2014 년도예비타당성조사 용사의집재건립 한국개발연구원

2014 년도예비타당성조사 용사의집재건립 한국개발연구원

제출문 한국개발연구원원장 김준경

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[ 사업위치도및배치도 ]

목차 요약 1 제장예비타당성조사추진개요 51 제1절사업의목적및추진경위 51 1. 사업의목적및기대효과 51 2. 사업의추진경위 51 3. 사업의추진근거 53 4. 사전용역주요내용 54 제2절사업개요 55 1. 사업의주요내용 55 2. 사업대상지위치 57 제3절예비타당성조사의주요내용 58 1. 예비타당성조사의절차 58 2. 예비타당성조사의주요내용 59 3. 예비타당성조사의범위 61 제장기초자료분석및조사의주요쟁점 62 제1절기초자료분석 62 1. 사업부지분석 62 2. 사회경제적환경분석 64 3. 용사의집현황분석 65 제2절군인복지기금및복지시설현황분석 69 1. 군인복지기금 69 2. 군복지시설현황 72 제3절관련법및관련계획 81 1. 관련법 81

2. 관련계획검토 83 3. 부처의성과목표체계 85 제4절예비타당성조사의주요쟁점 88 1. 관련개발계획과의연계성문제 88 2. 미시행대안설정및경제성분석 88 3. 비용추정의쟁점 89 4. 수요추정의쟁점 90 5. 편익추정의쟁점 91 제장비용추정 94 제1절사업계획의적절성검토 94 1. 사업개요 94 2. 규모의적절성검토 103 제2절비용추정 122 1. 비용추정의기본방향 122 2. 총사업비추정 126 3. 기타공사비추정 132 4. 공사비종합 137 5. 총사업비추정결과및연차별배분계획 145 6. 운영비추정 149 제장수요추정 178 제1절개요 178 1. 현황 178 2. 용사의집재건립후의규모 180 제2절수요추정방법 182 1. 수요추정방법의개요 182 2. 세부시설별수요추정방법 182 제3절수요추정결과제시 217 1. 수요추정결과 217 2. 수입 228

제장편익추정 234 제1절편익추정의개요 234 1. 개요 234 2. 편익유형검토 235 제2절편익항목별추정방법 236 1. 군복지편익 237 2. 육군회관전용편익 251 제3절편익추정결과의제시 252 1. 편익합산 252 2. 미시행대안과비교한증분편익 253 제장경제성분석 255 제1절주요전제및분석방법론 255 1. 기본가정 255 2. 잔존가치계산 256 3. 분석기법 256 4. 기타가정 256 제2절경제성분석결과 257 제3절민감도분석 259 제장정책적분석 260 제1절정책적분석체계 260 제2절정책의일관성및추진의지 262 1. 관련계획및정책방향과의일치성 262 2. 사업추진의지및선호도 263 3. 사업의준비정도 264 제3절사업추진상의위험요인 265 1. 재원조달가능성 265 2. 환경성검토 266 제장지역균형발전분석 268 제1절지역균형발전 268

1. 지역낙후도분석 269 2. 지역경제파급효과분석 273 제장종합평가및정책제언 289 제1절 AHP 분석의개요 289 제2절 AHP를활용한종합판단 291 1. 평가대안 291 2. 조사대상집단 292 3. AHP 구조및평가항목 292 4. AHP 분석결과 296 제3절민간투자사업추진가능성검토 302 1. 민간투자사업추진가능성검토대상 302 2. 민간투자사업추진가능성검토방법및수행절차 302 3. 민간투자사업추진가능성검토결과 306 제4절종합평가및정책제언 308 1. 종합평가 308 2. 정책제언 310 참고문헌 312 부록 313 [ 부록 ] 1. AHP 설문지 315 [ 부록 ] 2. 사업계획변경공문 330 [ 부록 ] 3. 사업계획변경관련추가자료제출 331 [ 부록 ] 4. 대안관련육군본부검토결과 332

표차례 < 표-1> 용사의집재건립사업추진경위 52 < 표-2> 용사의집재건립사업개요 55 < 표-3> 용사의집재건립시설별면적표변경사항 56 < 표-4> 용사의집재건립시설별면적 56 < 표-5> 용사의집재건립총사업비 57 < 표 -1> 사업대상지교통현황 64 < 표 -2> 용산구인구및가구수 64 < 표 -3> 용산구노령인구현황 65 < 표 -4> 용사의집연혁 65 < 표 -5> 용사의집시설현황 67 < 표 -6> 용사의집객실, 예식및행사이용현황 68 < 표 -7> 용사의집객실이용현황 68 < 표 -8> 용사의집연회장이용현황 68 < 표 -9> 군인복지기금예산및집행현황 (2011년 ~2013년 ) 70 < 표 -10> 군인복지기금기금운용계획안 71 < 표 -11> 군인복지기금기금조성액 ( 연말기준 ) 72 < 표 -12> 육군회관현황 73 < 표 -13> 육군회관연회장운영현황 74 < 표 -14> 공군회관현황 75 < 표 -15> 해군호텔현황 76 < 표 -16> 국방호텔및문화센터 78 < 표 -17> 국방호텔및문화 / 연구센터세부시설 79 < 표 -18> 국방부의성과목표체계 85 < 표 -19> 관리과제 ( 장병복지향상 ) 성과지표 86 < 표 -20> 예비타당성조사사업 ( 용사의집재건립 ) 성과지표 86

< 표 -1> 사업의개요 94 < 표 -2> 용사의집재건립사업비산정 ( 사업계획서 ) 95 < 표 -3> 정비구역변경 ( 구역분할 ) 주요진행결과 97 < 표 -4> 용사의집재건립사업검토영역구분 99 < 표 -5> 용사의집재건립사업계획시설면적 100 < 표 -6> 사업시설별면적표 ( 공용면적포함 ) 101 < 표 -7> 사업시설별면적표 ( 공용면적제외 ) 101 < 표 -8> 사업시설별정정면적표 101 < 표 -9> 사업시설별정정영역별면적표 102 < 표 -10> 사업시설별정정영역별면적표 102 < 표 -11> 사업시설별면적표 ( 공용면적제외 ) 103 < 표 -12> 사업개요 104 < 표 -13> 숙박시설객실분포 ( 사업계획서 ) 105 < 표 -14> 일반실기준계획시객실분포 106 < 표 -15> 13층변경계획안 106 < 표 -16> 민간비즈니스호텔의객실비율 107 < 표 -17> 숙박시설객실및면적구분표 107 < 표 -18> 사업계획서연회시설검토 108 < 표 -19> 서울소재컨벤션홀 110 < 표 -20> 연회시설좌석및면적구분표 113 < 표 -21> 업무및판매시설면적구분표 115 < 표 -22> 사업계획서지원시설구분 116 < 표 -23> 사업계획서주차대수검토 119 < 표 -24> 지원및편의시설면적구분표 120 < 표 -25> 예비타당성조사검토안전용 공용면적 121 < 표 -26> 예비타당성조사검토안전용 공용면적 122 < 표 -27> 사업계획서사업비 123 < 표 -28> 총사업비정정표 124 < 표 -29> 비용보정지수 125 < 표 -30> 검토안의공사적용면적기준 126 < 표 -31> 총사업비종합 126

< 표 -32> 숙박시설신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 128 < 표 -33> 숙박및연회영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 128 < 표 -34> 민간비즈니스호텔의공사금액 129 < 표 -35> 판매영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 129 < 표 -36> 판매영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 130 < 표 -37> 판매영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 130 < 표 -38> 사업시설별정정영역별면적표 131 < 표 -39> 용사의집재건립공사비추정 131 < 표 -40> 신재생에너지의공급의무비율 132 < 표 -41> 신재생에너지의공급의무비율산정방법 132 < 표 -42> 건축용도별보정계수및지역계수 133 < 표 -43> 예상에너지사용량 133 < 표 -44> 신재생에너지원별단위에너지생산량및원별보정계수 134 < 표 -45> 신재생에너지생산량 134 < 표 -46> 신재생에너지생산량 134 < 표 -47> FF&E 비용계산 135 < 표 -48> 사업계획서현황개요 136 < 표 -49> 육군회관철거비 136 < 표 -50> 검토공사비비교 137 < 표 -51> 부대비산정기준 138 < 표 -52> 건축설계대가요율 139 < 표 -53> 건축설계대가의적용요율 139 < 표 -54> 설계비의산출식 ( 검토안 ) 139 < 표 -55> 설계비추정결과 140 < 표 -56> 감리비요율 140 < 표 -57> 감리비의적용요율 141 < 표 -58> 감리비의산출식 ( 검토안 ) 141 < 표 -59> 감리비추정결과 141 < 표 -60> 측량비및조사비산정식 142 < 표 -61> 친환경및에너지효율등급인증 143 < 표 -62> 부대비종합및비교 143

< 표 -63> 용지보상비산정식 ( 총사업비검토용 ) 144 < 표 -64> 용지보상비산정식 ( 경제성분석용 ) 144 < 표 -65> 용지보상비산정결과 144 < 표 -66> 예비비산정결과 145 < 표 -67> 총사업비세부내역별결과 146 < 표 -68> 연차별투입계획 147 < 표 -69> 경제성분석에서제외되는공사비 147 < 표 -70> 총사업비종합 ( 경제성검토용 ) 148 < 표 -71> 연차별투입계획 ( 경제성검토용 ) 148 < 표 -72> 운영비세부내역 (KIDA자료) 150 < 표 -73> 사업계획서의운영비 ( 숙박및연회영역 ) 151 < 표 -74> 서울지역숙박시설원가율 152 < 표 -75> 서울지역일반음식점업원가율 152 < 표 -76> 용사의집재건립사업적용매출및운영비검토결과 153 < 표 -77> 일반관리비추정결과 154 < 표 -78> 수선대수선비용소개 155 < 표 -79> 유지보수비산정을위한직접공사비 ( 숙박및연회영역 ) 157 < 표 -80> 유지보수비산정을위한직접공사비 ( 판매영역영역 ) 157 < 표 -81> 유지보수비산정을위한직접공사비 ( 업무영역영역 ) 158 < 표 -82> 수선비 ( 검토안 ) 159 < 표 -83> 대수선비 ( 검토안 ) 160 < 표 -84> 유지보수비추정결과및경제성검토를위한유지보수비 161 < 표 -85> 총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 162 < 표 -86> 총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 ( 경제성검토 ) 163 < 표 -87> 용사의집재건립공사비추정 164 < 표 -88> 신재생에너지생산량 165 < 표 -89> FF&E 비용 165 < 표 -90> 철거비용 165 < 표 -91> 설계비산정 165 < 표 -92> 측량비및조사비산정식 166 < 표 -93> 친환경및에너지효율등급인증 166

< 표 -94> 감리비의산출식 ( 검토안 ) 166 < 표 -95> 예비비산정결과 ( 용사의집 ) 167 < 표 -96> 예비비산정결과 ( 육군회관 ) 167 < 표 -97> 총사업비세부내역별결과 168 < 표 -98> 총사업비세부내역별결과 ( 경제성검토용 ) 169 < 표 -99> 유지보수비추정결과및경제성검토를위한유지보수비 170 < 표 -100> 용사의집및육군회관기존매출액 171 < 표 -101> 미시행대안의용사의집및육군회관매출액산정 171 < 표 -102> 용사의집및육군회관기존운영원가율 172 < 표 -103> 용사의집및육군회관운영비산출 172 < 표 -104> 미시행대안의총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 173 < 표 -105> 미시행대안의총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 ( 경제성검토 ) 174 < 표 -106> 시행및미시행운영비비교 175 < 표 -107> 시행및미시행운영비비교 ( 경제성검토 ) 176 < 표 -108> 총사업비및운영비총계의연면적비교 177 < 표 -1> 용사의집현황규모 179 < 표 -2> 육군회관규모현황 180 < 표 -3> 사업시행후용사의집규모및면적증감현황 181 < 표 -4> 재경지역군복지시설중객실이용현황 183 < 표 -5> 용사의집성수기 비수기별객실이용현황 183 < 표 -6> 용사의집계급별이용현황 184 < 표 -7> 서울시소재관광호텔등급별객실이용현황 186 < 표 -8> 용산구소재관광호텔등급별객실이용현황 187 < 표 -9> 재경지역출장인원현황 191 < 표 -10> 대외군사교류협력행사현황 192 < 표 -11> 연평균대외군사교류협력현황에따른객실소요 192 < 표 -12> 외국공관의용사의집객실이용현황 196 < 표 -13> 연도별외국인관광객입국현황 198 < 표 -14> 외국인관광객일평균숙박비지출현황 199 < 표 IV-15> 외국인관광객평균숙박일수및투숙인원 199

< 표 IV-16> 간부증원에따른객실수요의연도별추이 200 < 표 -17> 용사의집연회장운영현황 201 < 표 -18> 육군회관연회장운영현황 201 < 표 -19> 용사의집컨벤션개최현황 202 < 표 -20> 육군회관컨벤션개최현황 202 < 표 -21> 자료요청및답변기관 203 < 표 -22> 민간시설이용컨벤션현황 204 < 표 -23> 서울에서개최된국방및안보주제국내 국제회의및행사현황 209 < 표 -24> 서울에서개최된국내 국제회의및행사의개최시설현황 209 < 표 -25> 국방및안보주제국내 국제회의및행사의세부통계 (2010년) 210 < 표 -26> 용사의집연회장운영현황 211 < 표 -27> 육군회관연회장운영현황 211 < 표 -28> 용사의집과육군회관에서개최된연회현황 213 < 표 -29> 용사의집과육군회관의예식현황 214 < 표 -30> 육군혼인율 215 < 표 -31> 본인결혼관련휴가신청현황 215 < 표 -32> 용산지역분기별임대사무실공실률추세 216 < 표 -33> 용산지역분기별매장공실률 (2013년) 217 < 표 -34> 객실수요종합 (2014년도간부수 159,017명기준 ) 221 < 표 -35> 객실수요종합 (2018년도간부수 170,600명기준 ) 222 < 표 -36> 객실수요종합 (2024년도간부수 186,000명기준 ) 222 < 표 -37> 세부시설별수요추정종합 (2014년기준 ) 227 < 표 -38> 간부증원에따른연차별객실수요변동 227 < 표 -39> 재건립사업시행후연간가용객실 228 < 표 -40> 객실수입산정결과 (2018년기준 ) 229 < 표 -41> 객실수입산정결과 (2024년기준 ) 229 < 표 -42> 부대시설수입산정결과 229 < 표 -43> 연차별객실매출및부대수입변동 230 < 표 -44> 대관및다과가동률 230 < 표 -45> 컨벤션수입산정결과 230 < 표 -46> 연회장수입산정결과 231

< 표 -47> 연간가용예식수와연간추정예식수 231 < 표 -48> 예식장수입 232 < 표 -49> 임대사무실수입 232 < 표 -50> 편의시설및상가수입산정결과 233 < 표 -51> 용사의집재건립연간총수입 233 < 표 -1> 세부시설별수요추정종합 (2014년기준 ) 237 < 표 -2> 시장가격에의한객실당 ( 가상 ) 평균판매요금과 WTP 241 < 표 -3> 객실편익산정결과 (2018년기준 ) 242 < 표 -4> 객실편익산정결과 (2018년기준 ) 242 < 표 -5> 객실편익산정결과 (2018년부터 2024년까지 ) 243 < 표 -6> 컨벤션이용요금 243 < 표 -7> 민간시설연회장이용시지출하는식대 244 < 표 -8> 연회장편익 245 < 표 -9> 호텔예식장요금현황 246 < 표 -10> 예식장이용요금 247 < 표 -11> 용산지역오피스빌딩등급기준 248 < 표 -12> 용산지역오피스등급별임대현황 (2013년) 248 < 표 -13> 용산지역임대사무실임대료현황 249 < 표 -14> 용산주변임대빌딩 249 < 표 -15> 임대사무실시장가격및편익 250 < 표 -16> 용산주변매장 (1층) 월임대료분기별추세 (2013년) 250 < 표 -17> 용산주변매장층수별월임대료현황 250 < 표 -18> 편의시설및상가시설편익산정결과 251 < 표 -19> 장병편의시설편익산정결과 251 < 표 -20> 편익산정결과 (2018년기준 ) 252 < 표 -21> 편익산정결과 (2024년기준 ) 252 < 표 -22> 연차별편익산정결과 (2018년부터 2024년까지 ) 253 < 표 -23> 기존수요및편익 254 < 표 -1> 경제성분석결과 ( 증분 ) 257

< 표 -2> 경제성분석 ( 재건립및미시행대안의비용 / 편익증분분석결과 ) 258 < 표 -3> 용사의집재건립사업의민감도분석결과 259 < 표 -1> 본사업의정책적분석항목 261 < 표 -1> 지역낙후도지수산정에사용되는지표의개요 270 < 표 -2> 지역낙후도지수산정을위한지표간가중치 270 < 표 -3> 시도별지역낙후도지표별순위 272 < 표 -4> 시군별지역낙후도산정결과 273 < 표 -5> 세분류가필요한부문 278 < 표 -6> 예비타당성조사의투자비내역 284 < 표 -7> 예비타당성조사의지역경제파급효과 285 < 표 -8> 지역경제활성화효과 287 < 표 -1> 용사의집재건립사업최적대안 291 < 표 -2> 최적대안의경제성분석및지역균형발전분석결과 292 < 표 -3> 용사의집재건립예비타당성조사 AHP 평가항목요약 295 < 표 -4> 가중치산정범위 296 < 표 -5> 항목별가중치산정결과 297 < 표 -6> 용사의집재건립사업예비타당성조사 AHP 평가결과 298 < 표 -7> 평가자별의견일치도와 AHP 평점에따른결론 300 < 표 -8> 민간투자사업추진가능성검토방법 304 < 표 -9> 용사의집재건립예비타당성조사결과요약 311

그림차례 [ 그림 -1] 사업위치도 57 [ 그림 -2] 예비타당성조사수행흐름도 58 [ 그림 -1] 용사의집재건립사업부지위치 63 [ 그림 -2] 국방호텔및문화 / 연구센터조감도및배치도 80 [ 그림 -3] 13~ 17 군인복지기본계획추진방향및추진영역 83 [ 그림 -4] 13~ 17 군인복지기본계획추진영역별목표 84 [ 그림 -1] 지상 9층사업계획서안 108 [ 그림 -2] 지상 10층사업계획서안 108 [ 그림 -3] 지상 8층컨벤션홀평면계획 111 [ 그림 -4] 컨벤션좌석배치개념도 111 [ 그림 -5] 지상 5층 ~7층연회실웨딩홀평면계획 112 [ 그림 -6] 지상4층평면계획 112 [ 그림 -7] 지상 2층 ~3층판매시설평면도계획 114 [ 그림 -8] 지상 11층업무시설평면도계획 114 [ 그림 -9] 지하 1층판매시설평면도계획 115 [ 그림 -10] 지상 12층부대시설 116 [ 그림 -11] 지상1층평면도 117 [ 그림 -12] 지하 2층부대시설 118 [ 그림 -13] 지하 3층부대시설 118 [ 그림 -14] 지하 4층주차장 ( 사업계획서 ) 119 [ 그림 -15] 지하 4층주차장 ( 최대주차예시 ) 120 [ 그림 -1] 육군복지기금연도별적립금액 266 [ 그림 -1] 지역내산업연관표의기본구조 275

[ 그림 -2] 지역간산업연관표 (IRIO) 의기본구조 277 [ 그림 -1] 용사의집재건립예비타당성조사 AHP 계층구조 294 [ 그림 -2] 민간투자사업추진가능성검토수행절차 305

요약

요약 제 Ⅰ 장예비타당성조사의개요 1. 사업추진배경및기대효과 1969 45. - () 2002,. - (2006. 1. 9). -, -, /,, () (1955 )

2. 사업의추진경위및근거 < 표 1> 용사의집재건립사업추진경위 2001. 7. 10 ( 2001-229) 2006. 1. 19 2010. 12. 2 () ( 2006-25) ( 2010-438) 2012. 9. 28 101 14-18 ( 25/ 7, 1,122 ) () 2012. 11. 27 () 2013. 1. 25 () 2013. 2~8 2013. 4. 25 B/C 0.98~1.01, AHP: 0.79 103 15 (30/7, 175 ) (2013-3275) () 2013. 5. 27 () 2013. 10. 16 (: ) 2014. 8. 16 () 2014. 9. 27 () 2014. 11. 4,,

4( ) 2 2 2(). 1. 9 2. 3. 4. [ 2011.5.24] 4( ). 1. 2. 3. () 3. 사업의주요내용 : 3 40-708( ) : 2014 ~ 2017(4) : 1,297() : () - 11~15 1 (11)..

