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2 < Summary > < > IT 50 5, /

3 2003 IT,, 30% % 52% 6%,, () 2002,,, 2003 IT, 9%, < Summary >

4 ,, 3%, GDP (%) (, ) 1,504 1, ,774 (%) (, ) 1,411 1, ,698 (%) ( ) ( ) (%) (%) (%) / ( ) 1,292 1,252 1,185 1,205 1,195 (%, )

1,698 (%) -121 69 124 127 126 ( ) 93 113 37 38 76 ( ) 86 70-2 -4-6 (%) 41 27 31 33 32

5 % 3/4 3/4 58% < I-1> ~ ~ ~200210( ) 19889~ ( ) : (100),,, 3/ /4 Current Issue 1

20009~200210( ) 19889~199010 95-14 -12-10 -8-6

6 (%p) < I-2> Q 2Q 3Q 4Q 20021Q 2Q 3Q, 2/4 68% 3/4 67% % 10 24% % (10756%) 52% 3/4 77%,,,

7 67% 3/4 183%, 10 25%, IT,,,,, EU 11 27%,,, Current Issue 3

8 ,, ,260 / 1,210

9 1 OECD ( / ) 4, 6 < II-1> OECD (1995=100) ( ) () () () : ( ) / ( ) : OECD , 2000 IT Current Issue 5

70 () 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 :

10 6 2003, IT IT 10,, %

11 < II-2> (%) ~ (%) < II-3> , 2002 Current Issue 7

10 5 0 < II-3> 21 88 61-5 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

12 %, 70% - 1%, , % 20023/4 3%, %

13 2002, 2003 < II-1> ( : %) EU : 2002, 2003 IMF, EIU 2001 IMF ( ) %, 04% 08% Current Issue 9

60 56 58 27 39 42 44 43 06-06 17 23 20 15 20 22 28 25 35 31 38 42 40 50 37 42

14 EU %, % 3/4 EU 09%, 2/4 08% EU, 2003, % EU, 2003 EU 10% GDP3%, %, 22% < II-2> EU ( : %) EU

< II-2> EU 2001 2002 2003 ( : %) EU 16 08 12 16 14

15 Current Issue ,, 8%, %, WTO, % %, %, (AFTA), 2003

16 < II-3> ( : %) : 2002, 2003 IMF, EIU % %, , , %, %

70 67 41 51 60 56 58 : 2002, 2003 IMF, EIU 2002 14 5%

17 2002 EU 37%, % %, 2003, 49%, %, % <II-4> ( : %) Current Issue 13

: %) 50 37 42 49 45 50 40 45 52 49 30 26

18 2002 2/4 3/ < II-4> (%) : Merrill Lynch 2003 / IT

19 / 115 / 150~160, (Beggar-my-neighbor) < II-5> / / ( ) < II-5> / / (/ ) Current Issue 15

15000 12000 < II-5> / / (/ ) 140 130 9000 6000 3000 120 110

20 % % 2003, %p

21 < II-6> GDP GDP () () <II-6> LIBOR(3 ) Current Issue 17

22 /4 60% 60% 4/4 5% 20% % 52% 6% < III-1> GDP (%) ( ) ( )

23 , IT,, (Double Dip), IT EU, (GNI) (GDP) 2002 < III-1> vs (%) Current Issue 19

24 /4, ,, ~10 1/3 10 7% 3/4 05% 02% 2/4 11% 6 4/4 5% 2003,, () % 47% % 6%

25 ,,, 20023/ %, 6% 2003 < III-2> (%) (%) () () : = ( / ) /4 721% % Current Issue 21

26 % % ,, 12 ( ) % 3/469% (BSI) % 1%p %

27 < III-3> (%) (%) () () : = , 2, /4 154% 20023/4 0% ( ) Current Issue 23

28 % 3/4 38% 3/495% 20%,, 150% 20024/ , % 2002(110) 736%1976, % % 3/4 185%, 375% 3/4 102%,,, 2003,,

29 2003 5% 2003 SOC 48%,,, SOC 2003 (%) 120 < III-4> , 2001 Current Issue 25

30 % 2001 (2001 : -197%), IT,, ASEAN,, EU 5% < III-5> ( : %) EU ( : %) :

31 2003 IT, 9% OECD ( ) 20% IT,,, < III-6> OECD (%) ( %) 8 30 () OECD () : Current Issue 27

32 < III-2> (, ) 1, ,621 1,774 (%) (, ) 1, ,509 1,698 (%) ( ) ( ) % 3/4 135%, % 221%, (%) 80 < III-7> : :

33 Current Issue % ( %) , % 30% %(111 ) 25% %

34 08% %, 1%p 37% / % 75% (%) 15 < III-8> /4 2/4 3/4 4/ /4 2/4 3/4 4/ %

35 2002 9% , < III-3> (%) (%) (%) (, %) % %14%p 27% %, 36% Current Issue 31

36 % %, / % 14% 2003,, 3% ,

37 ( GDP- GDP) -, < III-9> / (%) (%) / () () / 1,294 1, ,300 / 7 1, ,200 / ,00020 Current Issue 33

