Transcription

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3 연구책임자 : 책임연구원 연구참여자 : 연구원 정웅태 유학식

4 ., LNG,,., BRICs,, ,. LNG,.,., 3,,,, 요약 i

5 ,. 2009,, ) (GCC), %, 6.6%., 1) GCC():, UAE,,,, 6 ii

6 UAE,,,..,.,,.,. UAE,.,.,.,,, 요약 iii

7 . GCC.,,..,..,.,.,,. iv

8 ....,,,.,, LNG.,,.,, CDM. 요약 v

9 .,, CDM.,.. LNG,, GTL/CTL,... vi

10 .,,.,..,., UAE., FTA. 요약 vii

11 While energy facilities Industry's growth in Korea turn to be slower due to lower demand of energy facilities, world energy facilities market is growing sharply due to higher demand of energy facilities from BRICS, Middle East, Central Asia and Africa regions. Besides, 10 trillion dollars of new investment is planned at global electricity market by The Middle East countries whose oil and gas exports still cover a large proportion of the national income accounts have been developing oil and gas projects. Corresponding to climate change and environment issues on energy industry, may countries is paying attention to use green energy like LNG, Nuclear and New-Renewable energy, etc. Considering such domestic and international situation affected on energy facility market, it is necessary for Korea's energy facilities industry to set up strategies to expand overseas advancement in world market. Accordingly, this research classifies developing world energy facilities market into five areas such as East-Asia, Middle East, Central Asia, Africa and Latin America and then will present strategies to expand advancement of Korea energy facilities industry to each area during next 3 years. As staring year, this year focus on Middle East and East-Asia areas. From the analysis of energy facilities demand outlook, law and government policy, obstacles and Abstract i

12 risk factors on domestic market in major countries in each area, this study is to show promising fields and to provide successful advancement strategies for Korean overseas energy facilities industry. In the first half of 2009, due to global economic crisis and a drop in oil prices, most oil and Gas projects in Middle East Area had been cancelled and delayed. It gave a big negative impact on overall Korea energy facilities export situation, but this situation was getting better in 2nd half in 2009, mainly due to higher oil price and increasing in investment of oil and gas projects from the Middle East Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries In next few years in Middle East, especially at Saudi Arabia, and UAE, the persistence of energy facilities industry appears to be continuous with expanding in foreign and private funds. Many oil and gas producing facilities are expected to be built in the Middle East areas by a developer rather than a contractor. It indicates that Korea firms should improve relationship with the developers in order to more bids made for energy facilities construction. Meanwhile, at the East-Asia areas, large-scale infrastructure projects, especially Power supply system is likely to grow, due to unstable power supply caused by continuous energy demand. A demand of energy facilities in two areas is expected to be ii

13 increasing at following energy sectors: At power generation sector, gas generation facilities would be needed more for Middle East countries to run desalination facilities, meanwhile, hydroelectric power generation facilities would need more for East-Asia countries to response of low electrification ratio and growing power demand. Also, Thailand, Vietnam and Indonesia are considering introducing nuclear power facilities. At Renewable energy sectors, East Asia has appropriate conditions and resources with government's awareness and support for renewable energy business. Indonesia has tremendous biomass potential from large scale Palm farm. Vietnam and Thailand have wind and biogas potential, respectively. At Oil & gas sectors, all two areas need to expand refining facilities and upgrade aging facilities. Regardless of circumstance in and out of the areas, investment in this sector is expected to continue to be performed. In order to assess the circumstance of advancement for Korea energy facilities firms to each area, selected countries in each area are examined. As our biggest exporter for energy facilities, the Middle East countries have a big potential to sharply increase in new energy facilities due to hydrocarbon resources export and recent economic stimulus package. However, the energy facilities market in the Middle East is becoming highly competitive due to strong market power of leading international firm and emerging firms from Southeast Asia and China with low price strategy. Also the domestic firm protection policy prevents Korean firms from advancing into the country. East Abstract iii

14 Asian countries need more energy facilities due to continuous expanding on energy infrastructure investments. However, political uncertainty and non-organized institution and market preemption by Japanese and Chinese companies are a negative factor for our companies to advance the area. Therefore, considering such advancement potential and restriction factors, this study presents promising field and strategies for advancement of Korea firms into the areas as follows. Utility firms should pursue co-advancement with green and environment-friendly business. To do this, it needs joint venture with a consortium between power generation and green business companies or a joint export strategy. The enhancement of exports opportunities for nuclear facilities can be realized by emphasizing advertising Korean excellent nuclear operation and construction skills to countries actively considering embarking upon nuclear power programs Also nuclear diplomacy can be needed by running program like inviting foreign officials who is under nuclear program, technical training on nuclear operation skills and sharing Korea's economic growth model For advancing into oil and gas sector, Korean firms need to reinforce relationship with the client or developers of energy facilities' construction and enhance expertise on high-value business like LNG liquefaction plant construction skills. At Last, for advancing renewable business in two areas, Korean firms need to advance into large-scale green new town with new&renewable energy in Middle East countries iv

15 by joint with business like education, health care. In order to advance into East Asian countries, Korean firms should consider business model associated with CDM A large scale power supply is needed in Middle East and East Asia countries caused by continued industrialization and sustainable economic growth of the areas. Corresponding to climate change issues, the countries seek to clean energy development through environment friendly energy usage and green industries such as renewable energy and CDM projects which are becoming a chance to advance for Korean energy facilities firms. But it is necessary to identify clearly local factors, regional differences and potential opportunities of each country in two areas. In order to expand advancement of energy facilities market and strengthen the competitiveness in the Middle East and East Asia countries, Korea firms should secure key technologies on high-value facilities. However, in spite of setting on policy roadmap to support securing independent technologies in the fields of liquefaction plant, nuclear power plants, GTL / CTL sectors, the execution of the policy has been delayed due to insufficient fund and other reasons. Also, Korea firms should focus on expanding contract made through cooperation program with a contractor or a developer by hiring top Abstract v

16 intelligent local agent. For overseas expansion of the energy equipment industry, the roles of Korean government are as follows: at first, national establishment of training and management systems to raise local staff and agents for Korea firms is required Second, the unified and integrated energy plant consultative body is required to configure government support for overseas expansion of energy facilities business and to adjust over-bidding on overseas plant contract. Third, energy plant export assistance center which is now in India and UAE should be more to strengthen the national level support. Fourth, Korean government need to seek new FTA with a series of middle east countries to mitigate institutional issue like licensing of foreign firms and to enhance competitiveness in the local market. vi

17 I 차례 i

18 UAE( ) ii

19 차례 iii

20 iv

21 < -1> 5 < -2> < -3> 9 < -4> 9 < -1> 11 < -2> 12 < -3> 14 < -4> 15 < -5> 17 < -6> Non-OECD Asia (, ) 18 < -7> 18 < -8> 20 < -9> 20 < -10> 21 < -11> 22 < -12> 24 < -13> GCC, 27 < -14> 28 < -15> CDM CERs 30 < -16> 3 CDM CER 30 차례 v

22 < -1> 36 < -2> ( ) 37 < -3> (2009 ) 40 < -4> (2009 ) 41 < -5> 41 < -6> 42 < -7> 50 < -8> 54 < -9> 54 < -10> 55 < -11> 56 < -12> 57 < -13> ( ) 58 < -14> 58 < -15> 65 < -16> UAE (2007 ) 70 < -17> UAE 76 < -18> 78 < -19> 86 < -20> 90 < -21> < -22> 105 < -23> 108 < -24> 109 vi

23 < -25> LNG 110 < -26> 114 < -27> < -1> 120 < -2> 121 < -3> 122 < -4> < -5> 127 < -6> 127 < -7> CDM 129 < -8> < -9> 136 < -10> < -11> 137 < -12> CDM 142 < -13> < -14> 149 < -15> 157 < -16> 165 < -17> < -18> 167 < -19> 171 < -20> < -21> 차례 vii

24 < -22> 186 < -23> 188 < -24> 189 < -25> DNA CDM ( 09.2 ) 192 < -26> < -1> 201 < -2> SWOT 202 < -3> SWOT 203 viii

25 [ II-1] ( ) 7 [ -1] [ -2] 16 [ -3] 1 16 [ -4] 23 [ -5] 7 25 [ -6] 26 [ -7] 28 [ -1] 69 [ -1] 121 [ -2] 125 [ -3] 125 [ -4] 150 [ -5] 152 [ -6] 171 [ -7] 187 [ -1] 204 [ -2] 204 차례 ix