< 표 2> 용사의집재건립사업개요 1) 2) 3 40-708, : 3,168.00 : 3,168.00 : 1,541.74 : 41,708.60 (160), (2,194.7),, : 1,503.00 : 40,436.57 (196), (438.93),, 7/ 30 1,297() 2014 ~ 2017 () 126 91 : 1),, 2013. 8. 2) ****-152(2014. 8. 12) ****-170(2014. 9. 26) < 표 3> 용사의집재건립건축개요 3 40-708, 1 () 3,168.00(958.32) 1,503.00(454.66) 40,436.57(12,232.06) 47.44%( 54%) 800.51%( 910.88%) 7/ 30 83 ( ) : ****-152(2014. 8. 12)

< 표 4> 용사의집재건립시설별면적 (%) 22,396.22 6,774.86 55.39% 7,630.15 2,308.12 18.87% 2,692.99 814.63 6.66% 2,211.29 668.92 5.47% 1,455.94 440.42 3.60% 4,049.98 1,225.12 10.01% 40,436.57 12,232.07 100.00% : ****-152(2014. 8. 12) [ 그림 1] 용사의집재건립사업위치도

제 Ⅱ 장기초자료분석및조사의쟁점 1. 용사의집및육군회관현황분석,,,. - 1969 8 15, 5 1,350. - 1970 1973 ( ). < 표 5> 용사의집연혁 1969.8. 15 ( ) ( 5) 1,350, (23), (6),,, 1970 1973 ( ) 1987. 7,, 1997. 7 ( ) ( 2, 1) 255 1999. 4 (: 12 1) 2009. 7 (: 2 6) - 1~2, /,,, 2010. 2 (: 2 5) - 3 ( / / / ), 2010.12 (: 1 9) - 4 ~ 5,, 4,, 2011.12 (: 5,896) - 5 (2), /,

1~5 4,455(1,350.0) 1~2 778.56(235.5). 1969 1990 2012 C. < 표 6> 용사의집시설현황 : : 4,455(1,350.0) 778.56(235.5) 1, 5 1, 2 1969. 9. 29 1992. 11. 30 1 A, B(, 1 D() (1,099) 2 (1,026) 3 (647) 4 (647) 5 (647) (365), ) (),,,,, (17), (9), /,, (220) 2 (279),,, - -, (279) C()

,,. -. < 표 7> 용사의집객실, 예식및행사이용현황 2010 2011 2012 2013 6,841 7,800 8,011 8,057 1,518 1,905 2,013 2,149 (47,665) (42,430) (48,021) :, TF-36(2014. 2. 26). < 표 8> 용사의집객실이용현황 (: ) 30,749 19,871 6,129 3,246 930 573 2010 6,841 4,518 1,654 587 66 16 2011 7,822 4,979 1,465 1,085 86 207 2012 8,029 5,269 1,386 814 335 225 2013 8,057 5,105 1,624 760 443 125 :, TF-36(2014. 2. 26). < 표 9> 용사의집연회장이용현황 (: ) 7,502 950 3,668 197 1,295 1,392 2010 1,435 157 803 62 154 259 2011 1,905 232 818 47 167 641 2012 2,012 269 982 45 490 226 2013 2,150 292 1,065 43 484 266 :, TF-36(2014. 2. 26).

,,,,.. < 표 10> 육군회관현황 1955 5( ) : 7,920/: 2,700.,,,,,, 9 (4300 240 120 50 20 14 () 7 10 4 < 표 11> 육군회관연회장운영현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 226 14.9 213 13.1 228 14.4 209 14.9 219.0 14.3 753 49.6 860 53.0 833 52.7 673 47.9 779.8 50.9 257 16.9 230 14.2 189 12.0 184 13.1 215.0 14.0 256 16.9 287 17.7 279 17.7 284 20.2 276.5 18.1 27 1.8 33 2.0 51 3.2 54 3.8 41.3 2.7 1,036 68.2 1,180 72.7 1,163 73.6 1,011 72.0 1,097.5 71.7 1,519 100 1,623 100 1,580 100 1,404 100 1,531.5 100 :.

,. < 표 12> 사업시행후용사의집규모및면적증감현황 2) 1) 2) : 5, + 24 1 30, 7 + 6 : 1 7,903 40,436.57 +32,533 45 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 +1 +1 28 0 0 0 1 4 5 +1 +4 +5 15 0 0 0 1 10 11 +1 +10 +11 12 0 0 0 1 47 48 +1 +47 +48 8 23 0 23 16 115 131 7 +115 +108 23 196 +173 1 n/a 438.93 +438.93 3) 721.5 816.1 +94.6 2 3 1 284 n/a - 14 6 8 1,007.2 2,306.4 +1,299.2 811 1,316 +505 n/a 1 +1 n/a 667.6 +667.6 n/a 380 +380 ( 1,877.0 4,243.6 +2,366.6 ) 4) n/a 438.6-5) 3 2-607.5 699.0 - : 1) 2).

3). 4).,. 5), /.,. :. 2. 군인복지기금현황. :. 2014 2013 1 5,017 7.5% 1,122 1 6,139. < 표 13> 군인복지기금조성액 ( 연말기준 ) (: ) 12 13 () 14 () 14,570 15,017 16,139 (, ) 5,377 5,465 6,372 4,386 4,387 4,009 4,519 4,877 5,470 288 288 288 :,, 2013. 12.

3. 군복지시설현황분석 2,224, 2,190, 34.,, () 4 2014 10. < 표 14> 재경내군복지시설현황 1955 2003 1987 2014 5 G2 ( ) 7 1245 7 101-1 1 : 1, 5 2 2 3, 7 : 2, 10~13,,,,,,,,,,,

4. 상위계획검토 13~ 17 () 2013~2017 5 7 77. 10. [ 그림 2] 13~ 17 군인복지기본계획 추진영역별목표 :, 13~ 17, 2013.

5. 국방부의성과목표체계 : - - - - - - - -. - (trade-off),. -,. -,.

6. 조사의주요쟁점 가. 사업추진상의쟁점 (2006. 1. 19). - 2012 11 2013 5 (). (). 나. 미시행대안설정및경제성분석 B/C.,,. (do-nothing) (do-something).

다. 비용추정의쟁점. ().,. 1969 45, 55. 2014 (). 라. 수요및편익추정의쟁점 -,,,,,. -..

< 표 15> 세부시설별수요추정방법,, ( ),, ( ) (, ) - WTP. - ( ). -. -.

제 Ⅲ 장비용추정 1. 사업계획의적절성검토 2013 5 1(2013. 12. 26) 2(2014. 5.2 9) ().. - 1-1 3,168.0 2,787.7 380.3. (),. [ 그림 3] 서울시도시계획위원회구역분할계획 ( 최종 )

2. 규모의적절성검토 4,455.00. (778.56) 5,233.56.,,,...,. < 표 16> 예비타당성조사검토안전용 공용면적 (: ) 6,763.14 11,035.42 17,798.56 44.02% 3,935.05 6,420.82 10,355.87 25.61% 1,865.90 3,044.59 4,910.49 12.14% 12,564.09 20,500.83 33,064.92 81.77% 438.93 716.20 1,155.13 2.86% 2,362.17 3,854.35 6,216.52 15.37% 2,801.10 4,570.55 7,371.65 18.23% 15,365.19 25,071.38 40,436.57 100%

3. 비용추정,,,.,, - : 2010 - : 2010~12 - : 2010 () 94,890... FF&E 10%.,.

117,399 2,030. < 표 17> 검토공사비비교 (: ) (A) (B) (B-A) - 73,911 73,911-9,855 9,855-2,497 2,497 91,225 8,627-82,598 91,225 94,889 3,664 10,161 10,161-1,101 1,529 428 FF&E 11,150 7,391-3,759 1,381 1,381 - - 2,047 2,047 115,369 117,399 2,030,. < 표 18> 부대비산정기준 2013 1% 2013 (, 2013. 12. 17)

11,645. < 표 19> 부대비종합및비교 (: ) 5,884 5,066 11 39 994 66-6 - 50 - () 54 632 5,280 3,894 1,059 11,390 11,645 100% 102.24% 2014 4 (). -. < 표 20> 용지보상비산정식 (A) (B) (C) 1) - 51,638 3,168 16.3/ 1.4 72,294 :.,, 10%.

193,586 129,790 63,796.,. < 표 21> 총사업비세부내역별결과 (: ) (A) (B) (B-A) A. 115,369 117,399 2,030 A-1 91,225 86,264-4,961 A-2 10,161 10,161 0 A-3 1,102 1,529 427 A-4 FF&E(, ) 11,500 7,391-4,109 A-5 1,381 1,381 0 A-6-10,673 10,673 B. 11,390 11,645 255 B-1 5,884 5,066-818 B-2 11 B-3 39 994 983 B-4 66 - -66 B-5 6 - -6 B-6 50 - -50 B-7 () 54 632 578 B-8 5,280 3,894-1,386 B-9-1,059 1,059 C. - 51,638 51,638 D. 2,581 - -2,581 E-1 2,336 - -2,336 E-2 245-245 E. 450 12,904 12,454 F. (A+B+D+E) 141,948 12,158 129,790 (A+B+C+D+E) 193,586 63,796 : 1) 2).

4. 운영비추정 (2013. 8) (****-170, 2014. 9. 26)..,, (). 19,050. < 표 22> 용사의집재건립사업적용매출및운영비검토결과 (: ) 3,564 69.5% 2,477 341 426 67.5% 288 767 2,674 67.5% 1,805 395 18,438 67.5% 12,446 3,293 60% 1,976 22,126 137 0.5% 686 1,154 5.0% 58 19,050

,. 30. 30 81,089. < 표 23> 수선 대수선비용소개 (: ) FF&E 10,868 55,439 14,782 81,089 2,703 5. 미시행대안의사업비... - 63,615, 20,341 83,956. - 1, 2017 2018.

< 표 24> 미시행시총사업비세부내역별결과 (: ) A. 117,399 9,930 5,173 15,103 A-1 86,264 7,785 4,077 11,862 A-2 10,161 - - - A-3 1,529 295 97 392 A-4 FF&E(, ) 7,391 699 408 1,107 A-5 1,381 248 121 369 A-6 10,673 902.7 470.3 1,373 B. 11,645 958.1 512.6 1,470.7 B-1 5,066 434 235 669 B-3 994 78 41 119 B-4 () 632 54 30 84 B-5 3,894 305 160 465 B-6 1,059 87 47 134 C. 51,638 51,638 14,087 65,725 D. 12,904 1,089 569 1,658 E. (A+B+D) 141,948 11,977 6,254 18,231 (A+B+C+D) 193,586 63,615 20,341 83,956 30 15,603.. -. - 2 7,,, -.

-. 9,952. < 표 25> 용사의집및육군회관운영비산출 (: ) 10,989 90.56% 9,952 < 표 26> 용사의집및육군회관기존운영원가율 (: ) 2011 14,049 12,760 865 672 383 10,839 90.82% 2012 15,709 13,444 890 621 41 11,893 85.58% 2013 15,020 13,477 1,179 639 336 11,323 89.73% 14,926 13,227 978 644 253 11,352 88.71% 2011 3,350 3,062 1,025 1,725 311 91.40% 2012 3,495 3,258 1,058 1,655 545 93.21% 2013 3,218 2,981 1,190 1,507 285 92.63% 3,354 3,100 1,091 1,629 380 92.41% 18,280 16,327 2,069 2,273 634 11,352 90.56%

제 Ⅳ 장수요및편익추정 1. 수요및편익추정의개요 (),,,,,. < 표 27> 세부시설별수요추정종합 (2014 년기준 ) (:,, ) () 3,947 1,908 7,368 0 22,840 25,869 () 223 (25,022) 61 (3,257) () 2,965 (61,107) 904 (18,971) 904 (18,971) 139 118 573 487 94.1% 91.6% 34,155 27,777 712 605 61,932 (86.6%) 284 (28,279) 4,772 (99,048) 1,317 94.1% 91.6% : 68.3% 74.3%( 2 ).

2. 시설별수요및편익 가. 개요 WTP(Willingness to Pay). 나. 객실. - : 657 (2011),,. - : 2.. < 표 28> 재건립후객실수요의구분 - - - - - 2 - (159,017) 2024 2,500~2,900

186,000.,. 2018 2024. 2024 2024. < 표 29> 간부증원에따른연차별객실수요변동 (:, ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 170,600 173,500 176,000 178,500 181,000 183,500 186,000 36,239 36,760 37,211 37,660 38,110 38,560 39,010 26,229 25,841 25,507 25,173 24,838 24,504 24,170 62,468 62,601 62,718 62,833 62,948 63,064 63,180 87.3% 87.5% 87.7% 87.8% 88.0% 88.2% 88.3%. < 표 30> 편익산출예시 (: ) / ( ) (/ ) 40,000 54,500 500,000 40,000 70,000 500,000 40,000 40,000 40,000 150,000 180,000 180,000 180,000 500,000-140,000 110,000-180,000 140,000 110,000 -

- :. - :. - :. < 표 31> 수요에따른객실편익산정방법 (/) = ( ) ()= * () * =5,312 (=68.3% 7,777[// ]). -. - WTP WTP. -. < 표 32> 객실편익조정치 (2018 년기준 ) () 45 56.50 28 297.48 15 742.84 12 3,236.32 () [ ] [ ] WTP () [ WTP ] (+) / [( + 2.38) 1 } 8 7,347.75 (21,098 40,000) (28,871+26,229 2.38) (59,090 62,468) 30,863 11,680.89 843.92 3,691.23 2,817.67

2018 9,963.40. < 표 33> 객실편익산정결과 (2018 년 ~2024 년 ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5,777.90 5,885.69 5,979.88 6,068.52 6,146.46 6,235.03 6,329.14 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 5,250.32 5,175.22 5,110.84 5,042.90 4,968.16 4,900.47 4,835.99 11,680.89 10,869.66 10,899.47 10,920.17 10,923.37 10,944.25 10,973.88 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 WTP 3,691.23 3,699.09 3,706.01 3,712.80 3,719.60 3,726.45 3,733.31 2,817.67 2,805.25 2,794.63 2,783.96 2,773.24 2,762.59 2,751.95 9,963.40 9,131.90 9,144.18 9,147.41 9,133.09 9,136.47 9,148.60 다. 컨벤션. - -. < 표 34> 컨벤션수요추정결과 / 8 223 114.

,. 908. < 표 35> 컨벤션이용요금 (1) / (2) () (3) (4) 202 223 112 2,530,000 27,500 () (1) (3)+(1) (2) (4) 0.5 908 라. 연회장 (+). < 표 36> 연회장수요종합 (, ) 61,107 18,971 18,971. - : - : 4,727. < 표 37> 연회장편익 () () () 61,107 57,000 3,483 18,971 57,000 1,081 18,971 20,260 163 1) 99,048 4,727 : 1) 42.4%.

마. 예식장,. - :. - : - :. < 표 38> 총예식수요추정결과 139 118 573 487 712 605 1,317,,. 12,669. < 표 39> 예식장이용요금 () () 257 350 820,000 54,500 4,140,000 6,177 1,060 350 140,000 14,500 910,000 6,493 1,317 12,669

바. 임대사무실, 4 Ramp-up. - : 5.9%( 94.1%) - 60%, 2 70%, 3 80%, 4 94.1% < 표 40> 임대사무실시장가격및편익 () (%) () () 1 133 438.93 94.10 186 137 사. 편의시설및상가 4 Ramp-up. - 60%, 2 70%, 3 80%, 4 91.6% -, 45%, Ramp-up. < 표 41> 편의시설및상가시설편익산정결과 () (%) (/) () 4,942.57 91.60 142,775 1,154 : ( ) 56%.

16. < 표 42> 장병편의시설편익산정결과 () (%) () () () 438.63 91.60-142,775 102 : ( ) 56%. 아. 기타편익. < 표 43> 육군회관부지활용편익 (:, ) 7,914 14,087 1.4 554 19,168

3. 편익산출결과 2018 29,662, 2024 29,691. < 표 44> 편익산정결과 (2018 년기준 ) (: ) 5,586 5,250 9,963 907-907 4,727-4,727 12,669-12,669-137 137 102 1,154 1,256 3,993 6,541 29,661 < 표 45> 편익산정결과 (2024 년기준 ) (: ) 6,137 4,836. 9,992 907-907.6 4,727-4,727 12,669-12,669-137.2 137 102 1,154.3 1,256 24,544 6,127.5 29,690 < 표 46> 연차별편익산정결과 (2018 년 ~2024 년 ) (: ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 29,661.8 29,450.7 29,564.8 29,689.7 29,675.4 29,678.8 29,690.9 : 2018 3 60%, 70%, 80%.

4. 미시행대안과비교한증분편익.. < 표 47> 기존수요및편익 (: ) () 7,687() 70,000 538 7 2,965() 2,530,000 564 112(/) 27,500 343 908 61,107() 57,000 3,483 257() 300,000 77 350(/) 54,500 4,902 257() 2,500,000 643 5,622 1877m 2 142,775 438 10,989 : 1) 7. 2),,. 3). 4) 56% 91.6%. 5).

제 Ⅴ 장경제성분석 1. 경제성분석의전제 - (do-nothing) (do-something) (B/C) : 5.5% : 2012 : 2015~2047 [(3)+ (30)] 2. 경제성분석결과 ΔB/ΔC 1.09 ( ) ( ). < 표 48> 경제성분석결과증분 ) (: ) Δ ΔB/ΔC ΔNPV Δ Δ 1.09 17,710 201,149 218,859

제 Ⅵ 장정책적분석 1. 관련계획및정책방향과의일치성. - 5. - 13~ 17 () 5 7 77, 10. 2. 사업추진의지및준비정도... 2012,,

.,. 3. 사업추진상의위험요인 가. 재원조달가능성 2013, 2014 2013 1,488 2015 1,699, 2016 1,355, 2017 634, 2018 769. 14 18 1,297.,. 나. 환경성평가.,..

제 Ⅶ 장지역균형발전분석 16 170 1. 0.0231%. < 표 49> 지역경제활성화효과 (: ) 1,173.12 667.47 (GRDP, 2011 ) 2,886,258.16 (%) 0.0231% : 1) 2012. 2) AHP GRDP. 3) 2008~2010 135 0.3431%.

제 Ⅷ 장종합평가및정책제언 1. AHP 를활용한종합판단 AHP. < 표 50> 용사의집재건립사업최적대안 3 40-708 : 3,168.00 : 1,503.00 : 40,436.57 () 2014~2017 () 129,454 193,586 : 1). 2) 2012. AHP < 표 51> 최적대안의경제성분석및지역균형발전분석결과 B/C NPV() 1.09 17,710 1/16 1/170 0.0752%

AHP AHP, 0.551 0.449. - AHP 6 5. 2. 민간투자사업추진가능성검토 AHP, 0.551,,., 2. 3. 종합평가및정책제언 가. 종합평가 1969. 2012 193,586. (do-nothing) (do-something)

(B/C). ΔB/ΔC 1.09 ( ) ( ). -,. -,. -,. -,. -. - 16 170 1. - 0.0231% 2008~2010 135 0.3431%. 0.551, 0.449.

, 2.. < 표 52> 용사의집재건립예비타당성조사결과요약 (: ) 1) / 3 40-708 2014~2017 /(100%) : 3,168.00 : 1,503.00 : 40,436.57 (196), (438.93),, : 3,168.00 : 1,503.00 : 40,436.57 (196), (438.93),, A. 115,369 117,399 B. 11,390 11,645 C. - 51,638 D. 2,581 - E. 450 12,904 F. 129,790 193,586 (B/C) - 1.09 AHP - 0.551 : 1) ****-152(2014. 8. 12). ****-170 (2014. 9. 26). 2). 3). 4) 2012.

나. 정책제언.,. -. -,. -,,. - -. -.

용사의집재건립 예비타당성조사 제Ⅰ장예비타당성조사추진개요제Ⅱ장기초자료분석및조사의주요쟁점제Ⅲ장비용추정제Ⅳ장수요추정제Ⅴ장편익산정제Ⅵ장경제성분석제Ⅶ장정책적분석제Ⅷ장지역균형발전분석제Ⅸ장종합평가및정책제언

제 Ⅰ 장예비타당성조사추진개요 제 1 절사업의목적및추진경위 1. 사업의목적및기대효과 1969.,.,,, (). 2. 사업의추진경위, () 2002,.

(2006. 1. 9). 2012 9 101 14~ 18 25, 7 1,122 11 (). 2013 1 2013 2 8. 2013 12 2013. 1) 2). < 표 Ⅰ-1> 용사의집재건립사업추진경위 2001. 7. 10 ( 2001-229) 2006. 1. 19 2010. 12. 2 () ( 2006-25) ( 2010-438) 2012. 9. 28 101 14-18 ( 25/ 7, 1,122 ) () 2012. 11. 27 () 2013. 1. 25 () 2013. 2~8 2013. 4. 25 B/C 0.98~1.01, AHP: 0.79 103 15 (30/7, 175 ) (2013-3275) () 2013. 5. 27 ()

< 표 Ⅰ-1> 의계속 2013. 10. 16 (: ) 2014. 8. 16 () 2014. 9. 27 () 2014. 11. 4,, 3. 사업의추진근거 2() 4( ) 2 2. 2() 4. 2(). 1. 9 2. 3. 4. [ 2011.5.24] 4( ). 1. 2. 3. ()

4. 사전용역주요내용 (, 2013.08) (, 2013.08) ). ().,,.. (, 2013.08) : : 2013.02.16~2013.08 - - : B/C 1.02, NPV: 135.5 - : B/C 0.98~1.02, NPV: 104~55 -,,. AHP: 0.76

제 2 절사업개요 1. 사업의주요내용 3,168.00, 40,436.57,,,,,. 2014 2017, 1,297. 17~29 160 11~15 196. < 표Ⅰ-2> 용사의집재건립사업개요 3 40-708, - : 3,168.00(958.32), : 1,503.00(454.66), : 40,436.57(12,232.07) - 7/ 30 1,297() 2014~2017 () : 1),, 2013. 8. 2) ****-152(2014. 8. 12) 3) ****-170(2014. 9. 26).

