住居環境 韓國住居環境學會誌 第 11 卷 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) pp. 159~172 투고 ( 접수 ) 일 : 2013.02.28. 게재확정일자 : 2013.04.04. The change of housing choice by characteristics of the Baby Boomers Lee, Yong-Seok Park, Hwan-Yong Abstract Baby boomer is one of hot issues in the housing market, which may create a new housing submarket, or may induce current housing market into a chaos because of selling out their property for their sustainable incomes. In general, the first generation of baby boomers is meant to be the generation born from 1955 to 1963 during a period of nine years after the Korean War. Because of their volume and purchasing power, current housing market is paying attention to the generation whether or not it creates a significant impact on the real estate market, This paper focuses on this matter to see if what kind of housing preferences the first generation baby boomers have in choosing housing types and retirement residences In order to find out housing choice preferences of the baby boomers, we interviewed baby boomers of more than one thousand households in the Seoul housing market and questioned what they prefer in choosing housing types, residential locations, reasons of residential mobility plan based on the their socio-economic household characteristics. In essential, the purpose of this study is to investigate the factors that affect housing choice based on their socio-economic characteristics, current housing characteristics, residential mobility plan, family values. The research results come to the conclusion that the housing choice of baby boomers are different depending on their characteristics. The choice is strongly affected by savings for retirement, current housing tenure, current housing type, current housing size, mobility plan, preferred location, preferences of residential location, and distance from their children, which show statistically significant results in empirical studies. The preferences by housing type revealed from the study will suggest directly and indirectly what kind of settlement the baby boomers will choose in their action in the near future. 키워드 : 베이비부머, 주택유형선택, 로짓모형, 주택선호, 고령화사회 Key words : BabyBoomer, Housing type choice, Logistic regression, Housing preference, aging society (, hwanpark@gachon.ac.kr) 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 159
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구 1. 연구배경및목적 Ⅰ. 1955 1963 9.. (1950~1953 ). 1955 2013 58 57.3 1). 300 10.... 2010 74.8%..,,,. 1), 2011., 300 1 829 100 8 423.,.,.,.,. 2. 1 2 3. 1 1955 ~1963 9, 50. 2 1968 ~1974 6 40. 3 1979 ~1985, 30, 1. 1 1955 ~1963 生.,,., 1 (14.6%), 2 (12.4%), 3 (10.6%),., 1. 160 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境
이용석 박환용 Ⅱ. 1.. 2 6 29% 2), 1946 1965.. 20 2.. 3). ( だんかい ).. (1950~1953 ), 1955 1963 9. 4) 2010 694, 14.5%. 2.,....,..., < 1> 1 2 3 () 1955 ~1963 生 1968 ~1974 生 1979 ~1985 生 49 ~57 38 ~44 27 ~33 9 6 7 1 694 (14.5%) 596 (12.4%) 510 (10.6%) : 2010 2), http://100.naver.com/100.nhn?docid=920866 3), http://100.naver.com/100.nhn?docid=920866 4), 2010 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 161
