인구이동통계분석방안연구 김인식
목차 제1절서론 1 1. 연구배경및목적 1 2. 이론적고찰 2 3. 연구내용및방법 10 제 2 절인구이동의요인분석 12 1. 전국총이동규모의변동요인 12 2. 지역별인구이동요인분석 22 제 3 절결론 39 1. 요약 39 2. 연구의한계 42 < 부록 > 45
표목차 < 표 1> 지난 21년동안의전국연간총이동과주요관련지표현황 13 < 표 2> 지난 21년간전국총이동규모동향통계 14 < 표 3> 회귀분석결과모형요약 15 < 표 4> 20~40대연령별인구총이동과연령별주요통계지표동향 17 < 표 5> 회귀분석결과모형요약 (b) 18 < 표 6> 회귀분석결과모형요약 (b) 19 < 표 7> 학령인구 5세별총이동및이동률동향 20 < 표 8> 학령인구 5세별집단간평균비교결과 21 < 표 9> 2007년시군구의학령인구 5세별순유 출입지수최대및최소지역현황 31 < 표 10> 최근 10년간 3대도시구별학령인구및 20대평균전입률상위현황 32 < 표 11> 다중회귀분석결과 35 < 표 12> 다중회귀분석결과 37 < 표 13> 주요인구유입지역및유출지역의주택건설현황 38 < 표 14> 1990년이후주요신도시건설현황 38 < 부표 1> 시도별순유 출입지수동향 (1997=100) 45 < 부표 2> 시군구의순유 출입지수동향 (1997=100) 45
그림목차 [ 그림 1] 최근 21년간전국총이동과관련지표증감률동향 14 [ 그림 2] 20대총이동과혼인자수관계 18 [ 그림 3] 30~40대총이동과취업자수관계 19 [ 그림 4] 2007년연령별총이동자수현황 21 [ 그림 5] 2007년시도별순유 출입지수 (1997=100) 현황 24 [ 그림 6] 2007년시도별 5~9세연령순유 출입지수현황 27 [ 그림 7] 2007년대구의연령별전출입자현황 27 [ 그림 8] 2007년시도별 10~14 세순유 출입지수현황 28 [ 그림 9] 2007년광주의연령별전출입자현황 29 [ 그림 10] 2007년시도별 15~19세순유 출입지수현황 30 [ 그림 11] 2007년경기의연령별전출입자현황 30 [ 그림 12] 2007년시도별 20~29세순유 출입지수현황 33 [ 그림 13] 2007년서울의연령별전출입자현황 33 [ 그림 14] 2007년울산의연령별전출입자현황 34
인구이동통계분석방안연구 1 인구이동통계분석방안연구 1. 연구배경및목적 제 1 절서론 1)
2 인구이동통계분석방안연구 2. 이론적고찰 가. 인구이동
인구이동통계분석방안연구 3 나. 인구이동요인 ( 왜이동하는가?)
4 인구이동통계분석방안연구 다. 인구이동원인분석모형 1) 전통적비용 - 편익분석모형 (Cost-Benefit Analysis Model) 2) 가족인구이동결정모형 (J.Mincer, 1978)
인구이동통계분석방안연구 5 3) 거시모형 (Multiple Regression Model)
6 인구이동통계분석방안연구 라. 우리나라의인구이동특성 마. 국내의선행연구자료
인구이동통계분석방안연구 7
8 인구이동통계분석방안연구 2) 1997 26
인구이동통계분석방안연구 9 바. 외국의선행연구자료
10 인구이동통계분석방안연구 3. 연구내용및방법
인구이동통계분석방안연구 11 3) ( 2007) (case)
12 인구이동통계분석방안연구 제 2 절인구이동의요인분석 1. 전국총이동규모의변동요인 가. 전국총이동규모동향 4) 1992 2007 16
인구이동통계분석방안연구 13 < 표 1> 지난 21 년동안의전국연간총이동과주요관련지표현황 GDP ( :, %) 86 8,660,428 21.0 9.3 9.8 26.8 7.3 10.6 9 3.6 3.8 87 9,308,750 22.4 7.1 19.4-15.2 14.6 11.1 10.1 5.5 3.1 88 9,969,020 23.7 13.2 13.2 29.6 27.4 10.6 10.3 3.1 2.5 89 9,316,219 21.9 14.6 17.5 46.0 31.9 6.7 7.5 4.1 2.6 90 9,459,209 22.1 21.0 16.8 62.2 20.5 9.2 7.8 3.0 2.4 91 8,980,841 20.7-0.5 1.9-18.2 12.7 9.4 8.6 3.1 2.4 92 9,031,576 20.3-5.0 7.5-6.1-1.2 5.9 7.1 1.9 2.5 93 8,807,058 19.6-2.9 2.4 20.8-7.3 6.1 6.8 1.2 2.9 94 8,791,714 19.4-0.1 4.6-10.4-0.5 8.5 7.7 3.2 2.5 95 9,073,069 19.8-0.2 3.6-0.6 0.5 9.2 8.1 2.9 2.1 96 8,854,973 19.1 1.5 6.5-4.3 0.9 7.0 6.2 2.2 2.0 97 8,819,909 18.9 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.3 4.7 5.1 1.7 2.6 98 8,156,318 17.4-12.4-18.4-48.7-13.6-6.9-3.9-6.0 7.0 99 9,435,347 19.9 3.4 16.8 32.2 2.9 9.5 6.6 1.8 6.3 2000 9,009,441 18.9 0.4 11.1 7.1 0.6 8.5 6.1 4.3 4.1 2001 9,289,949 19.3 9.9 16.4 22.2 1.3 3.8 4.8 2.0 3.8 2002 9,584,461 19.9 16.4 10.1 25.8 8.9 7.0 7.8 2.8 3.1 2003 9,516,605 19.7 5.7-1.4-12.2 3.4 3.1 1.6-0.1 3.4 2004 8,567,795 17.6-2.1-5.0-20.8 3.8 4.7 1.9 1.9 3.5 2005 8,795,397 18.0 4.0 3.0 0.0 4.9 4.2 3.4 1.3 3.5 2006 9,342,074 19.1 11.6 6.5 1.3 5.6 5 4.2 1.3 3.3 2007 9,070,102 18.4 3.1 2.6 18.4 3.9 4.9 4.8 1.2 3.0 * : KOSIS(www.kosis.kr)
