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2018.04Vol.262 C O N T E N T S 02 06 24 44 48 52 57 60 63 68 120 125 130 M O N T H L Y P U B L I C F I N A N C E F O R U M

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3.2 3.3 3.1 3.8 4.3 3.6 3.8 3.8 4.2 5.0 2) 3) 17

58.7 20.3 21.0 48.7 19.8 31.5 59.5 17.4 23.1 43.8 21.1 35.1 18 2018.4

41.3 27.2 31.5 30.8 25.1 44.1 31.1 25.2 43.6 16.9 16.4 66.7 19

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2) 3) 26 2018.4

10,349 (3.7) 2,413 (4.2) 7,936 (3.6) 11,251 (4.0) 2,569 (4.5) 8,682 (3.9) 12,144 (4.3) 2,694 (4.7) 9,450 (4.2) 12,749 (4.6) 2,789 (4.9) 9,960 (4.5) 13,240 (4.7) 2,897 (5.1) 10,343 (4.6) 13,763 (4.9) 3,012 (5.3) 10,751 (4.8) 14,554 (5.2) 3,139 (5.5) 11,415 (5.1) 15,332 (5.5) 3,257 (5.7) 12,075 (5.4) 16,042 (5.7) 3,380 (5.9) 12,662 (5.7) 16,724 (6.0) 3,518 (6.2) 13,206 (5.9) 17,731 (6.3) 3,668 (6.4) 14,063 (6.3) 18,804 (6.7) 3,799 (6.7) 15,005 (6.7) 19,881 (7.1) 3,893 (6.8) 15,988 (7.2) 20,891 (7.5) 3,973 (7.0) 16,918 (7.6) 22,009 (7.9) 4,018 (7.0) 17,991 (8.1) 22,273 (8.0) 4,030 (7.1) 18,243 (8.2) 22,176 (7.9) 3,990 (7.0) 18,186 (8.2) 279,913 (100.0) 57,039 (100.0) 222,874 (100.0) 4) 27

5) 28 2018.4

189 168 20 18.4 69.8 2.6 23.6 24.0 20.0 198 175 23 17.8 68.3 2.6 22.4 22.6 20.2 238 210 28 19.8 78.1 2.9 25.7 26.3 21.1 311 277 34 24.6 99.3 3.4 30.9 32.2 22.8 367 326 41 28.0 112.7 3.9 31.1 32.5 23.3 459 410 49 33.6 136.0 4.6 36.5 38.5 25.8 555 497 57 38.3 158.5 5.0 40.2 42.7 27.3 679 612 67 44.5 188.0 5.5 43.2 46.2 27.8 750 679 71 47.0 201.0 5.6 35.6 37.3 25.9 826 748 78 49.7 212.7 5.9 40.1 42.2 27.9 956 865 91 54.2 235.9 6.5 41.5 44.1 27.5 1,105 1,002 103 59.1 263.8 6.9 43.1 46.1 27.3 1,245 1,130 115 63.0 290.3 7.2 45.9 49.3 28.7 1,332 1,203 129 64.1 302.8 7.7 48.8 52.9 29.9 1,434 1,286 147 65.5 320.2 8.2 50.7 55.0 31.6 1,550 1,380 170 69.9 342.5 9.3 55.1 59.8 34.4 1,590 1,397 193 75.8 351.7 10.6 58.1 61.9 36.9 14.3 14.1 15.1 9.2 10.6 9.3 9.8 9.3 13.8 6.2 7.4 8.7 6.3 5.5 13.8 4.7 4.9 10.2 8.4 8.3 9.5 4.1 5.0 4.2 2.5 2.6 1.8 29

