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2 ,, LG

3 i < > ,497 ( 479 ) , , 50% (4 ) 146% 4 10%, 25%

4 4 05% ( 10 ) 86,646, 122,489, 50% ILO 25%, 1 : 2 : : (GDP )34% ii

5 GDP,,, ( 98 4/4 2/4 84% 23%p ) (%) %p , iii

6 ,,,,, iv

7 90,,, IT,, , 4 5 v

8 vi,,, (trade-off)

9 < > < > / 1 1 /1 2 /2 /6 1 /6 2 /11 3 /13 4 /16 5 /19 /22 1 /22 2 /27 /30 1 /30 2 /33 3 /37 4 /40 /42 1 /42 2 /45 3 /47 < >/48

10 < > < -1> /2 < -2> /3 < -3> /4 < -4> /4 < -5> 40 /5 < -1> /7 < -2> /8 < -3> /9 < -4> /14 < -5> 50% 25% /15 < -6> /19 < -1> /41 < -1> /11 < -2> /16 < -3> 2010 /17 < -4> /18 < -5> /20 < -1> /24 < -2> /28 < -1> /31 < -2> /32 < -3> /33 < -4> /35 < -5> /37 < -6> /38

11 ,,, 40 97IMF 5

12 < > 1, (5 ) ( ), 42 ( ), ( ) 2 OECD <I-1> ( : ) 2,497 ('99) 1,957 ('98) 1,842 ('99) 1,737 ('98) : 1 OECD Employment Outlook '99 ( ) 2 (2000 4) 3 (2000 6) 4 (2000 6) 1,580 ('98) 99 ( ) 2,497 ( 479 ) , ,634 ('97) 2,285 ('99) 2,445 ('99) 2

13 50200 < > (, ), 44 OECD, <I-2> : ,

14 , %(99 ) <I-3> 352 (145%) 250 (125%) 179 (90%) 187 (97%) 68 (45%) : 1 ( ) 2 '96, '97 :,, ' (88%), , <I-4> ( 4) (2025) ('98) 126 ('95) 132 ('97) : (51) :,, 1999,,, ('96) 144 ('96) 139 ('92) 4

15 , 1 (GDP) ,,, 2,,, GDP1 ( ) <I-5> 40 ( :, US$) 40 1 (GDP) ( 1987) (1946 ) ,813 24,400 24,407 20,207 12,984 12,232 10,569 11, ,429(96 ) 738 : 1 GNP ( ) 1988, GDP 33,314 :,,, 2000,,

16 6, 1,,

17 ( ) 50% (4 ) 146% ( ) 4 10%, 25% 4 05% -98% < -1 > ( : %) 50% 25% A B A B : A (4 ) B (4 ) 9599 (9599 ) 471, 5,454 (44 5,454 ) 40 5,999 (545 ) 12 7

18 <II-3 > ( 10 ) 86,646, 122, <II-2> 50% : 50% : 50100% : 25% : 35% : 25% 8 : 25% 8 : 50% :,,, : 1/3 : 50% 2-4 : 2/3 :100% : 100%,,,, ( / ) 130,,,, 150 ( / ), (,,, ) 8

19 <II-3> () ( ) 1 (B/A) (A, /) ( /) ( ) (B, /) ,093 86,646 24, , , ,342 35,261 21, , , , ,857 28, , ,444 21, , ,122 18, , ,072 23, , ,425 36, , ,774 21, , ,576 28, , ,324 20, , ,462 32, , : (9598 ) 1 ( ) ( ) (A) = 1 1 = ( ) (B) = 1 = (4 ) 40 :,,, 9

20 10, < >,,,

21 2 (a) (GLS) 1%p 065%p 1) (%) < II-1> ) (a) PRD t = WH + 006WH + 037Dummy + ε * t t t (463) ( 537) * (047) (026) 2 R = 0543, DW = 1938 : / /4 PRD :, WH :, Dummy : ( ) : ( )t-value, *5% significant 11

22 , % 59%p(91% 065%), %p,,,,,,, 12

23 ,, 3, Job Sharing = ( ) ) : 300, : : 13,200 (= ) : 12,000 (= ) : 1,200 : 30(1,20040 ) 13

24 <II-4> OECD('94) OECD('98) ILO 39, 20 : Financial Times, ' : OECD Employment Outlook, 1998 : European Industrial Relations Review, '973 1% 1% 0406% :,,, % 25%, /