14 인구이동통계분석방안연구 < 표 2> 지난 21 년간전국총이동규모동향통계 N 21 8,156,318 9,969,020 9,103,801 400,266 16 17.4 23.7 19.9 0.8 (%) 40 30 20 10 0-10 -20 전국지가증감률주택매매가증감률총이동 87 89 91 95 98 2000 2003 2006 2007 ( 명 ) 10,500,000 10,000,000 9,500,000 9,000,000 8,500,000 8,000,000 [ 그림 1] 최근 21 년간전국총이동과관련지표증감률동향 나. 전국총이동규모변동요인분석
인구이동통계분석방안연구 15 < 표 3> 회귀분석결과모형요약 모형 1 ( 상수 ) 주택매매가증감 a. 종속변수 : 총이동 계수 a 표준화계 비표준화계수 수 B 표준오차 베타 t 유의확률 8927510.3 60430.624 147.732.000 40817.107 6821.029.808 5.984.000 모형요약 b 모형 R R 제곱 수정된 R 제곱 추정값의표준오차 Durbin- Watson 1.808 a.653.635 241791.05 2.061 a. 예측값 : ( 상수 ), 주택매매가증감 b. 종속변수 : 총이동
16 인구이동통계분석방안연구 다. 전국연령대별총이동요인분석 1) 연령별총이동규모의변동과주요관련지표현황
인구이동통계분석방안연구 17 < 표 4> 20~40 대연령별인구총이동과연령별주요통계지표동향 20 20 ( ) 20 30-40 ( :, ) 30-40 ( ) 1995 2,522,209 5,022 594,247 2,937,255 10,510 1996 2,451,640 5,021 643,002 2,898,099 10,857 1997 2,382,164 4,964 568,056 2,948,911 11,109 1998 2,099,960 4,401 529,988 2,800,620 10,662 2000 2,151,576 4,490 439,471 3,244,957 11,414 2001 2,187,354 4,457 401,244 3,323,834 11,728 2002 2,324,773 4,,486 369,631 3,346,288 12,068 2003 2,157,367 4,334 348,982 3,524,196 12,217 2004 1,964,469 4,320 329,780 3,208,405 12,387 2005 1,986,544 4,207 320,517 3,333,883 12,427 2006 2,059,687 4,061 338,922 3,562,800 12,543 2007 1,978,000 3,992 344,826 3,434,000 12,519 * : KOSIS(www.kosis.kr) * 1995 2) 혼인및취업목적이동과관련성이높은 20 대인구이동
18 인구이동통계분석방안연구 < 표 5> 회귀분석결과모형요약 (b) R R R 1.918(a).843.827 79214.6 a b : ( ), 20 : 20 B t ( ) 20-35454.497 304831.068.918 -.116 7.371.910.000 ( 명 ) 3,000,000 2,500,000 2,000,000 1,500,000 1,000,000 500,000-20 대총이동자수와혼인자수관계 20 대총이동 20 대혼인건수 1995 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 - [ 그림 2] 20 대총이동과혼인자수관계 3) 취업목적이동과관련성이높은 30~40 대인구이동
인구이동통계분석방안연구 19 < 표 6> 회귀분석결과모형요약 (b) R R R a 1.898(a).806.787 118838 : ( ), B t ( ) 30~40 26672.302 959.9.047.898 -.594 6.450.566.000 b : ( 명 ) 4,000,000 3,000,000 2,000,000 1,000,000-30~40 대총이동자수와취업자수관계 30-40 대이동자 30-40 대취업자 1995 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 13,000,000 12,000,000 11,000,000 10,000,000 9,000,000 [ 그림 3] 30~40 대총이동과취업자수관계 4) 교육목적의이동과관련성이높은학령인구 (5세별 ) 의인구이동
20 인구이동통계분석방안연구 < 표 7> 학령인구 5 세별총이동및이동률동향 5~9 10~14 15~19 * * * * 1998 8,156,318 17.4 671,316 19.6 462,943 14.5 494,068 12.1 1999 9,435,347 19.9 762,841 21.7 512,459 16.2 545,843 13.9 2000 9,009,441 18.9 742,124 20.7 512,280 16.3 525,891 14.1 2001 9,289,949 19.3 737,939 20.7 539,650 16.7 552,188 15.7 2002 9,584,461 19.9 713,070 20.3 559,077 16.8 562,382 17.0 2003 9,516,605 19.7 731,131 21.3 583,248 17.1 505,416 15.9 2004 8,567,795 17.6 626,738 18.8 522,482 14.9 447,308 14.2 2005 8,795,397 18.0 613,104 18.8 523,625 14.7 440,970 14.1 2006 9,342,074 19.1 619,971 19.8 557,515 15.7 468,347 14.6 2007 9,070,102 18.4 560,413 19.0 543,745 15.6 476,548 14.4 * (/ *100) ( / *10)0
인구이동통계분석방안연구 21 < 표 8> 학령인구 5세별집단간평균비교결과 일표본검정검정값 = 0 총이동률 5~9 세 10~14 세 15~19 세 유의확률 차이의 95% 신뢰구간 t 자유도 ( 양쪽 ) 평균차 하한 상한 64.817 9.000 18.88000 18.2211 19.5389 61.194 9.000 20.07000 19.3281 20.8119 54.383 9.000 15.85000 15.1907 16.5093 34.519 9.000 14.60000 13.6432 15.5568 2007 년연령별총이동현황 1,400,000 1,200,000 1,000,000 800,000 600,000 400,000 200,000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60~ [ 그림 4] 2007 년연령별총이동자수현황
