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๋ชฉ ์ฐจ ๊ตญํšŒ 1 ์›” ์ค‘ ์ œ ๊ฐœ์ • ๋ฒ•๋ น ๋Œ€ํ†ต๋ น๋ น 7 ๊ฑด ( ์ œ์ • -, ๊ฐœ์ • 7, ํ์ง€ -) 1. ๋Œ๊ฑด์„ค ๋ฐ ์ฃผ๋ณ€์ง€์—ญ์ง€์› ๋“ฑ์— ๊ด€ํ•œ ๋ฒ•๋ฅ  ์‹œํ–‰๋ น ์ผ๋ถ€๊ฐœ์ • 1 2. ์ง€๋ฐฉ๊ณต๋ฌด์› ์ˆ˜๋‹น ๋“ฑ์— ๊ด€ํ•œ ๊ทœ์ • ์ผ๋ถ€๊ฐœ์ • 1 3. ๊ฒฝ๋ ฅ๋‹จ์ ˆ์—ฌ์„ฑ๋“ฑ์˜ ๊ฒฝ์ œํ™œ๋™ ์ด‰์ง„๋ฒ• ์‹œํ–‰๋ น ์ผ๋ถ€๊ฐœ์ • 2 4. ๋Œ€

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์ธ์ฒœ๊ด‘์—ญ์‹œ์˜ํšŒ ์˜์› ์ƒํ•ด ๋“ฑ ๋ณด์ƒ๊ธˆ ์ง€๊ธ‰์— ๊ด€ํ•œ ์กฐ๋ก€ ์ผ๋ถ€๊ฐœ์ •์กฐ๋ก€์•ˆ ์˜์•ˆ ๋ฒˆํ˜ธ 179 ์ œ์•ˆ์—ฐ์›”์ผ : ์ œ ์•ˆ ์ž :์กฐ๋ก€์ •๋น„ํŠน๋ณ„์œ„์›ํšŒ์œ„์›์žฅ ์ œ์•ˆ์ด์œ  ๊ณต๋ฌด์ƒ์žฌํ•ด์ธ์ •๊ธฐ์ค€ (์ด๋ฌด์ฒ˜ํ›ˆ๋ น ์ œ153ํ˜ธ)์ด ๊ณต๋ฌด์›์—ฐ๊ธˆ๋ฒ• ์‹œํ–‰๊ทœ์น™ (ํ–‰์ •์ž์น˜๋ถ€๋ น ์ œ89ํ˜ธ)์œผ๋กœ ํก์ˆ˜ ์ „๋ฉด ๊ฐœ

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์‚ฐ๋ฆผ๋ณ‘ํ•ด์ถฉ ๋ฐฉ์ œ๊ทœ์ • 4. ์‹ ๋ฌธ ๋ฐฉ์†ก์˜ ๋ณด๋„๋‚ด์šฉ ๋“ฑ ์ œ6 ์กฐ( ์กฐ์‚ฌ์ง€์—ญ) ์ œ5 ์กฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๋ฐœ์ƒ์กฐ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๋‹ค์Œ ๊ฐ ํ˜ธ์˜ ์ง€์—ญ์œผ๋กœ ๊ตฌ๋ถ„ํ•˜์—ฌ ์กฐ์‚ฌํ•œ๋‹ค. 1. ํŠน์ •์ง€์—ญ : ๋ช…์Šน์ง€ ์œ ์ ์ง€ ๊ด€๊ด‘์ง€ ๊ณต์› ์œ ์›์ง€ ๋ฐ ๊ณ ์†๊ตญ๋„ ์ผ๋ฐ˜๊ตญ๋„ ์ฒ ๋กœ๋ณ€ ๋“ฑ ๊ฒฝ๊ด€๋ณดํ˜ธ๊ตฌ์—ญ 2. ์ฃผ์š”์ง€์—ญ : ๋ณ‘ํ•ด์ถฉ๋ณ„ ์„ ๋‹จ