26 30,.., LNG,,,. (saturation),. BRICs,, , LNG,,, LNG. 서론 1

27 ...,.,, 3,,,,,.,,,,,.,., KOTRA, 2

28 ,,,.,,,,,,, UAE,, GCC... II, 2. V 5 5,,,,,. VI. VII.. 서론 3

29 ,..,. 2) (GCC), < II-1> 2) GCC():, UAE,,,, 6 4

30 . (, ). < 표 -1> 중동및동아시아국가들의재정투자확대계획 UAE % % 100,, ; (2008), Kotra( ) [ -1] , 40.,. 4 36% 21, < II-2>. 최근중동 동아시아에너지설비시장현황및전망 5

31 % % 14.,. () 8 9, UAE

32 [ 그림 -1] 에너지설비 ( 플랜트 ) 및중전기부문수주현황 ( , : $, ) : < 표 -2> 2009 년중동에너지설비부문의대규모수주현황 (9 월말현재 ) ( $) SK UAE : ,348, , , , 2. 최근중동 동아시아에너지설비시장현황및전망 7

33 .., 28 14, 6, 5, 3, , ) < II-3> ) $ 246 $. 8

34 < 표 -3> 지역별경제성장현황과전망 : (%) Asean 5* *:,,,, : WEO( ) < 표 -4> 세계플랜트시장규모 : $ :, , ) 5 7% 8%, 7.4%, 6.6%.,, EPC 5) 4),,, ( 09.07). 최근중동 동아시아에너지설비시장현황및전망 9

35 .. UAE,,.,. EPC LNG,, EPC. EPC. 5) EPC(Engineering, Procurement and Construction), 10

36 . 6) < -1> / / OPEC. OPEC 2015,. < 표 -1> 권역별석유생산현황및전망 ( : / ) * OPEC % OPEC % OECD % % % Non % OPEC % % % Non-OPEC % % : IEA, 'World Energy outlook 2008' * : 2007~2030 6),, (NGLs). 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 11

37 %. OPEC %.. OECD Non- OECD < 표 -2> 권역별석유순수출입량 ( : / ) , : IEA, 'World Energy Outook 2008' :, 12

38 . 7) 430 (mangala) ,. Khurais Sabriyah Niqa Burgan / Jamnagar Dung Quat. 7) IEA, World outlook 2008 OPEC World Oil outlook, 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 13

39 < 표 -3> 동아시아 중동주요국석유생산현황및전망 ( : / ) UAE : OECD, 'World Energy Outlook (2008)', /., UAE, [ 그림 -2] 년지역별추가정제시설필요용량 mb/d : OPEC, 'World Oil Outlook (2008) 14

40 . EIA 'World Energy Outlook 2008', Non-OECD OECD. EIA 2006 ~2030 Non-OECD 3.8%, 146%. OECD Non- OECD < 표 -4> 권역별전력수요현황및전망 ( : TWh) * 4,413 4,870 5, % 3,723 4,045 4, % 3,022 3,469 3, % 1,413 1,837 2, % 944 1,061 1, % OECD 9,035 10,177 11, % Non-OECD 1, , ,860 1, % 1.9% 3,669 6,574 10, % 2,358 4,554 6, % , % , % % ,032 1, % 2.3% Non-OECD 6, , % 15,665 20,757 28, % : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' * : 2006~2030. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 15

41 2006 ~ %, 5.7% [ 그림 -3] 세계주요국전력수요증가율 : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' [ 그림 -4] 세계주요국 1 인당전력수요량 : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' 16

42 (94.84%), (88%), (60%). < 표 -5> 동남아국가별전력보급률현황 94.84% 2007, % 88% %, 63% % 2007 : KOTRA ( ),.,. World Energy Council, GCC GW 250. IEA, 2030,. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 17

43 3.4%., ~4%,. < 표 -6> Non-OECD Asia ( 중국, 인도제외 ) 전력발전수요전망 (TOE) (%) (%) ,468 1,700 1,902 2, & ,181 1,880 2,191 2,490 2, : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' < 표 -7> 동아시아지역전력발전현황 ( : TWh) '07-' % % % % % : BP, 'Statistical review of world energy report 2009' 18

44 EIA World Energy Outlook 2008, %, 4.6%.,.,..,. GCC 75,000,, ,000. GCC,,,, UAE 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 19

45 < 표 -8> 중동지역전력발전수요전망 (TOE) (%) (%) & : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' ( : TWh) '07-' % % % < 표 -9> 중동지역전력발전현황 % UAE % : BP, 'Statistical review of world energy report 2009'. IEA, tcm, %.,,, 20

46 .,, LNG,. Non-OECD, 3tcm,. OECD Non- OECD < 표 -10> 권역별천연가스생산현황및전망 ( : bcm) * % -0.1% % % OECD 1,117 1,149 1, % Non-OECD , % 0.8% % % % % % % 5.2% Non-OECD 1,842 2,363 3, % 2,959 3,512 4, % : IEA, 'World Energy Outlook 2008' * : 2006~2030. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 21

47 . < -11> bcm %.. GCC,, < 표 -11> 동아시아 중동주요국천연가스생산현황및전망 ' ( : bcm) ' % 90 29% % % % % % % % UAE % 72 43% % % % : BP, 'Statistical review of world energy 2009', OECD, 'Natural Gas Information(2008)' LNG, , LNG % 22

48 . LNG. [ 그림 -5] 천연가스종별교역전망 : Natural Gas information, 2008 < -12>, bcm bcm bcm., 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 23

49 < 표 -12> 권역별천연가스순수출입량 OECD ( :, %) Non- OECD , : IEA, 'World Energy Outook 2008' :, 1 () , ,000GWh ,000GWh., 24

50 .,. [ 그림 -6] 과거 7 년간의동아시아신재생전력생산규모 : Forgathy(2009). (ADB) [ -6] 8) 2007, 2014,.,.,, 8) 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 25

51 . [ 그림 -7] 동아시아지역의신재생에너지잠재력 : ADB, GCC., 2,000Kwh/m 2 9),,,, UAE 2,000kWh/m 2. 2,500kWh/m 2. 1,400(), UAE. 2,400. 1TWh, 9) UNEP, 'Current Status of Renewable Energies in the Middle East' 26

52 9.89TWh.. < 표 -13> GCC 국가들의태양광, 풍력및바이오매스잠재력비교 (kwh/ /y) (Full load hrs/y) (Twh/y) 2,100 1, ,200 2, ,000 1, ,500 1, UAE 2,200 1, *,. : W.E. Alnaser (2009) [ -7], 50%, 40%, 30% 10%,. (Samantha, 2009),.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 27

53 [ 그림 -8] 동아시아주요국들의신재생에너지비중 : Samantha(2009),.,, 1 kw, 0.1%. < 표 -14> 중동지역의신재생발전현황비교 (kw) (kw) (kw) (%) (kw) UAE : Alnaser(2008, 2009) 28

54 . 10) Kotra ( ) , CDM 37.4%, UN CDM 7.5%(1, ) 10.8%(491 ). CDM, CDM,,,.,,,,, 2012 CERs,,,. CDM CDM,,,, CER.,.,,,. 10) (CDM ).. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 29

55 < 표 -15> 진행중인 CDM 사업세계현황및 CERs CDM 2012 CERs (%) kcers (%) 3, ,338, , ,949, , , , , , , , , : UNEP Risoe Center ('09 3 ) < 표 -16> 동남아시아주요 3개국의 CDM 프로젝트건수및 CER 감축예상량 UNFCCC CER 23 3,256, , ,091,000 : UNFCC 3..,,., 30

56 UAE 150 KAUST(King Abdullah University of Science and Technology), (Academic Excellence Alliance partnership) 2 5, 8, ~22. UAE, 2008 Masdar PV , , Sener Groupo De Ingenieria S.A Torresol Energy (sunbelt) (CSP, Concentrated Solar Power) 8. GE( ), WinWinD() BP Rio Tinto 'Hydrogen Energy'(), SNC Lavalin (,CCS) UAE.. 중동 동아시아지역의에너지원별시장현황및전망 31

57 UAE.. UAE. 32

58 .,, ,875 GDP 54.4%. 2009,, Global Insight %, EIU 0.4%.. 30,.,.,, % 1,267 (GDP 38.2% ), 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 33

59 , 2009 GDP 3.4%(173 ), GDP 10% ,600, GDP % %.,,, , 2009,,,,.,,., Proleads, GCC 10, 42%, UAE,,,. 34

60 1,400, 3,180. Kuwait Financial Centre Markaz 900, 500, 900, 880. Markaz,.,.. 1, (SCECOs, Saudi Consolidated Electric Companies) (Saudi Electricity Co.: SEC).,, 2001 (The electricity & cogeneration Regulatory Authority: ECRA).. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 35