< 표 Ⅰ-3> 용사의집재건립시설별면적표변경사항 (%) 13,596.81 4,118.03 17,739.27 5,366.12 32.6 42.5 7,693.77 4.001.32 18.4 2,897.64 876.54 7 2,636.08 797.41 6.3 5,178.07 1,566.37 1035.61 313.27 12.4 2.5 9,706.23 2,936.14 23.3 41,708.60 12,616.85 100 : ****-152(2014. 8. 12) +4,142.46 (+1,253.09) -4,142.46 (-1,253.09) < 표Ⅰ-4> 용사의집재건립시설별면적 (%) 22,396.22 6,774.86 55.39 7,630.15 2,308.12 18.87 2,692.99 814.63 6.66 2,211.29 668.92 5.47 1,455.94 440.42 3.60 4,049.98.23 1,225.12 10.01 40,436.57 12,232.07 100 : ****-152(2014. 8. 12) 1,297.

< 표 Ⅰ-5> 용사의집재건립총사업비 (: ) 1,496,200,895 14 () 2,991,226,455 14 () 219,291,029 //// 115,873,632,000 1,659,824,000 3,192,825,500 4,955,960,455, 250,346,261 14 (), 2,139,000,000 1.82% 129,787,080,140 :,, 2013. 8.,, 2014. 2. 7 2. 사업대상지위치 3 40-708. [ 그림 Ⅰ-1] 사업위치도

제3절예비타당성조사의주요내용 1. 예비타당성조사의절차 [ -2],,,. [ 그림 Ⅰ-2] 예비타당성조사수행흐름도, (,, ) - : (AHP)

2. 예비타당성조사의주요내용 2013 (-625 (2013.11.19.)),,.. 가. 기초자료분석및조사의쟁점도출,,. do-nothing (brainstorming),,,...,.,. 나. 사업계획의적절성검토.,..

다. 경제성분석 -(cost-benefit analysis)..,,, (5) (KDI, 2008.12)( ). 1) 수요및편익산정.. 2) 규모검토및비용추정,. 3) 경제적타당성평가 - (B/C), (NPV). 라. 정책적분석

.,,,.,. 마. 종합평가및정책제언, (KDI). (AHP; Analytic Hierarchy Process). AHP.. 3. 예비타당성조사의범위.,.

제 Ⅱ 장 기초자료분석및조사의주요쟁점 제 1 절기초자료분석 1. 사업부지분석 가. 위치 3 40-708 1-1.,,,. 2km.,,,,. 8,.

[ 그림 Ⅱ-1] 용사의집재건립사업부지위치 나. 자연환경분석,,,,. ( 262m),,. 12,334,920.0 1,697,048.0,,,.,, 1 ( ),(). 다. 교통환경분석 4, 1,, KTX, 5., 1, 15, 3,.

,. < 표 Ⅱ-1> 사업대상지교통현황 2. 사회경제적환경분석 가. 인구 2007 2011.. 2013 251,925, 109,361. < 표 Ⅱ-2> 용산구인구및가구수 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 () 248,362 251,043 251,200 257,143 259,288 255,294 251,925 () 107,720 106,966 107,456 113,204 112,617 110,706 109,361 :, 2013 34,017.

< 표 Ⅱ-3> 용산구노령인구현황 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 () 248,362 251,043 251,200 257,143 259,288 255,294 251,925 65 26,039 27,167 28,167 30,996 31,837 33,027 34,017 (%) 10.48 10.82 11.21 12.05 12.28 12.94 13.50 나. 지역경제현황 57%,,,.. 3. 용사의집현황분석 가. 연혁,,,. 1969 8 15 5 1,350. 1970 1973 ( ). < 표 Ⅱ-4> 용사의집연혁 1969.8. 15 ( ) ( 5) 1,350, (23), (6),,, 1970 1973 ( ) 1987. 7,, 1997. 7 ( ) ( 2, 1) 255 1999. 4 (: 12 1)

< 표 Ⅱ-4> 의계속 2009. 7 2010. 2 2010.12 2011.12 (: 2 6) - 1~2, /,,, (: 2 5) - 3 ( / / / ), (: 1 9) - 4 ~ 5,, 4,, (: 5,896) - 5 (2), /, 나. 시설현황 1~5 4,455(1,350.0) 1~2 778.56(235.5). 1969 1990,,. 2012 C.

< 표 Ⅱ-5> 용사의집시설현황 : : 4,455(1,350.0) 778.56(235.5) 1, 5 1, 2 1969. 9. 29 1992. 11. 30 1 A, B(, 1 D() (1,099) 2 (1,026) 3 (647) 4 (647) 5 (647) (365), ) (),,,,, (17), (9), /,, (220) 2 (279),,, - -, (279) C() : 다. 이용현황,,,..,,. 3,

. < 표 Ⅱ-6> 용사의집객실, 예식및행사이용현황 2010 2011 2012 2013 6,841 7,800 8,011 8,057 1,905 1,518 (47,665) :, TF-36(2014. 2. 26). 2,013 (42,430) 2,149 (48,021) < 표 Ⅱ-7> 용사의집객실이용현황 30,749 19,871 6,129 3,246 930 573 2010 6,841 4,518 1,654 587 66 16 2011 7,822 4,979 1,465 1,085 86 207 2012 8,029 5,269 1,386 814 335 225 2013 8,057 5,105 1,624 760 443 125 :, TF-36(2014. 2. 26). < 표 Ⅱ-8> 용사의집연회장이용현황 7,502 950 3,668 197 1,295 1,392 2010 1,435 157 803 62 154 259 2011 1,905 232 818 47 167 641 2012 2,012 269 982 45 490 226 2013 2,150 292 1,065 43 484 266 :, TF-36(2014. 2. 26).

제 2 절군인복지기금및복지시설현황분석 1. 군인복지기금.. 32( ). 4( ). 1. ( "" ) 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8.. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7.

. 3 < 표 Ⅱ-9> 군인복지기금예산및집행현황 (2011 년 ~2013 년 ) (: ) 11 11 12 12 13 13 769,577 814,762 787,653 749,798 912,183 1,083,763 2200 () 291,147 283,206 297,159 283,708 343,016 320,551 (2237-641) 227,842 217,617 229,531 217,495 239,202 223,888 (2237-642) 28,679 33,250 34,318 34,369 45,852 44,220 (2238-643) 19,606 18,340 18,878 18,782 18,866 17,919 (2238-644) 8,017 7,795 7,698 6,950 33,290 28,808 (2238-645) 500 315 250 135 - - (2239-646) 5,320 4,706 5,266 4,760 4,588 4,498 (2239-647) 1,183 1,183 1,218 1,217 1,218 1,218 9700 () 305,891 374,164 313,117 175,644 307,342 276,059 (9702-971) 284,783 328,399 152,993 98,326 206,834 119,642 (9702-973) 21,108 45,394 160,124 77,247 100,508 156,398 (9705-975) 0 371 0 71 0 19 2200 () 97,319 100,895 116,658 116,654 127,596 126,242 (2240-648) 97,319 100,895 116,658 116,654 127,596 126,242 9700 () 0 0 0 27,870 19,000 98,063 (9703-973) 0 0 0 0 19,000 97,320 (9706-976) 0 0 0 27,870 0 743 2200 () 75,220 56,496 60,719 43,476 51,152 43,184 (2241-649) 75,220 56,496 60,719 43,476 51,152 43,184 9700 () 0 0 0 102,446 64,077 219,664 (9704-975) 0 0 0 0 0 0 (9704-974) 0 0 0 102,445 64,077 219,663 (9707-977) 0 0 0 1 0 1 : (, 2013.12) 2014 877

137, 2,525 399. 2014 20, 1,527 251. 2014 1 6,139 2013 1 5,017 7.5% 1,122. < 표 Ⅱ-10> 군인복지기금기금운용계획안 13 14 (%) 912,183 929,376 17,193 1.9 38,429 25,032 13,397 34.9 2,838 5,570 2,732 96.3 286,515 340,204 53,689 18.7 0 12,778 12,778 169,953 214,316 44,363 26.1 390,272 325,388 64,884 16.6 24,176 6,088 18,088 74.8 13 14 (%) 912,183 929,376 17,193 1.9 239,202 246,105 6,903 2.9 45,852 43,820 2,032 4.4 18,866 19,394 528 2.8 33,290 16,879 16,411 49.3 4,588 4,662 74 1.6 1,218 1,264 46 3.8 0 0 0 0 127,596 152,673 25,077 19.7 51,152 47,386 3,766 7.4 0 88,046 88,046 390,419 309,147 81,272 20.8 :,, 2013. 12.

< 표 Ⅱ-11> 군인복지기금기금조성액 ( 연말기준 ) (: ) 12 13 14 () () 14,570 15,017 16,139 (, ) 5,377 5,465 6,372 4,386 4,387 4,009 4,519 4,877 5,470 288 288 288 :,, 2013. 12. 2. 군복지시설현황 2,224, 2,190, 34. (PX), 14. (/) 8,,, () 4..

가. 육군회관 1) 일반현황,,,,.. < 표 Ⅱ-12> 육군회관현황 1955 5( ) : 7,920/: 2,700.,,,,,, 9 (4300 240 120 50 20 14 () 7 10 4 2) 운영현황 10% 10%. 500( 200, 300 ),,,,,,.,,.

< 표 Ⅱ-13> 육군회관연회장운영현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 226 14.9 213 13.1 228 14.4 209 14.9 219.0 14.3 753 49.6 860 53.0 833 52.7 673 47.9 779.8 50.9 257 16.9 230 14.2 189 12.0 184 13.1 215.0 14.0 256 16.9 287 17.7 279 17.7 284 20.2 276.5 18.1 27 1.8 33 2.0 51 3.2 54 3.8 41.3 2.7 1,036 68.2 1,180 72.7 1,163 73.6 1,011 72.0 1,097.5 71.7 1,519 100 1,623 100 1,580 100 1,404 100 1,531.5 100 :. 나. 공군회관 1) 일반현황 7, 2 (25) 4 6. 1~3. 1 10,.

< 표 Ⅱ-14> 공군회관현황 2003 4 2 7 1245 : 7,077.62 : 2,600.72 : 15,084 7 6 ((1), (4)) 5 ((9)), 4 ((12)) 3 ( ) :,,, :,, 2 :,,, :, :, 1 :,, VIP,, :,, 1~2

2) 운영현황. 3 1. 60% 40%. 10, 98%. 80%. 10, 4. 1 12 10~11. 다. 해군호텔 1) 일반현황 1987 1995,,,. < 표 Ⅱ-15> 해군호텔현황 1987 7 31 7 101-1 (3,06.3) 2 1 : (/ : 462, 300) : (42.9), (13.2), (267.3) : (257.4), (234.3) : (33.3), (33), (24.5), (24.5) : (234.3) : (138.6)

< 표계속 > (9,616.2) 6 : (115.5-1, 49.-2, 26.4-6) 5 : (49.8-1, 26.4-14) 3 : (250.8), (75.9), (135.3), (75.9) : (320.1) 2 1 1 2 : (49.5), (23.1), (49.5) (42.5) : (23.1), ( : 132), (201.3), (49.5), (49.5) : (320.1), (214.5) : (125.4), (23.1), (26.4) (36.3) (257.4) : (1,428.9), (33), (135.3), (52.8), (214.5), (33), (49.5), (195) (1,167.87) 2) 운영현황. (65%). 가 ) 숙박시설 2... 75%,,.,,,,.

나 ) 웨딩홀및연회장 300 200 2 60%. 300 2010 9. 10,... 80%, 20% 10% 10%. 다 ) 기타시설 1,,,. 라. 국방호텔 1) 사업개요 (), () ().. < 표 Ⅱ-16> 국방호텔및문화센터 / G2 ( ) 38,076 77,217 (23,358) 3, 10~13 2012. 6 ~ 2014. 10 (28) 1,269(VAT, 1 ESC ) : -2449 (2014. 3. 31).

< 표 Ⅱ-17> 국방호텔및문화 / 연구센터세부시설 260 420 2, 240 660 2 1 1 1 1,,,, 149 30 136 65 6 65 3 90 3 180 1 8, 440 760 1 (6 ) 180 225 2 5 150 475 1 270 1 : -2449 (2014. 3. 31).

[ 그림 Ⅱ-2] 국방호텔및문화 / 연구센터조감도및배치도

제 3 절관련법및관련계획 1. 관련법. 2 3,,,,. 5.. 9,,,. 4..

1(). 2(). 1. "" 21. 2. "".... 3. ""...,.,. 4. "" ( ). 5( ). < 2014.1.14> 1() (). 2() " ". 1. 9 2. 3. 4. 4( ). 1. 2. 3. ()

2. 관련계획검토 가. 군인복지기본계획 5, ( ),. 13~ 17 (, 2013) 13~ 17. 5 7 77. [ 그림 Ⅱ-3] 13~ 17 군인복지기본계획추진방향및추진영역 :, 13 17, 2013

10. [ 그림 Ⅱ-4] 13~ 17 군인복지기본계획추진영역별목표 :, 13~ 17, 2013.

3. 부처의성과목표체계 가. 부처의성과목표체계와성과지표,.,,.,. 5. < 표 Ⅱ-18> 국방부의성과목표체계.......... :, ****-125(2014. 07. 01). -1.. -2.. -1.. -2.. -3.. -1.. -1.. -2.. -1.. -2.. -3.. -4.. -5.. -6..

5.. -1....,.,,. < 표 Ⅱ-19> 관리과제 ( 장병복지향상 ) 성과지표 (1) ( ) 100 (2) ( ) 100 (3) (/ ) 100 < 표 Ⅱ-20> 예비타당성조사사업 ( 용사의집재건립 ) 성과지표 (1) (2) (3) 100 : (, ) 1,000, 500 : (5, 20) * (, ) * * : 3 ( : 3) / 100 - - : 1 50 - : : (-) > 50 *

나. 성과지표의적절성검토.,,..,., (trade-off),.,,.,,.,.

제 4 절예비타당성조사의주요쟁점 1. 관련개발계획과의연계성문제 (2006.01.19). 2012 11 2013 5 (). (). 2. 미시행대안설정및경제성분석 가. 미시행대안의설정 B/C.,. 3). () 4).,

,,. 나. 경제성분석의가정 (do-nothing) (do-something). 3. 비용추정의쟁점 가. 사업규모의적정성검토.,,. 나. 사업계획공사비산정의적정성검토 ()..,.,. KIDA(),. 1969 45,

55.. 다. 용지보상비산정. 2014 (, 2014. 4. 1).. 4. 수요추정의쟁점 가. 수요추정개요,,,,,...,,, ( ). ( ),,. 나. 세부시설별수요추정방법.

,, ( ),,., ( ). (, ). ( ). 5. 편익추정의쟁점.,.. 가. 군복지편익 (SOC)..,, 1. ( ).

. (,,, ),,,,. ( ).. 나. 편의성제고편익 ( 민간에제공되는편익 ) 5).,, ( )..

다. 육군회관부지활용편익..

제 Ⅲ 장비용추정 제 1 절사업계획의적절성검토 1. 사업개요 < -1>. < 표 Ⅲ-1> 사업의개요 3 40-708 3,168.00(958.32),, 1 ( ), () 7, 30 40,436.57(12,232.06) 2014 ~ 2017 : ****-152(2014. 8. 12)

< 표 Ⅲ-2> 용사의집재건립사업비산정 ( 사업계획서 ) 2,353,543,918 3,530,315,878 11,215,029 38,500,000 66,000,000 5,973,000 49,500,000 54,076,000 3,755,579,907 6,109,123,825 38,080,862,867 3,106,043,205 1,390,154,543 22,235,780,655 8,885,252,848 6,140,051,788 11,387,302,791 91,225,448,696 10,161,414,655 391,673,000 710,000,000 1,101,673,000 FF&E(, ) 11,500,000,000 1,010,090,250 123,605,118, 210,721,500, 36,846,700 1,381,263,568 115,369,799,919 5,280,025,325 641,603,867 71,126,070 1,623,110,000 2,335,839,937,, 245,823,001, 450,000,000 129,790,612,007 : ****-152(2014. 8. 12) (: )

.. 가. 사업예정지역의적절성검토 (2006. 1. 19) 2012 11 2013 5 (). 2013 10 1-1( ) 1-2 1-1 1-2. 1(2013.12.26) 2(2014.5.29), (). 1-1 3,168.0 2,787.7... ().

< 표 Ⅲ-3> 정비구역변경 ( 구역분할 ) 주요진행결과 () / : - 1-1,1-2,, ( 13.10.16) - : 30m () - 30m (%) *1 : 55:45, 2 : 57:43 - (1) (%) * 25(1/4) : 75(3/4) ( 13.12.26), () (, ),

< 표 Ⅲ-3> 의계속 (2) ( 14.5.29) () :, TF :, 1-2 14.6.30,, 2 () ( 25:75 ) 8 () () ( ) - ( 30) 9

나. 사업계획의시설면적검토,,,,. 160 196.. < 표 Ⅲ-4> 용사의집재건립사업검토영역구분 196,, FOH, BOH,,,,, 7 8. (55.39%), (31.0%) 86.39%.. (3.60%) (10.01%),...

< 표 Ⅲ-5> 용사의집재건립사업계획시설면적 () 30F 722.11 (552.00), 29F 699.64 451, 282, 151, 121 5 28F 699.64 282, 153, 121, 81 7 27F 699.64 156, 121, 82 9 26F 697.12 4 23F =2,788.48 12 9 X 4 26 22F 697.12 8 12 1, 8 14 X 8 15X8 15F =5,576.96 = 12 8 8 112 = 120 14F 697.12 (151,121,812) 14 13F 697.12 (281,84) 5 12F 697.12 (PC,,-438.63/133) : 196 11F 741.74 (438.93/133) 10F 726.27 (360.75/109), 220 9F 749.34, (360.75/109) 220 8F 1,374.13 (667.55/202),, 380 7F 1,374.13 (272.02/82), (364.48/110) 230 6F 1,374.13 (272.02/82), (364.48/110) 230 5F 1,374.13 (272.02/82), (364.48/110) 230 4F 1,374.13 (491.41/149), (146.88/44), 168 3F 1,217.17 (556.34/138) 1,678 2F 1,217.17 (556.34/138) 1F 560.13,,,, 25,360.30 B1F 2,16935 (1,167.54/353),MDF, B2F 2,153.49,,,,(997.46/302) B3F 2,136.98 B.O.H,,,,, B4F 2,217.03 3 = 6,651.09,,, B7F 1,965.36,,,, 15,076.27 40,4363.57 : ****-152(2014. 8. 12)

,. < 표 Ⅲ-6> 사업시설별면적표 ( 공용면적포함 ) () (%) 22,396.22 55.39 7,630.15 18.87 2,692.99 6.66 2,211.29 5.47 1,455.94 3.6 4,049.98.23 10.01 40,436.57 100 < 표 Ⅲ-7> 사업시설별면적표 ( 공용면적제외 ) () (%) 6,763.14 12.22 1,358.00 5.53 1,909.50 1.96 667.55 1.6 438.93 5.26 4,228.07 8.2,, 25,071.38 65.23 40,436.57 100. < 표 Ⅲ-8> 사업시설별정정면적표 () () () 6,763.14 11,035.42 17,798.56 1,358.00 2,215.85 3,573.85 1,909.50 3,115.73 5,025.23 667.55 1,089.24 1,756.79 438.93 716.20 1,155.13 4,228.07 6,898.94 11,127.01,, 25,071.38-40,436.57 25,071.38 40,436.57

< 표 Ⅲ-9> 사업시설별정정영역별면적표 22,396.22 17,798.56-4,597.66 7,630.15 3,573.85-4,056.30 2,692.99 5,025.23 2,332.24 2,211.29 1,756.79-454.50. 1,455.94 1,155.13-300.81 4,049.98 11,127.01 7,077.03 40,436.57 - - < 표 Ⅲ-10> 사업시설별정정영역별면적표 () 17,798.56 44.02% 3,573.85 8.84% 5,025.23 12.43% 1,756.79 4.34% 28,154.43 69.63% 1,155.13 2.86% 11,127.01 27.52% 40,436.57 100.00% < -10>.,.