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> 1. ๋ฒ• ์ œ34์กฐ์ œ1ํ•ญ์ œ3ํ˜ธ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๋…ธ์ธ์ „๋ฌธ๋ณ‘์› 2. ๊ตญ๋ฏผ๊ฑด๊ฐ•๋ณดํ—˜๋ฒ• ์ œ40์กฐ์ œ1ํ•ญ์˜ ๊ทœ์ •์— ์˜ํ•œ ์š”์–‘๊ธฐ๊ด€(์•ฝ๊ตญ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ๋‹ค) 3. ์‚ญ์ œ< > 4. ์˜๋ฃŒ๊ธ‰์—ฌ๋ฒ• ์ œ2์กฐ์ œ2ํ˜ธ์˜ ๊ทœ์ •์— ์˜ํ•œ ์˜๋ฃŒ๊ธ‰์—ฌ๊ธฐ๊ด€ ์ œ9์กฐ (๊ฑด๊ฐ•์ง„๋‹จ) ์˜ ์ œ20์กฐ์ œ1ํ•ญ์˜ ๊ทœ

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๊ต์œก ๊ณผ ํ•™๊ธฐ ์ˆ ๋ถ€ ๊ณ  ์‹œ ์ œ ํ˜ธ ์ดˆ ์ค‘๋“ฑ๊ต์œก๋ฒ• ์ œ23์กฐ ์ œ2ํ•ญ์— ์˜๊ฑฐํ•˜์—ฌ ์ดˆ ์ค‘๋“ฑํ•™๊ต ๊ต์œก๊ณผ์ •์„ ๋‹ค์Œ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์ด ๊ณ ์‹œํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 2011๋…„ 8์›” 9์ผ ๊ต์œก๊ณผํ•™๊ธฐ์ˆ ๋ถ€์žฅ๊ด€ 1. ์ดˆ ์ค‘๋“ฑํ•™๊ต ๊ต์œก๊ณผ์ • ์ด๋ก ์€ ๋ณ„์ฑ… 1 ๊ณผ ๊ฐ™์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 2. ์ดˆ๋“ฑํ•™๊ต ๊ต์œก๊ณผ์ •์€ ๋ณ„์ฑ…

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ๆ™‚ ็ฟ’ ่ชช ) 5), ์›ํ˜ธ์„ค( ๅ…ƒ ๆ˜Š ่ชช ) 6) ๋“ฑ์ด ์žˆ๋‹ค. 7) ์ด ๊ฐ€์šด๋ฐ ์ž„์ œ์„ค์— ๋™์˜ํ•˜๋Š”๋ฐ”, ์ƒ์„ธํ•œ ๋…ผ์˜๋Š” ํ™ฉํŒจ๊ฐ•์˜ ๋…ผ์˜๋กœ ๋ฏธ๋ฃจ๋‚˜ ๊ทธ์˜ ๋…ผ์˜์— ๋…ผ๊ฑฐ๋กœ์„œ ๋น ์ ธ ์žˆ๋Š” ๋ถ€๋ถ„์„ ๋ณด๊ฐ•ํ•˜์—ฌ ์ž„์ œ์„ค์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ๋ณ€์ฆ( ่พจ ่ญ‰ )์„ ๋ง๋ถ™์ด๊ณ ์ž ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์šฐ์„ , ๋‹ค์Œ์˜ ์ธ์šฉ๋ฌธ์„ ๋ณด๋„๋ก

ไผ)์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•˜์˜€๋Š”๋ฐ, ๋ผ์ž(็พ…ๅญ—)๋Š” ๋‚˜์ž(้‚ฃๅญ—)๋กœ ์“ฐ๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์•ผ์ž(่€ถๅญ—)๋กœ ์“ฐ๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋˜ ์„œ๋ฒŒ(ๅพไผ)์ด๋ผ๊ณ ๋„ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์„ธ์†์—์„œ ๊ฒฝ์ž(ไบฌๅญ—)๋ฅผ ์ƒˆ๊ฒจ ์„œ๋ฒŒ(ๅพไผ)์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์ด ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์— ๋˜ ์‚ฌ๋ผ(ๆ–ฏ็พ…)๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•˜๊ณ , ๋˜ ์‚ฌ๋กœ(ๆ–ฏ็›ง)๋ผ๊ณ  ํ•˜๊ธฐ๋„ ํ•œ๋‹ค. ์žฌ์œ„ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์€ 6

