Microsoft Word - KSR2012A328.doc

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1 YWXY º º t rzyywxyhzy_ ˆ» q p ªzƒ m A study on perspective of middle-east railway markets and Risk analysis business case study of middle-east Ó Ilkwon, Chae * Abstract Until 2020 year, middle-east railway market is going to bull market in world-wide international railway market. Because middle-east region have mega infrastructure national plan for next oil based industry age. This thesis write down 3 years oversea railway trip during 2010, and researched 6 CC countries their mega railway construction plan. Also thesis analyzed one Korean companies risk analysis business case in middleeast region. I hope this business case of analyze for oversea railway risk factors will help to boost Korean construction and engineering companies to go aboard in the near future. Keywords : Middle-East, world-wide railway market, risk analysis, Railway construction, railway engineering ï» ƒˆ ƒ d ŽŽ s ŽŽ ˆ ƒ ˆ ª ˆ¼ˆ m z y t ypv«m ˆ ƒ k ƒ q z d ˆ ƒp ªzƒ mpv«m pzƒ y t v«m q ƒ v p d ˆ ƒ p ª zƒ ˆ p ƒ ˆ p ªzƒ ƒ p ää ï p ƒ v ƒ d p d k ˆ ˆ ³p ˆ v¹ ˆ p ƒ p» ƒ s ˆ v kp ƒ y x m mƒ r ˆ x ¹ p m n ˆ x m ¹ºvv vk p zƒ y t ˆ p ªzƒ mp q º d ƒ ƒ y Ò å Ó ã Ò îü ãëêêêéäåäæêéêêéêêäêéëääääääåäåääååäã

2 ää ã ã ˆ ˆ ¹º XWWz p v m l v«ms zz k ƒ U m v ¹ z m s q ƒ m U X c Xe m v v Ž Î Ê ê Ö Ëí Ï Þ Ì Þ ÿ á Þ Ì ó Þ Þ Ì ó Þ í ó Ö Þ Î í Þ Ì ó Þ óé Ì Þ ï Ì Þ Ì ÎÊ Þ Ì ê ½ p p njj ]» \ ƒ ƒˆ m z U njj m Ž Y\W z sož Y_UY ss X l XSXZW S YWXYU [U XYPm ] m rs YSXX^ ªp º U Y z njj d» X\ XSZ[X OX\X P s Ž Ž m y U njj t n njj q Œˆš š œ º t dmz v U džk Ž pžd njj t ƒ p p YSYWW ƒ º p n S q º Ž m ƒ p z r q Œˆš š œ p n ƒ m U ¹ º d džk Ž «p pr vl m U t d njj t º t m njj t s ˆ YWX^ y m U p m njj njj q m y U p ƒk ƒ ƒ Ÿ «ptvl ƒt ˆ ½ Ž U Z v m O ½ njj ] P zz m ƒ v p k l m m v U p d S d OzhyP z v«m kœš Ž S iœ S v Œ ˆ ŒS tˆ ˆ m z v U p d OzyvP S d kdt{p m OpŽdT P iv{ m m º S p v Ž z v«m z v m U l k l www g iv{ v s p U ms vl v p XWWLp njj m vl U [ ƒ Ÿ «ptvl ƒt ˆ ½ Ž U \

$p X njj] m ƒ «p \XLp S [`Lp s ƒ v ƒ ºˆ«l U ääø ÓÏ ã øü ZUXU «p YWYY «p d p k q p ¼q rs l m Z]W z sož [W PSZ\W ª ƒ º U ] p ª Z m z U šs njj O] P «p ƒ zz šs [ k `_ ˆ r m ƒ šs sœšˆ v ~Œš ˆ ƒ U ZUYU džk$

3 p X njj] m ƒ «p \XLp S [`Lp s ƒ v ƒ ºˆ«l U ääø ÓÏ ã øü ZUXU «p YWYY «p d p k q p ¼q rs l m Z]W z sož [W PSZ\W ª ƒ º U ] p ª Z m z U šs njj O] P «p ƒ zz šs [ k `_ ˆ r m ƒ šs sœšˆ v ~Œš ˆ ƒ U ZUYU džk Ž džk Ž YZ m p ºS s Y\] loy_ `SYWW P s º U º m rrd p oˆ ˆ ˆ p m Ž ]W z UO] S^S_WW P ZUZU hl v r m ]W lo] ^S_WW P p S X v U ¹ _ m º rs YW] loyz Y^WW Pm U m njjo] P q ƒ hl ƒ zz ³ U ¹ S njj hl p XSYWW º r ] ZWW t ƒ U ^ XXW loxy [ZWW P U YWXY hly y OY^[X zp[ v U _ ZU[U p p ºtv ¹ m XWW loxx ZWWW P sm ³ U Ž m q Žk ps kks t S vzz [^\ º r t r m ƒ U ` p t m v

$m ZU\U YWXWTYWX[ v º ek XSW[W z s v m p S ek v r m d vˆƒ U XW s X^W lox` YXWW Pm U njj ª r m ˆ U ¹ m m «ƒ p k rs m m ¹l t Ow{iP ƒps m ƒ± OwtjPp ƒ U XX ½ džk Ž ƒ Ž U lum Ÿk lwˆ º d t d v hld l m v S v$