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32 2018.4

127 113 14 12.3 46.8 1.8 15.8 16.1 14.2 126 109 17 11.2 42.4 1.9 14.1 14.1 14.8 160 140 19 13.1 52.2 2.0 17.0 17.6 14.4 161 140 21 12.6 50.2 2.1 15.8 16.3 14.0 168 145 23 12.7 49.9 2.3 14.1 14.4 13.3 189 160 29 13.7 53.1 2.7 14.9 15.0 15.1 217 182 34 14.9 58.0 3.0 15.6 15.6 16.4 233 194 38 15.2 59.6 3.2 14.7 14.6 16.1 286 242 44 17.8 71.5 3.5 13.5 13.3 16.1 340 289 51 20.3 82.1 3.8 16.4 16.3 18.1 356 299 57 20.1 81.6 4.1 15.4 15.3 17.1 388 326 62 20.7 85.8 4.2 15.1 15.0 16.5 400 330 70 20.1 84.9 4.4 14.7 14.4 17.4 451 371 79 21.6 93.5 4.7 16.4 16.3 18.3 489 400 89 22.2 99.6 4.9 17.2 17.1 19.0 552 450 102 24.8 111.7 5.6 19.3 19.2 20.6 575 463 112 26.1 116.6 6.1 20.0 19.7 21.7 9.9 9.2 13.7 4.8 5.9 7.9 7.8 7.0 11.9 3.7 5.1 6.9 9.5 8.8 12.5 6.7 8.3 9.0 4.5 4.1 7.8 2.1 2.5 3.4 1.3 1.3 1.5 33

80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 73.2 71.1 68.3 66.7 66.3 62.7 61.1 62.0 64.9 62.4 58.6 60.0 60.4 60.5 61.3 60.1 59.9 66.2 66.0 57.2 57.8 58.0 61.4 51.3 45.4 50.2 40.9 38.8 38.0 40.9 43.9 37.1 34.1 34.9 38.8 32.0 36.4 35.5 38.4 33.7 33.9 35.5 34.5 34.4 31.5 32.3 29.1 30.7 30.9 32.5 31.4 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 34 2018.4

6) 35

107.7 4.9 103.5 0.5 92.2 1.3 127.7 18.6 121.6 17.5 111.2 20.5 133.5 4.5 127.7 5.0 116.7 4.9 139.7 4.7 128.3 0.4 116.9 0.2 138.8 0.7 123.0 4.1 111.3 4.8 136.6 1.6 127.2 3.4 115.6 3.9 144.5 5.8 134.9 6.1 122.5 5.9 131.2 9.2 133.7 0.9 119.9 2.1 36 2018.4

25 20 15 10 5 0 5 10 15 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 37

25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 5.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 38 2018.4

12.0 9.9 10.0 8.8 8.1 8.1 7.9 7.9 8.0 6.3 6.0 5.7 4.0 2.6 2.0 1.8 0.0 2.0 0.4 1.3 39

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7) 8) 41

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2 2 7 6 12 10 17 14 17 83

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0.7 0.5 0.2 0.5 1.8 1.5 1.6 1.9 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.7 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.5 1.5 2.4 0.6 0.5 3.0 4.6 5.1 5.2 2.3 1.2 0.8 1.0 4.0 2.2 1.0 1.2 0.9 0.6 0.7 0.6 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.9 1.0 1.7 0.4 2.2 3.9 5.3 4.5 5.3 3.4 2.7 4.2 5.6 6.6 10.4 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.4 1.5 1.4 1.9 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.7 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 89

0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.1 3.5 3.6 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.1 3.8 4.0 4.1 3.9 1.7 1.3 1.5 0.3 4.2 4.9 6.2 4.7 1.1 0.7 0.5 1.4 4.0 4.1 3.6 3.8 0.5 0.7 1.7 3.8 1.9 3.2 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.3 4.0 3.8 4.3 4.9 1.0 2.1 1.9 6.1 7.7 7.7 0.6 1.5 0.4 0.8 2.7 3.8 3.2 3.1 1.2 0.7 0.8 0.8 2.6 2.9 3.5 3.6 1.1 1.0 1.2 1.0 4.4 4.3 5.2 4.3 0.7 0.3 0.6 0.7 2.9 3.0 2.4 2.4 2.0 1.7 2.4 0.6 5.8 6.1 8.5 7.0 1.4 1.4 1.2 2.0 4.9 5.4 5.1 6.2 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.9 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.5 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.7 3.1 3.5 2.6 2.8 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.9 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 2.0 1.8 1.8 1.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.6 90 2018.4