์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ์˜ ์ „ํ†ต๋ฌธํ™”์—๋Š” ๋ฌด์—‡์ด ์žˆ๋Š”์ง€ ์•Œ์•„๋ด…์‹œ๋‹ค. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ์˜ ์ „ํ†ต๋ฌธํ™”๋ฅผ ์ฒดํ—˜ํ•ฉ์‹œ๋‹ค. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ๋‚˜๋ผ์˜ ์ „ํ†ต๋ฌธํ™”๋ฅผ ์†Œ์ค‘ํžˆ ์—ฌ๊ธฐ๋Š” ๋งˆ์Œ์„ ๊ฐ€์ง‘์‹œ๋‹ค. 5. ์šฐ๋ฆฌ ์˜ท ํ•œ๋ณต์˜ ํŠน์ง• ์ž๋ฃŒ 3 ์ฐธ๊ณ  ๋‚จ์ž์™€ ์—ฌ์ž๊ฐ€ ์ž…๋Š” ํ•œ๋ณต์˜ ์ข…๋ฅ˜ ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ฌ๋ž๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•Œ๋ ค ์ค€๋‹ค. 85์ชฝ ๋ฌธ์ œ 8, 9 ์ž๋ฃŒ

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::: ํ•ด๋‹น์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ์—†์„ ๊ฒฝ์šฐ ๋ฌด ํ‘œ์‹œํ•˜์‹œ๊ธฐ ๋ฐ”๋ž๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•ญ๋ชฉ ๊ฒ€ ํ†  ์—ฌ ๋ถ€ ( ํ‘œ์‹œ) ์‹œ ๋ฏผ : ์œ  ( ) ๋ฌด ์‹œ ๋ฏผ ์ฐธ ์—ฌ ๊ณ  ๋ ค ์‚ฌ ํ•ญ ์ด ํ•ด ๋‹น ์‚ฌ ์ž : ์œ  ( ) ๋ฌด ์ „ ๋ฌธ ๊ฐ€ : ์œ  ( ) ๋ฌด ์˜ด ๋ธŒ ์ฆˆ ๋งŒ : ์œ  ( ) ๋ฌด ๋ฒ• ๋ น ๊ทœ ์ • : ๊ตํ†ต ํ™˜๊ฒฝ ์žฌ

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201501_๊ฒฝ์ œ์ „๋ง๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ_f.hwp

4) ์ด ์ด 6) ์œ„ (๊ฐ€) ๋‚˜๋Š” ์†Œ๋ฐฑ์‚ฐ๋งฅ์„ ๋ฐ”๋ผ๋ณด๋‹ค ๋ฌธ๋“ ์‹ ๋ผ์˜ ์‚ผ๊ตญ ํ†ต ์ผ์„ ๋ชป๋งˆ๋•…ํ•ดํ•˜๋˜ ๋‹น์‹ ์˜ ๋ง์ด ์ƒ๊ฐ๋‚ฌ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ•˜๋‚˜๊ฐ€ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์€ ๋” ์ปค์ง€๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ๋‹น์‹ ์˜ ๋ง์„ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๋ฉด, ๋Œ€๋™๊ฐ• ์ด๋ถ์˜ ๋•…์„ ๋‹น๋‚˜๋ผ์— ๋‚ด์ฃผ๊ธฐ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์ด๋ฃฉํ•œ ํ†ต ์ผ์€ ๋” ์ž‘์•„์ง„ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ ์—์„œ,

