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4 7. 31 < > 33 - ii -

5 1.,,,.,,, ( 1997, p.185). (complexity).,,.,,,.,,, ( 1997, p.191)...,,.,,

6 (Sante Fe Institute) ,,,,,. -. -,,. (NEXSUS) - NEXSUS (sustainability) (ESRC) Priority Network. - NEXSUS , (Cranfield School of Management) (Complex System Management Center). -,. -,,,. (Center for the Study of Complex Economic Sy stems) - ( ) COE(Center of Excellence), (CCES), ,,,,

7 ,., (1997), (1997),, (,,, 1999) ) 1963, ,, ( 1997, p.5)

8 < 1> / / - (1997, p.110) (complex system ) ( 1997, pp.73-77).,

9 ... ( ). 2), ( 1997, 6 ) (theory of computing complexity ), (frame),,,,..., - 5 -

10 . (1997). 3. 1),. (1997, 1-6 )., ,, "Degrees of Freedom (1955)" "T he T heory of Complex Phenomena(1961)". 19 Carl Menger.,. A. Marshall

11 .. 2),. -, ,... -.,

12 ,.,. -. 3) 2.,. -,,, - 8 -

13 ,. -,... ( 1997),.,,.,

14 < 2> ( ) ( ) 19,,,,, ( ),,, (1997, p.70) ( ; 1996),. -,. -. -,,,,

15 .. -, ( ). - ( ). - ( ) (context specific),,

16 4. 1). - ( 1997, p.140),. (complexity ),.. - Boulding ( 1997, pp ). - Gell- Mann ( 1997, p.20)., ( 1997, pp ). -,. (, 1997, p.212)

17 ( 1997, pp ) ,,. (Garcia 1997, pp ) , ,

18 2). -,. -,,. ( 1997, pp ). -., ( 1997, pp ). -., ,

19 ... ( 1998). -. -,, , ( 1998,

20 pp ). -, ( 1997, p.213).,, ( ). 3),.,. < 3> (self org anization ) (ev olution ) (em erg en ce) (hierarchy ) (self sim ilarity ) (feedback ) (attract ors ) (sen sitivity ) (bifurcation ) (path depen den ce) (criticality ) (coev olution ) Garcia (1997, p.139),

21 ...,.,...,,,,..,

22 ...,.,..,,. 4)

23 .,,..,,,,, [ 1] (1998, p.49)

24 5. 1),. -,,,,, ( 1997, p.237).,.,,. -,. -.,,,.. - (tacit) (firm specific)

25 , ( 1998). 2) (Rycroft & Kash 1999), %(740 ) %(5060 ), 38%(590 ) 56%( ).,,,.,

26 .. -,. -. (lock in effect ) QWERT Y PC., VCR VHS.,

27 ., ,.,. 3), (Nelson 1995)

28 .,. (Nelson 1995) ,. -,. ( 2000) -,. - 2, (bridging institution). - (,, ) (context condition), R&D,

29 ,,,, ( ) ( 2000). ( 1997) (self reinforcing), ( ).. -,. -,

30 ,, ) (cognition failure) ( 2001) ( ) (, ) -,.. -.,,. ( 2001)

31 ., ,. -,,. (Ediquist 1999). -. -,., (Langlois & Everett 1994). -.,. -. -,.,

32 ( 2001). 2),.,, (T eubal 2000). -,. -, ( 2001)...,. R&D

33 ( 2001)... -,. -..,. - (monitering)

34 ., ( 2001). (Rycroft & Kash 1999, p.216) - - -,, ( )

35 ,.,,,...,,

36 ( 2001) ( 1997).,

37 < > (1997),,,, (1997),,, , (1998),, (2001),,,, (2000),, 3, (1997),,,, (1997),,,, (1997),, (,, ) (2001),,, (2000),, (2001),,, (2001), -,,, (1997),, 21, 10 (1997),,,,

38 (1997),,,, (1997),,,, (1997),,,, (1997),,,, (1998),, (,, ) (2000),, 48 4, Arthur, B. (1994), Increasing Returns and Path Dependence in the Economy, University of Michigan Press Arthur, B. (1996), "Incr easing Returns and the T w o W orld of Busines s", Harvard Bu siness Review Garcia, A. (1997), "T he Use of Complex Adaptive Systems in Organizational Studies",,, w ww.kier.kyoto- u.ac.jp/ cces.html lissack.com w ww.nex sus.org w ww.santafe.edu Kauffman, S. & Mcready, W. (1995), "T echnological Evolution and Adaptive Organizations", (1997),, Lissack, M. (1997), "Chaos and Complexity What does it have to do with management?- A Practical Application",,, Nelson, R. (1995), "Recent Evolutionary T heorizing about Economic Change",

39 Jour anl of Economic Literatur e Vol.33 Rycroft, R. & Kash, D. (1999), T he Complexity Challenge T echnological Innovation for the 21st Century, Pinter (1997a),, (1997),, (1997b ),, (,,, 1999) (1996), -, (1997),, (1995),,, 1995 (1996),,

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