Knowledge Sharing Program 2009 경제협력국가와의경제발전경험공유사업 : 베트남 한국개발연구원
2009 경제협력국가와의경제발전경험공유사업 : 베트남
2009 경제협력국가와의경제발전경험공유사업
2009 경제협력국가와의경제발전경험공유사업 ISBN 978-89-8063-428-6 93320
Knowledge Sharing Program 2009 경제협력국가와의경제발전경험공유사업 : 베트남 한국개발연구원
Preface
C ontents 6 18 18 20 21 22 25 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 49 53 53 58 59 61 62 65 66
70 74 74 76 77 97 101 106 106 111 111 112 120 127 129 129 130 133 135 139 140 143 144
C ontents 148 152 158 158 161 161 164 167 169 172 172 181 183 185 188 188 209 225 228 236 236 241 241 242 243 250 259 262
264 264 265 272 276 281 287 287 292 299 301 307 312 312 315 315 316 324 336 339 339 340 343 347
Contents 19 30 35 83 84 84 85 88 89 90 90 91 95 98 98 98 99 100 101 115 115 117 121 122 122 123 123 124 124 128
128 131 132 133 134 144 146 147 174 175 176 176 177 177 198 198 199 199 218 219 220 244 250 266 269 270 271 272 275 289 289 291 292
Contents 294 297 298 301 319 343 343
Contents 23 24 77 77 77 77 78 79 80 80 80 80 81 87 91 92 92 94 96 99 100 113 114 119 125 126 126 141 142
Contents 149 162 168 173 195 231 232 235 246 251 251 253 253 255 255 256 257 258 258 260 261 262 271 273 276 288 290 291 305
2009 년경제발전경험공유사업의개요와진행과정
1. 추진배경및경과 018
019
2. 사업목적과특성 020
3. 추진체계 021
4. 사업내용및진행단계 022
023
024
5. 사업추진방식의개선 1) 중점지원사업의도입 025
2) 사전수요조사의도입 026
3) 고위인사수요조사와세부실태조사의연계강화 4) 협력대상국현지전문가의참여확대 027
5) 여타국제개발협력사업과의연계강화 6) 국제기구공동사업과홍보추진 028
7) 사업성과조사및평가의실시 029
8) 개발경험모듈화사업의기획 030
031
032
033
034
035
036
037
1. 베트남 038
039
2. 우즈베키스탄 040
041
3. 인도네시아 042
043
4. 카자흐스탄 044
045
5. 캄보디아 046
047
6. 도미니카공화국 048
7. 우크라이나 049
050
051
052
1. 베트남 053
발전경로와성장잠재력 054
금융시장의안정및발전 산업기술개발 055
국토이용전략 056
기업정책 057
2. 우즈베키스탄 058
3. 인도네시아 059
060
4. 카자흐스탄 061
5. 캄보디아 062
063
064
6. 도미니카공화국 065
7. 우크라이나 066
067
068
베트남의 2011~20 경제사회발전전략과한국의발전경험
070
071
072
073
< 요약 > 074
075
1. 서론 076
2. 베트남경제성장평가 077
078
079
080
1) 방법론과자료 081
082
2) 소결 083
084
085
086
087
088
089
090
091
092
1) 잠재력 093
2) 취약점 094
095
096
3. 전망 : 2010~19 1) 방법론 097
2) 실질 GDP 증가율전망 : 2010~19 098
1) 방법론 099
2) GDP 의분야별구성 : 2010~19 100
4. 정책과제 101
102
103
Bloom, David E. and J. G. Williamson, Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia, The World Bank Economic Review, Vol. 12, No. 3, 1998, pp.419~455. Bosworth, Barry P. and Susan M. Collins, The Empirics of Growth: An Update, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2003(2), 2003, pp.113~179. Dinh, H. M, Q. L. Trinh, and A. D. Nguyen, Trade, Growth, Employment, and Wages in Vietnam, IDRC Research Project: Globalization, Adjustment and the Challenge of Inclusive Growth: Furthering Inclusive Growth and Industrial Upgrading in Indonesia, the Philippines and Vietnam, 2009. Easterly, William, Michael Kremer, Lant Pritchett, and Lawrence H Summers, Good Policy or Good Luck?: Country Growth Performance