22 인구이동통계분석방안연구 2. 지역별인구이동요인분석 가. 지역별연령별지표로본인구이동요인분석 1) 분석모형설정
인구이동통계분석방안연구 23
24 인구이동통계분석방안연구 2) 시도별인구이동의유형 2007 년시도별순유출입지수 (1997=100) 120 100 80 서울부산대구인천광주대전울산강원경기충북충남전북전남경북경남제주 계열 1 92.8 89.8 94.8 102.6 98.7 104.4 100.4 94.8 122.2 98.2 101.9 89.9 87.6 93.4 100.2 98.7 [ 그림 5] 2007 년시도별순유 출입지수 (1997=100) 현황 가 ) 인구유입지역
인구이동통계분석방안연구 25 나 ) 인구유출지역
26 인구이동통계분석방안연구 다 ) 인구정체지역 3) 교육목적이동과관련성이높은학령인구의시 도간인구이동 가 ) 초기학령인구 (5~9세) 의인구이동
인구이동통계분석방안연구 27 130 120 110 100 90 80 전체순이동과학령인구 (5~9 세 ) 순이동동향서울부산대구인천광주대전울산강원경기충북충남전북전남경북경남제주전체순유출입지수 5~9 세학령인구 [ 그림 6] 2007 년시도별 5~9 세연령순유 출입지수현황 2007 년대구의연령별전입전출현황 60,000 50,000 전입자수전출자수 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60~ [ 그림 7] 2007 년대구의연령별전출입자현황
28 인구이동통계분석방안연구 나 ) 초중학령인구 (10~14세) 인구이동 130 120 110 100 90 80 전체순이동과학령인구 (10~14 세 ) 순이동동향 서울부산대구인천광주대전울산강원경기충북충남전북전남경북경남제주전체순유출입지수 10~14 세학령인구 [ 그림 8] 2007 년시도별 10~14 세순유 출입지수현황
인구이동통계분석방안연구 29 2007 년광주의연령별전입전출현황 50,000 40,000 전입자수전출자수 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60~ [ 그림 9] 2007 년광주의연령별전출입자현황 다 ) 입시준비및대학입학학령인구 (15~19세) 의인구이동
30 인구이동통계분석방안연구 130 120 110 100 90 80 전체순이동과학령인구 (15~19 세 ) 순이동동향서울부산대구인천광주대전울산강원경기충북충남전북전남경북경남제주전체순유출입지수 15~19 세학령인구 [ 그림 10] 2007 년시도별 15~19 세순유 출입지수현황 2007 년경기의연령별전입전출현황 400,000 전입자수전출자수 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60~ [ 그림 11] 2007 년경기의연령별전출입자현황 라 ) 학령인구의시군구지역인구이동
인구이동통계분석방안연구 31 < 표 9> 2007 년시군구의학령인구 5 세별순유 출입지수최대및최소지역현황 5~9 10~14 15~19 220.0 57.3 187.6 48.3 211.7 69.7 208.2 61.0 170.5 61.0 184.1 72.6 167.4 61.1 154.1 64.6 160.0 75.5 163.8 62.3 145.5 66.1 154.1 76.2 154.2 62.6 138.5 66.2 153.7 77.2 151.6 64.7 131.8 66.7 150.6 77.4 150.4 66.2 129.4 68.5 150.5 79.3 146.6 68.7 128.9 69.1 147.0 79.6 145.8 69.1 128.3 69.7 146.0 80.7 138.4 69.5 123.5 70.1 143.7 80.8 135.6 69.8 122.2 70.5 136.6 80.8 134.3 69.9 122.0 73.1 135.6 81.4 132.4 71.0 121.5 74.4 135.3 81.5 128.5 71.1 121.0 74.8 135.2 81.6
32 인구이동통계분석방안연구 < 표 10> 최근 10 년간 3 대도시구별학령인구및 20 대평균전입률 5) 상위현황 1 2 3 (24.9) (24.4) (23.2) 5~9 (21.7) (21.7) (21.0) (24.8) (23.2) (21.5) (26.6) (23.0) (22.1) 10~14 (18.5) (17.0) (16.6) (20.7) (20.3) (17.2) (21.4) (21.1) (21.0) 15~19 (14.8) (14.7) (14.2) (18.2) (17.1) (16.4) (30.1) (27.6) (27.6) 20~24 (16.5) (16.3) (16.3) (23.0) (21.4) (18.6) (36.0) (35.2) (34.1) 25~29 (27.6) (27.2) (25.1) (30.9) (30.6) (28.8) 4) 취업목적의이동과관련성이높은 20 대의시 도간인구이동 5) = ( /)*100
인구이동통계분석방안연구 33 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 전체순이동과 20대성인인구순이동동향서울부산대구인천광주대전울산강원경기충북충남전북전남경북경남제주전체순유출입지수 20~29 세성인인구 [ 그림 12] 2007 년시도별 20~29 세순유 출입지수현황 2007 년서울의연령별전입전출현황 350,000 300,000 전입자수전출자수 250,000 200,000 150,000 100,000 50,000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60~ [ 그림 13] 2007 년서울의연령별전출입자현황
34 인구이동통계분석방안연구 2007 년울산의연령별전입전출현황 30,000 25,000 전입자수전출자수 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0-4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60~ [ 그림 14] 2007 년울산의연령별전출입자현황 나. 경제적요인에의한지역별인구이동분석 1) 분석모형설정
