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- 69(2010) 88(2040) - 2.56 2.10, 65 7.6% 14.2% 18% 15%, 65 16% 25% - -,, 56.7(2010) 75.2(2040) - 2010~2040 15~64 65% -, 65 8.2%(2010) 21.8%(2040), : UN Population Division (2040 ) : UN Population Division ( ) 65 8% 15-64 66% 0-14 27% 65 14% 15-64 65% 0-14 21% 2010 69 2040 88 08

() -, - -, - 2040 350 8% - : World Development Indicators - : : 1980 2005 09

IT BT NT -, R&D, -, - 1998-2006 OECD 3.9%p : KAIST, SCI D/B; OECD, Main Science and Technology Indicators, 2009 : OECD, Education at a Glance, 2008 10

- CO2 -, - 2030 1.4 - -, (Green Protectionism) - () : IPCC, 2007 : IEA, 2008 11

() : Stern Report, 2007 12

, - 30 GDP 3.1% 2.5, GDP 22% 26% - BRICs,,,, EU,, -,, - 10 GINI 47 30 GDP : Global Insight : OECD, Society at a Glance, 2009 13

- -, - -, - -, Soft Power -, -,, GDP : Global Insight 14

, -, : OECD, Society at a Glance, 2009 - OECD : OECD, Employment Outlook, 2006 Level of Life Satisfaction 15

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -, - - - - - - -, - -, - -, - 16

16 647 (2010.4.5-4.12) 17

30 2/3 30 63.4% 7.0% 56.4% 31.4% 5.1% 30 30 ¼ 16.7%, 30 >> 30 45.1% 45.1% 17.2% 6.2% 9.4% 5.4% 18

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2040 2040 3 7 24

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(flexible, innovative market economy) -, ; ; -,, -, - 57 53 57 56 : UN, World Investment Report, 2009 : IMD, World Competitiveness Yearbook, 2009 26

(growth-enhancing science & technology) -, -, - -,,, R&D :,, 2008 : OECD, Main Science and Technology Indicators, 2008 27

(creative, global human resources), -,, -, -, local global, -, - 1, 24 200 : KRIVET,, 2009 : The Times, Higher Education-QS World University Rankings, 2009 4/200 69 54 29 11 11 11 11 4 : / 28

(sustainable, active welfare) -, - - - - OECD 1 :,, : OECD, Pension at a Glance, 2009 78 - - 23 () 76 - - 20 74 - - 17 72-70 - - 14 68 - () - 11 66 - - 8 64 - - 5 : 50~150% : 1/2 29

(tolerant, empathic open society) - -, -,, - -, -, - OECD 21 (23 ) : OECD, Factbook, 2009 : World Economic Forum, Women Leaders Programme, 2007 1 GDP (0-1 scale) ; 0=, 1= 30

(integrated, balanced national governance) - - - - - - :,, 2009 : Transparency International, Curruption Perception Index, 2009 IMD, WEF, EIU 10, 10 31

(international leadership for world peace & prosperity) -, - ODA, - UN,, - -, : IEA, 2009 - (2008, US$) : OECD DAC 25 CO2per Capita (t/capita) 20 10 5 0 0 1 2 3 4 CO2per Unit of GDP (kg/2000 USD) 32

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, - 2010 4.1%, 2020 2.8%, 2030 1.7% - 2010 1.9%p 2030 0.9%p -, 2030, >> 2040 3 2.8 >> GDP 6 GDP GDP : 2005 US$ GDP GDP (10 US$) GDP (US$) 2001-2009 4.2 2.0 1.5 0.7 2011-2020 4.1 1.9 0.9 1.3 2021-2030 2.8 1.4 0.2 1.2 2031-2040 1.7 0.9-0.3 1.2 2009 957 19,804 2020 1,650 33,000 2040 2,790 60,000 34

2009 12 2040 10 GDP 2009 41 2040 23 (GDP) 1GDP(=100) 2009 2020 2040 1 USA 2 3 4 5 6 7 (12) (10) (10) 35

(), - 2 3.6% :, 1.2% - 10 OECD 20 2.8% : 0.7%, 0.9%, 1.2% - 30 2.9% : OECD 1.2%,, OECD OECD, GDP 3.5% - - OECD, 1995-2005 : OECD, OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard, 2007 1948-2002 OECD20 1995-2005 GDP 3.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 2.8 0.7 0.9 1.2 2011-2040 2.9 1.4 0.3 1.2 Ireland Greece Finland Spain Australia Canada United States New Zealand United Kingdom Netherlands Portugal Sweden Austria France Belgium Denmark Switzerland Germany Italy Japan 36

() () - - - (106%), (76%), (68%), (63%), (54%), (51%), (49%) -,,, (2005-07 ) : OECD, Source OECD DB, (2005, =100) : OECD, Productivity DB 37

1980 - (1977), (1988), (2000) - : - 1997 38

(SOCX) GDP 8.9%( 13) 17.7%( 40) - * SOCX: OECD.,,, (1) 13 : 35.9%( 13) 110%( 40) (2) 13 : 27.4%( 13) 33.3%( 40) 39

2040 >> - : GDP 6, G-10 - :, - :, 2040 2010 1980 41