5.8 6.1 4.6 6.3 6.0 1.0 1.8 2.0 1.2 1.3 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.7 3.1 5.6 3.0 4.2 4.0 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.4 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.6 7.2 8.1 7.6 7.1 7.1 1.0 1.2 0.6 1.1 1.0 4.2 5.4 4.7 4.6 4.7 19.3 24.4 15.8 20.0 19.1 3.2 2.8 2.5 2.7 2.7 9.2 13.5 8.6 10.8 10.2 1.9 1.5 0.1 1.7 1.3 1.7 2.4 1.4 1.7 1.7 1.7 2.0 0.1 1.6 1.3 1.7 2.2 3.1 1.4 1.7 44.2 56.4 41.5 47.6 46.3 91

13.2 10.8 11.0 13.3 12.9 2.3 3.2 4.8 2.6 2.9 3.6 2.9 4.4 3.5 3.7 7.0 9.9 7.3 8.7 8.6 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6 0.9 1.9 1.7 1.2 1.3 16.2 14.4 18.3 15.0 15.3 2.3 2.2 1.5 2.3 2.2 9.5 9.6 11.2 9.7 10.2 43.6 43.3 38.1 42.1 41.2 7.3 4.9 6.1 5.8 5.9 20.9 24.0 20.8 22.7 22.1 4.2 2.7 0.1 3.7 2.9 3.8 4.2 3.3 3.6 3.8 3.7 3.5 0.3 3.4 2.8 3.8 3.9 7.5 3.0 3.7 92 2018.4

94 2018.4

96 2018.4

98 2018.4

3.7 3.9 0.2 3.9 0.3 3.8 4.1 0.2 4.0 0.2 2.5 2.3 0.2 2.1 0.2 2.3 2.9 0.4 2.8 0.7 1.7 1.5 0.3 1.1 0.1 2.5 2.4 0.1 2.2 0.3 2.0 2.2 0.4 1.9 0.2 1.7 1.3 0.1 1.1 0.0 3.0 2.2 0.1 2.0 0.1 2.3 3.0 0.2 3.0 0.3 3.1 3.0 0.0 3.0 0.0 6.9 6.7 0.1 6.4 0.0 99

100 2018.4

101

974,547 176,667 18.1 (18.7) 534,420 54.8 (56.2) 1,021,936 218,447 21.3 (23.1) 706,866 69.1 (68.2) 3,956,840 658,419 16.6 (19.5) 2,993,469 75.6 (77.1) 3,983,823 767,942 19.2 (22.6) 3,006,366 75.4 (76.4) 102 2018.4

103

0.3 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.6 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 (0.1) (0.4) 0.6 1.8 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 (0.2) (0.4) 1.1 2.4 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.5 (0.3) (0.3) 1.9 2.1 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.7 2.7 2.6 (0.1) (0.1) 10.2 10.1 0.8 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.7 1.0 (0.1) (0.2) 2.8 4.2 (0.2) (0.1) (0.1) (0.4) (0.1) (0.1) 0.6 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 (0.1) (0.0) 0.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 (0.0) (0.0) 0.5 0.0 1.9 0.2 4.8 2.6 0.5 0.2 (0.0) (0.0) 2.1 0.8 (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.0) (0.4) (0.1) (0.3) (0.5) (0.0) (0.0) 2.7 2.0 0.0 2.1 2.4 2.4 (0.4) (0.4) 10.0 10.1 0.6 1.7 1.9 1.2 2.9 2.9 (0.4) (0.4) 12.0 12.0 104 2018.4

1,965,483 2,006,813 2.1 1,242,780 1,258,910 4.3 584,809 605,505 3.4 137,459 141,911 3.1 434 487 10.8 105

4.8 4.9 0.1 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 0.9 1.0 0.2 0.8 ééé 4.1 2.2 2.0 3.6 2.9 0.7 7.8 5.1 2.7 éé 75.9 (3.4) 59.3 (2.6) 1,260.8 (56.6) 1,291.9 (56.6) 1,184.8 (53.2) 1,232.6 (53.9) 44.6% 45.4% 2,152.5 (96.6) 2,218.4 (97.0) 1,949.7 (87.5) 2,005.5 (87.7) 106 2018.4