61 ,. SEC., ,. (Ministry of Water and Electricity) ,490, ,515, ,256. < 표 -1> 사우디아라비아의전력수요증가전망 ( : ) ,262 46,600 54,515 59,256 : Ministry of Water and Electricity,. (Hajj) (Jeddah) (Makkah).,. 36

62 < 표 -2> 사우디아라비아의발전용량확장계획 ( 년 ) : Ministry of Water and Electricity ( ) Shuaiba 1 2, Rabigh 2 2, Shuaiba 2 3, Shuqaiq 2, ,000 Qurrayah 2 2, Half Moon Bay 1, Ras Assawr 2, Replant Ghazlan 1, Refinery 2, Howtat Sudair 1, Salboukh 1, Muzahimiyah 1, Qassim 1, Yanbu 1, Rabigh Qunfudah Jizan 1, Hail Tabuk Jawf ,094 4,080 3,127 4,161 1,653 3,375 16,396 50,490. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 37

63 (Rabigh) IPP 11) 1,204 BOO 12) , 80%, SEC 20% , (Acwa Power International),. PP11 IPP 21 1,800 ~2,100 25, SEC 60%, 40% PQ(Pre-Qualification; ).., SR60 13).,. 2010,, -, -, -. 11) IPP Independent Power Producer 12) BOO Build-Own-Operate, 13) SR Saudi Riyal 38

64 ,. - SR33.4, - SR5.2, - SR2.1, SR19.4, Madina Qassim 420 SR7.8. Madina-Qassim 470, SR8.46. Madina 140, SR2.6., Madina Qassim SR6.45, SR GW ,641 21%, 12 1,084 b/d ,250 b/d, ,305 ~1,350 b/d 135 b/d 'Post 2009'., ,250 b/d 2008 Khursaniyah 50 b/d, Shaybah Nuayyim 30 b/d, Khurais 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 39

65 120 b/d.. < 표 IV-3> 현재추진중인프로젝트 (2009 년까지완공 ) Haradh Arab Light (b/d) 30 Khursaniyah, Abu Hadriyah, Al-Fadli Arab Light/Extra Light Shaybah Arab Extra Light Khurais Arab Light (120 ) Nuayyim Arab Extra Light ( ) 1, ~ ~ ,250 : SNSAP(Saudi National Security Assessment Project) ( 40

66 < 표 -4> 향후추진프로젝트 (2009 년이후 ) (/ ) Shaybah Arab Extra Light Neutral Zone Arab Medium Moneefa Arab Heavy Moneefa Arab Heavy Moneefa Arab Heavy (2009 ) 1, ~ ~ ,305 : SNSAP(Saudi National Security Assessment Project) ( (Saudi Aramco) b/d, 40 b/d 2. < 표 -5> 아람코의현재가동중인정유공장 (/ ) ( ) Jeddah % + 25% Rabigh % Ras Tanura % Riyadh % Yanbu % + 25% Sasref* (Jubail ) % + 50% Shell Samref* (Yanbu ) % + 50% Mobil : ( Sasref* : Saudi Aramco Shell Refinery Company Samref* : Saudi Aramco Mobil Refinery Company. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 41

67 < 표 -6> 아람코의향후추진프로젝트 (/ ) () Rabigh / 85 Ras Tanura / 60 FEED Yanbu / : ( 2008, 267.3tcf 14) 4.1%., % 100tcf 15) 63% 163tcf, , 14) tcf trillion cubic feet, 1 15) TCF Trillion Cubic Feet 1 TCF 1 42

68 . SABIC( 70%),. SABIC, , SABIC 70%. Saudi Kayan PC SABIC Kayan PC, Saudi Kayan PC 90 ( 135, 60), PE( ), PP(), EG( ) EO( ),. 2009~2012 Saudi Kayan 135, Saudi Polymers co.(ncp) 120, Sipchem 100, Saudi Aramco/DOW Chemical 120. Petro Rabigh. Petro Rabigh Petro Rabigh 2,. 11 2, 5,400, 10.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 43

69 $35,,,. Bechtel ( ), Sabic, Sipchem, Sahara ,600, ,. Conergy - National Solar Systems King Abdullah (KAUST) 2. Conergy National Solar Systems. Conergy Sunpower Corporation, 1 2 KAUST. 11,577, 3,332 h 1,666 CO 2., Jeddah Thuwal KAUST, Saudi Oger, 1,130, GCC(Gulf Cooperation Council). 44

70 (SAGIA),..,. 100%,. 20% 45% 20%.,, 50%.,,. 16) ( 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 45

71 (SAGIA) CR(Commercial Registration). 50 SR( 13 ).. (Comprehensive Service Centres; CSC),.,. (MInistry of Commerce), (General Directorate of Passports) (General Administration for Recruitment),. (Zakat and Income Department), (Saudi Industrial Development Fund; SIDF).,, 5, 1. 1,,. (Investor Service Center; ISC) 2000, 46

72 ,,.,. Tax Holiday 25% 5~ %., 85%, 4 30%, %, 6 85% 2.5%( ).,,...,., (Department of Zakat and Income Tax; DZIT). 15%. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 47

73 . 15%, 15%. 1975,. (Saudi Industrial Development Fund; SIDF) 50% 15, %, 2%.., (), FS 17) ( 1 ), (), (),, 3 ( ),, 3 (BOQ 18) ), (,, ), 3 ( ).,,. 17) FS Feasibility Study 18) BOQ Bill of Quantities 48

74 1,390, 448. (Saudi Government Railroad Organization; SRO), Jeddah, Makkah, Madinah Riyadh Dammam Tapline.,,, UAE,,, Causeway. Jeddah, Dammam, Jizan, Jubail, Yanbu 5 Yanbu Jubail 2, Ras Tanura. 90% Jeddah, ft. $ 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 49

75 ( : ) ENG < 표 -7> 사우디아라비아최근수주현황 NCP -South Plot PKG2B- Saudi Polymers Company PKG3- STG5&6 PKG1- (PKG3-CPF) 1,087,065 SATORP 818,000 1,347,295 1,043,460 SATORP 699,098 Marafiq 751,086 1,348, , , kV 208,094 : ( 2008/01/ /05/ /07/ /07/ /02/ /04/ /09/ /02/ /07/ /07/ /07/ /07/ /03/ /02/ /09/ /05/ /06/ /06/ /04/ /09/21 10 NCP, PKG2B-. PKG1-. (8 ). 50

76 10.,,.,. 1, 2008,.,.,.,,.,,..,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 51

77 ...,,., , %, %, %, %.,,,,. GDP %

78 ,,,, % 166.., (Oman Water and Power Procurement Co.) 7(2008~2014 ) 2,985 29mg/d.,,,.,, GW/h, 15 GW/h 11%, 10%.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 53

79 < 표 -8> 전력생산및공급현황 ( : GW/h) , , , , , ,334.4 : ( (Authority for Electricity Regulation) 3. ( ) Dr. Saleh Mohammed Al-Alawi, ( ) Amur Mubarak Al-Kiyumi, ( ) John Cunneen mg, 35 mg 3.2%, 5.3% (Oman Power and Water Procurement Co.: OPWP), 2015, ,291 79% 5, ,420~3,470. < 표 -9> 담수생산량및공급량 ( : ) , , , , , ,548.1 : ( (Salalah) IWPP 19) 400~430, 15MIGD 1,000 (Taqah) ) IWPP Independent Water and Power Project 54

80 . Saudi Orger+Mitsui+WJ Towell, International Power+Mubadala+National Trading Co., Sembcorp+Oman Investment Corp.. (Al-Ghubrah) IWPP 500, 30MIGD / /4. (Sohar) IWPP 1,300, / (Duqum) IWPP 1,000, /4 4/ Electricity Holding Co. Oman Power &Water Procurement Co. Oman Electricity Transmission Co. Al Ghubrah Power and Desalination Co. Wadi Al-Jizzi Power Co. Muscat Electricity Distribution Co. Mazoon Electricity Co. Majan Electricity Co. Rural Areas Electricity Co. < 표 -10> 오만전력관련국영기업,, MIS MIS Rural System : ( : MIS(Main Interconnected System):,,,,, Salalah System: Rural System:. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 55

81 < 표 -11> 오만전력관련민간기업 AES Barka MIS Al Kamil Power Co. MIS United Power Co. MIS Dhofar Power Co. Salalah System Sohar Power Co. MIS Al-Rusail Power Co. MIS : ( %, 72.8 b/d 0.9%. 2009, 80 b/d. 75%, GDP 40% , b/d, /d. (Petroleum Development Oman: PDO). 2/3 Fahud, Yibal, Nimr