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Energy Insights Vol. 1, No. 12

zb 2) ์งœ๋‚ด์–ด ๋ชฉ๋ฏผ๊ด€์„ ์‚ด์ฐŒ์šด๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‹ˆ ๋ฐฑ์„ฑ์ด ๊ณผ์—ฐ ๋ชฉ๋ฏผ๊ด€์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ผ๊นŒ? ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๊ฑด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋ชฉ๋ฏผ๊ด€์ด ๋ฐฑ์„ฑ ์„ ์œ„ํ•ด ์žˆ๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค. ์ด์ • - ( แ„€ ) - ( แ„‚ ) - ๊ตญ๊ตฐ - ๋ฐฉ๋ฐฑ - ํ™ฉ์™• (๋‚˜) ์˜›๋‚ ์—์•ผ ๋ฐฑ์„ฑ์ด ์žˆ์—ˆ์„ ๋ฟ์ด์ง€, ๋ฌด์Šจ ๋ชฉ๋ฏผ๊ด€์ด ์žˆ ์—ˆ๋˜

์žฌ์›์€ ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ง€์—ญ, ์ง์žฅ ๊ฐ€์ž…์ž์˜ ์ด ๋ณดํ—˜๋ฃŒ์™€ ๊ตญ๊ณ ์ง€์›์„ ํ•ฉํ•œ ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋ณด๋ฉด ๋œ๋‹ค. ์—ฌ๊ธฐ๊นŒ์ง€๋Š” ํƒ€๋‹นํ•ด ๋ณด์ธ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ 1๋งŒ1์ฒœ์›์˜ ๊ธฐ์  ์ด๋ผ๋Š” ์ƒ์ž๋ฅผ ์—ด์–ด ๋ณด๋ฉด ์ด๋Š” ๊ธฐ์  ๊ณผ๋Š” ๊ฑฐ๋ฆฌ๊ฐ€ ๋ฉ€๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ์•Œ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฑด๊ฐ•๋ณดํ—˜ ๋ณด์žฅ์„ฑ์€ ๊ฐ•ํ™”๋˜์–ด์•ผ ๋งˆ๋•…ํ•˜๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ๋…ธ๋™์ž ๋ฏผ์ค‘

๋ง๋˜์ง€๋งŒ, ๋…ผ๋ž€์€ ๋”์šฑ ์ฆํญ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋ง๋œ๋‹ค. ์ผ๋‹จ ๊ด‘์ฃผ์ง€์—ญ ๋ฏผ์ฃผํ™” ์šด๋™ ์„ธ๋ ฅ ์€ 5.18๊ธฐ๋…์‹์„ ๊ตญ๊ฐ€๊ธฐ๋…์ผ๋กœ ์ง€์ • ๋ฐ›์€ ๋ฐ ์ด์–ด ์ด ๋…ธ๋ž˜๊นŒ์ง€ ๊ณต์‹๊ธฐ๋…๊ณก์œผ๋กœ ๋งŒ ๋“ค์–ด 5.18์„ ์žฅ์‹ํ•˜๋Š” ๋งˆ์ง€๋ง‰ ์•„์šฐ๋ผ๋กœ ํ™œ์šฉํ•œ๋‹ค๋Š” ๊ณ„ํš์ด๋‹ค. ๊ฑฑ์ •์Šค๋Ÿฌ์šด ๊ฑด ์ด๋Ÿฐ ์›€์ง์ž„์ด ์ด๋ฅธ๋ฐ” ํ˜ธ๋‚จ์ •์„œ

8) ํ˜„๋Œ€ ๋‹ค์Œ 11์‹œ 56๋ถ„์—, ๋ฌธ๋ช…์€ 11์‹œ 57๋ถ„๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ–ˆ์„ ๋ฟ์ด๊ณ , ๊ทผ๋Œ€์‚ฌํšŒ์˜ ๋ฐœ์ „์€ 11์‹œ 59๋ถ„ 30์ดˆ์— ๊ฒจ์šฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ ๋˜์—ˆ ๊ทธ๋ ‡์ง€๋งŒ ์ธ๋ฅ˜๊ฐ€ ์ƒํ™œํ•œ ๋งˆ์ง€๋ง‰ 30์ดˆ ๋™์•ˆ์— ์—„์ฒญ ๋‚œ ๋ณ€๋™์ด ์ผ์–ด๋‚ฌ 1 ๊ฐ€์†์„ฑ 2 ๊ด‘๋ฒ”์œ„์„ฑ 3 ๋™์‹œ์„ฑ 4 ์ •๋ณดํ†ต์‹ ์˜ ๋ฐœ๋‹ฌ 5 3์ฐจ์  ์ธ