and Temporary Shocks, Journal of Monetary Economics 32, 1993, pp.459~483. Goldman Sachs, Vietnam: The Next Asian Tiger in the Making, Global Economics Paper No. 165, 2008. Lucas, Robert E., Lectures on Economic Growth, Massachusetts, Harvard University Press, 2002. Lucas, Robert E., Trade and the Diffusion of the Industrial Revolution, American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 1(1), 2009, pp.1~25. Nehru, Vikram and Ashok Dhareshwar, A New Database on Physical Capital Stock: Sources, Methodology and Results, Revista de Analisi Economico 8, 1993. Porter, M., Vietnam s Competitiveness and the Role of the Private Sector, mimeo, 2008. Rodrik, Dani, Growth Strategies, in P. Aghion and S. Durlauf (eds.), Handbook of Economic Growth, Vol. 1A, North-Holland, 2005. Sachs, Jeffrey and Andrew Warner, Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 1, 1995, pp.1~118. Tran et al., Sources of Vietnam s Economic Growth 1986-2004, National Economics University, Hanoi, 2005. Vo, T. T. and A. D. Nguyen, Vietnam s Economy 2008~09: Macroeconomic Instability, External Shocks, and Policy Responses, paper prepared for the International Conference 104
on East Asia Economy: Crisis, Recovery and Policy Response in Beijing, China, October 22~23, 2009a. Vo, T. T. and A. D. Nguyen, Vietnam after Two Years of WTO Accession: What Lessons Can Be Learnt, ASEAN Economic Bulletin, Vol. 26, No. 1, 2009b, pp.115~135. 105
< 요약 > 1. 베트남조기경보모형개발 106
107
2. 베트남의자본자유화정책 108
3. 자립적협동조합금융기관발전방안 109
ü 110
1. 서론 111
2. 금융시장조기경보모형 112
113
114
115
116
117
118
119
3. 금융기관조기경보모형 : CAEL 등급시스템 120
1) 1 단계 : CAEL 구성지표의선택 121
2) 2 단계 : 구성지표의등급구간설정 122
3) 3 단계 : 구성지표별등급부여 4) 4 단계 : 위험요인별등급부여 123
5) 5 단계 : 종합등급부여 124
125
126
4. 정책점시사점 : 베트남은행산업에대한 CAEL 등급시스템구축과관련하여 127
128
1. 서론 129
2. 자본자유화의전제조건 : 한국의경험을배경으로 130
131
132
3. 베트남의자본자유화 133
134
4. 정책제언 135
1) 환율정책 136
2) 외환보유고관리또는외환시장개입 137
3) 긴급외환유동성대책 138
ü 139
1. 서론 ) 140
141
142
2. 협동조합형금융기관이란무엇인가? 3) 143
é 3. 한국의자립적협동조합금융기관발전경험 144
145
146
147
4. 베트남의인민신용기금의현황및문제점 148
149
150
151
5. 과거로부터얻은교훈 : 협동조합과정부의관계 9) ü ü 152
ü ü ü ü ü 153
ü ü 154
155
ü 156
Cole, David and Yung Chul Park, Financial Development in Korea, 1945-78, Studies in Modernization of the Republic of Korea, 1945-75, Cambridge, MA: Council on East Asian Studies, Harvard University, 1983. Cuevas, Carlos and Klaus Fischer, Financial Institutions: Issues in Governance, Regulation, and Supervision, World Bank Working Paper No. 82, the World Bank, 2006. Cuong Viet Nguyen, World Bank Report to the Vietnam, 2008. European Association of Co-operative Banks, 60 Million Members in Co-operative Banks: What Does It Mean, 2007. Kim, Joon-Kyung, Pham Thi Thanh Ha, Nguyen Thi Lan Huong, and Bui Nghi, How to Promote the Development of Cooperative Self-Help Organizations: Case of People s Credit Funds (PCFs) in Vietnam, 2010. Münkner, Hans-H, Rediscovery of Cooperatives in Development Policy presented at the ICA/ROAP Sub-Regional Workshop on Co-operative Policy Reforms, Kathmandu, 13-16 January 1999, Reprint from COOP Dialogue, An ICA ROAP Journal, Vol. 10, N 1, January 2000, pp. 8~13. World Bank, East Asian Miracle, 1993. 157