82 . Burhan Mukhaizna.. 13, Occidental, Amoco, Japan Petroleum Exploration Co.(), Nimr Petroleum Co.( ), TotalFinaElf, Novus Petroleum() Triton International(). < 표 -12> 오만석유생산량추이 ( : b/d) (%) : BP, Statistical review of world energy(2009) Mukhaizna, Muscat Sohar 700 Duqm. 20 b/d,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 57

83 < 표 -13> 오만정유시설프로젝트 ( 최근까지완공한프로젝트 ) / Oman Refining Co. /Mina Al Fahal 15,000b/d FCC 50,000b/d Alkylation 7,222b/d FCC 75,000b/d Hydrogen Sohar Hydrotreater 30,824b/d - Hydrotreater 1,309b/d Treater 26,858b/d Treater 40,540b/d : ( LNG LNG 50%. 28tcf. 75% Oman LNG / (IWPP). 80%, GDP 40%. < 표 -14> 천연가스생산량추이 ( : bcf/d) (%) : BP, Statistical review of world energy(2009) 58

84 100% OOC(Oman Oil Co.). Dow OPIC(Oman Petrochemical Industries Co.), Sohar LDPE/HLDPE/LLDPE 21), 26, 2012., OOC 60%(2007 IPIC 20% ), LG 20%, GIC(Gulf Investment Corp.)20% OPP(Oman Polypropylene Co.) Novolen Sohar 2 34 PP Sohar Refinery Co. FCC, PP 80%., OCC 60%, Sohar Refinery Co. 20%, LGI 20% Aromatic Oman Sohar Refinery Co. 79, Sohar Duqm 70 (DRPC, Duqm Integrated Refinery & Petrochemicals Complex). 30 b/d 20) EBN, (4), ) LDPE Low-density polyethylene( ), HLDPE High-pressure LDPE( ), LLDPE Low-pressure LDPE. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 59

85 RFCC 120~ DRPC 2010, 2013.,,. 15%, 10%, (OPWP) 1, OPEC % 72,.,, (Oman Power and Water Procurement Company, OPWP) ~200,. 60

86 ,,,,, (CDM)..., SOC,,,,,,,,,,., 49% 70%,. Omani Centre for Investment Promotion and Export Development ,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 61

87 .,,,,,, 5, 5.,,,, 5,.,,..., (Commercial Registration), (Industrial Licence)., (Environmental Permit) (Land Permit).. 2.,,, % %., 62

88 ., 3 RO 22) ( 7 8)., (, ),,. 10%,. (Municipality Tax), 3%, 5%, 10%, 10%. (Oman Development Bank SAOC), 4RO( 1 ).,,,,,,, FS. 5 10, 9% 6%, 3%. 100 RO(260) 40% 300 RO(780)., 50%, 56%. Export Guarantee & Financing Unit, 22) RO Riyal Omani. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 63

89 . 180, 80%, 85%. 5%( 40%, 25% )~7%.,.,,, 12~15 ( ), ONTC (Oman National Transport Company) (coach),,,,.. (Mina Sultan Qaboos), (Mina Fahel), (Mina Qalhat), (Mina Salalah). (Mina Sultan Qaboos) (1974 ). (PORT SERVICES CORPORATION). Buraimi ( ), Dibaa ( ), Khasab ( ), Masirah Raf Stn, (), Seeb (), Salalah ( ), 64

90 Sur (), Marmul ( ) 8 Seeb.. 1. < 표 -15> 우리기업의최근대형공사수주실적 ( : ) 2/ SMN Barka Power Company 528, /12/ /04/13 GS GS / 407, , /05/ /09/ /04/ /03/31 174, /05/ /09/15 : ( ,, 2. < IV-15>.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 65

91 GCC,...,,...,.,. 66

92 %, %, UAE (Global Insight -2.5%, EIU -1.4%) UAE 4 35%, UAE 113%. 35%, 30%., Amlak Finace Ta eel,., UAE 2,500, , UAE, % 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 67

93 42% GDP 58%, 11%., UAE GDP 5% UAE, 2002, UAE.. (Nakheel), (Emaar),, (Dewa), (Department of Civil Aviation), Free Zone Corporation, 260., Proleads UAE GCC 45%. UAE, UAE,. 68

94 [ 그림 -1] 중동국별재입찰프로젝트금액비중 : Proleads UAE,, %, 132%. UAE 4. 4,,,.,, 3,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 69

95 ,, UAE 4 16, ,600., 2010 UAE % 26,000. UAE. < IV-16> UAE (2007 ) 8,057 5,448 1,901 (2005 ) ( : ) 1,251 16,657 :, UAE (2008), (IWPP). 4,790, ,735, ,340. 8, ~ % 900,,. Al Yasat al-songhra Island 200 Western region, Zayed City, Ghiyathi, Abu Al Abyadh Island, Jenanah Island. 70

96 12~14% ,100, , Jebel Ali M ( Fisia Italimpianti ) 1,330 70MIGD 23). 9, MIGD. Al Habab 5,000. 8~10%,. 2007~15 9%, 8 2, , , ,,, 5. Emirates National Grid(ENG). 23) MIGD Million Imperial Gallon Per Day, 4,546. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 71

97 UAE, UAE UAE %, 30%, 15%, 5% ~7%. UAE , 70. UAE,., UAE,, EU. UAE CH2M Hill, UAE 1. CH2M Hill,, ENEC IAEA,. UAE 72

98 , UAE. 4 UAE GW, , GW. UAE 20~25GW, 20GW., UAE ( Abu Dhabi). UAE. ESR, UAE,, UAE 600. UAE %. 2008, UAE 298 b/d 3.6%. UAE 94%,. 270 b/d 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 73

99 b/d. Upper Zakum b/d b/d. Upper Zakum 500, 160 ~200. Bab, Al Dabbiya, Jar Yaphour, Rumaitha, Shanyel 46 b/d. 80%.. UAE b/d, Ruwais 40 b/d, Umm Al-Nar 8.5 b/d, Jabel Ali 12 b/d. UAE 227.1tcf 3.5%. UAE 92.5%. Umm Shaif Abual-Bukhoosh, 150~170. Abu Dhabi Gas Industries(GASCO), Abu Dhabi Gas Liquefaction Company(ADGAS). UAE 2008, 4.8bcf( 50.2bcm), 1.6%. UAE,,., UAE Dolphin Energy 74

100 , North Dome,. 51%, Total Occidental Petroleum 24.5%.. Abu Dhabi National Chemicals company ,. 100% (IPIC) (ADIC) 40%, (ADNOC) 20%. 5. IPIC (Borealis AG). IPIC 65%, (Borouge) 40%.,,, 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 75

101 . 1. UAE 2020 UAE 7%, (World Future Energy Summit, WFES) (Abu Dhabi),. UAE, (50,000 ) /3 50, ( ), < 표 -17> UAE 의단계별신재생에너지개발정책 ~ (MIST) ADFEC : KOTRA ( ) 76

102 Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Mubadala.,, Think Tank. zero-carbon, 'zero-waste', 'car-free',,, % 200.,,. 20,000 8,000., 2%. < IV-18>. (Shams I) , 2009 Masdar Institute. Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Environmena Power Systems(UAE), Environmena Power Systems(UAE). 87,777 50%, 50%,. 1 17,500. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 77

103 , 15,000. First Solar, Suntech Power Holdings. (Shams I) , 2009 Masdar Institute. Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Environmental Power Systems(UAE), Environmental Power Systems(UAE). 87,777 50%, 50%,. 1 17,500, 15,000. First Solar, Suntech Power Holdings. < 표 -18> 그린기술개발및친환경기업양성 (MIST, Masdar Institute of Science and Technology) (Masdar Clean Tech Fund) (STAR, Sustainable Technologies and Advanced Research) (Masdar Business Incubator) : (2009) MIT Credit Suisse, Consensus Business Group 2 5,,,,,,. 78

104 Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company, Aerospace Centre(DLR), Fichtner Consulting Engineers, BNP Paribas Bank( ). Generators, Switchgears, Transformers, Power towers, Collector towers, Associated facilities.. Masdar(Aby Dhabi Future Energy Company) Masdar PV GmbH Colexon Energy, Masdar GW, Shams-1, GW. Shams-1 Madinat Zayed, 2., Torresol Energy 17 Gemasolar, Instituto Credito Official, Banco Popular Banesto Andalusia Fuentes 3, 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 79

105 , 5. UAE Dubailand 243,000 (7,000 ) Dubai Properties.,,,, 10%. X_architects, SMAQ. UAE Masdar(Abu Dhabi Future Energy Company). UAE,,,,,., Masdar E.ON Array., 1GW Tokyo,

106 COSMO, 2010 (Concentrated Solar Power)., Masdar., UAE.. UAE.,,,,, UAE 51%.,.,,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 81