2. 규모의적절성검토 1) 용사의집재건립사업규모의적절성검토,,...,,. < 표 Ⅲ-11> 사업시설별면적표 ( 공용면적제외 ) () (%) 6,763.14 12.22 1,358.00 5.53 1,909.50 1.96 667.55 1.6 438.93 5.26 4,228.07 8.2,, 25,071.38 65.23 40,436.57 100

가. 기존시설및철거면적검토. < 표 Ⅲ-12> 사업개요 3 40-708 3,124.53 1,378.24 ( 44.11%) 5,233.56 ( 4,571.32, 146.30%) : : 4,455(1,350.0) 778.56(235.5) 1, 5 1, 2 1969.9.29 1992.11.30 1 A,B (, 1 D() (1,099) 2 (1,026) 3 (647) 4 (647) 5 (647) (365), ) (),,,,, (17), (9), /,,, :, (220) 2 (279) (279),,, C() 3,124.53, 3,253.00. 3,168.00.. 3,168.00. 4,455.00 1969. 1992. 5,233.56.

나. 숙박및연회영역의적절성검토. 13~29 17 13 14 19( 17, 2). 15~22 8 15, 120. 23~26 4 9, 36. 27 ~29 3, 21( 6, 10, 5). 196. < 표 Ⅲ-13> 숙박시설객실분포 ( 사업계획서 ) 29 1 1 3 5 28 2 3 2 7 27 3 6 9 23 ~ 26 36(9) 36 15~22 120(15) 120 14 13 1 14 13 4 1 5 17 2 162 10 5 196,,,.

< 표 Ⅲ-14> 일반실기준계획시객실분포 29 1 1 3 5 15 28 2 3 2 7 15 27 3 6 9 15 23 ~ 26 36(9) 36 60 15 ~ 22 120(15) 120 120 14 13 1 14 15 13 4 1 5 7(10) 17 2 166 10 5 160 247(250),, 247. 13 250. 1 119, 43 162. 10 19. < 표 Ⅲ-15> 13 층변경계획안 13 13 2

181,, 15 ( ). < 표 Ⅲ-16> 민간비즈니스호텔의객실비율 IBIS 207-3 210 188 2-190 50 3 2 55 () 16 8 1 25 () 21 3 1 25 () 136 12 1 149 ()- 14 2 1 19 ()- 12 40 2 54 181 10 5 196, 61,932 1 170. 196 19 177., /. 177 170 7. 96.1%.. < 표 Ⅲ-17> 숙박시설객실및면적구분표 29 5 423.14 276.50 699.64 28 7 400.00 299.64 699.64 27 9 396.00 303.64 699.64 23 ~ 26 36 1,584(396.00) 1,204.48(301.12) 2,788.48(697.12) () 15 ~ 22 120 3,168(396.00) 2,408.96(301.12) 5,576.96(697.12) () 14 14 396.00 301.12 697.12 13 5 396.00 301.12 697.12 196 6,763.14 5,095.46 11,858.60 4~ 10 3 (168),.

. 5~7 230. 4 5~7. 8 (380), 9,. 9 10. 4~10. < 표 Ⅲ-18> 사업계획서연회시설검토 (: ) 10 (220) 726.27 9,, (220) 749.34 8 (380) 1,374.13 5~7, ( 230) 4,122.39 1,374.13 3 4 (186), 1,374.13 8,346.26 9 10. 40 5 20 1. [ 그림 Ⅲ-1] 지상 9 층사업계획서안 [ 그림 Ⅲ-2] 지상 10 층사업계획서안.. 1

40, 80, 120. 20 40, 60, 80. 99,048. 196 505, 2 252. 63%. 440,.. 7 380. 8 7...,. 667.55 380 (10), 1.76/. 350~380, 450~500. 1.

< 표 Ⅲ-19> 서울소재컨벤션홀 (m/) 5 16 32:1 48 32 2,214 1,218 1,144 13 16:2 16 16:2 2 31 26 1,080 660 616 16 26:2 5 712 700 300 500 262,253,46,65,49 78 40 32 36 2 21 32 800 500 550 21 16:2 14 15.35 140 120 220 2 14 8:1 14 7.5:1 12 32 400 220 200 4 12 8:4 2 22.36 23.36 500 450 A+B 22.35 11.68:2 7.28 11.70 50 40 12.30 8.58 70 44 1 12.30 8.58 70 44 JW 36 27 1,000 500 600 27.2 25.3 380 2,,.. 284 28,279 1 100., ( 500, 500 ) 6) 380

.,, /,,. [ 그림 Ⅲ-3] 지상 8 층컨벤션홀평면계획 [ 그림 Ⅲ-4] 컨벤션좌석배치개념도

[ 그림 Ⅲ-5] 지상 5 층 ~7 층연회실 웨딩홀평면계획 [ 그림 Ⅲ-6] 지상 4 층평면계획 3.75.

4~ 6 3 1 1 3. 230, 3 (186), (). /. (,) (8) /, 3.75. 1,317. 644 673. 172 7.66. 3 55% 4 80% 332.8 3.96. 3. < 표 Ⅲ-20> 연회시설좌석및면적구분표 (: ) 10 220 360.75 365.52 726.27 9 220 360.75 388.59 749.34 8 380 667.55 706.58 1,374.13 5~7 690(230) 1,909.5(636.50) 2,212.89(737.63) 4,122.39(1,374.13) 4 168 636.50 737.63 1,374.13 1,696 3,935.05 4,411.21 8,346.26 다. 판매및업무시설의적절성검토. [-7] ~ [-9].

[ 그림 Ⅲ-7] 지상 2 층 ~3 층판매시설평면도계획 [ 그림 Ⅲ-8] 지상 11 층업무시설평면도계획

[ 그림 Ⅲ-9] 지하 1 층판매시설평면도계획 < 표 Ⅲ-21> 업무및판매시설면적구분표 (: ) 11 438.93 302.81 741.74 3 638.29 578.88 1,217.17 2 556.34 578.88 1,217.17 1 1,167.54 1,001.81 2,169.35 2,801.10 2,462.38 5,345.43 11. 1 2. 2, 3 1. 2,395.83 1,598 797.83. 라. 지원영역의적절성검토, /, BOH, FOH. 3~ 6 3. 16,, PC 2,,. 3, BOH 2 FOH 1.

< 표 Ⅲ-22> 사업계획서지원시설구분 30 722.11 12,, PC 697.12 1 FOH, 560.13 2 BOH,,,, 2,153.49 3 BOH,, 2,136.98 4~6 6,651.09 2,217.03 3 7 1,965.36 12,920.92 30. /.. 12,, PC. 13 14.,, PC,.,. [ 그림 Ⅲ-10] 지상 12 층부대시설

1 FOH. (),.,,., 2 (4~6). [ 그림 Ⅲ-11] 지상 1 층평면도

2 BOH,,,.,,,. BOH, () BOH, BOH.,,,. [ 그림 Ⅲ-12] 지하 2 층부대시설 3,..,. [ 그림 Ⅲ-13] 지하 3 층부대시설

4~6. 83, (1/400). 123. 40.. < 표 Ⅲ-23> 사업계획서주차대수검토 (: ) 4 28 42 5 28 42 6 27 42 83 126 126.,. [ 그림 Ⅲ-14] 지하 4 층주차장 ( 사업계획서 )

[ 그림 Ⅲ-15] 지하 4 층주차장 ( 최대주차예시 ) 7 /,,. 7 2,454.41., 2,454.41 7. < 표 Ⅲ-24> 지원및편의시설면적구분표 (: ) 30 552.00 170.11 722.11 () 12 396.00 301.12 697.12 () 1-560.13 560.13 FOH, () 2 917.90 1,235.59 2,153.49 BOH, (,) 3-2,136.98 2,136.98 BOH, () 4 ~6-6,651.09(2,217.03) 6,651.09(2,217.03) 7-1,965.36 1,965.36, () 1,865.90 13,020.38 14,886.28

. 마. 사업계획적절성검토의종합 < 표 Ⅲ-25> 예비타당성조사검토안전용 공용면적 (: ) 6,763.14 11,035.42 17,798.56 44.02% 3,935.05 6,420.82 10,355.87 25.61% 1,865.90 3,044.59 4,910.49 12.14% 12,564.09 20,500.83 33,064.92 81.77% 438.93 716.20 1,155.13 2.86% 2,362.17 3,854.35 6,216.52 15.37% 2,801.10 4,570.55 7,371.65 18.23% 15,365.19 25,071.38 40,436.57 100%,.

제 2 절비용추정 1. 비용추정의기본방향 1. < 표 Ⅲ-26> 예비타당성조사검토안전용 공용면적 (: ) 6,763.14 11,035.42 17,798.56 44.02% 3,935.05 6,420.82 10,355.87 25.61% 1,865.90 3,044.59 4,910.49 12.14% 12,564.09 20,500.83 33,064.92 81.77% 438.93 716.20 1,155.13 2.86% 2,362.17 3,854.35 6,216.52 15.37% 2,801.10 4,570.55 7,371.65 18.23% 15,365.19 25,071.38 40,436.57 100% 가. 비용추정개요및항목의보정, 1..

< 표 Ⅲ-27> 사업계획서사업비 2,353,543,918 3,530,315,878 11,215,029 38,500,000 66,000,000 5,973,000 49,500,000 54,076,000 3,755,579,907 6,109,123,825 38,080,862,867 3,106,043,205 1,390,154,543 22,235,780,655 8,885,252,848 6,140,051,788 11,387,302,791 91,225,448,696 10,161,414,655 391,673,000 710,000,000 1,101,673,000 FF&E(, ) 11,500,000,000 1,010,090,250 123,605,118, 210,721,500, 36,846,700 1,381,263,568 115,369,799,919 5,280,025,325 641,603,867 71,126,070 1,623,110,000 2,335,839,937,, 245,823,001, 450,000,000 129,790,612,007 (: )

,,,,,. < 표 Ⅲ-28> 총사업비정정표 A. 115,369 A-1 91,225 A-2 10,161 A-3 1,101 A-4 FF&E(, ) 11,500 A-5 1,381 A-6 - B. 11,390 B-1 5,884 B-2 - B-3 11 B-4 38 B-5 66 B-6 6 B-6 49 B-7 () 54 B-8 5,280 C. - D. E. E-1 2,335 E-2 245 (A+B+C+D+E) - F. 450, G. (A+B+C+D+E+F) 129,790 : 1) F.. 2). (: )

나. 비용의분류및산정방법.,,, (. ),. 2014.,. < 표 Ⅲ-29> 비용보정지수 2003 100.0 2004 107.1 100.0 2005 110.5 103.2 100.0 2006 113.8 106.3 103.0 100.0 2007 119.2 11.4 107.9 104.8 100.0 2008 132.8 124.0 120.2 116.7 114.0 100.0 2009 135.1 126.2 122.3 118.7 113.3 101.7 100.0 2010 140.4 131.2 127.1 123.4 117.8 105.7 103.9 100.0 2011 149.0 139.1 134.8 130.9 124.9 112.1 110.2 106.1 100.0 2012 152.3 142.2 137.8 133.8 127.7 114.6 112.7 108.4 102.2 : GDP Deflator 2005. 다. 검토안의공사적용면적기준 1 2..

< 표 Ⅲ-30> 검토안의공사적용면적기준 (: ) 6,763.14 11,035.42 17,798.56 44.02% 3,935.05 6,420.82 10,355.87 25.61% 1,865.90 3,044.59 4,910.49 12.14% 12,564.09 20,500.83 33,064.92 81.77% 438.93 716.20 1,155.13 2.86% 2,362.17 3,854.35 6,216.52 15.37% 2,801.10 4,570.55 7,371.65 18.23% 15,365.19 25,071.38 40,436.57 100% 2. 총사업비추정 141,948, 193,586 129,790 12,158 63,796. < 표 Ⅲ-31> 총사업비종합 (: ) (A) (B) (B-A) A. 115,369 117,399 2,030 B. 11,390 11,645 255 C. - 51,638 51,638 D. 2,581 - - E. 450 12,904 12,454 F. (A+B+D+E) 141,948 12,158 129,790 (A+B+C+D+E) 193,586 63,796 101.76%. 122.41%..

가. 공사비추정 1) 단위공사비의산정. ( ) 2,191/,,, FF&E 2,770.9 /. 2,458.4/. FF&E(, ) 27/, 7,187.5 10%. FF&E 1,200~1,500 FF&E(, ). FF&E(, ) 10%. 1, (2010) (2010), (2010~2012).,. 가 ) 숙박및연회영역. ().,,.. ().,,.

< 표 Ⅲ-32> 숙박시설신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 (: %) 54.20 42.52 53.36 50.03 22.83 27.69 24.87 25.13 10.18 17.72 10.08 12.66 8.13 4.92 3.68 5.58 (/) 4.66 7.15 8.01 6.60 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00,, 2010. 50.03% 25.13%, 12.66%, 5.58%, 6.60%.. < 표 Ⅲ-33> 숙박및연회영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 (: /) (2010) -1-2 -3 () 1,248,404 1,113,477 1,042,659 1,134,847 627,072 559,298 523,726 570,032 315,906 281,763 263,843 287,171 139,238 124,190 116,291 126,573 (/) 164,691 146,891 137,548 149,710 2,495,311 2,225,619 2,084,068 2,268,332 108.4 2,704,917 2,412,571 2,259,130 2,458,872 ( ) 2,459,016 2,193,246 2,053,754 2,235,338,, 2010. 2,235,338/. 2,089,435/ 15. 2,235,338/.

< 표 Ⅲ-34> 민간비즈니스호텔의공사금액 (: /) () 188 10,200.01 20,372,885,000 1,997,340 204 9,028.41 17,774,520,000 1,968,732 20 381 18,813.73 41,339,192,400 2,197.288 38,042.15 79,486,597,400 2,089,435 : 85%. 나 ) 판매영역... < 표 Ⅲ-35> 판매영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 (: %) 58.46 60.49 57.52 58.83 10.98 11.46 12.58 11.67 11.39 11.55 14.95 12.63 9.63 6.23 6.35 7.40 (/) 9.54 10.27 8.60 9.47 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 :,, 2010.

< 표 Ⅲ-36> 판매영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 (: /).(2010) -1-2 -3 () 1080298 979984 778993 946,425 214,297 194,398 154,527 187,741 231,925 210,389 167,239 203,185 135,887 123,268 97,987 119,047 (/) 173,898 157,750 125,396 152,348 1,836,305 1,665,790 1,324,142 1,608,746 108.4 1,990,555 1,805,716 1,435,370 1,743,881 ( ) 1,809,595 1,641,560 1,304,882 1,585,346 :,, 2010. 1,585,436/,. 다 ) 업무영역. < 표 Ⅲ-37> 판매영역신축단가산정을위한공종별비율배분 (: /) 2010 2011 2012 00 00 00 00 12 960,686 1,243,331 1,912,196 1,964,754 1,704,206 1,844,608 377,641 553,284 - - - - 295,093 269,600 3217,369 440,437 181,539 253,950 232,194 111,993 191,367 180,502 153,620 293,226 / 155,657 249,102 - - - - 2,021,275 2,427,312 2,320,933 2,585,694 2,039,367 2,91,784 108.4 102.2 100.0 2,191,062 2,631,206 2,371,994 2,642,579 2,039,367 2,391,784 2,377,999 1,991,875 2,392,006 2,156,358 2,402,345 1,853,970 2,174,349 2,161,817 : 1) 2012 2) :,, 2010, 2011, 2012

2,161,817/,.. < 표 Ⅲ-38> 사업시설별정정영역별면적표 (: /) 2,235,338 /, 1,585,436 / 2,161,817 / < 표 Ⅲ-39> 용사의집재건립공사비추정 () (/) () () 2.235 33,064.92 73,911 82,103 1.585 6,216.52 9,855 2.161 1,155.13 2,497 (10%) - 8,626 91,225-40,436.570 94,890 100.0 104.02 94,890.,.

3. 기타공사비추정 가. 인접지반안전화공사 ( ) 31.6m, 7.., 2,622.28 31.6m = 82,864.05 122,627/... 10,161. 나. 신재생에너지설치비, 8%. 8% 2015 15%. < 표 Ⅲ-40> 신재생에너지의공급의무비율 2011~ 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 10 11 12 15 18 21 24 27 30 : 2 < 표 Ⅲ-41> 신재생에너지의공급의무비율산정방법 / 100

,,. < 표 Ⅲ-42> 건축용도별보정계수및지역계수 (Kwh/yr) 408.45 1.58 374.47 1.72 374.47 1.72 526.55 1.22 400.33 1.61 : 1.00 < 표 Ⅲ-43> 예상에너지사용량 33,064.92 526.55 1.22 1.0 21,240,604 6,216.52 374.47 1.58 1.0 4,011,839 1,155.13 374.47 1.72 1.0 744,007 25,996,450 2015 2015, 15% 3,899,468kWh/yr,.

< 표 Ⅲ-44> 신재생에너지원별단위에너지생산량및원별보정계수 1,358 4.14 1,765 kwh/kwyr 3.59 BIPV 923 11.7 596 1.92 745 1.76 745 kwh/yr 1.54 2,045 0.7 2,045 0.64 94.7 11.7 kwh/setyr 139.7 11.7 6:94. 30.. < 표 Ⅲ-45> 신재생에너지생산량 () (Kwh/yr) 3,899,468 2,045 0.7 1,334.78. () 2011-3(2011.1.12.) 1,145.4/kW( ). < 표 Ⅲ-46> 신재생에너지생산량 (kw) () () () 1,334.78 1,145.4 1,529

다. FF&E 비용 FF&E 10%. < 표 Ⅲ-47> FF&E 비용계산 () () 33,064.92 73,911 7,391 FF&E, FF&E 7,391 37,709,834 1,200~1,500/.. FF&E 10% 10%.

라. 철거비. < 표 Ⅲ-48> 사업계획서현황개요 : : 4,455(1,350.0) 778.56(235.5) 1, 5 1, 2 1969.9.29 1992.11.30 1 (1,099) A,B (,, ) 1 (220) D() 2 (1,026) (),,,, 2 (279),,, 3 (647), 4 (647) (17), 5 (647) (9), /,,, (365) (279) C() 5,233.56, 1,134 216,620/. 1969 1992.,... < 표 Ⅲ-49> 육군회관철거비 () () () 2,557.73 216,620 554,055,473

4. 공사비종합. < 표 Ⅲ-50> 검토공사비비교 (: ) (A) (B) (B-A) - 73,911 73,911-9,855 9,855-2,497 2,497 91,225 8,627-82,598 91,225 94,889 3,664 10,161 10,161-1,101 1,529 428 FF&E 11,150 7,391-3,759 1,381 1,381 - - 2,047 2,047 115,369 117,399 2,030 117,399 2,030., 8% 15%. FF&E.

나. 부대비 FF&E,. < 표 Ⅲ-51> 부대비산정기준 2013 1% 2013 (, 2013. 12. 17). x :, x 1 :, x 2 : y :, y 1 :, y 2 : 1) 설계비산정 2013 ( 2011-750). 3,.

< 표 Ⅲ-52> 건축설계대가요율 3 () 500 5.19 4.32 3.46 1000 5.10 4.25 3.40 2000 5.03 4.19 3.35 3000 4.95 4.13 3.30 : ( 2011-750) < 표 Ⅲ-53> 건축설계대가의적용요율 (: ) 993 500 1,000 5.10 5.19 5.10 : 1). 2). 5.10%, 5,066 5,883 86.11%. < 표 Ⅲ-54> 설계비의산출식 ( 검토안 ) (A) (%)(B) (C)=(A B) (: ) 99,335 5.10% 5,066 :

< 표 Ⅲ-55> 설계비추정결과 (: ) 5,883 5,066 100.0 86.11% : 2.76% 1.4. 1.4. 2) 감리비산정 200 5,000 7). (),,,, 2013,.. < 표 Ⅲ-56> 감리비요율 (%) () 700 4.28 1,000 3.91 1,500 3.46 :, 2013 (2012. 4)

< 표 Ⅲ-57> 감리비의적용요율 (: ) 99,335 70,000 100,000 3.92 4.28% 3.91% : 1) 2). 3.92%, 3,894. 72.24%. < 표 Ⅲ-58> 감리비의산출식 ( 검토안 ) ( ) (%) (C)=(A) (B) (A) (B) 99,335 3.92% 3,894 (: ) : < 표 Ⅲ-59> 감리비추정결과 (: ) 5,280 3,894 100% 73.75% : 3) 측량비및조사비. 1%.