38 , / 2003, 1,200 / 98 () 1800 < III-9> () / () / () ,000 / /

39 / 1,210 1,230 4 < III-10> (%) (%) 6 20 () () <III-5> / 1,294 1,210 1,252 1,185 1,205 1,195 / / 1,194 1,197 1,196 1,209 1,229 1, Current Issue 35

40 < III-11> ( ) : 2003, ABS

41 < III-12> ( ) : fn-gidecom,, M3( ) 12%, % 65% CP, Current Issue 37

42 < III-6> (, %) (3 ) (3, AA- ) CP (3 )

43 Current Issue , 2002, 2003, - (debt deflation) GDP173%(20022 ), GDP162%(2001 ) ( )

44 ,,, GDP 11%( ) (-05%) (%) 4 < IV-1> :,

45 10%, % ~4%, 20 8~10%, ~2%,, 1996~ %, 1990~ %, %, 17%, 51%( ),, 1990, GDP GDP 13%( ), 105%(20029 ) Current Issue 41

46 (01%), 20022, 6% (refinancing),, 11,, ~2% (disinflation) GDP40% 3%, 2003 (3~35%) 2%, 1~2%

47 EU,,, %( ) - EU (ECB) , % 2,, 2003 Current Issue 43

48 ,, UN UN, 20031/ ,, 13, 1990 IT,

49 Current Issue (160 ), 3,,,,,,, UN

50 ( / ) < IV-2> (WTI) :,,,,,,,

51 Current Issue ,, 1990,,

52 2003 < IV-3> ( : ) : ( ) : / %, 1999/ %, %,

53 (%) < IV-4> : DI(Difusion Index : 0~100%) 50% % 1, Current Issue 49

54 150160, IT IT IT 2002, % IT, IDC2002 IT 23% 8, IT IDC 2001 IT IT,, IT IT IT % % 2003PC 93%, 55%, 179%, 127%

55 IT PC, %, 4%, IT, PC, < IV-5> IT (%) PC : IDC % 1,247, % 2003 IT 152% 1,477 Current Issue 51

56 < IV-6> ( ) (%) ( ) ( ) D-RAM( ) D-RAM( ) :,, : (WSTS) %, 13% 124%( ),,, < IV-7> (2003, ) (%) / : Gartner dataqueset

57 IT ,,, IT 100% IT IT 2 IT 5,, 2003 WTO, (Free Trade Agreement ; FTA) (ASEAN) FTA 1997, 50%, 1992 (AFTA), Current Issue 53

58 2003 5%, % (,,, ), 2010, 2015 < IV-8> (%) : KOTIS AFTA AFTA, AFTA , + 10, 2004 AFTA,

59 FTA AFTA 1998 FTA, FTA, FTA FTA FTA 7 FTA,,, , + 3(,, ) FTA, FTA, FTA FTA WTO, ' (DDA)' FTA Current Issue 55

60 , /4 2003,, EU (Double-Dip),,, 3/4 58% 6% 20026~ %, 52% /4 61%, 02%,

61 ,, 4/ ( ) 2003, IT,, EU %, 10%, Current Issue 57

62 2/4,, /4 2003, LG 20021/ / < IV-9> (1995=100) : /,, /

63 Current Issue , %p GDP 75% % (= / ) %, 05%p 119% ( % ) % 20% ( ) % 20021/43/4102%

64 , < IV-10> (%) : 20%, 20%, 60%, /43/4 :, 2003,

65 Current Issue 61 8, (200111), (20019), (200212) 5 679% 705% 50%,, ( ) (Private Banking),,, 1

66 , 50% ABS( ), REITs( ) ABS One-stop shopping

67 Current Issue 63,,,,,,

68 GDP % 57% < IV-11> GDP GDP : 1 GDP GDP : 2003 (200283% %)

69 Current Issue 65,, % %,,

70 ( % %), 10% ( % 272%) 1 < IV-12> : / % 10%~20% 5%~10% 0%~5% -10%~0% -20%~-10% -20%

71 Current Issue , ' ' 10 ' ', 11 ' ' 20029, , ' '(Agreed Framework),,, 2003,

72 ,,,,,, 23,,,,,,,

73 Current Issue 69

74 V ,, EU,,,,

75 ,, 2003, , 2003,,, Current Issue 71

76 20035,,,,, 5 5,,, 5,,

77 ,, (remodeling) (FTA), Current Issue 73

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<C3D6C1BEBAB8B0EDBCAD28C1A4C3A55F31313239295B315D2E687770> 정책연구 2008-31 저소득층 실태 및 지원방안 연구 An analysis on the actual conditions of the low-income and strategies to overcome their poverty in GyeongGi-Province 2008. 11. 연구책임 : 김 희 연 (경기개발연구원 책임연구원) 연 구 요 약 저소득층

歯표지.PDF

歯표지.PDF