1,260.8 1,291.9 2.5 402.1 410.9 2.2 107.3 109.8 2.3 283.9 290.1 2.2 éê 46.1 44.4 3.7 579.4 591.3 2.1 155.6 165.6 6.5 77.6 79.6 2.6 1,184.8 1,232.6 4.0 88.6 89.5 1.0 éé 15.0 15.3 1.6 ô 641.8 674.4 5.1 280.0 294.5 5.2 356.0 372.3 4.6 375.2 388.4 3.5 64.2 65.1 1.3 75.9 59.3 107

0.7 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.1 2 1.2 0 2.2 0.3 4.2 4.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 1.2 1.6 1.7 0.9 0.9 1.1 2.7 3.8 0.7 2.2 1.0 2.5 1.9 3.3 1.9 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.7 2.4 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 4.9 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 108 2018.4

36.6 36.6 36.7 36.8 36.8 36.7 36.7 38.9 38.8 38.4 38.3 38.1 37.8 37.6 2.3 2.2 1.8 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 85.3 85.6 85.5 85.1 82.1 78.3 77.9 109

110 2018.4

à 111

20192020 18.5 16.4 20212028 20.2 18.2 20192064 2.7 2.5 20192064 41.4 37.1 112 2018.4

2.1 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.8 3.0 2.1 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 2.0 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 2.0 6.9 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.4 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.4 6.3 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.0 6.0 6.1 2.0 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.6 1.9 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 1.9 113

114 2018.4

293.5 (14.4) 311.3 (15.3) 287.2 (14.1) 309.6 (14.5) 329.0 (15.3) 304.6 (14.2) 323.4 (14.5) 338.5 (15.2) 312.2 (14.0) 335.5 (14.5) 350.0 (15.1) 321.5 (13.9) 348.0 (14.5) 361.9 (15.1) 331.5 (13.8) 362.1 (14.6) 372.9 (15.0) 340.7 (13.7) 373.9 (14.5) 383.2 (14.9) 350.1 (13.6) 24.1 (1.2) 24.4 (1.1) 26.3 (1.2) 28.6 (1.2) 30.3 (1.3) 32.2 (1.3) 33.1 (1.3) 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 17.8 (0.9) 19.4 (0.9) 18.1 (0.8) 17.5 (0.8) 16.9 (0.7) 13.8 (0.6) 12.3 (0.5) 631.9 (31.0) 651.5 (30.4) 669.6 (30.1) 687.1 (29.8) 704.0 (29.4) 717.8 (28.9) 730.1 (28.4) 115

116 2018.4

117

117,519 133,271 13.4 147,647 162,692 10.2 161,238 160,706 0.3 13,591 1,986 17,959 4,609 0.4 2.4 1.1 3.3 1.2 2.5 0.1 1.0 1.5 118 2018.4

119

120 2018.4

121

122 2018.4

Should policymakers wait for fiscal crisis early warning signals before repairing the roof? We give an answer to this question by investigating the interlinkages between early warning signals for fiscal crisis policy responses and policy outcomes using a broad panel of 119 countries. Each year the United States Internal Revenue Service(IRS) sends notices to selected taxpayers who claim Earned Income Tax credit(eitc) benefits to request additional documentation to verify those claims. Cash transactions for goods and services in which no receipts are issued greatly increase the risk of tax evasion. Despite the availability of banking services and alternative payment key sectors of the economy remain largely cash-based in almost all developing countries. This paper uses administrative tax data to examine the long-term effects of an experimental job-search assistance program operating in Nevada in 2009. The program required randomly-selected unemployed workers who had just started collecting unemployment insurance(ui) benefits to undergo an eligibility review and receive personalized job-counseling services. This paper estimates the size and distribution of tax evasion. We combine random audits tax amnesties and leaks from offshore financial institutions matched to wealth records in Scandinavia.. 123

정책흐름 2018년 추가경정예산안 편성 2019년도 예산안 편성 및 기금운용계획안 작성지침 확정

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3.9 2.9 1.0 2.6 1.9 0.7 0.25 1.3 1.0 0.3 126 2018.4

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128 2018.4

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130 2018.4

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