인구이동통계분석방안연구 35 ( 1 GRDP/ )*100 %, ( /15 )*100 2) 분석결과 < 표 11> 다중회귀분석결과 constant GRD EMR TSP EMR R R F D/W - - - - - - - - - 236192.8 - - -199.0* -.295.346 6.866 1.265 2559699 - - - -42267*.270.214 0.487 2.926 28342.9-418.4** - -.439.479 11.9 1.411 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 31371.3 - - 299.9** - 2.171 - - - - - - - -31890.5 - - 891.9** -.571.538 1.573 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 483585 - - - -5422.4*.355.306 1.160 897494-440.0** -533.8** -11918*.808.849 1.899 59781.3-813.3** -328.1* - -.599.656 1.888 ) * 0.05, ** 0.01 D/W
36 인구이동통계분석방안연구 다. 주택건설요인에의한지역별인구이동분석 1) 분석모형설정 % 나 ) 분석결과
인구이동통계분석방안연구 37 < 표 12> 다중회귀분석결과 constant HCN LPR R R D/W 652589-5186.8**.42.44 1.284 217172.7-2497.7**.55.58.736 - - - - - - 161075.9 0.585* -.12.15.998 - - - - - - - - - - - 541441.2 1.536** -.49.51 100943.3-0.908** - 1.296 - - - - - 123743.8-1164.2**.25.28.914 97202.8-0.734** -.22.25 125693.0-942.3**.28.31 152855.8-1482.4.28.30.692 178309.5-1282.4*.15.19.451 17937.9.461* -.17.20.946 ) * 0.05, ** 0.01 D/W 3) 시군구지역의주택건설실적과순유 출입지수비교
38 인구이동통계분석방안연구 < 표 13> 주요인구유입지역및유출지역의주택건설현황 1998~2006 2007 1998~2006 2007 * 143,476 250.3 2,124 71.6 * 92,816 200.3 973 79.4 26,134 5,575 82.2 * 31,990 183 80.6 * 25,806 1,612 78.8 * 21,595-77.3 * 65,122 4,859 77.5 * 94,002-77.3 23,839 1,027 77.3 29,817 1,311 78.2 * 47,479 3,849 81.4 ( ) 602,076 21,513 78.3 *, : < 표 14> 1990 년이후주요신도시건설현황 ( :, 1997 =100) ( ) 97.6 69.0 42.0 42.0 41.4 ( ) 390 276 168 168 166 89 96 90 95 89 95 89 95 90 96 91. 9 92. 8 92. 3 92. 4 93. 2 * :
인구이동통계분석방안연구 39 제 3 절결론 1. 요약 가. 전국수준의인구이동요인
40 인구이동통계분석방안연구 나. 지역수준의인구이동요인
인구이동통계분석방안연구 41
42 인구이동통계분석방안연구 2. 연구의한계
인구이동통계분석방안연구 43
44 인구이동통계분석방안연구 참고문헌 (2007), (2006), (1998), (2007), 15 (2007), (2008), (2004), : (1990), (1993), : (2002), (2002), (1999), (2003), :,, (2001), : (1998), Todaro M, A model of Laboring Migration and Urban Unemployment in less development Countries Kitching R(1990), Migration behavior among the unemployed and low skilled
인구이동통계분석방안연구 45 < 부록 > < 부표 1> 시도별순유 출입지수동향 (1997=100) 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 98.7 97.9 97.5 96.4 95.3 94.7 94.2 93.7 93.4 92.8 98.9 98.1 96.9 95.9 94.6 93.5 92.6 91.7 90.8 89.8 99.5 99.2 99.1 98.5 98.2 98.0 97.5 96.5 95.5 94.8 100.9 100.9 101.5 101.5 101.5 100.9 100.8 101.3 101.6 102.6 100.2 100.4 100.4 100.4 100.7 100.0 99.8 99.2 99.0 98.7 100.9 101.6 102.3 102.8 103.5 103.9 104.1 104.3 104.5 104.4 99.4 99.3 99.6 100.2 100.4 100.6 100.8 100.8 100.5 100.4 101.4 103.5 105.7 108.6 112.3 115.0 117.2 119.2 120.8 122.2 100.6 100.3 99.6 99.1 98.0 97.1 96.6 95.8 95.2 94.8 100.4 100.3 100.0 99.4 98.8 98.4 98.0 97.7 97.8 98.2 100.5 100.3 99.9 99.3 98.6 98.7 100.6 100.8 101.2 101.9 99.9 99.4 98.3 98.2 95.4 95.2 92.7 91.4 90.5 89.9 100.1 98.9 97.4 95.7 93.6 91.9 90.4 89.5 88.3 87.6 100.0 99.5 98.6 97.9 96.8 95.4 94.5 94.1 93.9 93.4 100.3 100.0 99.7 99.5 99.8 99.9 99.7 99.9 99.9 100.2 100.5 100.5 100.1 100.0 100.0 99.8 99.8 99.6 99.2 98.7 < 부표 2> 시군구의순유 출입지수동향 (1997=100) 1. 