Glosserman and Cossa ).,,..,

23 .,.,...,.,...., WMD, WMD WMD,, WMD (Bernstein, ).

24 .., (Trilateral Nuclear Consultative Committee: TNCC).,,..,.,.,.,,...,....

25 ..,,.,...,..,...,.. (PSI) PSI.

26 . a.. :. Bernstein, Paul.. International Partnerships to Combat Weapons of Mass Destruction. Washington, DC: National Defense University, May. Catudal, Honoré.. Nuclear Deterrence-Does It Deter?. Atlantic Highlands, NJ: Humanities Press International, Inc. Davis, Jacquelyn et al.. Updating U.S. Deterrence Concepts and Operational Planning. Cambridge, MA: Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, February. Freedman, Lawrence.. The Evolution of Nuclear Strategy. New York, NY: St. Martin s Press. Schoff, James.. Realigning Priorities: The U.S.-Japan Alliance & the Future of Extended Deterrence. Cambridge, MA: Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, March... ().. :,... :. EAI-JPI. :.. Dunn, Lewis.. The NPT: assessing the past, building the future. Nonproliferation Review. Vol. No., July. Glosserman, Brad and Ralph Cossa.. U.S.-ROK relations: a Joint Vision--and concerns about commitment. PactNet Newletter #. Pacific Forum. August. Kamp, Karl-Heinz.. Germany and the future of nuclear weapons in Europe. Security Dialogue. September. Mey, Holger and Andrew Denison.. France s nuclear tests and Germany s nuclear interests. Comparative Strategy. Vol., No..

27 Satoh, Yukio.. Reinforcing American extended deterrence for Japan: an essential step for nuclear disarmament. Policy Forum Online. Nautilus Institute. May...., :. :. Fetter, Steve.. Limiting the role of nuclear weapons. in Harold Feiveson, ed., The Nuclear Turning Point: A Blueprint for Deep Cuts and De-Alerting of Nuclear Weapons. Washington, DC: Brookings Institution a... b b..... a... b

28 .. Blumenthal, Dan and Robert Kagan.. What to do about North Korea. Washington Post. May. Harden, Blaine.. N. Korea seen moving missile to launchpad. Washington Post. May. Harrison, Selig.. Japan to be medium-rank power. International Herald Tribune. October. Smith, R. Jeffrey and Joby Warrick.. Pakistani scientist depicts more advanced nuclear program in North Korea. Washington Post. December. Yates, Stephen and Christian Whiton.. Smarter North Korean diplomacy: talking to allies is more important than talking to Pyongyang. Wall Street Journal. August.

<BAF1BBF3B1E2C8B9BAB8283735C8A3295F317E32B4DCB6F42E717864>

<BAF1BBF3B1E2C8B9BAB8283735C8A3295F317E32B4DCB6F42E717864> 행동요령 공통행동요령 경계/공습 경보시 행동요령 화생방 경보시 행동요령 집에서 방송을 들으면서 정부의 안내에 따라 행동 경계 경보시 : 적의 공격이 예상될 때 싸이 렌으로 1분 평탄음을 울림. 대피 준비 화생방 경보시 : 적의 화생방 공격이 있거 나 예상될 때 경보방송 무작정 피난에 나서는 것은 위험하며 혼란 초래 - 어린이, 노약자는 미리 대비. 비상용품을