25 <II-5> 50% 25% 50% 25% (A, /) (B, /) (B/A) (C, /) (B, /) (B/C) 86, , , , ,261 49, ,384 49, , , ,857 8, , ,444 9, ,203 9, ,122 1, , ,072 12, ,727 12, ,425 13, ,020 13, ,774 10, ,311 10, ,576 5, ,814 5, ,324 3, ,770 3, ,462 3, ,052 3, : (9598 ) 1 ( ) ( ) (A, C) = 1 1 = ( 15 or ) (B) = 1 = (4 ) 40 :,,, ( ) 15

26 ,, 2) < II-2> (, %) (, %) ) 16 UR = WH 002WH 002WH 001WH + ε t * t t 1 t 2 t 3 t (492) (087) ( 108) ( 116) (054) R= 086, DW = 131 : / /4 UR :, WH : : ( )t-value, *5% Significant

27 (= ) GDP OECD GDP : 2 : : , 2010 (GDP ) 34% < II-3> 2010 ( ) % -44% : 95 (GDP) 3 232%, 3 44%

28 1015%p 4% GDP , 2010, ILO (, 116, 1962) < II-4> %p : 2001,,, ARIMA, OECD GDP, 18

29 Gordon(1984), 984/ /4 84% 23%p( 28%) <II-6> GDP % 60% 1% 5% 39% -6% % 55% 2% 1% 32% 13% % 73% 0% 8% 24% 3% % -42% 75% 48% -35% 26% % 54% 7% -3% 14% 0% : Gordon(1984) GDP= x x x x x 5, 19

30 ( ) ILO, < II-5> ( ) ( ) : 1 :, '99, ,711 20

31 21,,,,, %, 95%

32 22 1, 05%( 25% )146%( ) ( ), (, )

33 23,, ( ),,,,

34 < III-1> (%) ( ) : 134, % 24, ( ),,,,

35 % %,

36 26, 40, < > 1 GDP1,,

37 27,,, 2 (Supply Shock),,, (), () IT

38 < III-2>,,,, Flexible Time,,, 28

39 < >,,,, A/S,, CRM,,,,,,, 29

40 ,, 1 (frei) (Zeit) (freizeit) (rest) (recreation) ( ), ( ) (J Huizinga) Homo Ludens 30

41 , < > Politics " (ascholia) (schole),,, ", (school, schule) schole,,, 90, 1 IMF, <IV-1>,,, :, (1997),

42 TV TV TV, < IV-2> (170) 1 (123) (34) (8) (100) 2-4(312), (295) TV (412) 2-4(295), (114) (34) (32) (86) (25) (9) (86) (42) (62) (27) (413) (363) (437) (37) : % : (1999),,, N, 32

43 < IV-3> X,, N ( ),,,,, ( ),,,, ( ),,,,,, : 33

44 :,, ,, 3 :,,

45 /,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, < IV-4> 350 (187) :, USA TODAY, May 13, 1999, (15) (17) (197) / (588) : wwwsalarymancokr, ' ' 407, ~24 4 :,,, B2C, 35

46 36 Indoor Outdoor, 5 : TV,,,, NGO

47 ,,, < IV-5> (132) (74) (119) (34) (16) TV (18) : Investor's Business Daily, May 17, : SOHO(Small Office Home Office) 1,, 37

48 , -,, 2 :, < IV-6> , (, ) ( ) 3 : 38

49 39 4 :, IT e-lancer(electornic + freelancer) (S Parker),, 5 :

50 ,, : ,,,, 2 : (weekend),,,,,, 40

51 ,,,,,,,,, 3 :,,,,,, (ex: = Education + Entertainment) 4 :, <IV-1> : : + :, : : 41

52 5 :,,,, A/S,, CRM,, Solution,,,,,, 1 42

53 43, 10 40, 40,, 40

54 < 40 > Flex Time (1987 ) , , ( ) , ,, 44

55 45,,, 2 Win-Win trade-off

56 46,,,,, - -

57 47, 3 trade-off,,,

58 < >,,,,, 1999,, 2000,, 2000,,,,,,, 2000 J,, 1999,, LG , No 596,,,,, 1990,,, 21, 1999,,, 1997,, 1999 Claude Giorno, Pete Richardson, Deborah Roseveare and Paul van den Noord, Potential Output, Output Gaps and Structural Budget Balances, OECD Economic Studies No 24, 1995 Gordon, Robert J, Unemployment and Potential Output in the 1980s, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1984, The Time-Varying NAIRU and Its Implications for Economic Policy, Jouranl of Economic Perspectives, Vol 11, No 1, winter 1997 OECD, OECD Employment Outlook, Parker, S,Leisure and Work, London: Goerge Allen & Unwin 1983,,,, 1987,,,, 1997,,, 1993,, 48

59 , - " 90,,,,

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歯표지.PDF