인구유입시군구지역 (60개) 의순유 출입지수 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 104.5 116.0 126.0 144.4 167.7 182.9 203.1 219.2 241.5 250.3 100.6 102.6 106.4 116.4 125.1 129.7 148.8 161.6 167.6 200.3 103.4 110.8 123.8 134.4 154.0 167.4 179.3 186.1 191.9 196.8 100.8 110.2 136.2 145.2 145.1 146.3 148.7 158.0 164.4 174.4 99.8 105.5 113.3 130.5 136.9 141.2 144.9 152.0 160.2 169.1 109.0 117.9 125.1 130.0 135.5 138.9 143.4 154.1 160.6 167.2 100.5 101.6 106.7 124.7 130.0 131.0 135.3 143.4 160.3 165.5 102.5 103.5 105.1 113.5 123.4 127.0 132.4 143.2 157.3 160.5 112.9 128.2 137.3 144.2 149.9 155.0 158.2 160.8 160.3 158.6 102.3 117.7 128.4 141.4 151.0 158.4 161.3 159.8 159.6 157.2 104.0 104.8 109.3 111.5 122.6 127.2 132.8 136.9 139.3 141.6 102.6 106.4 110.1 111.8 113.2 116.6 127.8 129.3 131.1 132.1
46 인구이동통계분석방안연구 106.1 110.7 114.7 115.9 118.7 123.7 124.1 124.9 127.1 129.7 104.2 105.2 104.8 105.0 105.8 107.4 111.5 117.4 124.3 128.0 101.4 104.2 108.4 111.4 113.7 115.6 116.7 120.9 122.5 124.6 100.4 100.2 100.4 100.3 101.2 107.2 113.1 118.5 119.5 124.5 102.8 104.0 104.7 107.6 111.6 115.4 118.0 121.4 122.1 122.5 105.7 111.3 114.5 116.6 121.2 121.8 120.9 121.4 123.2 121.8 103.4 105.5 107.8 108.9 111.8 115.2 117.5 119.5 119.7 121.0 103.3 105.7 106.2 107.0 106.8 105.5 109.8 115.1 115.4 119.3 101.2 101.3 101.9 102.5 104.7 105.3 109.1 110.4 113.8 118.3 99.0 98.1 100.0 103.1 109.1 112.4 114.1 115.3 118.0 117.9 101.7 108.4 115.5 119.5 123.1 122.8 122.7 120.2 118.4 116.5 99.5 100.3 100.6 98.6 97.0 98.9 104.9 109.2 113.0 116.5 99.7 96.4 94.8 97.6 103.6 112.4 118.2 120.8 119.8 116.1 100.6 101.6 104.4 107.1 110.7 112.5 112.8 113.8 113.9 115.7 102.2 102.7 102.4 103.7 104.6 106.1 107.6 109.9 112.4 115.2 100.3 100.3 110.2 110.1 110.3 109.4 109.3 109.8 112.9 114.5 103.6 106.4 107.5 110.0 109.9 110.9 110.5 109.9 111.1 114.5 100.9 100.0 100.6 100.5 99.3 97.9 96.2 96.1 109.6 114.3 99.1 98.0 97.6 97.4 101.6 107.6 107.5 110.9 113.1 113.4 98.9 99.7 100.5 109.0 113.5 112.9 112.3 111.1 111.1 112.1 101.6 102.8 103.8 104.8 105.5 106.6 107.7 108.6 110.3 111.5 103.5 105.0 104.5 104.6 105.3 103.7 104.8 108.3 111.3 111.4 100.3 100.1 103.3 105.1 112.4 120.4 121.5 121.1 113.7 110.1 99.1 101.1 101.4 101.8 106.5 108.5 111.1 111.5 111.6 109.4 100.9 101.5 100.2 101.1 101.9 102.6 104.7 106.4 109.0 109.4 99.5 100.3 101.2 101.3 101.9 103.3 104.6 105.8 106.9 108.9 100.0 101.8 108.8 109.2 108.2 109.1 107.4 108.4 107.8 108.5 99.3 99.8 99.9 99.8 99.3 100.6 101.6 104.9 107.8 108.5 101.5 102.6 103.5 104.7 106.0 107.4 108.3 108.8 107.3 107.6 106.4 108.3 111.1 112.4 112.8 112.0 111.0 109.3 107.5 107.2 100.5 101.0 101.0 100.7 104.6 102.7 102.5 105.8 106.9 107.0 105.1 105.8 105.3 104.4 102.6 103.0 102.7 102.7 106.0 106.8 100.8 101.1 101.4 102.5 103.6 103.6 104.2 106.1 106.9 106.5 99.8 98.7 96.7 94.7 93.0 91.5 92.2 94.4 97.8 106.4 102.9 103.7 106.2 106.6 107.1 105.8 106.1 107.5 107.4 106.2 100.1 99.1 99.1 101.3 101.6 103.0 105.7 106.1 105.0 105.1 101.4 103.1 103.6 104.7 105.1 105.1 104.4 104.5 105.0 104.8 103.1 104.0 104.1 105.2 106.9 107.2 108.2 107.7 106.2 104.6