107 ,. 55%, 50%. 10%, 5%. GCC 5%, 6 100%.,,.,,,.,.,,. 5 5.,,,. 100%,,., 15 15,.,,,,. 82

108 . Trade Licence, 1. Ministry of Economy and Trade. License, License.,,, (Emirates Industrial Bank).. Jevel Ali Free Zone,. Liaison Office, UAE UAE. UAE., UAE. UAE UAE UAE.,, UAE.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 83

109 , UAE Development Bank. Development Finance Corporation 5%. UAE,. UAE,.,,..,, ,,,. 4%,..,,. 84

110 UAE < IV-19>. UAE, UAE. GASCO, , UAE. 10, 10., 1.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 85

111 ( : ) () 798, ,817 SK ADCO 818,835 GS GS < 표 -19> 우리기업의대형공사최근수주실적 4NGL P KG2-Habshan5 1,140,243 GASCO 1,202,129 GASCO 1,702,311 : ( 2008/08/ /08/ /07/ /05/ /09/ /04/ /06/ /01/ /07/ /07/ /07/ /05/28. UAE UAE,.,,. UAE.. 86

112 GDP 50.5%.. Global Insight %, EIU 0.7%. 36% 400, GDP 5%.. (70 ), (34 ), 4 (63 ), 3 (41 ), 16 5 (20 ),, b/d, 150 b/d 680,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 87

113 .,...,,.. 10,000, 80% 7% ,544 h 7, 7 9%. 88

114 /6 8 9, ,500 Azour North, 1,500 Sabiya, 750 Shuaiba, 500 Azour South, Doha, (CTC). 2006/7 Emergency Power Program Plant( 1,585 ),,., Sabiya Sabiya, Az Zour North, Kiran Silk City, 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 89

115 %, , , GCC. < 표 -20> 쿠웨이트전원별발전설비개발계획 () (%) () (%) () (%) , , :, (2008) ,015, 8.1%., Abdali, KOC(Kuwait Oil Company),. Saudi Arabian Texaco Wafra 3 (Eocene)

116 b/d 3.5%. Burgan, Magwa Ahmadi Greater Burgan b/d., (API) 31.4, 2.52% Kusait Export Crude(KEC). Burgan, Raudhatain, Minagish, Neutral Zone. Burgan 1938, 70 Ghawar 2, 160 b/d 60%. Raudhatain 6 25 b/d. Minagish 2 16 b/d, Neutral Zone 27 b/d. Ratqa (4 b/d) Rumaila, 1991 UN Ratqa 11., Sheikh Ahmed Al Sabah Sabriya Umm Niqqa 100. KPC(Kuwait Petroleum Corporation) 2020 $800., b/d, 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 91

117 4b/d. KPC 5 KD 24) 200. Mina Abdullah Mina Al-Ahmadi KD50. KPC KNPC(Kuwait National Petroleum Company) 60 b/d 80 b/d, 61.5 b/d Al-Zour KD40., -, - 3, Shuaiba 19, Mina Abdullah 26, Mina Al-Ahmadi 47, Al-Zour , , ) KD Kuwait Dinar 92

118 , (SPC) , $150. KNPC, SPC. KNPC, SPC.,, , 62.9tcf,. 2008, 1.2bcf ( 12.8 bcm) 0.4%., 35tcf.. KOC f 3, 2014~15 10 f 3. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 93

119 . 1,500 (Petrochemical Industries Company; PIC) Olefin.,,,, f 3 MOU., KPC(Kuwait Petroleum Corp.) PIC(Petrochemical Industries Co.).,.. Equate (Equate) (Petrochemical Industries Company; PIC) Equate PIC Union Carbide Company( Dow Chemical ) 45%, 10%. PIC 94

120 1966,. 2 Equate-2 PIC 40 45%. Equate-2 Equate-1 85, (LDPE) PIC 7., Equate-3. The City of Silk Khabary Future City. The City of Silk Madinat al Hareer, Subiya 250 (700,000 ) Dubai Waterfront, Business Bay. 860, Kuwait City,.,,.,. Khabary Future City Fahaheel(Kuwait City ) 770, Khabary. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 95

121 , 2009.,, 40%,.. 100%, 49%. (,, ) 49%, 40%. 10,,,,,,,,.,,., 96

122 , 70, Kuwait Project'.. (Commercial Register),. (Amiri Decree).,.,,,. (DIT),. 55% 15%, ,.,,,. GCC 5%.,,.., (DIT).. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 97

123 (GCC) 6 GIC(Gulf Investment Corporation),.,,.,, IIG(International Investment Group).,,,. 3,.,..,,. 6, Shuwaikh, Shuaiba, Doha Ahmadi, Abdullah, Zoor. Shuwaikh, Shuaiba, 98

124 ,. Shuwaikh, Shuaiba,,. Shuwaikh, Shuaiba. 21, 1~14 10m, 15~17 6.7m, 18~21 8.5m 4,055m. 1, 8, 11~13, 19~20, 21,... 1 < IV-21>. 10 (PKG ) 4, 4 7,. 10.,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 99

125 . 1,. < 표 -21> 최근 2 년간우리기업의쿠웨이트에너지설비수주현황 -PKG4 1,184, /07/ /03/23 SK -PKG2 2,062, /07/ /04/24 SK 4 694, /12/ /02/28 GS -PKG1 1,995, /07/ /04/24 -PKG5 1,120, /07/ /03/28 1,384, /09/ /06/01 AlZourNorth400kV (MEW/25/ ) 163, /11/ /11/29. (KPC).. 3, KPC 100

126 ,. 20 KPC (KOC) (KNPC), , (1,015, 4 ).,..,.,...,,... 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 101

127 . MEED( , 18) 2009 GDP 9%. GCC 2009 GDP 2%, 5 11%. CEO Raghavan Seetharaman 2009 GDP 9.6%,. LNG, 1 LNG GDP 32% 27%., Sheikh Hamad Al-Thani GCC,. 2 (stable) (negative). (QCB) 3 102

128 , 5 41, %., (QIA) %, %., / % 104, , 60,. LNG. IMF. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 103

129 , Aa2. LNG 2009 GDP 9.6% %. MEED 2008, LNG ( 31.2 ) 2~3,.,,, 900 f 3 ( 15%) LNG ( / ),. 2030,, , 19.7TWh,,

130 < 표 -22> 카타르담수화발전소발전용량 Ras Abu Fontas B 990 Ras Abu Fontas A 618 Wajba 301 Sailyah 134 Ras Abu Aboud 88 Doha South Super 67 : ( (Qatar General Electricity & Water Corporation(Kharamaa); QEWC) (Ministry of Electricity & Water, MEW).,,, MEW ,500 12%. Ras Laffan (IWPP) Ras Laffan (IWPP) , 2 / 750, 7,500 g/d Ras Laffan Power, AES( ) 55%, QEWC 25%, QP 10%, Gulf Investment Corporation( ) 10%. Ras Laffan 3. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 105

131 (QEWC), 25. 2,600 /40Mg/d, 40%, QP/QEWC 60%. Qatalum QP/Hydro, 9 1,350. Mott MacDonald EPC. Qatar General Electricity and Water Corp. Suez, Mitsui Ras Laffan. Suez Mitsui Suez Mitsui 40%, 15%, Qatar General Electricity and Water Corp. 45%. 2,730, 6,300, % 2008, 273. (Dukhan). (Id Al-Shargi North Dome), (Bul Hanine), (Maydan Mahzam), (Al-Shaheen), (Al-Rayyan), (Al-Khalij) 6. OPEC 106

132 b/d OPEC 13.,,, (QP), 40%, QP %,. (Umm Said), (Halul), (Ras Laffan) 3,, LNG. GCC,. QP, GTL,,, QR 25) 3,025 ( 831 ) 5( ). QP b/d b/d. 25) QR Qatar Riyal. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 107

133 < 표 -23> 석유상류및하류부문확장주요프로젝트 (1 b/d) (10) : Zawya, EIA, OGN % 899.3tcf. 3 (North Gas Field) bcf/d. QP 2007, , 7.4 bcf( 76.6 bcm) LNG., %., %. 108

134 QP, LNG LNG (Qatargas) LNG(Rasgas). Rasgas QP 70%, ExxonMobil 30%. Qatargas QP Total, ExxonMobil, Mitsubishi., ,000 bcf., (Barzan) ,260.1 bcf. (Bcf/d) () : Zawya < 표 -24> 카타르주요천연가스상류프로젝트 1.5 tcf LNG, 2010~12 LNG 3.8 tcf. LNG 2012 LNG., LNG., LNG,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 109

