에너지경제연구 Korean Energy Economic Review Volume 17, Number 2, September 2018 : pp. 147~181 정책 국내도시가구전력소비효율의결정요인분석

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1 에너지경제연구 Korean Energy Economic Review Volume 17, Number 2, September 2018 : pp. 147~181 정책 국내도시가구전력소비효율의결정요인분석

3 < 표 1> 부문별전력소비량과비중

8 < 표 2> KESIS 의가정전력소비효율통계

12 < 표 3> 가정전력소비효율모형의종속 독립변수

14 < 표 4> 소득별가구의전력효율및관련변수현황 (2014 년 )

15 < 표 5> 고령 비고령가구의전력효율및관련변수현황 (2014 년 )

16 < 표 6> 1 인 2 인이상가구의전력효율및관련변수현황 (2014 년 ) < 표 7> 연령별가구의전력효율및관련변수현황 (2014 년 )

17 < 표 8> 아파트 비아파트가구의전력효율및관련변수현황 (2014 년 )

18 < 표 9> 가정전력소비효율에대한결정요인의효과예상

20 < 표 10> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치 : 전체소득 < 표 11> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치 : 소득 1 분위

21 < 표 12> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치 : 소득 2 분위 < 표 13> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치 : 소득 3 분위

23 < 표 14> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치 : 소득 4 분위

25 < 표 15> 소득별가구의전력효율추정결과정리

26 [ 그림 1] 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치연도별변화

29 접수일 (2018 년 2 월 21 일 ), 수정일 (2018 년 4 월 2 일 ), 게재확정일 (2018 년 5 월 21 일 )

30 , 2014,,, 23(3) pp , 2018, : , 2018 ( )., 2016, :, 16-06,., 2016, :, 16-12,., 2014,, 14-16,., 2018,,., 2014,,, 32(3), pp.175~212., 2015,,, 14(3), pp.2781., 2012, () DB : Part 1. DB,., 2012, :,, 21(2), pp (2009),, 15-09,., 2015,,, 24(2), pp

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32 Filippini, M., 1999, Swiss Residential Demand for Electricity, Applied Economics Letters, 6(8), pp and Hunt, L.C., 2010, Energy Demand and Energy Efficiency in the OECD Countries: A Stochastic Demand Frontier Approach, The Energy Journal, 32(2), pp , 2011, US Residential Energy Demand and Energy Efficiency: A Stochastic Demand Frontier Approach, Energy Economics, 34(5), pp Frederiks, E.R., Stenner, J. and Hobman, E.V., 2015, The Socio-demographic and Psychological Predictors of Residential Energy Consumption: A Comprehensive Review, Energies, 8, pp Gillingham, K., Harding, M. and Rapson, D., 2012, Split Incentives in Residential Energy Consumption, Energy Journal, 33(2), pp Hass, R., 1997, Energy Efficiency Indicators in the Residential Sector: What Do We Know and What Has to be Ensured? Energy Policy, 25(7-9), pp and Shipper, L., 1998, Residential Energy Demand in OECD Countries and the Role of Irreversible Efficiency Improvements, Energy Economics, 20(4), pp Hensen, S.E., 1984, Electricity Demand Estimates under Increasing Block Rates, Southern Economic Journal, 51(1), pp Herriges J.A. and King, K.K., 1994, Residential Demand for Electricity Under Inverted Block Rates: Evidence from a Controlled Experiment, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 12(4), pp Hewitt J.A. and Hanemann, W.M., 1995, A Discrete/Continuous Choice Approach to Residential Water Demand Under Block Rate Pricing, Land Economics, 71(2), pp Nieswiadomy M.L. and Molina, D.J., 1989, Comparing Residential Water Demand Estimates under Decreasing and Increasing Block Rates Using Household Data, Land Economics, 65(3), pp

33 Ito, K., 2014, Do Consumers Respond to Marginal or Average Price? Evidence from Nonlinear Electricity Pricing, American Economic Review, 104(2), pp Kim, J. and Nam, S., 2017, Relationship Between Preferences and Energy Efficiency: Focusing on Time, Risk, and Social preferences, Working Paper. Olmstead, S.M., 2009, Reduced-Form Versus Structural Models of Water Demand Under Nonlinear Prices, Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 27(1), pp , Hanemann, W.M. and Stavins, R.N.(2007), Water Demand under Alternative Price Structures, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 54(2), pp Reiss, P.C. and White, M.W., 2005, Household Electricity Demand, Revisited, Review of Economic Studies, 72(3), pp Shin, J.S., 1985, Perception of Price when Information is Costly: Evidence from Residential Electricity Demand, Review of Economics and Statistics, 67(4), pp

34 < 부표 1> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치에대한 p 값 : 전체표본 < 부표 2> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치에대한 p 값 : 소득 1 분위 < 부표 3> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치에대한 p 값 : 소득 2 분위 < 부표 4> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치에대한 p 값 : 소득 3 분위 < 부표 5> 국내도시가구의전력소비효율회귀분석추정치에대한 p 값 : 소득 4 분위

35 ABSTRACT This study analyzed the determinants of residential electricity efficiency in Korea where the importance of electricity demand management in households is increasing. According to empirical analysis result, the increase in income or the decline in the electricity price leads to the inefficiency of residential electricity consumption. Also, as the number of elderly households increases or the number of households residing in apartments increases, the household electricity efficiency improves. On the other hand, the increase in one-person households was found to have a negative effect on the electricity efficiency improvement. It is confirmed that the increase of cooling demand has a little effect on residential electricity efficiency, but the increase in heating demand results in deterioration of residential electricity efficiency. Therefore, improving the efficiency of both heating equipment and residential buildings heating means helping to improve the electricity efficiency of total households. Also, it implies that the policy to improve electricity efficiency should be further strengthened for non-apartment housing. Key Words : electricity efficiency, Heating demand, Aging, One-person household

에너지경제연구 Korean Energy Economic Review Volume 17, Number 2, September 2018 : pp. 1~29 정책 용도별특성을고려한도시가스수요함수의 추정 :, ARDL,,, C4, Q4-1 -

에너지경제연구 Korean Energy Economic Review Volume 17, Number 2, September 2018 : pp. 1~29 정책 용도별특성을고려한도시가스수요함수의 추정 :, ARDL,,, C4, Q4-1 - . - 2 - . 1. - 3 - [ 그림 1] 도시가스수요와실질 GDP 추이 - 4 - - 5 - - 6 - < 표 1>