인구이동통계분석방안연구 47 98.2 97.3 96.3 96.1 99.0 99.5 100.3 102.2 103.4 104.5 99.2 102.0 101.2 102.0 104.7 106.3 107.9 108.2 106.0 103.8 101.0 102.1 102.6 102.1 102.3 102.5 102.6 102.5 102.8 103.2 100.3 100.0 101.6 102.3 101.6 101.1 100.8 100.8 101.4 103.0 100.3 103.2 104.2 106.4 105.2 104.4 104.7 103.7 103.6 102.7 97.9 96.6 95.5 95.5 99.3 102.2 103.0 102.3 102.2 101.9 99.0 98.8 98.1 97.5 98.3 99.6 99.9 101.7 101.4 101.6 100.1 99.4 100.8 99.9 98.3 95.1 92.6 90.9 93.0 101.2 101.8 101.4 100.9 99.7 98.5 97.5 96.6 100.0 101.6 100.1 102.7 103.4 103.6 103.4 103.1 102.1 100.5 99.4 100.9 100.0 2. 인구유출시군구지역 (172 개 ) 의순유 출입지수 99.6 99.6 99.2 98.9 98.3 97.5 97.4 97.4 97.7 99.1 99.2 97.9 98.5 97.5 97.1 97.3 98.6 99.2 99.2 99.0 100.9 101.9 102.5 101.9 101.7 100.2 100.3 99.6 99.7 98.9 99.2 99.7 101.3 103.1 103.5 102.9 102.3 101.6 100.5 98.7 100.8 103.9 105.5 107.0 105.5 103.3 102.1 100.6 99.4 98.6 99.6 99.6 98.4 96.3 95.1 93.9 94.1 95.6 98.3 98.6 96.3 98.9 109.8 110.7 106.5 103.4 101.2 99.5 99.6 98.5 98.7 98.0 97.0 96.9 95.6 95.1 95.5 96.3 96.8 98.5 99.3 99.3 99.1 98.0 97.0 96.2 95.7 95.9 96.7 98.3 98.4 96.9 95.7 96.8 96.7 97.8 99.9 100.0 99.1 98.3 99.8 98.9 100.3 100.1 98.7 98.7 99.2 98.7 98.4 98.2 100.1 98.6 97.0 97.8 96.4 95.3 93.4 92.5 95.7 97.7 99.4 98.6 101.1 101.0 99.6 100.4 99.2 99.0 97.3 97.5 100.1 100.3 99.4 100.1 101.2 101.6 103.5 103.1 101.1 97.5 99.9 99.2 97.8 97.2 95.5 97.5 96.0 95.7 95.8 97.1 100.0 99.8 99.9 99.8 99.1 98.2 97.8 97.7 96.9 96.6 101.7 98.9 96.9 94.2 91.1 87.6 87.2 90.5 97.4 96.3 98.9 98.4 96.9 95.5 94.1 95.2 96.2 96.1 97.3 96.3 99.0 98.1 97.5 97.7 98.0 99.7 100.6 100.7 98.1 96.1 101.2 102.7 103.3 103.0 102.2 100.8 99.4 98.3 96.9 95.8 102.1 101.6 100.1 99.3 98.4 96.8 97.0 96.7 96.1 95.7 98.4 102.7 102.2 101.6 100.8 99.7 99.1 98.1 96.4 95.3 100.1 98.9 99.2 99.0 96.0 94.9 93.8 93.7 94.1 95.1 101.3 102.0 101.8 100.9 99.7 99.3 98.3 96.9 95.7 94.6 99.5 99.1 98.8 98.1 97.2 96.5 95.8 95.4 94.7 94.3 98.2 97.5 97.1 94.3 92.7 93.3 93.8 94.6 94.6 94.3 101.8 100.4 99.0 97.5 96.3 97.3 97.1 97.1 95.0 94.2 99.7 98.6 96.4 99.4 96.8 95.5 94.1 95.4 94.8 94.2 101.4 101.2 100.0 99.1 99.2 100.4 100.2 95.3 93.9 93.9 99.9 98.1 94.8 92.2 90.4 92.1 91.3 93.4 95.0 93.9 97.2 95.6 95.4 95.1 95.4 94.6 94.7 94.3 93.6 93.7 101.9 101.0 99.8 99.0 97.7 97.4 97.4 96.5 94.7 93.3
48 인구이동통계분석방안연구 100.6 99.3 97.6 96.8 96.3 94.6 94.7 93.6 92.5 93.0 99.2 105.5 107.4 106.0 104.7 103.5 101.7 99.4 95.8 93.0 102.7 102.0 101.9 103.2 90.1 100.9 92.4 85.8 84.4 93.0 101.4 101.8 101.3 100.3 98.7 96.5 95.0 93.9 93.5 93.0 103.2 103.0 101.4 99.8 100.1 97.6 96.0 95.4 94.5 93.0 100.1 99.5 98.9 97.8 97.4 96.3 96.0 95.4 94.2 93.0 98.1 97.5 97.4 98.0 99.4 99.3 98.6 95.8 94.5 93.0 99.5 98.2 96.2 94.9 93.7 93.1 92.7 92.5 92.5 93.0 101.1 100.5 99.4 99.0 98.7 97.6 96.8 95.9 94.8 92.9 99.0 97.8 96.2 95.2 93.9 95.7 96.7 96.1 94.0 92.9 98.5 96.1 95.7 96.3 96.9 97.4 96.2 95.2 93.6 92.8 100.2 100.0 98.9 97.7 96.7 95.6 95.2 94.8 94.0 92.8 99.0 98.3 97.8 97.0 96.8 95.0 95.0 94.7 93.9 92.8 97.5 95.1 95.3 95.0 93.4 92.9 93.7 93.1 93.4 92.7 103.1 104.9 104.8 104.9 103.3 99.9 98.1 96.0 94.5 92.6 96.8 93.5 96.2 96.0 95.6 95.6 94.4 94.6 93.6 92.6 100.9 100.5 99.1 98.0 96.6 94.2 92.7 91.3 92.1 92.5 100.4 99.6 96.7 96.8 96.6 95.0 94.1 94.0 92.9 92.4 100.0 99.3 98.1 97.3 95.2 93.7 