135 LNG 5 2,920. LNG GDP , ,394. < 표 -25> 카타르 LNG 시설현황 (Bcf) 1& Rasgas , , Qatargas 4&5 1, ,684 : RasGas, QatarGas, EIA GTL,. GTL. GTL (Pearl) GTL Shell 100%. 110

136 , IQ(Industries Qatar) 2030, IQ QP(Qutar Petroleum) 70%,,,. QP, 2007 LNG, GTL,. QP. QP 1 Q-Chem II Qatofin QP Ras Laffan Ethylene Co., , QChem II HDPE 35 a- (LAO) 35, Qatofin LLDPE 45. QP,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 111

137 . 130,, OCT 70 PP ExxonMobile, Carbon Trust Company (Qatar Investment Authority, QIA)., 2.5 (4.03 ) ' - ' QIA 1.5 Carbon Trust 0.1, 0.9., Carbon Trust Investment.,..,, (IPD). 51%,. 112

138 , 4%,.,.,.,, 5.. GCC 5%, 10%. (watt/hour), ,..,,,,,,.,,,. Pearl of the Gulf Island,. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 113

139 West Bay Lagoon, Al Khor Resort 99...,.. (Public Revenue and Taxes Dept.), Entity(,, ). GCC., EPC(,, ) EP(, ). < 표 -26> 카타르법인세율 (QR) 100, , ,000 10% 500,001-1,000,000 15% 1,000,0001-1,500,000 20% 1,500,001-2,500,000 25% 2,500,001-5,000,000 30% 5,000,001 35% : ( 114

140 ,. GCC,.,,,,. CIF 4%. 20%,, GCC.,.,.,. 11%, 13.5%. CR, CR... 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 115

141 ,,.,.. 6,.. Doha, Umm Sa'id, Ras Laffan 3, 677,992GRT/1,049,447 DWT m 4 7.5m 5, 1,699m. 4 LNG 11. Umm Said 9,,. Ras laffan LNG Ras Laffen. 4, ,,,,,,, 116

142 , , , Collect Call , ,.. 1 < IV-27> , 2008 CIWPP ,728 4,500.,.. 중동권주요국들의설비산업환경및진출전망 117

143 < 표 -27> 최근 2 년간우리기업의카타르공사수주현황 ( : ) Q-Chem II Q a t a r C h e m i c a l Company 405, /12/ /11/30 GS QP&Total& ExxonMobil 409, /06/ /10/27 CIWPP 2,071, /05/ /04/ Kv 201, /01/ /07/15. GCC..,...,. 118

144 . 2008,,., BOT 26)., (50 ). 26) Build, Operate and Transfer,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 119

145 . (PLN), (IPP : Independent Power Producer), (Auto-generation/Leased Generator). 87%, %, 26.5%, 24.3%, 1.7%. < 표 -1> 인도네시아주체별전력생산량 ( : GWh) ,046 93,113 98, , ,984 20,549 23,978 26,088 28,639 31,199 2,435 3,154 3,105 2,804 3, , , , , ,440 : National Electric Company 80% - 30,000, 22,236. [V-2], , % GDP 6.2%, %. 120

146 74% - - [ 그림 -1] 인도네시아의발전설비용량현황 : PT, PLN < 표 -2> 인도네시아전력생산및소비량 ( :GWh) , , , , ,080 99, , , , ,018 : Department of Energy and Mineral Resources. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 121

147 (JAMALI) < 표 -3> 인도네시아지역별전력수요및용량전망 TWh GW GW TWh GW GW TWh GW GW : KOTRA (2009) 2008, 21%. Tanjung Jati B,. PLN (Suralaya/Gresik /Cilacap ) ,400, % , ( ) 6 1, 2010~

148 . 2 11,144 MV %. 7,366 (PLN) ( 66%) (IPP).,,. Asea(Brown) Boveri(ABB), Siemens, GE, Mitsubishi Hitachi.. DongFang Electric, Harbin Electric, China National Technical Export-Import Company (CNTIC). OPEC(Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries), 50, 92 5,000., 26.3%, 23.4%.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 123

149 < 표 -4> 2008 년인도네시아석유및가스소비및생산 (mtoe) 57.4 Mtoe(1.2%) 49.1Mtoe(0.3%) (mtoe) 34.2 Mote(2.3%) 62.7Mtoe(2.3%) :. : IEA, Balance of Statistics (2009) LNG 188 M 3 40 m 3.,,.,,. 100 / 60 / Tri Wahna(6 / ) Muba (800/ ), / Banton, LPG LPG,. 124

150 [ 그림 -2] 인도네시아석유연료소비및생산현황및전망 : OPEC(2009) [ 그림 -3] 인도네시아정유시설현황 : OPEC(2009). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 125

151 .,., %, , 1%, 5%, 5%., 3~4%, 95~97%. 99.5% , % PT Molindo Raya Industri Co. Ltd,,,. 126

152 < 표 -5> 연도별인도네시아바이오에탄올생산현황 ( ) (%) ( ) (%) , , , , , : Indocommercial , %, ,844, , ,830,000, , ,000. < 표 -6> 바이오에탄올시장전망 ( : 1,000 ) ,930 2, , ,944 2, : Indocommercial,,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 127

153 CDM 27) UNFCC 23. CER,,, CER. CDM. 23 CDM,,,,,. CDM, CDM,. 9, (3 ), (2 ), (2 ), (1 ), (1 ). Grobal Gas Flaring Reduction Partnership(GGFR) (BP-MIGAS) EB. YBUL(Yayasan Bina Usaha Lingkungan),.. 27) (2009) CDM 128

154 < 표 -7> 인도네시아 CDM 프로젝트분야별현황 ( 09 년 3 월현재 ) ,009 3,667,825 CER 5 528,870 2,887, , , ,673 3,991,885 1, ,163 4,354,204 80, , ,581 / 1 390,893 2,429, , , , ,256,883 18,598, ,490 * : Integrated Capacity Strengthening (IGES) * : tco2. 1), (Ministry of Public Works) ( )., 100%. 30,., 100%,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 129

155 ., 95%. 250.,, PT.PLN IBRD, ADB, PGN, Pertamina., EPC.,. ADB( ) JBIC() (PQ) 2.,,,,, 3 130

156 . 1994,,,,. 200 ( 300 ) ( ) 1.,... 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 131

157 (PLN)..,. 5 25%, 10%., Agent ,. 2. 2,,,,. 132

158 < 표 -8> 최근 2 년간우리기업의인도네시아공사수주현황 ( : ) ENG Dalle PT. Jakarta tank terminal 36,342 PT. dalle EnergyBatam 44, /08/ /05/25 PT. Mita ENG Energi Batam : 39, /12/ /05/ /10/ /08/ ,...., Vendor... 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 133

159 ,,,.,., CER., CDM.., CDM,,,,. 134

160 , 400.,,,.. EGAT(Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand) 55%. 70%,,, ,026GWh, 98,148GWh, 30,081GWh 88% % 2.19%, 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 135

161 5.5% 6.16% (%) (%) EGAT , , , , , , , , < 표 -9> 태국의전력생산및구매현황 - 12, , , , , , : EGAT(Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand), IPP. 136

162 < 표 -10> 태국전력개발계획 기간별프로젝트계획 ( ) EGAT 3,768.7 IPP 4, ~2015 SPP 1,985.5 VSPP ,186.6 EGAT () 2,800 EGAT ( ) 2,000 VSPP ~2021 2,850 - EGAT 3,200 - IPP 1,600-4,800,. < 표 -11> 원자력발전소건설추진현황및계획 ~ ~ ~ ~2021 : EGAT(Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 137

163 2007 EGAT 60, ,000. < V-11>, 1, EGAT, 13.4 (38 ), EGAT.. Areva, General Electric, Mitsubishi Toshiba 4. 4, GE Toshiba, Misubishi Areva,,.,. 2.. (Gulf of Thailand) 138

164 . (Petroleum Authority of Thailand) PTT (upstream) (downstream) PTT. PTT Thaioil(Thai Oil Company) Thappline(Thai Petroleum Pipeline Company), 4. (Ministry of Energy) & (EPPO, The Energy Policy and Planning Office),,. (NESDB). PTT Thappline(Thai Petroleum Pipeline Company) Sri Racha ~ Lumlukka Saraburi 160(mile) 70, ,100/. Map Ta Phut ARC(Alliance Refining Company, Chevron + PTT J/V) (301,000/ ), Thai Oil Co. Sri Racha(192,850), ExxonMobil Sri Racha(173,500), PTT Bangkok(61,750).. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 139