< 요약 > 158
159
160
1. 베트남의공간계획체계현황 161
162
163
2. 주요이슈와문제점 1) 계획간위계취약 2) 계획간상호조정미흡 164
3) 계획간불일치 4) 국토공간적고려미흡 1) 하향적계획수립과정 2) 주민참여취약 165
3) 계획수립에장기간소요 1) 이상과현실간의괴리 2) 재원조달및집행수단의부족 1) 정보및계획수단부족 166
2) 계획수립관련조직의역량부족 3. 한국의공간계획체계와시사점 167
168
4. 정책제안 169
170
171
1. 베트남의도시개발현황 1) 도시의정의 172
2) 도시의분류 173
174
3) 도시수와도시화율 1) 주택소유여부및주택내구성 175
2) 주택소유유형 3) 유형별주택면적 4) 주택개발목표및실적 176
177
1) 도시개발관련조직 178
2) 도시개발관련법령 179
3) 주요도시정책의최근동향 180
2. 주요이슈와문제점 181
1) 기초자료부족 2) 인적자원과상호협조체계부실 182
3) 관리시스템취약 3. 한국의도시개발정책과시사점 183
184
4. 정책제안 185
1) 기초자료구축및공유 186
2) 인적자원및기술능력증진 3) 도시관리체계개선 187
1. 한국의토지이용정책 1) 개발시대의토지정책 188
189
2) 토지공급확대및개방화시대의토지정책 190
1) 토지소유권의개념 191
2) 토지소유관련법체계 192
3) 토지소유권의제한 193
1) 국토이용계획 194
2) 국토이용관리체계의개편 195
196
3) 토지이용실태 197
198
199
200
201
1) 토지개발방식 202
1) 토지시장관리 203
2) 토지시장관리정책의흐름 204
205
3) 토지정보관리 206
207
208
2. 베트남의토지정책 1) 토지관리메커니즘과정책 209
2) 1992 년 헌법 3) 1993, 1998, 2001 년 토지법 210
4) 2003 년 토지법 211
212
5) 건설법 6) 도시계획법 213
214
7) 토지행정에관한법령 215
8) 농업용지정책 9) 주택정책 216
1) 토지이용현황 217
218
219
220
221
2) 토지분배, 토지임대및지목변경승인 222
3) 토지복원및보상 223
4) 토지관련재정 5) 토지이용권등록및발급과지적정보관리 224
3. 현황과문제점 225
1) 토지이용계획과도시계획의승인과정 2) 토지수용, 토지분배, 토지임대에관한절차 226
227
4. 토지문제와관련한한국의경험과정책건의 228
1) 토지이용계획과도시계획의일원화 2) 토지적성평가제도의도입 1) 공시지가와토지감정 229
1) 토지정보관리 2) 토지등기제도 230
3) 토지정보전산화사업 231
232
1) 새로운토지가격산정제도도입 233
2) 단일토지이용계획체계구축 3) 토지관리정보체계구축 234
235
< 요약 > 1. 베트남의산업기술정책수립을위한과학기술예측 236
237
2. R&D 와기술이전촉진을위한인센티브강화 238
3. 베트남의산업기술능력제고를위한산학연협력및혁신클러스터육성정책 239
240
1. 서론 241
2. 베트남의과학기술포싸이트와과학기술정책 242
3. 과학기술포싸이트의이론적배경과응용 243
244
245
Ⅷ Ⅶ Ⅵ Ⅴ Ⅳ Ⅲ Ⅱ Ⅰ A B 246
1) 기술혁신과정 247
2) 기술예측의 4 가지요소 248
249
4. 한국의과학기술포싸이트 250
251
1) Korean Delphi 252
253
2) 국가과학기술지도 (NTRMs) 254
255
3) 농림수산식품기술로드맵 (TRMs in AFF&F) 256
257
258
5. 베트남의과학기술포싸이트를위한가이드라인 259
260
261
6. 맺음말 262
263
1. 서론 264
2. 산업화와기술개발 : 한국의경험사례 1) 265
266
267
268
269
270
271
3. 산업기술개발지원수단 272
273
274
275
4. 기업단위의기술이전 276
277
278
279
280
5. 결론및정책적교훈 281
282
283
284
285
Amsden, A., Asia s Next Giant: South Korea and Late Industrialization, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989. Kim, Linsu, Pros and Cons of International Technology Transfer: A Developing Country s View, in Tamir Agmon and Mary Ann Von Glinow, (eds.), Technology Transfer in International Business, Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1991. Kim, Linsu, The Dynamics of Technology Development: Lessons from the Korean Experience, in Sanjaya Lall and Shujiro Urata (eds.), Competitiveness, FDI and