94.5 93.0 92.0 92.1 99.4 97.7 95.8 93.7 92.3 93.0 92.5 89.7 91.8 91.9 99.1 98.9 98.0 96.2 94.4 91.7 90.6 89.3 90.2 91.7 99.6 100.1 98.8 99.2 96.5 99.0 94.7 93.6 92.3 91.7 97.6 95.3 93.4 92.9 92.5 93.4 94.4 93.9 92.5 91.7 98.0 97.0 96.1 95.0 92.7 93.0 91.8 90.2 90.5 91.6 98.9 97.1 95.2 96.6 91.3 93.7 89.1 86.8 86.8 91.4 99.0 98.4 96.6 94.7 92.9 90.6 89.7 89.3 90.8 91.3 98.8 97.1 95.7 94.9 94.3 92.6 92.2 92.2 91.2 91.2 100.1 99.5 98.3 96.9 95.1 93.7 92.8 91.9 91.1 91.0 99.3 96.9 94.1 91.7 89.4 87.7 86.4 85.0 83.9 91.0 100.0 98.6 96.9 95.3 93.7 92.9 92.1 91.3 90.5 90.7 100.0 98.6 97.9 96.6 94.2 91.4 91.2 91.5 91.5 90.6 99.6 97.9 95.9 94.7 94.3 94.6 92.6 92.2 91.0 90.5 99.3 99.0 97.6 95.9 92.2 89.4 88.0 87.4 87.6 90.4 99.6 99.0 97.9 96.7 95.4 94.1 92.9 91.8 91.1 90.4 99.2 98.3 97.5 97.0 95.0 92.6 90.9 89.6 90.3 90.2 98.7 99.5 99.0 98.7 95.7 94.3 92.8 91.5 90.8 90.0 99.7 98.0 96.0 94.1 92.1 95.4 92.2 91.9 90.6 89.9 97.6 94.7 94.0 93.3 95.8 95.3 94.9 92.7 91.2 89.8 100.4 100.0 99.0 98.4 96.5 94.6 93.4 91.9 90.6 89.8 99.5 99.2 98.5 96.2 94.9 93.2 91.9 91.3 90.0 89.7 99.5 99.0 96.8 95.7 98.7 93.5 92.3 91.4 90.6 89.7 98.5 96.4 93.9 91.9 89.7 94.1 91.4 92.5 88.5 89.6 98.5 96.1 93.3 91.8 88.1 86.5 88.0 88.9 90.6 89.6 99.0 98.5 97.6 96.1 94.0 92.8 90.8 90.8 89.5 89.5 97.3 95.2 93.8 91.6 89.9 89.6 91.2 90.1 89.4 89.3 99.9 99.4 98.7 98.0 96.9 95.6 94.3 92.5 90.5 89.3 99.2 96.4 94.8 92.1 89.5 89.4 88.3 86.5 86.7 89.2
인구이동통계분석방안연구 49 98.6 98.4 98.7 96.7 94.6 93.5 91.9 90.1 89.1 89.2 99.4 98.6 97.1 96.0 94.6 92.9 92.0 90.6 89.3 88.7 99.9 98.7 96.4 94.1 92.0 90.6 91.2 91.8 90.4 88.7 99.5 103.6 95.6 99.4 91.9 88.6 87.3 86.6 85.5 88.7 99.6 99.7 98.3 96.9 95.6 93.6 93.8 92.5 90.7 88.4 96.7 96.6 94.6 95.6 96.2 94.9 93.2 91.2 89.7 88.4 99.1 97.9 96.7 95.1 93.3 92.3 91.7 90.8 89.2 88.3 97.3 95.1 93.6 92.7 92.7 93.3 93.4 91.6 89.9 88.3 99.5 98.2 96.5 94.5 93.1 91.9 90.7 89.4 88.6 88.3 99.3 98.2 96.6 95.8 93.8 92.3 90.7 89.7 88.7 88.2 98.6 96.6 94.2 91.3 88.7 88.0 87.7 87.6 87.8 88.2 98.6 97.6 96.2 95.0 93.4 91.0 89.7 90.6 89.2 88.1 98.8 97.1 95.5 94.2 94.0 93.0 92.0 91.1 91.0 88.1 101.1 100.4 98.3 96.8 94.9 92.8 90.7 89.0 87.3 88.0 99.2 98.1 96.4 95.2 93.4 91.7 90.2 89.0 88.0 87.6 98.8 96.5 95.5 93.9 92.8 91.9 90.3 88.6 87.8 87.6 97.6 95.3 93.8 90.8 89.5 90.8 90.4 89.7 88.6 87.4 100.0 98.5 96.4 94.4 92.1 89.6 88.3 87.7 87.3 87.4 96.4 93.9 87.5 91.4 85.7 86.3 87.5 83.1 78.2 87.1 100.1 98.3 96.0 93.9 91.9 89.8 88.6 88.2 87.8 87.0 98.8 100.4 103.4 108.5 101.9 96.9 94.5 91.6 89.0 86.8 100.6 99.2 94.3 92.6 92.3 92.0 88.4 87.5 87.0 86.6 98.4 97.2 95.8 94.0 92.2 87.7 85.1 84.9 84.6 86.6 100.5 99.0 96.9 95.3 92.4 89.8 88.1 87.0 86.0 86.3 98.9 96.6 94.7 93.0 91.0 88.9 87.5 86.2 85.3 85.8 99.4 97.9 96.2 93.9 91.3 90.6 88.7 87.6 86.4 85.6 99.7 97.5 95.7 92.8 92.6 92.3 91.1 89.6 87.8 85.5 98.7 99.8 100.7 99.7 97.1 94.7 92.3 90.4 87.9 85.5 100.0 97.3 94.5 91.8 89.4 91.8 86.9 85.4 86.3 85.4 99.7 97.8 95.2 93.0 99.2 89.6 88.3 87.2 90.4 85.2 99.3 97.7 95.5 94.5 92.4 90.1 87.4 86.6 85.8 85.1 102.4 101.3 99.6 97.1 93.3 91.3 89.5 88.2 86.6 85.0 98.6 96.2 