165 , f 3 ( ).,. PTT,. PTTNFGD(PTT Natural Gas Distribution) 2,300,. Erawan Rayong 3 40 f (410) JDA TTM(Trans-Thailand-Malaysia). TTM (TAGP, Trasn-ASEAN Gas Pipeline). LNG LNG, PTT LNG PTTLNG. PTTLNG Map Ta Phut 2,440 f ,. 140

166 ,, PTT. PTT , (GSP). 3.5 GSP 5 GSP 6, 7, 8, /4, 7, 8. GSP PDH()., 2007~2009 (Reformate, ) % %, 15 17%.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 141

167 2011 8% 1500, 460, 100., 3-5% RPS. CDM CDM.,,,. TGO(Thailand Greenhouse Gas Management Organization) CDM. UNFCCC 15 () 4, () 4, 5. < 표 -12> 태국분야별 CDM 프로젝트등록현황 2012 ( : tco 2) CER ( ) 4 48, ,809 () 4 310, , , , ,160, 2 94, , ,965 6,684, ,546 : IGES CDM Project Database('09 3 ) CDM UNFCCC 5, 4, 3, 1, 3. CDM 142

168 . CDM (ADB), Mizuho, Agence Francaise de Developpement(AFD). CDM.,,.., 49%,., (/ ), (/), (/),..,,, 76,, 400.,,,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 143

169 ,,, ( (),,.., EGAT (Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand),. 144

170 90%,. Electricity Generating Public Company Limited(EGCO), Ratchaburi Electricity Generating Holding Public Company Limited(RATCH)., MEA(The Metropolitan Electricity Authority). (EGAT) 230kV 115kV/69kV, 12kV/24kV 220V/30V. EGAT /, MEA /., TTM(Trans-Thai-Malaysia(Thailand) Limited) - (JDA) &(PTT, Petroleum Authority of Thailand) &(Petronas) 50:50,,. PTT(Public Company Limited.), BCP(Bangchak Petroleum Public Company Limited.).. 8, Ministry of Finance Notification No. C13/2533( ) 50%.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 145

171 .,.,. (Thai Industrial Standards Institute),,,.,,.,.,. 146

172 . 2. < V-13> 1 2. LNG. 6. < 표 -13> 최근 2년간우리기업의태국공사수주현황 ( : ) 812, SK PTT Aromatics & Refining PCL 105, GS LNG PTT LNG Co. 525, PTT Chem. PTT Chemical 104, ENG Public Co. Ltd 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 147

173 ,,,.,,,,. (Onshore, Offshore ).. CDM.,,,,,,,,,,,,. (TGO).. 148

174 < V-14>, Mtoe Mtoe (charcoal) (60%) MToe, 1.7 Mtoe, 1.77Mtoe 1.4MToe. < 표 -14> 미얀마의에너지공급현황 ( : Mtoe) ( ) 5.4% 4.4% : BP(2009) " Statistical Review of World energy report" %, 86.5%, 82%.,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 149

175 GDP %.(ADB(2009)), %, Mtoe Mtoe 10.5%... LNG 5.2% CNG, 0.4%. [ 그림 -4] 미얀마에너지수요전망 : ADB(2009) 150

176 . (MEP), (DEP) (MEPE). 32% 6 ( 168 Baluchaung No. 2) 20, 70% 150 Ahlone Hlawga. Simple cycle, TharKayta, Hlawga, Ahlone 3. 1,, 35%., Toe 28),, 2~ ~ KWh, 36 1,900 KWh. 28) 1 1.6Toe. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 151

177 [ 그림 -5] 미얀마설비별발전용량 ( KWh) : ( ) Mtoe Mtoe 9% (ADB 2009) TWh TWh 9.6%.. ADB(2009) % % %, % %. 152

178 . 1, 1 f 3. (Yetagun) 12,000 (yadana) 12 f f 3, 4 3f f 3 12 f 3.,. (Myanmar Petrochemical Enterprise, MPE),,, LPG. MPE. Thanlyin, Chauk Thanbayakan 57,000 / 1/ 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 153

179 Single Mooring Buoy(SMB) SMB Thanlyin. 98.4, ,000/, 250.,,,.. ADB(2009) 108, , (NEDO), 51,973.8TWh. NEDO, TWh. 10KW 154

180 CDM,. CDM.,. 1 7 (67 )., CDM. NGO (JETRO ),..,. 100%. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 155

181 ..,..,. 50,,., MEPE. (Myanmar Investment Commission)., /,, 12. 3, 50%, 3,

182 .,. < V-15>. < 표 -15> 산업별투자동향 : US , , :, Selected Monthly Indicators 80%. (MICB) (MFTB), ,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 157

183 ,.,..,.. 2, ( ) A , 825, %, 8.5%, ONGC 17%, MOGE 15%, GAIL 8.5%. A

184 5 f 3 / 5 f 3 25~30. LNG ,.,.,.., (Wood Pellet : ), CDM.,.. Wood Pellet.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 159

185 . Wood pellet. Wood Pellet. 4~5.. Wood Pellet,,.,. CDM ( ) 14 5 ( 3 2 ). ADB,, (NHAI), IOC 160

186 NHPC,,. 2 8( 700 ) , 3,200. 3, ( 930 ). BOT(Build Operate Transfer) PPP(Public Private Partnership)..., (Cental Electricity Authority). (SEB : State Electricity Board),., ), -. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 161

187 . (Indian Electricity Act),, ,,,,. 36~42%,,. 2009~10 30) 11 8,794, 10 3,816, 1 4,978 (12.6%). 2008~09 1 3,024, ,000.,. 2009~10, 28, 10 (Peak Time) 20%, ( ) (Peak Time) 30%., 2008~09 30) 4 ~ 3, 2009~ ~

188 14 8,000, 65% 6,785, 40% 16.,, 2001 ( ) (SEB, State Electricity Board) 4,147 3, IPP, 2%. IPP,,. IPP Dabhol Power Company Maharashtra, IPP, ,000, 9,000,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 163

189 (20 ) ( 50-75% ), 25,536, 7,751. 2,655 (58 ) 8.5, 6. 33,000 15, , 10 ( ) % 2.2 (NTPC)... 1, ,000 87, %. 164

190 < 표 -16> 안드라프라데쉬의메가급전력프로젝트 ( ) Coastal Andhra Power Krishnapatnam Ultra Mega Power 4,000 East Coast Energy Pvt. Bhavanapadu Coal based Power 2,640 Athena Kakinada Power(P) Gas Based Power(Komarigiri) 2,400 NTPC Simhadri Super Thermal Power-Stage II 2,100 Andhra Pradesh Power Development co. Krishnapatnam Power 1,600 :, ,200. 2,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 165

191 < 표 -17> 2012년까지완공예정인민간기업주도의발전소프로젝트 (: 9,300 ) (:) Sterlite thermal power project(orissa) Sterlite Energy 2,400 Rs 7,700 Sugen gas power plant(gujarat) Torrent Power 1,147 Rs 3,200 Jallipa Kapurdi thermal power project(rajasthan) Raj 1,080 Rs 5,000 Udupi thermal power project(karnataka) Udipi Power Corp. 1,015 Rs 4,300 Karcham Wangtoo hydel Jaypee Karcham power project Hydro Corp. 1,000 Rs 6,000 Mundra thermal power project, Ph.1(Gujarat) Adani Power 660 Rs 2,300 Rosa thermal power plant(uttar Pradesh) Rosa Power Supply 600 Rs 2,600 Lanco Amarkantak thermal power plant(chhattisgarh) LAP(Lanco) 600 Rs 2,600 Teesta stage-6 hydro electric project(south Sikkim) Lanco Energy 500 Rs 3,300 Alaknanda hydel power project(uttrakhand) GMR Energy 300 Rs 1,400 : Ministry of Power, State Governments and Central Electricity Authority 166

192 < 표 -18> 인도전력발전수요전망 (TOE) (%) (%) & : world energy outlook(2009) 105MMT 31), 70%. (Oil and Natural Gas Corporation) (7,264). ONGC 31) 1 (million metric ton) 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 167

193 .. LNG 15 3,, LNG. LNG, LNG. 40 m 3 LNG 9, Petronet Dahej 5,. LNG LNG,,,.,, LNG. 70%

194 . 17, 7.4% , ,, 3. Reliance Petroleum Ltd(RPL) (27 )...,, , Paradip (16 ).. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 169

195 . (Indian Oil Corporation), ,500 (33 ) (7.7 ), 630 ( 14 ). Diesel Hydro De-sulfarisation. Indian Oil Corporation Ltd, Channal Petroleum Ltd, Kochi Refinery. Ernst & Young ,, 5.,., %. 170

196 < 표 -19> 국가별신재생에너지투자매력도 : Ernst & Young, , Ernst & Young [ 그림 -6] 세계풍력시장비중 :, -. (100% ), (branch)(liaison office), (project office) 32). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 171