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2015๋…„ 2์›” 12์ผ ์‚ฌ๋ž‘์˜ ๋™์‚ญ๊ต์œก ์ œ ํ˜ธ (2์›”) ๋…„ 2์›” 12์ผ ์‚ฌ๋ž‘์˜ ๋™์‚ญ๊ต์œก ์ œ ํ˜ธ (2์›”) 6 ๊ฒจ์šธ์ด ๋˜๋ฉด 1-4 ๋ฐ•์ง€์˜ˆ ๊ฒจ์šธ์ด ๋˜๋ฉด ๋‚œ ์ฐธ ์ข‹์•„. ๊ฒจ์šธ์ด ๋˜๋ฉด ๊ท€์—ฌ์šด ๋ˆˆ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๋„ ๋งŒ๋“ค๊ณ  ๊ฒจ์šธ์ด ๋˜๋ฉด ์‹ ๋‚˜๋Š” ๋ˆˆ์‹ธ์›€๋„ ํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ฒจ์šธ์ด

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11๋ฏผ๋ฝ์ดˆ์‹ ๋ฌธ4ํ˜ธ


3) ์ง€์€์ด๊ฐ€ 4) แ„€์— 5) ์œ„ ์–ด์ ธ์•ผ ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์ด์•ผ. 5 ๋™์› : ํ•ญ์ƒ ์„ฑ์‹คํ•œ ์‚ถ์˜ ์ž์„ธ๋ฅผ ์ง€๋…€์•ผ ํ•ด. ์—๋Š” ๋ฏผ์ค‘์˜ ์†Œ๋ง๊ณผ ์–ธ์–ด๊ฐ€ ๋‹ด๊ฒจ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ธ๊ฐ„์˜ ๊ฐ€์žฅ ์œ„๋Œ€ํ•œ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์€ ์ด์ฒ˜๋Ÿผ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ๋ฅผ ๋›ฐ์–ด๋„˜๊ณ , ์‚ฌํšŒ์˜ ๋ฒฝ์„ ๋›ฐ์–ด๋„˜๊ณ , ๋“œ๋””์–ด ์ž๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ๋›ฐ์–ด๋„˜ ๋Š”

์ œ1์ ˆ ์กฐ์„ ์‹œ๋Œ€ ์ด์ „์˜ ๊ต์œก

์ง€ ์ƒ๊ฐํ•˜๊ณ , ์žฌ๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ์ค€๋น„ํ•˜๊ณ , ์š”๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ํ•˜๊ณ , ์„ค๊ฑฐ์ง€๋ฅผ ํ•˜๊ณ . ์ด ์ž‘์—…์„ 3๋ฒˆ ๋ฐ˜๋ณต ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ๋งŒ์œผ๋กœ ํ•˜๋ฃจ๊ฐ€ ๋‹ค ๊ฐ„๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ์ œ์ž‘์ง„์—๊ฒŒ ํˆฌ์Ÿํ•˜๋Š” ์ด์œ ๋Š” ๊ทธ๋“ค์ด ์›ํ•˜๋Š” ์žฌ๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ์–ป๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด์„œ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ ์ด์ƒ์˜ ์ƒ๊ฐ์€ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์‹ถ์–ด๋„ ํ•  ๊ฒจ๋ฅผ์ด ์—†๋‹ค. ์ด ๋•…์€ ํ—ฌ์กฐ์„ ์ด ์•„๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ผ๋‹จ