93.9 91.9 89.9 88.3 86.8 86.1 85.3 84.8 99.3 97.9 96.1 94.4 92.5 90.2 88.5 87.1 85.8 84.8 99.2 97.6 95.6 93.3 91.3 89.4 88.3 86.9 85.9 84.8 99.5 98.4 96.3 94.3 92.4 90.9 89.3 87.6 86.1 84.7 97.6 95.7 94.1 91.6 89.7 88.2 87.4 85.6 84.9 84.6 99.2 101.4 100.6 95.0 90.7 87.6 85.9 85.6 84.8 84.5 99.5 98.5 98.3 97.7 92.1 89.8 88.3 87.1 85.5 84.3 100.6 98.2 96.3 94.6 90.7 92.2 90.7 88.3 86.3 84.3 99.6 98.4 96.2 93.8 91.8 89.4 87.4 86.4 85.0 84.1 100.2 98.5 96.7 94.2 91.0 90.2 88.9 87.2 85.4 84.0 99.2 97.4 95.3 93.0 90.5 88.4 86.6 86.3 85.3 83.9 96.7 93.2 92.1 90.0 88.0 87.3 86.4 84.3 83.4 83.7 96.7 95.3 94.7 93.3 91.6 89.7 88.1 85.5 84.1 83.4 98.8 96.2 93.2 91.7 89.8 87.7 86.5 85.1 83.6 83.2 98.2 96.6 95.2 92.7 90.2 88.9 87.6 85.4 84.8 83.2
50 인구이동통계분석방안연구 99.5 99.3 96.8 94.7 91.6 89.3 87.8 86.5 84.8 83.2 99.9 98.1 96.4 94.8 91.7 88.5 88.0 86.6 84.9 83.2 99.4 98.4 96.0 93.9 90.9 88.6 86.7 85.3 84.4 83.0 99.3 97.0 95.3 93.9 94.4 92.4 90.2 88.5 83.6 82.8 98.7 97.6 96.6 94.3 90.9 89.3 87.2 85.6 83.6 82.8 105.8 97.7 94.8 91.7 88.9 89.7 86.2 86.6 83.8 82.7 96.5 95.3 92.2 90.1 88.6 86.8 84.7 83.8 83.8 82.5 99.1 97.4 95.0 92.9 90.9 88.5 86.8 85.3 83.7 82.4 99.4 97.9 95.5 93.1 90.3 88.1 86.2 84.8 83.6 82.3 99.0 97.0 95.8 95.9 92.4 93.7 88.4 86.1 84.0 82.2 99.7 99.9 100.2 99.9 91.6 102.3 87.1 85.1 83.4 82.2 99.5 97.7 94.6 91.8 89.1 87.4 85.8 84.6 83.2 82.1 99.7 98.4 95.8 103.2 90.0 88.0 85.1 83.7 82.1 81.9 99.4 98.4 95.0 98.1 90.0 87.3 85.5 84.2 83.0 81.8 99.1 97.2 94.9 92.4 89.7 88.2 86.1 84.7 83.4 81.8 98.3 95.8 91.9 92.1 86.8 85.4 82.9 82.2 81.4 81.7 99.9 97.8 96.1 94.3 91.4 89.2 86.3 84.5 82.9 81.6 99.8 97.1 94.2 92.1 89.8 87.4 86.5 85.5 83.8 81.5 99.1 98.1 97.1 96.0 94.4 93.9 90.5 79.9 79.0 81.4 98.4 96.9 94.6 92.3 90.0 88.4 86.8 84.0 82.3 81.4 99.2 96.9 94.3 92.0 89.1 86.5 84.7 83.5 82.8 81.4 99.1 97.5 95.4 93.3 90.3 87.2 84.5 83.4 82.0 81.1 97.8 94.3 91.3 88.9 86.8 84.5 83.3 83.6 82.2 80.8 98.9 96.4 94.2 93.7 90.5 90.5 86.3 84.5 82.8 80.8 99.4 97.6 94.8 92.5 89.3 86.6 85.2 83.5 82.2 80.6 99.3 98.9 97.8 93.4 91.0 90.5 86.6 84.4 82.4 80.6 95.1 91.0 87.4 84.0 82.6 81.9 82.7 80.3 80.0 80.6 98.2 96.1 94.0 92.2 89.7 87.8 85.7 83.8 81.9 80.4 98.8 96.0 93.7 94.2 88.9 89.4 84.2 82.7 81.1 80.2 98.6 96.2 93.3 90.6 87.9 87.6 84.1 82.5 80.9 80.0 90.2 87.2 82.9 82.5 81.4 88.2 88.2 84.7 81.7 79.8 99.0 96.6 93.3 94.9 88.4 85.8 84.5 82.8 81.0 79.6 101.2 100.0 97.1 93.4 89.4 85.8 84.4 82.6 80.9 79.4 99.1 97.0 93.5 90.8 88.4 84.8 83.1 81.7 80.2 78.9 98.6 97.0 95.5 94.6 91.5 88.0 84.7 82.3 80.3 78.8 99.0 96.5 93.3 90.4 87.5 84.5 82.8 81.4 79.8 78.2 97.3 94.6 92.3 89.8 87.2 85.1 83.0 81.4 79.3 77.5 96.9 93.3 90.7 88.8 86.5 84.4 83.3 81.5 79.4 77.4 98.6 94.6 92.4 89.6 93.7 84.8 83.6 81.5 79.8 77.3 98.7 96.0 93.3 90.4 87.4 84.1 82.0 80.8 79.2 77.3 97.9 96.7 92.0 87.4 83.6 81.9 80.6 79.1 77.5 76.7 96.2 92.3 88.8 86.6 84.2 81.1 77.8 77.8 76.3 76.5 97.5 93.3 90.2 87.8 85.0 82.4 80.2 79.0 78.2 76.4 96.1 92.6 89.9 87.8 85.5 83.2 80.9 77.8 75.8 74.3 98.4 95.6 92.7 89.8 86.7 83.4 80.2 77.7 75.2 73.3 94.6 91.0 88.1 85.7 83.2 80.6 78.5 76.1 73.6 71.6