197 . 100,. (Project Office) (Subsidiary).,. ( 2 ). Entity. (Domestic Bidding), 2-3, 4-6,., CPWD(Central Public Works Department) (Public Works Department),. CPWD(Central Public Works Department), 5,.,

198 (piece meal) (turn-key). 2,.. (local preference).,,. PPP.. Larsen & Toubro Ltd.,. Larsen & Toubro(L&T). L&T EPC. Punj Oil Lloyed,. Indian Oil Company Ltd PMC Engineers India Ltd,, EPC.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 173

199 ., , %,. EPC Technimont( ), Bechtel( ), Skanska( ) Uhde( ).,, (JBIC),,,,, LNG EPC ,,.,.,. 174

200 1991 7,, 40%. FDI, %, 20%., %.. District Authority (New Delhi ). 3,.,. Vendor P.O(Purchase Order),. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 175

201 Bulk.,, ONGC. O&M, APR1400. < 표 -20> 최근 2 년간우리기업의인도공사수주현황 ( : ) ONGC 2008/12/23-930,403 ENG (ONGC) 2012/12/22 SK 2009/04/16-47, /04/ /05/26-33,490 TVS 2010/05/ /04/01 - O&M 20,651 KPS 2014/03/31 : 176

202 .,..,.,. (Local preference),...,,.,.,,.,.,,. (counter guarantee). 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 177

203 ...,..,,.,., 35%, 13% 48%., 100%., 3, 30 30%.. 178

204 ., GDP 5.3% 9.7%. 2.1% 1...., (CEPA).,..,..,,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 179

205 .,., ,,.,.,.,,,..,.. 180

206 .,,,,, ,, ODA. (),,, ODA h, h, h.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 181

207 1 2,200 3,000 h., (,,, )., %. 30%, ,000, (3,500 ) 18,500, 2010~ ~ ~22% TWh, TWh, TWh, TWh % %, %. ( % ) ,000, ,000,., 182

208 ,. 6 (6th Master Plan). 2006~ ,000 98, 2011 ~ ~9% 10 20% (IPP) BOT.,,. (Kon Tum) 82 ( 700 ), 10 ( 125 ), ( 500 ). (Nghe An) 5 2, Xong Con (24.6 ), Suoi Chang (4.3 ), 25 (1.2), (1.2), 2020.,.,.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 183

209 < 표 -21> 2009년주요발전소건설프로젝트 ( : ) Hai Phong I#2 thermal power plant 300 Hai Phong Thermal Power JSC Dong Nai 3#1&2 hydro power plant 180 EVN Qunag Ninh I#1,2 thermal power plant 600 Quang Ninh Thermal Power JSC Hai Phong II#1 thermal power plant 300 Hai Phong Thermal Power JSC Mao Khe#1 thermal power plant 220 VINACOMIN/IPP Small Individual hydro power plants 370 IPPs : EVN( ) (MOI ; Ministry of Industry), (MPI ; Ministry of Planning & Investment), (VAEC ; Vietnam Atomic Energy Commission), (EVN ; Electricity of Vietnam).,,,,,,., (INTS).,,, (IOE), (PC), (PTC), (PECC). 184

210 5.,,,,,,,., 2015.,,., (100 ),.,,,.,,. 1986, (1987 ), (2000 ), (2005 ),. 1975, () Cuu Long Bach Ho BP. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 185

211 Lan Do/ Lan Tay(1993 ), Rang Dong(1994 ), Rong Doi(1995 ). Vietsovpetro, b/d. Cuu Long, Nam Con Son,,. < 표 -22> 석유개발프로젝트 (15-1) Su Tu Trang Cuu Long Cuu Long JOC* (PV, KNOC, SK) ConocoPhilips, (52/97, B) Kim Long Malay ( ) *Tcf=trillion cubic feet, JOC=Joint Operating Company : (2008) 7.2 bbl 4.2Tcf* () Su Tu Den 2003, 2011., Bach Ho. 186

212 [ 그림 -7] 원유생산전망 ( : b/d) : (2008) BP Lan Do/ Lan Tay 2002, () /97, B. PetroVietnam(Vietnam National Oil and Gas Group) JV,, Petronas( ), IPIC(UAE), GS Group() , Ba Ria-Vung. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 187

213 Tau, JV, 100%, 3. 2, Quang Ngai Dung Quat, ZA1,, Thanh Hoa Nghi Son 2. < 표 -23> 분야별설비규모및발전량베트남석유화학프로젝트 Crude oil vessels 100 DWT - Ethylene and poly ethylene plant 450/ Ba Ria-Vung Tau Poly terephthalat acrylic plant 320/ Thanh Hoa Linear alkyl benzene(lab) plant 30/ Dung Quat-Quang Ngai Synthesis fiber(pet) plant 300/ Olefin and plastics (PE, PP,EDC/VCN) plant 600/ Polystyrene plant 100/ Dung Quat-Quang Ngai : PetroVietnam 20, %. 188

214 < 표 -24> 베트남재생에너지의발전량및비중 (: ) (%) : KOTRA, 2009( ), % , 78%,. 64.6%,. 150KW. 15%, ,., KW.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 189

215 70%, 1.2.,, ,.., NGO.,.,. 190

216 CDM 3 (1 : 2008~2010, 2 : 2010~2015, 3 : 2015 ), 2009 ~ ,500 ( ODA 50%, 40%, 10% ). 10 CDM. CDM UNFCCC 3,,, 1.,, 1. KMDK REE(Refrigeration Electrical Engineering Corp) Dong Thanh JBIC() CDM, CDM GHG,. JBIC, JBIC,. KOTRA(2009.4) ODA CDM, 180 UNFCC.,, CDM.. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 191

217 < 표 -25> 베트남 DNA에서승인한 CDM 프로젝트현황 ( 09.2월 ) 1 Hydro power 97 2 Power generate from living organism 28 3 Power generate from CH4 garbage dumping ground 28 4 Burning CH4 from garbage dumping 8 5 Using Biological gas 4 6 Wind Power 4 7 Reducing HFCs emission 2 8 Geothermy 2 : KOTRA, ,..,,,., BOT.,,.,, 192

218 ., Electricity of Vietnam(EVN), ( ) , (),,,,.,. ( )., 3,000 VND(1,900), 15., 3,000 VND(1,900), 30, 45., 30%, 30%., (, ),.,, 50 ( 70 ).,.,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 193

219 ,,, % ( 4, 8 ), 5,, BOT, BTO, BT,, EPZ, IZ ,..,. 41,000km.,,,. 50%. 25, 1997 Than Tuan EPZ, 194

220 Linh Trung EPZ, Bien Hoa IZ.,,, SK BSR(Binh Son Refining & Petrochemical Co. Ltd.) (Operation & Maintenance). BSR (PVN) 25 Dung Quat Oil Refinery( ) 100%. 15 / (CDU) 7 / (FCC) 14, ENG 1 9. ( : ) ENG ENG < 표 -26> 최근 2 년간우리기업의베트남공사수주현황 vietnam petrovietnam : 27, ,250 40, /1/8 2011/06/ /1/ /07/ /04/ /09/30. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 195

221 .,,,,,..,.,.,,. ( ), BOT.,.,.,.,..,,., 196

222 ,.,., Loan Agreement 3.,. JBIC, JBIC.,.,.,...,.,. 동아시아주요국들의에너지산업환경및진출전망 197

223 .,., (CH 4 ),.,, CDM., 3.. 3,,.,,,,.,,,. 198

224 ..,,.,.,,.,. UAE,,,.. 권역별진출확대분야및진출전략 199

225 ,.,,..,,,,,., GCC.,,..,,. 200

226 < -1>, < -2, 3>. < 표 -1> 권역별진출여건및진출확대분야 GW UAE, 2012 ( 12-15) CDM (IWPP) - (UAE) - (, ) (), LNG - (,, ) - ( ) () (,, ) - ( ), (LED, - (, ) ) ( ) (, ). 권역별진출확대분야및진출전략 201

227 < 표 -2> 중동권주요국들의진출여건에관한 SWOT 분석 UAE LNG 52, LNG (GDP 40%) ( 12% ) 2 3 (12% ) ($600 ) () $800 G C C LNG 202

228 < 표 -3> 동아시아권주요국들의진출여건에관한 SWOT 분석 2 :,, (CEPA) 4, ( ) SOC 8 IPP IPP BOT ( ) EPC. 권역별진출확대분야및진출전략 203

229 . [ 그림 -1] 동아시아권주요국가들의진출확대진출분야 [ 그림 -2] 중동권주요국가들의진출확대진출분야 204