< 표 Ⅲ-60> 측량비및조사비산정식 (A) (B) (C)=(A) (B) (:, %) 99,335 1% 994 : 4) 교통영향평가. 2013,. 5) 친환경및에너지효율등급인증 2011-750. 9%. 2 7%., 2. = A + 1/2 B + 1/3 C A :,, B :,, C :,,. = 9% + 0.5 7% = 12.5% ( = A + 1/2 B)

< 표 Ⅲ-61> 친환경및에너지효율등급인증 (:, %) (A) (B) (A) (B) 5,066 12.50% 632 5) 부대비종합 11,645 102.24%. < 표 Ⅲ-62> 부대비종합및비교 (: ) 5,883 5,066 11 38 994 66-6 - 49 - () 54 632 5280 3,894 1,059 11,387 11,645 100% 102.24%

라. 용지보상비, 2014 4 ()... < 표 Ⅲ-63> 용지보상비산정식 ( 총사업비검토용 ) (A) (B) (C)=(A) (B) 3,168 16,300,000 51,638,400,000 < 표 Ⅲ-64> 용지보상비산정식 ( 경제성분석용 ) (A) (B) (C) (D)=(A) (B) (C) 3,168 16,300,000 1.4 72,293,760,000 < 표 Ⅲ-65> 용지보상비산정결과 (: ) - 51,638 - 마. 예비비 22, (5) (, 2008)

,,,, 10%.,.. (,, ) 0.213% (14 ()) 0.4% < 표 Ⅲ-66> 예비비산정결과 (: ) 245 450 12,904 695 100% 1,857% 5. 총사업비추정결과및연차별배분계획 가. 총사업비종합 141,948, 129,790 109.65%. 2015 5%. 2012.,. 51,638 193,586 149.54%.

< 표 Ⅲ-67> 총사업비세부내역별결과 ( : ) (A) (B) (B-A) A. 115,369 117,399 2,030 A-1 91,225 86,264-4,961 A-2 10,161 10,161 0 A-3 1,102 1,529 427 A-4 FF&E(, ) 11,500 7,391-4,109 A-5 1,381 1,381 0 A-6-10,673 10,673 B. 11,390 11,645 255 B-1 5,884 5,066-818 B-2 11 B-3 39 994 983 B-4 66 - -66 B-5 6 - -6 B-6 50 - -50 B-7 () 54 632 578 B-8 5,280 3,894-1,386 B-9-1,059 1,059 C. - 51,638 51,638 D. 2,581 - -2,581 E-1 2,336 - -2,336 E-2 245-245 E. 450 12,904 12,454 F. (A+B+D+E) 141,948 12,158 129,790 (A+B+C+D+E) 193,586 63,796 : 1) 2). 나. 연차별배분계획. 2015 32.70% 2 34.83%, 33.47%., 2. 2 50% 2015 100%. FF&E 2017 100%. 2015 100%..

2015 100%. () 2015. < 표 Ⅲ-68> 연차별투입계획 (: ) 2015 2016 2017 117,399 60,982 56,416 86,264 43,132 43,132 10,161 10,161 1,529 765 765 FF&E 7,391 7,391 1,381 1,381 10,673 5,544 5,129 11,645 7,361 2,142 2,142 5,066 5,066 994 994 () 632 632 3894 1,947 1,947 1,059 669 195 195 1,638 51,638 12,904 4,301 4,301 4,302 193,586 63,300 67,425 62,860 다. 경제성분석을위한총사업비.,. < 표 Ⅲ-69> 경제성분석에서제외되는공사비 (: ) 10,673 1,059 1,173 12,905 11,905,

201,336. < 표 Ⅲ-70> 총사업비종합 ( 경제성검토용 ) (: ) (A) (B) (B-A) A. 94,426 106,726 12,300 B. 10,355 10,586 231 C. - 72,293 72,293 D. 2,581 - - E. 450 11,731 11,281 F. (A+B+C+D+E) 107,812 201,336 93,524 < 표 Ⅲ-71> 연차별투입계획 ( 경제성검토용 ) (: ) 2015 2016 2017 106,726 55,439 51,288 86,264 43,132 43,132 10,161 10,161 1,529 765 765 FF&E 7,391 7,391 1,381 1,381 10,586 6,692 1,947 1,947 5,066 5,066 994 994 () 632 632 3,894 1,947 1,947 72,923 72,923 11,731 3,910 3,910 3,910 201,336 82,895 61,296 57,145

6. 운영비추정. (2013.8),.,,. 1969 45.,,.. 가. 사업계획서의운영비검토,...

< 표 Ⅲ-72> 운영비세부내역 (KIDA 자료 ) (: ) (%) 3,095,930 20 540,346 15%, (%) 2,497,456 11,060,712 310,068 13,868,236 31.4 4,354,262 () (/) 126 27,000,000 3,402,000,000 (%) 2,497,456 12,742,392 310,068 15,549,916 13.5 2,099,238 () 2,701,730 15,239,848 5,764,216 497,988 (%) 15 17 0.5 15 405,259 2,590,774 28,821 74,698 3,099,553 13 27,000,000 351,000 13,495,764 :,, 2013. 8. (),,,,,,,,.,. 나. 운영비보정기준,..,,.

다. 일반관리비,,.,,.. < 표 Ⅲ-73> 사업계획서의운영비 ( 숙박및연회영역 ) (: ) 619,186,000 918,000,000 464,389,500 3,095,930,000 2,001,575,500 20% 43 15% 5,315,173,200 3,587,092,211 1,668,964,385 1,014,548,382 903,579,444 12,469,392,000 8,194,228,128 3,473,063,568 2,601,367,920 2,119,769,640 544,968,000 242,059,752 112,113,072 48,201,480 81,745,200 21,425,463,200 14,024,955,591 31.4% 13.5% 17% : ****-170(2014. 9. 26). 34 196 20%, 15%. 13.5%, 31.4%, 17%., ().,,,. 30. 1) 숙박시설.,,

. 2005 2010,. < 표 Ⅲ-74> 서울지역숙박시설원가율 (: ) 3,750,909 100.0% 401,455 10.7% 929,298 24.8% 1,277,609 34.1% 2,608,362 69.5% :, 2012. 10. 26. 2) 컨벤션, 연회장예식장 가. 식음료매출관련원가율의산정,.,,. 2005 2010,. < 표 Ⅲ-75> 서울지역일반음식점업원가율 (: ) 3,750,909 100.0% 401,455 10.7% 929,298 24.8% 1,277,609 34.1% 2,608,362 69.5% :, 2012. 10. 26.

나. 컨벤션, 예식장의대관료수입에대한원가,. 다. 예식장의부대사업수입에대한원가,, () 40% 60%.,. 3) 임대사무실및편의시설의관리원가, 0.5%, 5%. < 표 Ⅲ-76> 용사의집재건립사업적용매출및운영비검토결과 (: ) 3,564,110,000 69.5% 2,477,056,450 340,800,000 426,000,000 67.5% 287,550,000 766,800,000 2,674,323,000 67.5% 1,805,168,025 395,100,000 18,438,000,000 67.5% 12,445,650,000 3,292,500,000 60% 1,975,500,000 22,125,600,000 137,186,004 0.5% 685,930 1,154,283,385 5.0% 57,714,169 19,049,324,574

3) 일반관리비의합계 < 표 Ⅲ-77> 일반관리비추정결과 (: ) 2015 - - - 2016 - - - 2017 - - - 2018 18,991 1 58 19,050 2019 18,991 1 58 19,050 2020 18,991 1 58 19,050 2021 18,991 1 58 19,050 2022 18,991 1 58 19,050 2023 18,991 1 58 19,050 2024 18,991 1 58 19,050 2025 18,991 1 58 19,050 2026 18,991 1 58 19,050 2027 18,991 1 58 19,050 2028 18,991 1 58 19,050 2029 18,991 1 58 19,050 2030 18,991 1 58 19,050 2031 18,991 1 58 19,050 2032 18,991 1 58 19,050 2033 18,991 1 58 19,050 2034 18,991 1 58 19,050 2035 18,991 1 58 19,050 2036 18,991 1 58 19,050 2037 18,991 1 58 19,050 2038 18,991 1 58 19,050 2039 18,991 1 58 19,050 2040 18,991 1 58 19,050 2041 18,991 1 58 19,050 2042 18,991 1 58 19,050 2043 18,991 1 58 19,050 2044 18,991 1 58 19,050 2045 18,991 1 58 19,050 2046 18,991 1 58 19,050 2047 18,991 1 58 19,050 569,728 30 1,740 571,498

라. 유지보수비 / 30...,. FF&E (TV,,,,,, ), (,,, ). FF&E, FF&E 10%. 2014-4 TV, 8 1~2 8. FF&E. 10% 10. 30 81,089.,. < 표 Ⅲ-78> 수선대수선비용소개 (: ) FF&E 10,868 55,439 14,782 81,089 2,703.,,.

< 표 Ⅲ-79> 유지보수비산정을위한직접공사비 ( 숙박및연회영역 ) (: /) 2010 (, () ) 33,064.92 (%) 108.40-51,861 100.0 1,134,847 1,230,174 1,230,174 12,760 1.56 17,704 19,191 19,191 635 4.33 49,139 53,267 53,267 1,761 0.49 5,561 6,028 6,028 199 4.10 46,529 50,437 50,437 1,668 0.16 1,816 1,968 1,968 65 3.03 34,386 37,274 37,274 1,232 15.53 176,242 191,046 191,046 6,317 2.17 24,626 26,695 26,695 883 100.0 570,032 617,915 617,915 18,905 16.86 96,107.40 104,180 104,180 3,445 6.69 38,135.14 41,338 41,338 1,367 26.89 153,281.60 166,157 166,157 5,494 19.40 110,586.21 119,875 119,875 3,964 19.32 110,130.18 119,381 119,381 3,947 3.13 17,842.00 19,341 19,341 639 7.71 1,376 1,491 1,491 49 100.0 413,744 448,498 448,498 14,830 26.42 109,311 118,493 118,493 3,918 13.05 53,994 58,529 58,529 1,935 5.02 20,770 22,515 22,515 744 29.67 122,758 133,070 133,070 4,400 2.99 12,371 13,410 13,410 443 0.94 3,889 4,216 4,216 139 5.75 23,790 25,789 25,789 853 TV 2.53 10,468 11,347 11,347 375 2.95 12,205 13,231 13,231 437 CCTV 1.20 4,965 5,382 5,382 178 6.52 26,976 29,242 29,242 967 2.96 12,247 13,276 13,276 439 100.0 149,710 162,286 162,286 5,366 8.74 13,085 14,184 14,184 469 2.05 3,069 3,327 3,327 110 0.54 808 876 876 29 4.20 6,288 6,816 6,816 225 2.73 4,087 4,430 4,430 146 8.71 13,040 14,135 14,135 467 40.76 61,022 66,148 66,148 2,187 6.30 9,432 10,224 10,224 338 1.19 1,782 1,931 1,931 64 0.38 569 617 617 20 24.40 36,529 39,598 39,598 1,309

< 표 Ⅲ-80> 유지보수비산정을위한직접공사비 ( 판매영역영역 ) (: /) 2010 (, () ) 6,216.52 (%) 108.40% - 6,369 100.0 946,425 1,025,925 1,025,925 2,001 1.56 14,764 16,004 16,004 99 4.33 40,980 44,423 44,423 276 0.49 4,637 5,027 5,027 31 4.10 38,803 42,063 42,063 261 0.16 1,514 1,641 1,641 10 3.03 28,677 31,086 31,086 193 15.53 146,980 159,326 159,326 990 2.17 20,537 22,263 22,263 138 100.0 187,741 203,511 203,511 1,171 16.86 31,653.13 34,312 34,312 213 6.69 12,559.87 13,615 13,615 85 26.89 50,483.55 54,724 54,724 340 19.40 36,421.75 39,481 39,481 245 19.32 36,271.56 39,318 39,318 244 3.13 5,876.29 6,370 6,370 40 7.71 453 491 491 3 100.0 322,232 349,299 349,299 2,171 26.42 85,134 92,285 92,285 574 13.05 42,051 45,584 45,584 283 5.02 16,176 17,535 17,535 109 29.67 95,606 103,637 103,637 644 2.99 9,635 10,444 10,444 65 0.94 3,029 3,283 3,283 20 5.75 18,528 20,085 20,085 125 TV 2.53 8,152 8,837 8,837 55 2.95 9,506 10,304 10,304 64 CCTV 1.20 3,867 4,192 4,192 26 6.52 21,010 22,774 22,774 142 2.96 9,538 10,339 10,339 64 100.0 152,348 165,145 165,145 1,027 8.74 13,315 14,434 14,434 90 2.05 3,123 3,385 3,385 21 0.54 823 892 892 6 4.20 6,399 6,936 6,936 43 2.73 4,159 4,508 4,508 28 8.71 13,270 14,384 14,384 89 40.76 62,097 67,313 67,313 418 6.30 9,598 10,404 10,404 65 1.19 1,813 1,965 1,965 12 0.38 579 628 628 4 24.40 37,173 40,295 40,295 250

< 표 Ⅲ-81> 유지보수비산정을위한직접공사비 ( 업무영역영역 ) (: /) 2010 () (, ) 1,155.13 (%) 108.40% - 3,603 100.0 2,240,017 2,428,178 2,428,178 880 1.56 34,944 37,880 37,880 44 4.33 96,993 105,140 105,140 121 0.49 10,976 11,898 11,898 14 4.10 91,841 99,555 99,555 115 0.16 3,584 3,885 3,885 4 3.03 67,873 73,574 73,574 85 15.53 347,875 377,096 377,096 436 2.17 48,608 52,691 52,691 61 100.0 930,925 1,009,123 1,009,123 1,079 16.86 156,953.96 170,138 170,138 197 6.69 62,278.88 67,510 67,510 78 26.89 250,325.73 271,353 271,353 313 19.40 180,599.45 195,770 195,770 226 19.32 179,854.71 194,963 194,963 225 3.13 29,137.95 31,586 31,586 36 7.71 2,247 2,435 2,435 3 100.0 908,880 985,226 985,226 1,138 26.42 240,126 260,297 260,297 301 13.05 118,609 128,572 128,572 149 5.02 45,626 49,458 49,458 57 29.67 269,665 292,317 292,317 338 2.99 27,176 29,458 29,458 34 0.94 8,543 9,261 9,261 11 5.75 52,261 56,650 56,650 65 TV 2.53 22,995 24,926 24,926 29 2.95 26,812 29,064 29,064 34 CCTV 1.20 10,907 11,823 11,823 14 6.52 59,259 64,237 64,237 74 2.96 26,903 29,163 29,163 34 100.0 404,759 438,759 438,759 507 8.74 35,376 38,348 38,348 44 2.05 8,298 8,995 8,995 10 0.54 2,186 2,369 2,369 3 4.20 17,000 18,428 18,428 21 2.73 11,050 11,978 11,978 14 8.71 35,255 38,216 38,216 44 40.76 164,980 178,838 178,838 207 6.30 25,500 27,642 27,642 32 1.19 4,817 5,221 5,221 6 0.38 1,538 1,667 1,667 2 24.40 98,761 107,057 107,057 124

. 30,. < 표 Ⅲ-82> 수선비 ( 검토안 ) (: ) 10 5% 635 99 44 778 39 78 10 5% 1,761 276 44 2,081 104 208 8 10% 199 31 121 352 35 106 5 10% 1,668 261 14 1,943 194 971 6 10% 65 10 115 190 19 76 5 15% 1,232 193 4 1,430 215 1,073 15 10% 6,317 990 85 7,392 739 739 6 0% 883 138 436 1,457 - - 12,760 2,001 863 15,623-3,251 15 10% 3,445 213 197 3,855 385 385 20 0% 1,367 85 78 1,529 - - 10 10% 5,494 340 313 6,148 615 1,230 10 5% 3,964 245 226 4,435 222 444 5 10% 3,947 244 225 4,417 442 2,208 10 5% 639 40 36 716 36 72 20 0% 49 3 3 55 - - 18,905 1,171 1,079 21,155-4,339 10 10% 3,918 574 301 4,792 479 958 30 0% 1,935 283 149 2,367 - - 10 10% 744 109 57 911 91 182 20 10% 4,400 644 338 5,382 538 538 20 10% 443 65 34 542 54 54 10 20% 139 20 11 171 34 68 5 20% 853 125 65 1,043 209 1,043 TV 15 5% 375 55 29 459 23 23 15 5% 437 64 34 535 27 27 CCTV 15 5% 178 26 14 218 11 11 20 10% 967 142 74 1,183 118 118 20 10% 439 64 34 537 54 54 / 14,830 2,171 1,138 18,139-3,077 65 0% 469 90 44 603 - - 10 10% 110 21 10 141 14 28 65 0% 29 6 3 37 - - 15 5% 225 43 21 290 14 14 10 5% 146 28 14 188 9 19 980 187 93 1,260-62 65 0% 467 89 44 601 - - 15 5% 2,187 418 207 2,812 141 141 65 0% 338 65 32 435 - - 65 0% 64 12 6 82 - - 65 0% 20 4 2 26 - - 65 0% 1,309 250 124 1,683 - - 4,386 839 414 5,640-141 51,861 6,369 3,586 61,816-10,868

< 표 Ⅲ-83> 대수선비 ( 검토안 ) (: ) 65 0% 635 99 44 778-20 100% 1,761 276 121 2,159 2,159 2,159 20 100% 199 31 2,159 2,159 244 244 20 100% 1,668 261 14 244 2,044 2,044 65 0% 65 10 244 244 20 100% 1,232 193 115 2,044 1,511 1,511 25 100% 6,317 990 2,044 2,044 7,743 7,743 6 100% 883 138 4 1,082 4,328 12,760 2,001 80 14,783 18,029 20 100% 3,445 213 197 3,855 3,855 3,855 25 100% 1,367 85 78 1,529 1,529 1,529 10 100% 5,494 340 313 6,148 6,148 12,295 20 100% 3,964 245 226 4,435 4,435 4,435 30 100% 3,947 244 225 4,417 4,417 30 100% 639 40 36 716 716 25 100% 49 3 3 55 55 55 18,905 1,171 1,079 21,155 21,155 22,170 20 100% 3,918 574 301 4,792 4,792 4,792 65 100% 1,935 283 149 2,367 2,367 65 100% 744 109 57 911 911 25 100% 4,400 644 338 5,382 5,382 5,382 30 100% 443 65 34 542 542 10 100% 139 20 11 171 171 341 25 100% 853 125 65 1,043 1,043 1,043 TV 25 100% 375 55 29 459 459 459 25 100% 437 64 34 535 535 535 CCTV 10 100% 178 26 14 218 218 435 65 100% 967 142 74 1,183 1,183 20 100% 439 64 34 537 537 537 14,830 2,171 1,138 18,139 18,139 13,524 65 50% 469 90 44 603 302 20 50% 110 21 10 141 71 71 65 50% 29 6 3 37 19 20 50% 225 43 21 290 145 145 20 50% 146 28 14 188 94 94 980 187 93 1,260 630 310 65 50% 467 89 44 601 300 20 50% 2,187 418 207 2,812 1,406 1,406 65 100% 338 65 32 435 435 65 100% 64 12 6 82 82 65 100% 20 4 2 26 26 65 100% 1,309 250 124 1,683 1,683 4,386 839 414 5,640 3,933 1,406 51,861 6,369 3,603 61,834 58,640 55,439

< 표 Ⅲ-84> 유지보수비추정결과및경제성검토를위한유지보수비 (: ) FF&E 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 1,059 1,059 2023 19 1,082 1,101 2024 2025 35 35 2026 2027 2,702 6,536 7,391 16,629 2028 2029 19 1,082 1,101 2030 2031 2032 2,399 2,399 2033 35 35 2034 2035 19 1,082 1,101 2036 2037 3,467 27,829 7,391 38,686 2038 2039 2040 2041 54 1,082 1,136 2042 1,059 16,746 17,806 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 10,868 55,439 14,782 81,089

마. 총사업비및운영비추정결과 < 표 Ⅲ-85> 총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 (: ) FF&E 2015 63,301 63,301 2016 67,426 67,426 2017 62,860 62,860 2018 19,050 19,050 19,050 2019 19,050 19,050 19,050 2020 19,050 19,050 19,050 2021 19,050 19,050 19,050 2022 19,050 1,059 1,059 20,109 20,109 2023 19,050 19 1,082 1,101 20,151 20,151 2024 19,050 19,050 19,050 2025 19,050 35 35 19,085 19,085 2026 19,050 19,050 19,050 2027 19,050 2,702 6,536 7,391 16,629 35,679 35,679 2028 19,050 19,050 19,050 2029 19,050 19 1,082 1,101 20,151 20,151 2030 19,050 19,050 19,050 2031 19,050 19,050 19,050 2032 19,050 2,399 2,399 21,449 21,449 2033 19,050 35 35 19,085 19,085 2034 19,050 19,050 19,050 2035 19,050 19 1,082 1,101 20,151 20,151 2036 19,050 19,050 19,050 2037 19,050 3,467 27,829 7,391 38,686 57,736 57,736 2038 19,050 19,050 19,050 2039 19,050 19,050 19,050 2040 19,050 19,050 19,050 2041 19,050 54 1,082 1,136 20,186 20,186 2042 19,050 1,059 16,746 17,806 36,856 36,856 2043 19,050 19,050 19,050 2044 19,050 19,050 19,050 2045 19,050 19,050 19,050 2046 19,050 19,050 19,050 2047 19,050 19,050 19,050 193,587 571,498 10,868 55,439 14,782 81,089 652,587 846,174

< 표 Ⅲ-86> 총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 ( 경제성검토 ) (: ) FF&E 2015 82,895 82,895 2016 61,296 61,296 2017 57,145 57,145 2018 19,050 19,050 19,050 2019 19,050 19,050 19,050 2020 19,050 19,050 19,050 2021 19,050 19,050 19,050 2022 19,050 1,059 1059 20,109 20,109 2023 19,050 19 1,082 1101 20,151 20,151 2024 19,050 19,050 19,050 2025 19,050 35 35 19,085 19,085 2026 19,050 19,050 19,050 2027 19,050 2,702 6,536 7,391 16629 35,679 35,679 2028 19,050 19,050 19,050 2029 19,050 19 1,082 1101 20,151 20,151 2030 19,050 19,050 19,050 2031 19,050 19,050 19,050 2032 19,050 2,399 2399 21,449 21,449 2033 19,050 35 35 19,085 19,085 2034 19,050 19,050 19,050 2035 19,050 19 1,082 1101 20,151 20,151 2036 19,050 19,050 19,050 2037 19,050 3,467 27,829 7,391 38686 57,736 57,736 2038 19,050 19,050 19,050 2039 19,050 19,050 19,050 2040 19,050 19,050 19,050 2041 19,050 54 1,082 1136 20,186 20,186 2042 19,050 1,059 16,746 17806 36,856 36,856 2043 19,050 19,050 19,050 2044 19,050 19,050 19,050 2045 19,050 19,050 19,050 2046 19,050 19,050 19,050 2047 19,050 19,050 19,050 201,336 571,498 10,868 55,439 14,782 81,089 652,587 853,923

사. 미시행대안의공사비 1969 45. (). ()...,. 1955 60..,.. 1) 공사비산정 가 ) 순공사비. < 표 Ⅲ-87> 용사의집재건립공사비추정 () () 4,455.00 6,987 778.56 798 2,557.73 4,077 7,791.29 11,890,.