4 m ZU\U YWXWTYWX[ v º ek XSW[W z s v m p S ek v r m d vˆƒ U XW s X^W lox` YXWW Pm U njj ª r m ˆ U ¹ m m «ƒ p k rs m m ¹l t Ow{iP ƒps m ƒ± OwtjPp ƒ U XX ½ džk Ž ƒ Ž U lum Ÿk lwˆ º d t d v hld l m v S v ˆ ] X m U g S r m m X^X r m q ƒ m x ek ¹ ƒ U ˆ k v ƒv l UO s Ž ^W zpu ZU]U vl ¹ vl X_[ q «ƒ zƒ rs ^` lo_ `YWW P º U ƒ [ Osy{S {yhts tvuvyhpss iy{pp y m ƒ vl zp ] ƒ m º U XY y www¹ g iv{ ¹ v m º et njj ƒ m U ZU^U r ¹ v º U njj t «ƒ «ƒ ºy U s XSZ^Z S XWW loxw ZWWW Pm S YWX` ƒ YWYZ p s m U XZ c p Yenjj q T p r

5 ääæð ãð ï ò ü î zvj ƒ m ¹ ¼p sd p ªm zo U S m p ˆ ˆ ¹ ¼p Ž ƒ m šs m ƒ Ž rs š Ž U pye k ª p ª xº ep p ª ª U ps ƒ m ª k ƒ m p ªp z S ƒ v p ¹ m et y p ª z U r y m YWXX d zhy v ƒ m m m ª XWW s U y p v«m p ª zƒ p ª zƒ ˆˆ U ƒ zƒ šsj œ š t U ¹ d z ƒ d k ƒ X\L t m m U lum p ƒ ¹ Šˆ p º v ˆ p vp v U p g p º Ž U šs v ƒ zƒ U Žƒ v p p ƒ sv Ž q vƒ et S p{io ˆ {Œ Œ i ŽP ½ º Ž U º y d zhy d z ƒ m pd m et p Žl ŽŽ rs p{i d Ž v t zz º U g Š ˆ Šˆ d x y yp rº x v p ƒˆ ŽŽ U lum v ¹ ˆ m l ¹ ˆ p Š ˆ Šˆ U šs º m d l YWW_ `U`LS YWW` \UXL um ¹ ˆ t o lššˆ ˆ v U šs r ƒ y m v m d z et ƒ l p ª m ± U ps p{i ƒ ¹ m rs ƒº mz \] m U ƒšs º º p ª zƒ yrs v º º v ± d ºzŽ p ˆm º zž vƒˆ ¹ Šˆ ± ¹ ƒ Ž U p p m {m t ms ˆ {m v ˆ xm ˆ um ep l l U lum } šˆ v ˆ Ž ] U lum l um p «ƒ ¹ y l º S m p ˆ l º Ž U g m mz ºy {m ˆ p ƒ m Ž U ƒ zƒ šs l r ƒ p{ip d k ns Ž Ž S jyjj d ¹ p U lum h ƒ ƒ Ž ¹ p Ž ± q ˆ U šs S p y et l ƒ v ˆ l U ˆ ¹ ˆ º ƒ wx U

6 šs m t ƒ v ƒ ƒ m et S t ¹ m v U lum ¹ ± ˆ º Ž U šs ˆ p ªp y ƒ ˆ ˆ ƒ l l y ¹ w l U lum h ƒ p np º ¹ ƒ l ºy Ž U p p m { ˆŠ ž ¹ ˆ wx et t º ˆ rs ˆ v º ¹ ƒ f U z ¹ l rs p ƒ np ƒ p{i v Ž U ääñïä Ó ãð Ñàáñò ü ƒ U l p p tº m q p O kp et tº z S p S d wž v Ž p ªp U ½ ƒ ƒ l y S p ªp S z l p ª l Ž U ½» ƒ ƒ sd v s ˆ S t p m l ƒ Ž S p ƒ m ± p ƒ ¹ y ¹ v d t Ž m p ƒ m y U» w m ƒ p Ž ks p d p ª md ³yŽ p º ƒ º rs l m ƒ U» ƒ ºƒºp q m y U Ñö [1] ƒ¹º(2010.9), ƒ, m v q, [2] Yusuf Saeed(2011), Financing for Rail & Transport Projects, pp.4, Qatar National Bank [3] k z n(2010), Ž q y º [4] Ramiz Al Assar(2011), CC railway development : A vision to integration, pp.27~28, 2011 World Bank. [5] eoff Mee(2011), Qatar Integrated Railway Presentation, pp2~3, Qatar railway [6] Urs Mosimann(2011), CC Transport & Railways Conference presentation, pp. 2-3, Etihad Rail [7] yº(2011), 2011 v ƒ¹º z ƒˆ ƒrº v n. p16-17, [8] ƒ¹º(2010.9), ƒ, m v q, [9] (2011), 2011 v ƒ¹º z ƒˆ ƒrº v n [10] Khaled A. Al-Awadhi(2011), Kuwait Railroad & Rapid Transit Systems, pp5-7, Kuwait Metro Rapid Transport [11] (2011), vl q l y, ˆƒ z n, [12] Ramiz Al Assar, CC railway development: A vision to integration, pp.35, 2011 World Bank.

Microsoft Word - KSR2013A311

Microsoft Word - KSR2013A311 YWXZ º º t rzyywxzhzxx ƒ º ˆ ƒƒ wž hplan of New Railway Services œšing Existing Railway ÛÓøÔ ã ä û ã äõ Ñ ã Baekkyu Namkung *, Sungbong Chung *, Sigon Kim * Abstract Recent pre-feasibility study or feasibility