์‚ฌ์ง„ 24 _ ์ข…๋ฃจ์ง€ ์ „๊ฒฝ(์„œ๋ถ์—์„œ) ์‚ฌ์ง„ 25 _ ์ข…๋ฃจ์ง€ ๋‚จ์ธก๊ธฐ๋‹จ(๋™์—์„œ) ์‚ฌ์ง„ 26 _ ์ข…๋ฃจ์ง€ ๋ถ์ธก๊ธฐ๋‹จ(์„œ์—์„œ) ์‚ฌ์ง„ 27 _ ์ข…๋ฃจ์ง€ 1์ฐจ ๊ฑด๋ฌผ์ง€ ์ดˆ์„ ์ ์‹ฌ์„ ์‚ฌ์ง„ 28 _ ์ข…๋ฃจ์ง€ ์ค‘์‹ฌ ๋ฐฉํ˜•์ ์‹ฌ ์œ  ์‚ฌ์ง„ 29 _ ์ข…๋ฃจ์ง€ ๋™์ธก ๊ณ„๋‹จ์„ <๊ฒฝ๋ฃจ์ง€> ์œ„ ์น˜ ํƒ‘์ง€์˜ ๋‚จ๋ถ์ค‘์‹ฌ

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โ… . ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ์ œํ™˜๊ฒฝ ๋ณ€ํ™” 29๋…„์€ ์„ธ๊ณ„ ๋ฐ ๊ตญ๋‚ด๊ฒฝ์ œ์˜ ์—ญ์‚ฌ ์†์—์„œ ์˜๋ฏธ ์žˆ๋Š” ํ•œ ํ•ด๋กœ ๊ธฐ๋ก๋  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋‹ค. ๋ฆฌ๋จผ ์‡ผํฌ ์ดํ›„์˜ ๊ธˆ์œต์‹œ์žฅ ํ˜ผ๋ž€๊ณผ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ฃผ์ฒด๋“ค์˜ ์‹ฌ๋ฆฌ ์œ„์ถ•์€ ์ƒ๋‹นํ•œ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์˜ ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ๋ถˆํ™ฉ์„ ์˜ˆ๊ณ ํ•˜๋Š” ๋“ฏ ํ–ˆ์ง€๋งŒ ๊ธ€๋กœ๋ฒŒ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์œ„๊ธฐ๋ฅผ ์ˆ˜์Šตํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•œ ๊ฐ๊ตญ์˜ ๊ธˆ์œต์•ˆ์ •ํ™” ๋Œ€์ฑ…๊ณผ ์žฌ์ •

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96๋ถ€์‚ฐ์—ฐ์ฃผ๋ฌธํ™”\(๊น€์ฐฝ์šฑ\)

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์ˆœ ์„œ โ… . 2016๋…„ ์ƒ๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์šด์šฉ ํ‰๊ฐ€ 1 โ…ก. ํ–ฅํ›„ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์—ฌ๊ฑด 3 โ…ข. 2016๋…„ ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ •์ฑ… ๊ธฐ๋ณธ๋ฐฉํ–ฅ 8 โ…ฃ. 2016๋…„ ํ•˜๋ฐ˜๊ธฐ ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ •์ฑ… ๊ณผ์ œ 9 1. ๊ฒฝ์ œํ™œ๋ ฅ ์ œ๊ณ ์™€ ๋ฏผ์ƒ์•ˆ์ • 9 2. ๊ตฌ์กฐ๊ฐœํ˜ ๊ฐ€์†ํ™” ๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ๊ฐ•ํ™” 37 โ…ค. ๊ฒฝ์ œ์ „๋ง 40 <

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< ๋ชฉ ์ฐจ > <์š” ์•ฝ> i I. ๊ฑฐ์‹œ๊ฒฝ์ œ ์ „๋ง 1 1. ๊ตญ๋‚ด ๊ฒฝ๊ธฐ์ƒํ™ฉ ํŒ๋‹จ 1 2. ๋Œ€์™ธ์—ฌ๊ฑด ์ „๋ง ๋…„ ๊ตญ๋‚ด๊ฒฝ์ œ ์ „๋ง 10 II. ์ฃผ์š” ์‚ฐ์—… ์ „๋ง ๋…„ ๋™ํ–ฅ ๋…„ ์ „๋ง 24