나 ) 신재생에너지 < 표 Ⅲ-88> 신재생에너지생산량 (kw) () () 257.32 295 1,145.4 () 84.59 97 392 다 ) FF&E 비용 < 표 Ⅲ-89> FF&E 비용 () 4,455.00 6,987 699 2,557.73 4,077 408 1,107 라 ) 철거공사비 < 표 Ⅲ-90> 철거비용 () () () 5,233.56 248 47,386 2,557.73 121 369 2) 부대비 가 ) 설계비산정. < 표 Ⅲ-91> 설계비산정 (A) (%)(B) (C)=(A B) 7,785 5.57% 434 4,077 5.70% 235 669 (: )

나 ) 조사비 < 표 Ⅲ-92> 측량비및조사비산정식 (A) (B) (C)=(A B) 7,785 78 1% 4,077 41 119 : (:, %) 다 ) 친환경설계비 < 표 Ⅲ-93> 친환경및에너지효율등급인증 (A) (B) (C)=(A B) 434 54 12.50% 235 30 84 (:, %) 라 ) 감리비 < 표 Ⅲ-94> 감리비의산출식 ( 검토안 ) ( ) (%) (C) = (A) (B) (A) (B) 7,785 1.16% 305 4,077 1.19% 160 465 (: ) 마 ) 용지보상비.

바 ) 예비비 < 표 Ⅲ-95> 예비비산정결과 ( 용사의집 ) (: ) ( 10%) ( 10%) 9,930 993 9,027 903 958 95 865 86 10,881 1,088 9,892 989 < 표 Ⅲ-96> 예비비산정결과 ( 육군회관 ) (: ) ( 10%) ( 10%) 5,391 539 4,901 490 479 48 436 44 5,870 587 5,336 534

3) 사업비의종합 63,615, 20,341 83,956. 1, 2017 2018. 6, 6.,. 193,586 83,956 109,630. 40,436.57 7,791.29. 464/ 1,075/.. < 표 Ⅲ-97> 총사업비세부내역별결과 (: ) A. 117,399 9,930 5,173 15,103 A-1 86,264 7,785 4,077 11,862 A-2 10,161 - - - A-3 1,529 295 97 392 A-4 FF&E(, ) 7,391 699 408 1,107 A-5 1,381 248 121 369 A-6 10,673 902.7 470.3 1,373 B. 11,645 958.1 512.6 1,470.7 B-1 5,066 434 235 669 B-3 994 78 41 119 B-4 () 632 54 30 84 B-5 3,894 305 160 465 B-6 1,059 87 47 134 C. 51,638 51,638 14,087 65,725 D. 12,904 1,089 569 1,658 E. (A+B+D) 141,948 11,977 6,254 18,231 (A+B+C+D) 193,586 63,615 20,341 83,956

< 표 Ⅲ-98> 총사업비세부내역별결과 ( 경제성검토용 ) (: ) A. 106,726 9,027 4,703 13,730 A-1 86,264 7,785 4,077 11,862 A-2 10,161 A-3 1,529 295 97 392 A-4 FF&E(, ) 7,391 699 408 1,107 A-5 1,381 248 121 369 A-6 B. 10,586 871 466 1,337 B-1 5,066 434 235 669 B-3 994 78 41 119 B-4 () 632 54 30 84 B-5 3,894 305 160 465 B-6 C. 72,293 72,293 19,722 92,015 D. 11,731 990 517 1,507 E. (A+B+D) 129,043 10,888 5,686 16,574 (A+B+C+D) 201,336 83,181 25,408 108,588

4) 유지보수비. < 표 Ⅲ-99> 유지보수비추정결과및경제성검토를위한유지보수비 (: ) FF&E FF&E 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 144 76 220 2023 1 136 1 68 206 2024 2025 3 2 5 2026 2027 371 845 699 198 459 408 2,979 2028 2029 1 136 1 68 206 2030 2031 2032 303 158 460 2033 3 2 5 2034 2035 1 136 1 68 206 2036 2037 493 3,530 699 265 1,884 408 7,278 2038 2039 2040 2041 4 136 2 68 211 2042 144 2,364 76 1,245 3,828 2043 2044 2045 2046 2047 1,467 7,284 1,398 779 3,860 816 15,603

5) 운영비의산출 < 표 Ⅲ-100> 용사의집및육군회관기존매출액 (: ) 2011 2012 2013 201 212 215 1,077 1,011 1,100 906 1,283 873 274 2,231 181 2,477 144 2,235 11,933 13,552 12,839 328 106 291 107 234 92 234 2 374 5 306 19 14,049 3,350 15,709 3,495 15,020 3,218 150, 33 188. 120 () 30..,. 7,,,... < 표 Ⅲ-101> 미시행대안의용사의집및육군회관매출액산정 () () 7,687 70,000 538 223 2,530,000 564 223, 112 27,500 343 50% 908 99,048 57,000 3,483 257 300,000 77 257, 350 54,500 4,902 257 2,500,000 643 5,622 1,877 142,775 438 10,989

10,989,..,,. 90%.. < 표 Ⅲ-102> 용사의집및육군회관기존운영원가율 (: ) 11 14,049 12,760 865 672 383 10,839 90.82% 12 15,709 13,444 890 621 41 11,893 85.58% 13 15,020 13,477 1,179 639 336 11,323 89.73% 14,926 13,227 978 644 253 11,352 88.71% 11 3,350 3,062 1,025 1,725 311 91.40% 12 3,495 3,258 1,058 1,655 545 93.21% 13 3,218 2,981 1,190 1,507 285 92.63% 3,354 3,100 1,091 1,629 380 92.41% 18,280 16,327 2,069 2,273 634 11,352 90.56% < 표 Ⅲ-103> 용사의집및육군회관운영비산출 (: ) 10,989 90.56% 9,952.

< 표 Ⅲ-104> 미시행대안의총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 (: ) FF&E 2015 2016 2017 86,715 86,715 2018 9,952 9,952 9,952 2019 9,952 9,952 9,952 2020 9,952 9,952 9,952 2021 9,952 9,952 9,952 2022 9,952 220 220 10,172 10,172 2023 9,952 2 205 206 10,158 10,158 2024 9,952 9,952 9,952 2025 9,952 5 5 9,956 9,956 2026 9,952 9,952 9,952 2027 9,952 569 1,304 1,106 2,979 12,931 12,931 2028 9,952 9,952 9,952 2029 9,952 2 205 206 10,158 10,158 2030 9,952 9,952 9,952 2031 9,952 9,952 9,952 2032 9,952 460 460 10,412 10,412 2033 9,952 5 5 9,956 9,956 2034 9,952 9,952 9,952 2035 9,952 2 205 206 10,158 10,158 2036 9,952 9,952 9,952 2037 9,952 758 5,414 1,106 7,278 17,230 17,230 2038 9,952 9,952 9,952 2039 9,952 9,952 9,952 2040 9,952 9,952 9,952 2041 9,952 6 205 211 10,163 10,163 2042 9,952 220 3,608 3,828 13,780 13,780 2043 9,952 9,952 9,952 2044 9,952 9,952 9,952 2045 9,952 9,952 9,952 2046 9,952 9,952 9,952 2047 9,952 9,952 9,952 86,715 298,556 2,246 11,144 2,213 15,603 314,159 400,874

< 표 Ⅲ-105> 미시행대안의총사업비및운영비추정결과검토안 ( 경제성검토 ) (: ) FF&E 2015 2016 2017 110,021 110,021 2018 9,952 9,952 9,952 2019 9,952 9,952 9,952 2020 9,952 9,952 9,952 2021 9,952 9,952 9,952 2022 9,952 220 220 10,172 10,172 2023 9,952 2 205 206 10,158 10,158 2024 9,952 9,952 9,952 2025 9,952 5 5 9,956 9,956 2026 9,952 9,952 9,952 2027 9,952 569 1,304 1,106 2,979 12,931 12,931 2028 9,952 9,952 9,952 2029 9,952 2 205 206 10,158 10,158 2030 9,952 9,952 9,952 2031 9,952 9,952 9,952 2032 9,952 460 460 10,412 10,412 2033 9,952 5 5 9,956 9,956 2034 9,952 9,952 9,952 2035 9,952 2 205 206 10,158 10,158 2036 9,952 9,952 9,952 2037 9,952 758 5,414 1,106 7,278 17,230 17,230 2038 9,952 9,952 9,952 2039 9,952 9,952 9,952 2040 9,952 9,952 9,952 2041 9,952 6 205 211 10,163 10,163 2042 9,952 220 3,608 3,828 13,780 13,780 2043 9,952 9,952 9,952 2044 9,952 9,952 9,952 2045 9,952 9,952 9,952 2046 9,952 9,952 9,952 2047 9,952 9,952 9,952 110,021 298,556 2,246 11,144 2,213 15,603 314,159 424,179

5) 시행및미시행운영비비교 < 표 Ⅲ-106> 시행및미시행운영비비교 (: ) 2015 65,752 65,752 2016 67,580 67,580 2017 65,345 65,345 86,715 86,715 2018 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2019 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2020 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2021 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2022 18,391 1,059 19,450 19,450 9,952 220 10,172 10,172 2023 18,391 1,101 19,492 19,492 9,952 206 10,158 10,158 2024 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2025 18,391 35 18,426 18,426 9,952 5 9,956 9,956 2026 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2027 18,391 16,629 35,020 35,020 9,952 2,979 12,931 12,931 2028 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2029 18,391 1,101 19,492 19,492 9,952 206 10,158 10,158 2030 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2031 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2032 18,391 2,399 20,790 20,790 9,952 460 10,412 10,412 2033 18,391 35 18,426 18,426 9,952 5 9,956 9,956 2034 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2035 18,391 1,101 19,492 19,492 9,952 206 10,158 10,158 2036 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2037 18,391 38,686 57,077 57,077 9,952 7,278 17,230 17,230 2038 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2039 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2040 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2041 18,391 1,136 19,527 19,527 9,952 211 10,163 10,163 2042 18,391 17,806 36,197 36,197 9,952 3,828 13,780 13,780 2043 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2044 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2045 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2046 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2047 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 198,676 551,730 81,089 632,819 831,495 86,715 298,556 15,603 314,159 400,874

< 표 Ⅲ-107> 시행및미시행운영비비교 ( 경제성검토 ) (: ) 2015 85,131 85,131 2016 61,443 61,443 2017 59,623 59,623 111,330 111,330 2018 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2019 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2020 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2021 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2022 18,391 1059 19,450 19,450 9,952 220 10,172 10,172 2023 18,391 1101 19,492 19,492 9,952 206 10,158 10,158 2024 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2025 18,391 35 18,426 18,426 9,952 5 9,956 9,956 2026 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2027 18,391 16629 35,020 35,020 9,952 2,979 12,931 12,931 2028 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2029 18,391 1101 19,492 19,492 9,952 206 10,158 10,158 2030 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2031 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2032 18,391 2399 20,790 20,790 9,952 460 10,412 10,412 2033 18,391 35 18,426 18,426 9,952 5 9,956 9,956 2034 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2035 18,391 1101 19,492 19,492 9,952 206 10,158 10,158 2036 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2037 18,391 38686 57,077 57,077 9,952 7,278 17,230 17,230 2038 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2039 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2040 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2041 18,391 1136 19,527 19,527 9,952 211 10,163 10,163 2042 18,391 17806 36,197 36,197 9,952 3,828 13,780 13,780 2043 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2044 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2045 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2046 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 2047 18,391 18,391 18,391 9,952 9,952 9,952 206,197 551,730 81,089 632,819 839,016 111,330 298,556 15,603 314,159 425,489

831,495, 425,489. () 2,056, 5,461,. < 표 Ⅲ-108> 총사업비및운영비총계의연면적비교 40,436.57 831,495 20.56/ 7,791.29 425,489 54.61/

제 Ⅳ 장수요추정 제 1 절개요.. 1969 44 1955 57.. 1. 현황 가. 용사의집현황. 1969, 1993 (1, 2). 1, 5,,,,,. 84 1 7 363 180. 45 23(8) 46. 48 1, 37, 10,

. < 표 Ⅳ-1> 용사의집현황규모 () 4~5 595.0 2 26(8) 23 46 201.5 180 45.3 24 22.6 15 3 49.7 28 (7) 70.3 40 94.5 60 33.2 16 2 199.5 84 65.0 50 2 / 133.0 105 2 279.0 1 1,319.0 1 319.9 :,, 2013 나. 육군회관현황 1955,,,,.,,. 39 1, 29, 9. 2006. : 5 ( ) : 7,920 : 2,700

< 표 Ⅳ-2> 육군회관규모현황 () () 522.0 200 242.0 340 100.8 50 49.5 24 1 32.8 12 (7) 29.7 10 20.5 8 14.8 4 409.5 260 :,,,,, :,, 2013 2. 용사의집재건립후의규모. 25, 7, 8), 9), 30, 7.,,,,,... 8) (2012. 07. 27. ) 9) (2012. 11.)

< 표 Ⅳ-3> 사업시행후용사의집규모및면적증감현황 2) 1) 2) : 5, + 24 1 30, 7 + 6 : 1 7,903 40,436.57 +32,533 45 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 +1 +1 28 0 0 0 1 4 5 +1 +4 +5 15 0 0 0 1 10 11 +1 +10 +11 12 0 0 0 1 47 48 +1 +47 +48 8 23 0 23 16 115 131 7 +115 +108 23 196 +173 1 n/a 438.93 +438.93 3) 721.5 816.1 +94.6 2 3 1 284 n/a - 14 6 8 1,007.2 2,306.4 +1,299.2 811 1,316 +505 ( ) n/a 1 +1 n/a 667.6 +667.6 n/a 380 +380 1,877.0 4,243.6 +2,366.6 4) n/a 438.6-5) 3 2-607.5 699.0 - : 1) 2). 3). 4).,. 5), /.,. :.

제 2 절수요추정방법 1. 수요추정방법의개요 (),,,,,.., ( ). 2. 세부시설별수요추정방법 가. 객실수요추정 (),,, ( )., Pure Play Approach( ). 1) 용사의집평균객실이용률 (23) (26) (25) 4(2010 2013) 80%...

. < 표 Ⅳ-4> 재경지역군복지시설중객실이용현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 : 6,841 7,822 8,029 8,057 7,687 8,395 8,395 8,395 8,395 8,395 81.49 93.17 95.64 95.97 91.57 8,272 8,117 8,323 8,134 8,212 9,490 9,490 9,490 9,490 9,490 87.17 85.53 87.70 85.71 86.53 6,807 7,732 7,504 6,837 7,220 9,125 9,125 9,125 9,125 9,125 74.60 84.73 82.24 74.93 79.13 < 표 Ⅳ-5> 용사의집성수기 비수기별객실이용현황 (:, % ) 2010 2011 2012 2,484 1,819 73.2 2,484 2,125 85.5 2,484 2,157 86.8 5,934 4,974 83.8 5,934 5,777 97.3 5,934 5,854 98.6 8,395 6,793 80.9 8,395 7,902 94.1 8,395 8,011 95.4 :,, 2013.,, (). (,, ) 75.2%( 68.6%) 24.8%(22.7%). 23 160..

< 표 Ⅳ-6> 용사의집계급별이용현황 () 2010 2011 2012 2013 81 80 65 81 76.8 (1.2%) 1,955 (28.6%) 1,524 (22.3%) 944 (13.8%) 587 (8.6%) 5,091 (74.4%) 14 (0.2%) 1,654 (24.2%) 66 (1.0%) 16 (0.2%) 1,736 (25.4%) 6,841 (100%) (1.0%) 1,855 (23.7%) 1,571 (20.1%) 1,451 (18.6%) 1,085 (13.9%) 6,042 (77.2%) 22 (0.3%) 1,465 (18.7%) 86 (1.1%) 207 (2.6%) 1,758 (22.5%) 7,822 (100%) (0.8%) 2,068 (25.8%) 1,804 (22.5%) 1,314 (16.4%) 814 (10.1%) 6,065 (75.5%) 18 (0.2%) 1,386 (17.3%) 335 (4.2%) 225 (2.8%) 1,946 (24.2%) 8,029 (100%) (1.0%) 1,778 (22.1%) 1,735 (21.5%) 1,484 (18.4%) 760 (9.4%) 5,838 (72.5%) 27 (0.3%) 1,624 (20.2%) 443 (5.5%) 125 (1.6%) 2,192 (27.2%) 8,057 (100%) (1.0%) 1,914.0 (25%) 1,658.5 (21.6%) 1,298.3 (16.8%) 811.5 (10.5%) 5,759.0 (74.9%) 20.3 (0.3%) 1,532.3 (20.1%) 232.5 (2.9%) 143.3 (1.8%) 1,908.0 (24.8%) 7,687.3 (100%) :,,,,,, : 2) 서울시및용산구소재유사등급호텔의평균이용률. 2 1..

2 2 2 5%. 75.9%(2012 74.2%) 2 81.9%(2012 82.7%). 2..

< 표 Ⅳ-7> 서울시소재관광호텔등급별객실이용현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 1 3,510,735 2,824,687 80.5 3,497,987 2,774,929 79.3 3,800,943 2,952,794 77.7 3,603,222 2,850,803 79.2 2 1,736,292 1,315,619 75.8 1,815,233 1,582,815 87.2 1,991,215 1,647,568 82.7 1,847,580 1,515,334 81.9 1 1,317,650 1,105,865 83.9 1,228,955 1,010,347 82.2 1,363,297 1,140,655 83.7 1,303,301 1,085,622 83.3 2 434,350 269,309 62.0 380,196 257,045 67.6 400,010 272,437 68.1 404,852 266,264 65.9 7,713,332 6,092,012 79.0 7,561,197 6,101,588 80.7 8,402,784 6,628,780 78.9 7,892,438 6,274,127 79.5 : 3,, :,

< 표 Ⅳ-8> 용산구소재관광호텔등급별객실이용현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 1 221,555 181,770 82.0 221,555 189,378 85.5 222,162 186,656 84.0 221,757 185,935 83.8 2 104,390 77,770 74.5 104,390 82,544 79.1 104,676 77,672 74.2 104,485 79,329 75.9 1 177,025 128,513 72.6 60,590 52,641 86.9 178,974 149,963 83.8 138,863 110,372 81.1 2 18,615 13,612 73.1 18,615 14,476 77.8 18,666 13,511 72.4 18,632 13,866 74.4 521,585 401,665 77.0 405,150 339,039 83.7 524,478 427,802 81.6 483,738 389,502 80.8 : 3,, :,

3) 객실수요추정방법 Pure Play Approach 2., 2...,.. ( ), (, )... -. -. -. -. -.

- 2. 가 ) 기존수요추정 58,400(= 160 365). ( ) 5,779 (,, ) 1,908 ( ). 나 ) 미래수요추정. 2011 657 10),. ( ).. (2009 2010) - (159,017 11) ) - (7.46% 0.5; 2 7.46% 3.73%) - ( ) (5.18% 0.5; 2 5.18% 2.59%)

- (26.9%) - (23.8%) - (45.2%) - (74.9%) 12) - (27.0%) - (1.2).,.. 1,877 13). = ( ) = 159,017 (5.18% 0.5) (26.9% + 23.8%) 74.9% 1.2.,,..