Technological Activity in East Asia, Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar, 2003. OECD, Meeting R&D Funding Targets: Plicy Implications, DSTI/STP(2003)2, Paris: OECD, 2003 Radosevic, S., International Technology Transfer and Catch-up in Economic Development, Cheltenham UK: Edward Elgar, 1999. Suh, Joonghae, Conditions for Successful Technology Transfer: Lessons from the Experience of a Korean SME, paper presented at the 1st APEC Technomart Seminar on Technology Transfer, Taejon, Korea, 1995. Suh, Joonghae and Derek Chen (eds.), Korea as a Knowledge Economy: Evolutionary Process and Lessons Learned, Washington DC: The World Bank, 2007. 286
1. 연구배경및기본틀 287
288
289
290
291
2. 혁신주체별연구개발활동 292
293
294
295
296
297
298
3. 산학연네트워크 299
300
4. 혁신클러스터 301
302
303
304
305
306
5. 결론및제안 307
308
309
Aubert, Promoting Innovation in Developing Countries: A Conceptual Framework, 2004. Sinch, Bach Tan, Transformation of Vietnam s National Innovation System: Institutional and Policy Learning Toward Sustainable Development, Asian CISASIA s Workshop of Towards Innovative, Livable and Prosperous Asian Mega cities, Project, Bangkok, Thailand 18-21, May 2009. BEZANSON, Keith, A SCIENCE TECHNOLOGY AND INDUSTRY STRATEGY FOR VIETNAM, Document prepared as part of the UNDP/UNIDO project DP/VIE/99/002, March 2000 Hung, Nguyen Vo and Tran Ngoc Ca, The Role of Academic Institutions in Economic Development: The Case of Vietnam, 2006. OECD, Boosting Innovation: the Cluster Approach, Paris, 1999. OECD, Innovative Clusters: Drivers of National Innovation System, Paris, 2001. 310
Porter, M. and CoC, Clusters of Innovation: Regional Foundations of U.S. Competitiveness, Council on Competitiveness, 2001. Saxenian, A., Regional Advantage: Culture and Competition in Silicon Valley and Route 128, Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 1994. SRI International, Clustering As a Tool for Regional Economic Competitiveness, 1999. Tran Ngoc Ca, Vietnam s Innovation System: Toward a Product Innovation Ecosystem, presentation, September 2006. UNDP, Study, Central Institute of Economic Management CIEM, 2003. Yim, Deok Soon, The Development and Success Factors of Innovation Cluster, Presented at 2008 Daedeok International Conference on Innovation Cluster, 2008. 311
< 요약 > 312
313
314
1. 프로젝트의배경및목적, 보고서의기본방향 315
2. 베트남의대규모공기업지배구조현황 316
317
318
319
1) 수상실 2) 주무부처 320
3) 재무부 4) 기획투자부 5) 내무부 321
1) EVN 2) VNPT 3) PVN(Petro Vietnam) 4) Bao Viet Group 322
323
3. 베트남공기업집단지배구조의문제점분석및개선방향모색 324
325
326
1) 공기업집단에속한산업에대한바람직한정책목표 327
328
329
2) 공기업집단이속한각산업에대해필요한조치 330
331
3) 공기업집단에대한주주권행사기관, 사외이사중심의이사회 332
4) 공기업집단의다각화, 지주회사구조 333
334
5) 대기업소유지배구조모형정립의필요성 335
4. 한국의경험의시사점 336
337
338
1. 베트남국영기업인력개발의의의 339
2. 베트남국영기업의기술개발인력 340
341
342
3. 한국기업의기술인력개발 343
344
345
346
4. 정책제언 347
348
349