KEEI ISSUE PAPER(Vol.1, No.6)

ๆ…ˆ้Š์˜ ์šธ๋ฆผ (1)

194

์‚ผ์™ธ๊ตฌ์‚ฌ( ไธ‰ ็• ไน ๆ€ ) 1981๋…„ 12์›” 28์ผ ๋งˆ์‚ฐ ์ƒ๋•๋ฒ•๋‹จ ๋งˆ์‚ฐ๋ฐฑ์–‘์ง„๋„ํ•™์ƒํšŒ ํšŒ์žฅ ๊น€๋ฌด์„ฑ ์™ธ 29๋ช…์ด ์„œ์šธ ์ค‘์•™์ด๋ณธ๋ถ€๋ฅผ ๋ฐฉ๋ฌธํ•˜์˜€์„ ๋•Œ ๋‚ด๋ ค์ฃผ์‹  ๊ณค์ˆ˜๊ณก์ธ ์Šค์Šน๋‹˜์˜ ๋ฒ•์–ด ๋‚ด์šฉ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ์„ฑ์ธ๊ป˜์„œ ๋ง์”€ํ•˜์‹œ๊ธธ ้“ ๋ฅผ ๊ฐ€์ง€๊ณ  ์žˆ๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ๊ณผ ์–ด์šธ๋ ค์•ผ๋งŒ ้“ ๋ฅผ ๋ฐฐ์šธ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ

์„ธ๊ณ„์—๋„ˆ์ง€์‹œ์žฅ์ธ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ(์ œ15-31ํ˜ธ)

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2002 1 28 50 PIW(Petroleum Intelligence weekly) 120 50 50,,,,,, (emerging market) 50 50 OECD 50 33 2001 50 50 8 2

Ove rsea s Ene rgy Ma rket Inte llige nce Vol 18 No 4, 9 50 2001 Nippon-Mitsubishi Anadarko 48 46 50 198050 14 Chevron-Texaco Phillips- Conoco 50 2 2001 Nippon-Mitsubishi Anadarko 48 4650 2002 < > 2001 15 (%) 1 S Aramco 100 1 4 1 9 2 PDV 100 5 7 4 10 3 Exxon-Mobil - 12 15 6 2 4 NIOC 100 4 1 2 6 5 R/D Shell - 15 14 7 4 6 Pemex 100 7 19 3 7 7 BP - 18 18 9 5 8 Total-Fina-Elf - 23 21 12 11 9 PetroChina 90 14 20 8 26 10 Pertamina 100 29 11 20 8 11 Sonatrach 100 16 6 15 3 12 Petrobras 325 17 32 16 23 2001 13 KPC 100 3 16 10 34 9 14 Chevorn - 26 30 18 16 15 ENI 36 31 26 24 15 13 Chevron Texaco : PIW Ranks The World's Top Oil Companies, 20011217 10 10, 2000 (PetroChina) 9 (KPC; Kuwait Petroleum) 2000 10 13 (S Aramco) Kore a Ene rgy Ec onomics Institute 3

2002 1 28 2 PDVExxon-Mobil 3 BP Pemex 7 6 Total-Fina-Elf 2000 9 8 Chevron Texaco 2001 14 17 10 10, 10 10 PetroChina(9 ), Petrobras(12 ), Surgutneftegaz(24 ), Lukoil(27 ), Yukos(30 ), Sinopec(33 ), Tyumen Oil(35 ), Slavneft(38 ), Sidanco(41 ), Sibneft(42 ) (2 ), (1 ), (7 ) 7 2001 < > ( bbl, b/d) PetroChina 9 11,032 2,091 1,917 1,126 Petrobras 12 8,356 1,324 1,935 2,215 Surgutneftgaz 24 6,992 813 548 365 Lukoil 27 14,280 1,557 532 871 Yukos 30 11,769 986 1,107 509 Sinopec 33 2,952 676 2,599 1,344 Tyumen Oil 35 7,459 572 360 265 Slavneft 38 2,816 245 290 249 Sidanco 41 7,257 259 142 80 Sibneft 42 4,644 344 390 216 : PIW Ranks The World's Top Oil Companies, 20011217 4