. 74.9% 27.0%( ) 20.2%(= 74.9% 27.0%). 38,546 30,890. = = 159,017 74.9% 27.0% 1.2 5,779 1,877 < 표 Ⅳ-9> 재경지역출장인원현황 (: () : 2011 2012 2013 84,268 82,201 103,111 89,860 50,115 74,980 86,310 70,468 134,383 157,181 189,421 160,328.,,, 67.,, ( 52) 2010 2013 2,445..

< 표 Ⅳ-10> 대외군사교류협력행사현황 2010 2011 2012 2013 14 17 12 18 15.3 35 24 28 29 29.0 14 14 13 25 16.5 4 5 5 11 6.3 67 60 58 83 67.0 ( ) 53 43 46 65 51.8 : (), e- < 표 Ⅳ-11> 연평균대외군사교류협력현황에따른객실소요 (1) (2) (3) (4)=(1) (2) (5)=(3) (4) 29.0 20 2 580 1,160 16.5 20 2 330 660 6.3 50 2 312.5 625 51.8 1,222.5 2,445 : 11. :, (2012).,.. 2010 2013 20..

(). 2010 2012 TMO 349,273( 287,156, 62,117) 14). TMO 15).. TMO,.,, 0.5 ( 349,273 174,636 ). ( 62.9%, 75.1%) (86.9%) TMO (88.3%) 36.2%.. 37.0%. 2 43.6%., TMO 2 10,198. (8 21) 5,099...

= TMO [ 2 ] = (349,273 0.5) [(88.3% 86.9% 62.9% 75.1%) 43.6% 37.0%]. (2009 2010) - (159,017) - (2.28% 0.5; 2 2.28% 1.14%) - ( ) (8.98% 0.5; 2 8.98% 4.49%) - (39.1%) - (1.2).. 1.2 3,350. = = 159,017 4.49% 39.1% 1.2

.. (1, 4, 8 ) ( 1, 1, 10 ). 10 5 10~29 2... 10 19( 15, 4 ) 10~29 17( 15, 2 )... 173(. )..... 3. 59.. 59 8,395 0.7% 409(= 0.7% 160 365) 59 350.

< 표 Ⅳ-12> 외국공관의용사의집객실이용현황 (:,, ) 2011 2012 2013 52 20 42 38 55 41 42 46 83 42 53 59 :.,,,. 4.. (23)....,,. (1.6%). 24.8% (1,908)... 2. 2 2010 2012 75.9% 2011 1 (

) 2 74.3%(2010 2012 ). = ( ) 2 = (71,540 34,155) 74.3%= 27,777 1,908 25,869.. ( 91) (196) 68.3% (34,155 = 50,007 68.3%)... 16). 2012 6,029,722( 5,721,813). 2012 5,792,158( 5,450,802; IV-7 ) 2012 237,564( 271,011 ). 17) 2010 2. (1, 2) 6% 2 32% 2012 14,254(= 237,564 6%; 16,260) 2 4,561(= 14,254 32%; 5,203). 18)

4 ( 4 ). 11,349. 40%. () = ($200 ) / = 10,477,008 80.9% 64.0% 2.31 / 2.19 < 표 Ⅳ-13> 연도별외국인관광객입국현황 (:,, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 8,797,658 9,794,796 11,140,028 12,175,550 10,477,008 12.5 11.3 13.7 9.3 11.7 7.2 7.5 6.7 6.8 7.1 () 74.3 75.4 73.4 73.5 74.2 () 8.1 12.6 11.6 11.8 11.0 () 80.3 79.7 82.5 80.9 80.9 / 37.6 23.8 29 35.7 31.5 13.1 10.2 12 16.7 13.0 20.9 19.3 16.1 15.6 18.0 51.3 42.4 43.9 48.2 46.5 32.2 31.1 24.5 23.4 27.8 0 9.2 11.8 10.6 7.9, /,, /N :,,

< 표 Ⅳ-14> 외국인관광객일평균숙박비지출현황 (: %) $100 $100 - $200 $200 - $500 $500 32.8 14.8 26.4 26.0 6.4 1.9 34.5 57.2 25.0 11.0 28.8 35.2 :,,. < 표 IV-15> 외국인관광객평균숙박일수및투숙인원 (:, ) 2010 2011 2012 1 3.02 2.36 2.41 1.99 2.05 1.60 2.49 1.98 2 2.14 1.2 2.22 2.5 2.02 2.50 2.13 2.07 1 2.68 1.72 1.55 1.79 1.6 1.84 1.94 1.78 2 3.25 2.06 2.14 1.48 1.84 1.95 2.41 1.83 2.04 2.05 2.31 2.03 1 2.15 1.43 1.76 1.28 1.59 1.36 1.83 1.36 2 2.64 2.31 2.64 1.87 2.38 1.87 2.55 2.02 1 3.07 1.55 1.96 1.79 2.12 1.96 2.38 1.77 2 3.44 1.97 2.62 2.01 2.06 2.06 2.71 2.01 1.99 1.69 2.19 1.69 : = / :,, 2014 159,017 2025 2,500~2,900 188,500....

.. < 표 IV-16> 간부증원에따른객실수요의연도별추이 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 159,017 161,900 164,800 167,700 170,600 173,500 176,000 178,500 181,000 183,500 186,000 (68.3% ) 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 3,947 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 7,368 21,098 21,575 22,055 22,535 23,015 23,495 23,909 24,323 24,737 25,151 25,565 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742 1,742-42 83 125 167 208 245 280 316 352 388 22,840 23,359 23,880 24,402 24,923 25,445 25,895 26,345 26,795 27,245 27,694 34,155 34,674 35,196 35,717 36,239 36,760 37,211 37,660 38,110 38,560 39,010 (%) 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 1,908 25,869 25,484 25,096 24,709 24,321 23,933 23,599 23,265 22,930 22,596 22,262 27,777 27,392 27,004 26,617 26,229 25,841 25,507 25,173 24,838 24,504 24,170 61,932 62,066 62,200 62,334 62,468 62,601 62,718 62,833 62,948 63,064 63,180 86.6 86.8 86.9 87.1 87.3 87.5 87.7 87.8 88.0 88.2 88.3 2024 2024.

74.3%.. 나. 컨벤션. 2010 2013 8 215. < 표 Ⅳ-17> 용사의집연회장운영현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 69 4.6 38 2.0 24 1.2 22 1.0 38.3 2.0 212 14.1 276 14.2 303 14.9 324 14.9 278.8 14.6 7 0.5 3 0.2 11 0.5 11 0.5 8.0 0.4 1,210 80.5 1,595 82.1 1,678 82.4 1,791 82.5 1,568.5 82.0 6 0.4 31 1.6 20 1.0 24 1.1 20.3 1.1 1,428 94.9 1,902 97.9 2,001 98.3 2,139 98.5 1,867.5 97.6 1,504 100 1,943 100 2,036 100 2,172 100 1,913.8 100 : < 표 Ⅳ-18> 육군회관연회장운영현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 226 14.9 213 13.1 228 14.4 209 14.9 219.0 14.3 753 49.6 860 53.0 833 52.7 673 47.9 779.8 50.9 257 16.9 230 14.2 189 12.0 184 13.1 215.0 14.0 256 16.9 287 17.7 279 17.7 284 20.2 276.5 18.1 27 1.8 33 2.0 51 3.2 54 3.8 41.3 2.7 1,036 68.2 1,180 72.7 1,163 73.6 1,011 72.0 1,097.5 71.7 1,519 100 1,623 100 1,580 100 1,404 100 1,531.5 100 :

< 표 Ⅳ-19> 용사의집컨벤션개최현황 () 1 ~ 10 4 11 ~ 50 7 51 ~ 100 0 101 ~ 500 2 501 0 13 64 :,, 2012. < 표 Ⅳ-20> 육군회관컨벤션개최현황 :,, 2012. 223... 64, 114. 2011 110.

< 표 Ⅳ-21> 자료요청및답변기관 : (),,,,, :,,,, : (), ADD(), KIDA() ( ) :,,, :,,,, :,,, : : + :, :,, 2012. 26. (: KOEX, KINTEX). 1 2 1,,.,,. 9 4,276, 226. 173.

< 표 Ⅳ-22> 민간시설이용컨벤션현황 () () 1 200 4 35,000 4 1 200 4 31,516 4 1 200 5 52,826 5 PKO PKO 1 60 0 9,300 0 2 50 50 4,282 100 CISM 9 237 237 760,000 3 120 20 238,797 60

< 표 Ⅳ-22> 의계속 () (CHOD) 14 ADEX EXPO (2013 ) () () 5 200 150 285,742 1 525 0 33,000 1 450 4 77,600 1 500 85 205,760 9 9,165 20 6,430 4 100 0 370 1 100 80 33,000

< 표 Ⅳ-22> 의계속 () () KINTEX 6 1,000 100 2,000,000 ADEX2011 6 400 45 300,000 1 200 0 3,100 0 / 4 2,000 300 14,000 / 1 500 0 5,000 0 1 500 0 5,000 0

< 표 Ⅳ-22> 의계속 () () M&S 1 200 0 8,000 Bexco 1 169 0 10,000 4 48 48 86,623 1 10 10 2,740 2 530 6 104,122 1 250 0 10,000 1.3 226 9 42,758 173

MICE (5).. ( 52). 61 54. 284, 100. 2009 2011 MICE.. 19). 2 24 48.1% 17.8% 1 4.,. (2010 ).. 16,208, 2,113, 150, 69, 5, 3. 1,578(= 1 150 5 + 4 69 3).

< 표 Ⅳ-23> 서울에서개최된국방및안보주제국내 국제회의및행사현황 (:, %) 2009 2010 2011 (C) 137 214 260 203 (M) 2,601 3,114 3,100 2,938 / (C) 2.19 0.47 0.77 1.14 (M) 1.61 0.22 0.74 0.86 / (C) 3 1 2 2 (M) 42 7 23 24 : MICE < 표 Ⅳ-24> 서울에서개최된국내 국제회의및행사의개최시설현황 (:, %) (C) (M) 2009 2010 2011 / 27 19.7 90 42.1 95 36.5 71 32.8 91 66.4 82 38.3 103 39.6 92 48.1 / 14 10.2 15 7.0 23 8.8 17 8.7 1 0.7 2 0.9 6 2.3 3 1.3 4 2.9 25 11.7 33 12.7 21 9.1 / 1,835 70.5 2,275 73.1 1,757 56.7 1956 66.8 626 24.1 96 3.1 817 26.4 513 17.8 / 61 2.3 24 0.8 163 5.3 83 2.8 42 1.6 698 22.4 175 5.6 305 9.9 37 1.4 21 0.7 188 6.1 82 2.7 : MICE

< 표 Ⅳ-25> 국방및안보주제국내 국제회의및행사의세부통계 (2010 년 ) 2010 (C) (M) 6 60 1,000 0 45 1,000~ 2,500 2,500 ~ 5,000 5,000 ~ 1 1 ~ 5 5 0 0 16,208 1,737 250 0 54 250 ~ 500 500 ~ 1,000 1,000 ~ 2,500 2,500 0 0 667 219 1 2 27 2 3 4 5 6 : MICE 7 0 4 5 3 2 1 0 3 4 1 1 1 0 2 1 0 6 5 3 1 3 0 3 16 7 3 2 1 다. 연회장,,. 2010 2013.. 2011,.

. < 표 Ⅳ-26> 용사의집연회장운영현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 69 4.6 38 2.0 24 1.2 22 1.0 38.3 2.0 212 14.1 276 14.2 303 14.9 324 14.9 278.8 14.6 7 0.5 3 0.2 11 0.5 11 0.5 8.0 0.4 1,210 80.5 1,595 82.1 1,678 82.4 1,791 82.5 1,568.5 82.0 6 0.4 31 1.6 20 1.0 24 1.1 20.3 1.1 1,428 94.9 1,902 97.9 2,001 98.3 2,139 98.5 1,867.5 97.6 1,504 100 1,943 100 2,036 100 2,172 100 1,913.8 100 : < 표 Ⅳ-27> 육군회관연회장운영현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 226 14.9 213 13.1 228 14.4 209 14.9 219.0 14.3 753 49.6 860 53.0 833 52.7 673 47.9 779.8 50.9 257 16.9 230 14.2 189 12.0 184 13.1 215.0 14.0 256 16.9 287 17.7 279 17.7 284 20.2 276.5 18.1 27 1.8 33 2.0 51 3.2 54 3.8 41.3 2.7 1,036 68.2 1,180 72.7 1,163 73.6 1,011 72.0 1,097.5 71.7 1,519 100 1,623 100 1,580 100 1,404 100 1,531.5 100 : () 2,965. 2,965. 21.7%.. 56.3% 19,427(=159,017 56.3% 21.7%). 1 1.

,. 4. 7,056 317,912( 196, 18, 2) 4 2,965 42.0%.. 350. 61,107(19.2%) 21. 6. 109 (220) 2, 110(230) 3, 149(186) 20) 1.. 196 1 2 ( ) 515,872. 19.2% 99,048() 61,107(),. 18,971() 37,941().

< 표 Ⅳ-28> 용사의집과육군회관에서개최된연회현황 (:,, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 1,428 1,902 2,001 2,139 1,867.5 () - (34,365) (34,030) (40,321) (36,239) 3,920 3,920 3,920 3,920 3,920 36.4 48.5 51.0 54.6 47.6 18 17 19 18 1,036 1,180 1,163 1,011 1,098 () (20,272) (16,522) (32,316) (30,365) (24,869) 3,136 3,136 3,136 3,136 3,136 33.0 37.6 37.1 32.2 35.0 20 14 28 30 23 2,464 3,082 3,164 3,150 2,965 () () () - 7,056 (50,887) 7,056 (317,912) (317,912) 34.9 43.7 (16.0) (66,346) 7,056 (317,912) 44.8 (20.9) (70,686) 7,056 (317,912) 44.6 (22.2) (61,107) 7,056 (317,912) 42.0 (19.2) 17 21 22 21 : 1) 350. 2) : 365 [(52 2) + 52 + 13] = 196 3) : 196 10 2 = 3,920 (,, ) 4) : 196 8 2 = 3,136 ( ) 5) : 196 2 : 라. 예식장.,,..

< 표 Ⅳ-29> 용사의집과육군회관의예식현황 (:, %) 2010 2011 2012 2013 69 38 24 22 38 34 8 27 11 8 19 9 2 13 6 3 13 15 5 18 - - - - - - - - - - 226 213 228 209 219 132 74 20 122 46 45 130 58 40 114 65 30 124 61 34 520~580 520~580 520~580 520~580 520~580 41.1 38.9 41.5 38.0 39.8 : 1) :, :, : 2) : 3) : 52 2 1 5 = 520. 550. :,, 2013. 257. 257 139(54.1%), 118(45.9%).... 2010 2013 1,854 2012 2013. 2012.. 2 3,194. 22.3% 712.

< 표 Ⅳ-30> 육군혼인율 (:, %) (1) (2) (3)=(1) (2) (4) (3) (4) 14,104 1.3 183 25.0 46 34,535 11.5 3,972 21.3 846 59,024 9.3 5,489 23.1 1,268 12,096 0.8 97 11.9 12 119,759 22.9 9,741 22.3 2,171 :,, 2011. < 표 Ⅳ-31> 본인결혼관련휴가신청현황 2010 2011 2012 2013 (2010~2013) (: ) (2012~2013) 163 864 3,583 2,805 1,854 3,194 : () :. 605 ( 118 ). 1,317.. 마. 임대사무실. 5.9% 94.1%.

. 3 60% 10% 4 94.1%. 3~5%. 5.9%. < 표 Ⅳ-32> 용산지역분기별임대사무실공실률추세 (: %) 1/4 24.7 2010 2/4 10.0 3/4 9.8 4/4 4.2 1/4 4.0 2011 2/4 1.6 3/4 2.0 4/4 1.6 1/4 2.3 2012 2/4 2.4 3/4 1.9 4/4 3.1 1/4 4.7 2013 2/4 5.0 3/4 6.2 4/4 10.7 5.9 :, 4, 2013.

바. 편의시설및상가. 2013 8.4% 91.6%. 3 60% 10%. < 표 Ⅳ-33> 용산지역분기별매장공실률 (2013 년 ) (:%) 1/4 3.6 2/4 4.7 3/4 13.5 4/4 11.7 8.4 :, 4, 2013 제 3 절수요추정결과제시 1. 수요추정결과 가. 객실 1) 기존수요. 2010 2013 95.97%, 91.57%. 2 95.81%. 8,395 7,687 ( 2, 8,043), 5,779

(75.2%; 2, 5,974) 1,908(24.8%; 2, 2,069). 2) 미래수요. ( )... 가 ) 출장 ( 공무및훈련 )... 1,877.. (20.2% = 74.9% 27.0%) 38,546 30,890. 나 ) 대외협력및외교. 2,445. 다 ) 장병휴가, 휴양및관광 TMO 349,273., ( ) 36.2%. 2 43.6%

37.0% 10,198. (8 2 1) 5,099.. 50%... 39.1% 3,350.. 라 ) 해병대와국군복지단. (1, 4, 8 ) ( 1, 1, 10 ) 7. 36. 43. 마 ) 컨벤션. 2011 110 26. 9 173. 바 ) 외국공관.. 3 (59, ).. 0.7% 409 59 350

. 사 ) 민간수요 ( 관광객포함 ).. 22.7%( 24.8%). 2. (74.3%) 27,777 25,869. 4., 2012 4,561( 5,203) (25,869) 17.6%. 아 ) 간부증원계획에의한수요증가 (159,017) 2024 2,500~2,900 186,000.. 2018 2018. 74.3%. 2024 2024. 2014 50,007 27,777 77,784. 2018 53,058 26,229 79,287, 2024 57,115 24,170 81,285.

3) 객실수요종합,.. 2014 70,097. 77,784.. 2. (. ) 2018 2024 71,600 73,598 79,287 81,285. < 표 Ⅳ-34> 객실수요종합 (2014 년도간부수 159,017 명기준 ) (: ) 5,779 1,908 7,687 ( ) 1,877 30,890 - - 2,445 0 - - 2,550 2,550 - - 3,350 0 - - 43 0 - - 173 0 - - 350 0 - - - - - 25,869 10,788 33,440-25,869 70,097 50,007 27,777 77,784

< 표 Ⅳ-35> 객실수요종합 (2018 년도간부수 170,600 명기준 ) (: ) 5,779 1,908 7,687 ( ) 1,877 33,697 - - 2,445 0 - - 2,550 2,550 - - 3,350 244 - - 43 0 - - 173 0 - - 350 0 - - - - - 24,321 10,788 36,491-26,229 71,600 53,058 26,229 79,287 < 표 Ⅳ-36> 객실수요종합 (2024 년도간부수 186,000 명기준 ) (: ) 5,779 1,908 7,687 ( ) 1,877 37,430 - - 2,445 0 - - 2,550 2,550 - - 3,350 568 - - 43 0 - - 173 0 - - 350 0 - - - - - 22,262 10,788 40,548-22,262 73,598 57,115 24,170 81,285

나. 컨벤션 223. 9, 52. 284 28,279.. 다. 연회장.. 19.2% (515,872) 99,048( 21 4,717). 61,107 (2,910) 37,941 ( 18,971). 라. 예식장. 22.3%.. 139 712. 118 605. 1,317( 20%). 2007 2009, 34.1% 55.4%. 21)

1 6 10 1 ( 11) 26.1%. 22). 마. 임대사무실. 5.9% 94.1%.. 3 60% 10% 4 94.1%. 바. 편의시설및상가. 2013 8.4% 91.6%. 3. 사. 추가적고려사항... 2 74.3% 2.. 70% 80% ( ). 70%

. (, ).,,,, (142 91),,,.. 20.8km ( 52, 63, 90, 73)., ( 810, 1,622, 1,902, 578, 390 ) 5,000,..,,,.. 91. 287(196 + 91) 68.3%., /,,, 68.3%, 34,155( 86.6%). 74.3% 2014 27,777.. (3,350).

, (,, ).. 2024 186,000... 23).. ( :, : )....... 아. 수요추정종합...

.. < 표 Ⅳ-37> 세부시설별수요추정종합 (2014 년기준 ) (:,, %) () 3,947 1,908 7,368 0 22,840 25,869 () 223 (25,022) 61 (3,257) () 2,965 (61,107) 904 (18,971) 904 (18,971) 139 118 573 487 94.1% 91.6% 34,155 27,777 712 605 61,932 284 4,772 1,317 94.1% 91.6% (86.6%) (28,279) (99,048) : 68.3% 74.3%( 2 ) 2018 2024 2024 2024. < 표 Ⅳ-38> 간부증원에따른연차별객실수요변동 (:,, %) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 170,600 173,500 176,000 178,500 181,000 183,500 186,000 36,239 36,760 37,211 37,660 38,110 38,560 39,010 26,229 25,841 25,507 25,173 24,838 24,504 24,170 62,468 62,601 62,718 62,833 62,948 63,064 63,180 87.3% 87.5% 87.7% 87.8% 88.0% 88.2% 88.3%

2. 수입. 가. 객실수입.. 74.3%. 8 12..,. 2. 1.. 11 1 2.38(2012 2 ). 2012 2 30,863. 2008 2012 5 2012. < 표 Ⅳ-39> 재건립사업시행후연간가용객실 () () 45 0 1 0 365 365 28 1 4 365 1,460 1,825 15 1 10 365 3,650 4,015 12 1 47 365 17,155 17,520 8 16 115 5,840 41,975 47,815 196 71,540

< 표 Ⅳ-40> 객실수입산정결과 (2018 년기준 ) (1) () (2) () (1) (2) () () 45 74 54 150,000 350,000 11,100,000 18,900,000 30,000,000 28 530 383 100,000 250,000 53,000,000 95,750,000 148,750,000 15 1,747 1,264 80,000 120,000 139,760,000 151,680,000 291,440,000 12 8,639 6,253 60,000 100,000 518,340,000 625,300,000 1,143,640,000 8 25,249 18,275 40,000 70,000 1,009,960,000 1,279,250,000 2,289,210,000 62,468 1,732,160,000 2,170,880,000 3,903,040,000 < 표 Ⅳ-41> 객실수입산정결과 (2024 년기준 ) (1) () (2) () (1) (2) () () 45 79 49 150,000 350,000 11,850,000 17,150,000 29,000,000 28 564 349 100,000 250,000 56,400,000 87,250,000 143,650,000 15 1,859 1,152 80,000 120,000 148,720,000 138,240,000 286,960,000 12 9,303 5,764 60,000 100,000 558,180,000 576,400,000 1,134,580,000 8 27,205 16,856 40,000 70,000 1,088,200,000 1,179,920,000 2,268,120,000 63,180 1,863,350,000 1,998,960,000 3,862,310,000 < 표 Ⅳ-42> 부대시설수입산정결과 (:, ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 36,239 36,760 37,211 37,660 38,110 38,560 39,010 62,425 61,502 60,707 59,912 59,114 58,320 57,525 3,045.1 3,032.6 3,022.0 3,011.4 3,000.6 2,990.0 2,979.3 : 1 2.38 30,863

< 표 Ⅳ-43> 연차별객실매출및부대수입변동 (: ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 1,732.16 1,758.49 1,781.62 1,802.61 1,819.29 1,840.22 1,863.35 2,170.88 2,140.29 2,114.05 2,085.75 2,053.42 2,025.26 1,998.96 3,903.04 3,898.78 3,895.67 3,888.36 3,872.71 3,865.48 3,862.31 1,118.4 1,134.5 1,148.4 1,162.3 1,176.2 1,190.1 1,204.0 1,926.6 1,898.1 1,873.6 1,849.1 1,824.4 1,799.9 1,775.4 3,045.1 3,032.6 3,022.0 3,011.4 3,000.6 2,990.0 2,979.3 6,948.1 6,931.4 6,917.7 6,899.8 6,873.3 6,855.5 6,841.6 나. 컨벤션수입.. < 표 Ⅳ-44> 대관및다과가동률 () () () 1 () (1) () (%) (%) 202 380 522 261 2 284 54.4 27.2 < 표 Ⅳ-45> 컨벤션수입산정결과 (2) () (3) () (4) 1 () (1) (3)+0.5 (1) (2) (4) () 100 1,200,000 30,000 766,800,000 다. 연회장수입..

< 표 Ⅳ-46> 연회장수입산정결과 149 110 109 () [ ]() 1 [186] 3 [ 230] 2 [ 220] (1) (2) (1) (2) 1 1 (%) () () () () () () 196 2 515,872 19.2 99,048 27,000 2,674,323,000 라. 예식장수입, (),.,,. ( ),, (). 350. (,, ). 250. < 표 Ⅳ-47> 연간가용예식수와연간추정예식수 () () 1 () () () (%) 82 3 248 6 6,570 1,317 20.0

< 표 Ⅳ-48> 예식장수입 () () 1 () () () 350 300,000 40,000 2,500,000 22,125,600,000. 마. 임대사무실수입 1. 5.9%. 56%. 3 60% 10%. < 표 Ⅳ-49> 임대사무실수입 (m 2 (%) (/m 2 ) () ) 1 133 438.9 94.1 186,000 137,186,004 바. 편의시설및상가수입. 8.4%. 56%. 3 60%. 16.

< 표 Ⅳ-50> 편의시설및상가수입산정결과 (m 2 ) (m 2 ) (%) (/m 2 ) () 167 552.1 133 438.6 3 44 146.9 2 138 556.3 4,942.6 91.6 142,775 1,154,283,385 1 353 1168 2 756 2519.7 :. 사. 총수입 198.8. < 표 Ⅳ-51> 용사의집재건립연간총수입 () () () () () () () 2018 2024 6,948.11 766.80 2,674.32 22,125.60 137.19 1,154.28 33,806,300,038 6,841.7 766.80 2,674.32 22,125.60 137.19 1,154.28 33,699,849,748

제 Ⅴ 장편익추정 제 1 절편익추정의개요 1. 개요..,,. ( ).....,.

, ( ).. 24) 2. 편익유형검토 가. 복지편익 ( 군 ) 및이용자편익...,,,,.,,.. ( )....., ( )

... 나. 육군회관부지활용편익... 제 2 절편익항목별추정방법,...,,,...

1. 군복지편익 가. 객실.. 2 1.,.. < 표 Ⅴ-1> 세부시설별수요추정종합 (2014 년기준 ) (:,, %) () () () 3,947 1,908 139 118 7,368 0 573 487 904 22,840 25,869 94.1% 91.6% (18,971) 34,155 27,777 712 605 1,317 94.1% 91.6%... ( IV-7,8 ) 223 61 61,932 2,965 904 284 4,772 (25,022) (3,257) (86.6%) (61,107) (18,971) (28,279) (99,048)

... (40,000)., (21,098 = 30,890 68.3%[/ ]) 40,000.., 54,500 70,000. 25) 40,000 180,000 140,000 14,500 26). 14,500 15,500 30,000. 140,000 30,000 110,000. 180,000 70,000. 110,000(8 ).., 500,000 500,000 350,000 500,000 150,000 350,000.

39,000 70,000( 54,500).,,,,...., 8 140,000 30,000( ) 110,000. 40,000., (5,312 = 7,777[, ] 68.3%[/ ]). 27) 5,312 8 12 8(3,945) 12(1,367) 28) 110,000 160,000... () (/) = ( ) *2018 = 23,015 (= 33,697 68.3%) *2024 = 25,565 (= 37,430 68.3%) () = () * = 5,312 (= 68.3% 7,777[// ]) 2018 8, /. / 20,135 180,000. 8 (3,945

) 110,000. 4,058,250,000 [= 20,135 180,000 + 3,945 110,000]. 2018 12, / 6,867 230,000, 12 1,367 160,000. 1,798,130,000 [= 6,867 230,000 + 1,367 160,000]. /... ( ).. 40,000.. 2014 21,098 40,000 [ 21,098 40,000].. (Willingness To Pay: WTP)... WTP. 2 2012 140,991( 82.7%). 82.7% 200,081. ( 59,090) /.. 2 WTP.

WTP = ( WTP) * WTP ( 2 ) * ( ) * [ > WTP] [ > WTP ]. 2012. 1, 2.38 1 (30,863 ).. WTP 5 WTP. < 표 Ⅴ-2> 시장가격에의한객실당 ( 가상 ) 평균판매요금과 WTP () () 2012 WTP () 45 73 500,000 617 28 730 370,000 4,566 15 2,811 280,000 13,307 12 14,892 230,000 57,907 2 WTP 8 40,643 180,000 123,683 59,149 200,081 140,991 59,090 (82.7%)

< 표 Ⅴ-3> 객실편익산정결과 (2018 년기준 ) / ( ) (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (1+2) (5) 45 59 54 15-500,000 56.50 28 421 383 109-370,000 297.48 15 1,389 1,264 358-280,000 742.84 12 6,867 6,253 1,772-230,000 3,017.60 218.72 8 20,135 18,275 5,114-180,000 6,913.80 433.95 28,871 26,229 7,368 11,028.22 652.67 : 8(3,945) 12(1,367) < 표 Ⅴ-4> 객실편익산정결과 (2018 년기준 ) ( ) () WTP () (+) 45 56.50 / [ [ ] [( + 28 297.48 WTP 2.38) 15 742.84 [ ] 1} ] 12 3,236.32 (21,098 40,000) (28,871+26,229 2.38) 8 7,347.75 (59,090 62,468) 30,863 11,680.89 843.92 3,691.23 2,817.67 2018 9,963,404,945. 2024.

< 표 Ⅴ-5> 객실편익산정결과 (2018 년부터 2024 년까지 ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 5,777.90 5,885.69 5,979.88 6,068.52 6,146.46 6,235.03 6,329.14 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 652.67 5,250.32 5,175.22 5,110.84 5,042.90 4,968.16 4,900.47 4,835.99 11,680.89 10,869.66 10,899.47 10,920.17 10,923.37 10,944.25 10,973.88 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 843.92 WTP 3,691.23 3,699.09 3,706.01 3,712.80 3,719.60 3,726.45 3,733.31 2,817.67 2,805.25 2,794.63 2,783.96 2,773.24 2,762.59 2,751.95 9,963.40 9,131.90 9,144.18 9,147.41 9,133.09 9,136.47 9,148.60 나. 컨벤션 /.. 907,610,000. (/) = + 0.5 = 223 2,530,000 + 223 112 27,500 0.5 < 표 Ⅴ-6> 컨벤션이용요금 / () () (1) (3)+(1) (2) (4) 0.5 (1) (2) (3) (4) 907,610,000 202 223 112 61 95 2,530,000 27,500

다. 연회장.... 1:1.. () 57,000.. 25,000 40,000 36,740. 57,000 20,260 42.4%(= 230/543). < 표 Ⅴ-7> 민간시설연회장이용시지출하는식대 25,000 40,000 60,000 85,000 100,000 1 3 - - - 4 15 102 66 44 122 349 11 31 11 4 12 69 23 44 23 12 19 121 50 180 100 60 153 543 : 2014 8 29)

< 표 Ⅴ-8> 연회장편익 () () () 61,107 57,000 3,483,099,000 18,971 57,000 1,081,347,000 18,971 20,260 162,965,443* 99,048 4,727,411,443 : 42.4% ( ) /. 4,727,411,443. 라. 예식장... ( ) ( ), ( ).., (),.,,. ().. (,, ). 2. 2 2.

< 표 Ⅴ-9> 호텔예식장요금현황 (: ) 3,200,000 60,000+ 2,200,000 3,500,000 60,000+ ~3,100,000 1,700,000 + 2,500,000 ~2,200,000 60,000+ 3,300,000 55,000+ (80% ) 2,200,000 55,000+ 800,000 2,770,000 1,950,000-4,140,000 195 820,000.. 39,000 70,000 54,500. 350 2. 80% 350 80 80% (414).. 250 40% 1,656,000(= 40% (3,500,000 + 800,000 80%)). 350.. 2011 2012 1,313 68( 263), 40,000, 3,230,000, 348. 30)

. ( ) 140,000, 14,500, 910,000. < 표 Ⅴ-10> 예식장이용요금 () () 257 350 820,000 54,500 4,140,000 6,176,995,000 1,060 350 140,000 14,500 910,000 6,492,500,000 1,317 12,669,495,000 마. 임대사무실.,... m 2 18,100(= 217,200/12).. (CDB) (Others)...

< 표 Ⅴ-11> 용산지역오피스빌딩등급기준 Prime A B C 50,000 33,000~50,000 16,500~33,000 16,500 () 24,000 21,000~23,999 18,000~20,999 17,999 5 10 10 4 3 2 1 5 6~10 11~15 16 10% 20% 30% 40% : A. 47,800(14,242/). 2014.3.31., '' 40,000. < 표 Ⅴ-12> 용산지역오피스등급별임대현황 (2013 년 ) (: %, / ) 4.8 4,588 510.7 41.9 23.2 12.9 Prime 12.3 7,147 675.6 67.6 29.9 12.5 A 6.5 5,296 535.4 47.8 26.3 12.2 B 3.8 4,196 503.8 39.4 21.3 13.5 C 3.4 3,800 453.8 33.3 20.8 13.0 : 1,500 4 (2013). 30 10, 11 14,200.

< 표 Ⅴ-13> 용산지역임대사무실임대료현황 (: /) 10 10 1 9,100 9,300 1 26,600 24,100 2 15,300 17,400 3 15,500 16,100 4 15,300 15,500 5 15,200 14,900 6-10 16,900 14,700 11 14,200 :, 4, 2013.. 1. 30, 6,. < 표 Ⅴ-14> 용산주변임대빌딩 (: /) 39,010 20,035.46 18,375.16 15,278.09 15,278.09 B6/30F B3/11F B4/14F B3/15F 1,454.55 1,391.74 743.81 842.98 667.77 409.09 58% 48% 56% 2014 1991 1996 1989 175,758 154,545 103,030 142,424 143,939 17,576 15,455 10,303 14,242 14,394 9,091 7,879 6,364 8,182 7,879 : 15,500

( 186,000).. 3 60% 10%. < 표 Ⅴ-15> 임대사무실시장가격및편익 () (%) () () 1 133 438.93 94.10 186,000 137,186,004 : 56%. 마. 편의시설및상가.. < 표 Ⅴ-16> 용산주변매장 (1 층 ) 월임대료분기별추세 (2013 년 ) (: / ) 1/4 2/4 3/4 4/4 (1) 36,900 37,100 23,500 23,500 30,250 :, 4, 2013. < 표 Ⅴ-17> 용산주변매장층수별월임대료현황 (: /) 1 9,200 1 23,500 2 12,100 3 11,400 4 10,700 5 10,400 6-10 11,100 :, 4, 2013.

1, 2, 2, 3, 30 1, 2, 3. 1.09% (= 15,500/14,200) 11,898 ( 142,775). 3 60%. < 표 Ⅴ-18> 편의시설및상가시설편익산정결과 () (%) () () 4,942.57 91.60 142,775 1,154,283,385 16.. < 표 Ⅴ-19> 장병편의시설편익산정결과 () (%) () () () 438.63 91.60 0 142,775 102,437,259 2. 육군회관전용편익. ( 7,914m 2 ; 14,086,920,000). 1.4 197.2. 5.54.. 2011 2012 2.77 2.37 2.57 (37.4 ) 154.27.

제 3 절편익추정결과의제시 1. 편익합산 2018 296.1 2024 296.9. < 표 Ⅴ-20> 편익산정결과 (2018 년기준 ) (: ) 5,586 5,250 9,963 907 907 4,727 4,727 12,669 12,669-137 137 102 1,154 1,256 3,993 6,541 29,661 < 표 Ⅴ-21> 편익산정결과 (2024 년기준 ) (: ) 6,137 4,836. 9,992 907 907.6 4,727 4,727 12,669 12,669 137.2 137 102 1,154.3 1,256 24,544 6,127.5 29,690

< 표 Ⅴ-22> 연차별편익산정결과 (2018 년부터 2024 년까지 ) ( ) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 29,336.6 29,450.7 29,564.8 29,689.7 29,675.4 29,678.8 29,690.9 : 2018 3 60%, 70%, 80% 2. 미시행대안과비교한증분편익.. 30 1. 2018 2017...

< 표 Ⅴ-23> 기존수요및편익 () 7,687() 70,000 538 7 2,965() 2,530,000 564 112(/) 27,500 343 908 61,107() 57,000 3,483 257() 300,000 77 350(/) 54,500 4,902 257() 2,500,000 643 5,622 1877m 2 142,775 438 10,989 (: ) : 1) 7. 2),, 3) 4) 56% 91.6% 5).

제 Ⅵ 장경제성분석 제 1 절주요전제및분석방법론. / (Benefit Cost Ratio, B/C). 1. 기본가정, (5) 5.50%, 30. (do-nothing) (do-something) (B/C).

2. 잔존가치계산 () ( ),. (, ).,. 3. 분석기법 /(B/C), / 1. 편익 비용비율, B t :, C t :, r: () n : () (NPV: Net Present Value) 0. 순현재가치, B t :, C t :, r: () n : () 4. 기타가정.

.......,,. 제 2 절경제성분석결과 30(2016~2045), 2012, (5), 5.50%. 10,989 218,859 201,194. ΔB/ΔC 1.09 ( ) ( ). < 표 Ⅵ-1> 경제성분석결과 ( 증분 ) (: ) ΔB/ΔC ΔNPV Δ Δ Δ 1.09 17,710 201,149 218,859

< 표 Ⅵ-2> 경제성분석 ( 재건립및미시행대안의비용 / 편익증분분석결과 ) (: ) 1 2015 82,995 74,477 (74,477) 2 2016 61,296 52,201 (52,201) 3 2017 (51,442) (41,525) 41,525 1 2018 18,348 (10,070) 14,038 (7,705) 21,743 2 2019 18,462 9,098 13,389 6,598 6,791 3 2020 18,576 9,098 12,770 6,254 6,515 4 2021 18,701 9,098 12,185 5,928 6,257 5 2022 18,686 9,937 11,541 6,138 5,404 6 2023 18,690 9,993 10,942 5,850 5,091 7 2024 18,702 9,098 10,378 5,049 5,329 8 2025 18,702 9,129 9,837 4,802 5,035 9 2026 18,702 9,098 9,324 4,536 4,788 10 2027 18,702 22,748 8,838 10,750 (1,912) 11 2028 18,702 9,098 8,377 4,075 4,302 12 2029 18,702 9,993 7,940 4,243 3,698 13 2030 18,702 9,098 7,527 3,661 3,865 14 2031 18,702 9,098 7,134 3,471 3,664 15 2032 18,702 11,037 6,762 3,991 2,771 16 2033 18,702 9,129 6,410 3,129 3,281 17 2034 18,702 9,098 6,076 2,956 3,120 18 2035 18,702 9,993 5,759 3,077 2,682 19 2036 18,702 9,098 5,459 2,655 2,803 20 2037 18,702 40,507 5,174 11,206 (6,032) 21 2038 18,702 9,098 4,904 2,386 2,518 22 2039 18,702 9,098 4,649 2,261 2,387 23 2040 18,702 9,098 4,406 2,144 2,263 24 2041 18,702 10,024 4,177 2,238 1,938 25 2042 18,702 23,076 3,959 4,885 (926) 26 2043 18,702 9,098 3,752 1,825 1,927 27 2044 18,702 9,098 3,557 1,730 1,826 28 2045 18,702 9,098 3,371 1,640 1,731 29 2046 18,702 9,098 3,196 1,555 1,641 30 2047 18,702 28,820 3,029 4,668 (1,639) 560,308 431,731 218,859 201,149 17,710

제 3 절민감도분석. (sensitivity analysis),,,,.,,. 3.5%7.5%, ±10% ±20%. < 표 Ⅵ-3> 용사의집재건립사업의민감도분석결과 NPV B/C 3.50% 254,571 299,133 44,562 1.18 (: ) 4.50% 225,048 254,873 29,825 1.14 5.5%() 201,149 218,859 17,710 1.09 6.50% 181,625 189,319 7,694 1.05 7.50% 165,529 164,900 (629) 1.00-20% 160,920 218,859 57,940 1.37-10% 181,034 218,859 37,825 1.21 0%() 201,149 218,859 17,710 1.09 10% 221,264 218,859 2,405) 0.99 20% 241,379 218,859 (22,520) 0.91-20% 201,149 175,087 (26,062) 0.88-10% 201,149 196,973 (4,176) 0.98 0%() 201,149 218,859 17,710 1.09 10% 201,149 240,745 39,596 1.20 20% 201,149 262,631 61,482 1.31

제 Ⅶ 장정책적분석 제 1 절정책적분석체계. -.,....,.,,,,...

..,,. (5),, 4.. < 표 Ⅶ-1> 본사업의정책적분석항목 (),,.,.

제 2 절정책의일관성및추진의지 1. 관련계획및정책방향과의일치성. 20( 10 ),,..... 5, ( ),. 13~ 17 () 13~ 17. 5 7 77, 10.

2. 사업추진의지및선호도,.,.,....,,,.....

3. 사업의준비정도,.,.,., () 2002,. (2006. 1. 9). 2012 9 101 14~ 18 25, 7 1,122 11 (). 2013 1 2013 2 8. 2013 12 2013. 2014 8 2014 9. 2012,,...

제 3 절사업추진상의위험요인 1. 재원조달가능성.. SOC... 198,677 51,638 147,039 49,013..,,.,.. 13 ( ) 14 (). 2009 1,005

, 2010 1,84, 2011 1,461 2012 1,716 2013 288 1,488. 2014 ~2020 2015 1,699, 2016 1,355, 2017 634, 2018 769. [ 그림 Ⅶ-1] 육군복지기금연도별적립금액 +278.5 +177 +255-288 +195.2 +165.8 :,, 2009~2013 '14'18 1,297, 2015~2017 40%~80%. 2. 환경성검토.....