Ove rsea s Ene rgy Ma rket Inte llige nce Vol 18 No 4,,,, OPEC 2001 50 Lukoil, Yukos, Slavneft 80 50 100% 27 17 100% 14 2000 OPEC Gazprom 38% 2001 34, 10 Gazprom, Pemex, PDV10, 10 3 Kore a Ene rgy Ec onomics Institute 5

2002 1 28 (Exxon-Mobil, R/D Shell, BP) < > 10 BOE b/d 1 S Aramco 297,248 Exxon-Mobil 7,993 2 NIOC 225,083 R/D Shell 5,574 3 INOC 130,800 BP 5510 4 Gazprom 121,352 PDV 3,234 5 KPC 105,283 Total-Fina-Elf 3,109 6 PDV 102,283 S Aramco 2,983 7 Adnoc 89,140 Taxaco 2,585 8 Qatar Petroleum 78,833 Petrobras 2,215 9 Sonatrach 34,691 Pemex 2,050 10 Pemex 34,104 Nippon-Mitsubishi 1,438 : PIW Ranks The World's Top Oil Companies, 20011217 PDV Aramco Pemex Exxon-Mobil Total-Fina-Elf, (R/D Shell) BP Petrobras PetroChina Sinopec Tosco Valero 50 ( ) 6

Ove rsea s Ene rgy Ma rket Inte llige nce Vol 18 No 4,, PIW 2002-01% +15% IEA Deutsche Bank 07%, ABN- AMRO 15%PE (Petroleum Economics) -01% < > 2002 ( : b/ d,%) 2002 100 b/ d (5) ABN-AMRO 780 +11 15% CERI 770 +08 10% Deutsche Bank 766 +05 07% EIA/ US 765 +08 11% IEA 766 +06 07% CGES 770 +05 06% PFC 776 +06 08% Petroleum Econ 765 00-01% WH Brown& Co 746 +06 08% 767 +06 08% OPEC 100 b/d OPEC 2001 9 (WTI $2778/bbl) Kore a Ene rgy Ec onomics Institute 7

2002 1 28, 1/4 2/4 911,, (CNOOC)(CPC) 50 50 18 (DJNW) 2 50 50, 1-2, 2002 WTO 2002 8

Ove rsea s Ene rgy Ma rket Inte llige nce Vol 18 No 4, BP 400, 2002200 (PetroChina) (Sinopec) 1997 1998 Sinopec WTO, (Xinjiang) 4 2 6,,, 3, 2001 10,, 3 Kore a Ene rgy Ec onomics Institute 9

2002 1 28,, 2, 2003 China Business Times 17 2 2003 (State Power Grid Co),,,,, 2003 4 5 KW 3 LNG, 10

Ove rsea s Ene rgy Ma rket Inte llige nce Vol 18 No 4,, (Napocor) 730MW 40MW 100MW,,,, BP, Green Plan 2012" 2005 3 3% PCEC(Pan Canada Energy Co) 17 4 10% 2004 125 10 4 1975 90 BP Korea Ene rgy Economics Institute 11

2002 1 28 1 3 1 1 $20 10 WTI 1 23 $1814/ bbl, Brent $1998/ bbl, WTI $1919/ bbl (API) 1 11, 31413 410 3, 422 21122 14394 (88 ) ( : /bbl) 10 11 12 1/ 17 1/ 18 1/ 21 1/ 22 1/ 23 WTI 2212 1962 1930 1795 1801 na 1863 1919 Brent 2127 1919 1893 1911 1900 1941 1959 1998 Dubai 1972 1769 1789 1752 1746 1783 1788 1814 12