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구.,,.. 5).. 3.. (2011) 6),.. (2011) 7),. 2009.,,,. (2010) 8) 30 46 55,.,.,. (2010a) 9).,,. (amenity),,, 5) (2012)..,, 10 1, pp31-45. 6) (2011), (2011)..,, 9 2, pp234-251 7) (2011)... 7. pp357~383. 8) (2010).. 21. pp.83-92. 9) (2010a)... 64. pp21~37. 162 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境
이용석 박환용,. (2010b) 10) 2.,. 4.,,,.,.,,. Ⅲ. 1. 1 10) (2010b).., 45 5, pp93-104. 1955 ~1963. 2012 7 2 7 11 10 8 1 8 28 28., 4,.. 1,200,,, 4, 1,006., 936. 2. 1.,,,,,,.,.,,., 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 163
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구,,. < 1>. [ 1].,,,,. SPSS 18.0. 3., 30.3%, 19.9%, 18.2%, 17.7%, 13.9%.,. 43.6%, 30.6%, 19.4%, 6.4%,, 20%,., 86.1%,, 4.5%.,. 20km 38.2%, 10km 26.1%, 20km 21.2%, 1km 14.5%, < 2> % 186 19.9 166 17.7 170 18.2 130 13.9 284 30.3 408 43.6 286 30.6 60 6.4 182 19.4 936 100.0 164 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境
이용석 박환용.,,,, 4.01,, 3.80, 3.49, 3.14,., 4.09, 4.09,,, 4.04, 3.96. 3.95,,, 3.93,,, 3.78,,, 3.64. 3.79, 3.41, 3.33. 3.36, 3.10, 3.02,,.,, 38.7%, 26.9%, 20.7%, 6.6%.,. 37.2%. 33.8%, 12.4%,,. < 3> % 194 20.7 22 2.4 252 26.9 62 6.6 36 3.8 362 38.7 8.9 12 1.3 116 12.4 316 33.8 348 37.2 110 11.8 34 3.6 936 100.0 Ⅳ. 1. 1)., 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 165
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구,.,..,,,,. 3 3, 4, 4. < 4> Cronbach.787 3.825 3.956 4.891 4 < 4>,.787,.825,.956,.891,.6,. 2)..,,..,,,,,, 5.,,,,, 3., 14m2 ~85m2, 85m2 ~102m2, 102m2 ~297m2, 3., 4.,, 2. 1km 1km, 4. 2.. 166 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境
이용석 박환용, 4 65.1%, 44.4%..,,, 19.6% 44.4%. 3 42.9%, 4 58.7%., 3% 26.2%, 15% 44.4%..,, < 5> -1 56(22.2) 78(40.2) 26(31.0) 16(44.4) 110(29.7) 286(30.6) χ =30.944 4 164(65.1) 106(54.6) 42(50.0) 18(50.0) 212(57.3) 542(57.9) 32(12.7) 10(5.2) 16(19.0) 2(5.6) 48(13.0) 108(11.5) p=.000,, 76(30.2) 42(21.6) 20(23.8) 4(11.1) 108(29.2) 250(26.7), 16(6.3) 12(6.2) 8(9.5) 2(5.6) 34(9.2) 72(7.7) χ =45.499, 24(9.5) 38(19.6) 4(4.8) 2(5.6) 30(8.1) 98(10.5) 40(15.9) 34(17.5) 16(19.0) 10(27.8) 70(18.9) 170(18.2) 84(33.3) 54(27.8) 30(35.7) 16(44.4) 94(25.4) 278(29.7) p=.001 12(4.8) 14(7.2) 6(7.1) 2(5.6) 34(9.2) 68(7.3) 2 14(5.6) 8(4.1) 6(7.1) 2(5.6) 36(9.7) 66(7.1) 3 62(24.6) 54(27.8) 36(42.9) 4(11.1) 82(22.2) 238(25.4) 4 148(58.7) 108(55.7) 38(45.2) 20(55.6) 214(57.8) 528(56.4) 5 28(11.1) 24(12.4) 4(4.8) 10(27.8) 38(10.3) 104(11.1) 300 37(14.7) 32(16.5) 20(23.8) 8(22.2) 44(11.9) 141(15.1) 300-700 157(62.3) 124(63.9) 46(54.8) 18(50.0) 244(65.9) 589(62.9) 700 58(23.0) 38(19.6) 18(21.4) 10(27.8) 82(22.2) 206(22.0) 3% 66(26.2) 46(23.7) 18(21.4) 6(16.7) 96(25.9) 232(24.8) 3%~5% 50(19.8) 20(10.3) 16(19.0) 0(.0) 56(15.1) 142(15.2) 5%~10% 42(16.7) 52(26.8) 16(19.0) 10(27.8) 68(18.4) 188(20.1) 10%~15% 56(22.2) 30(15.5) 14(16.7) 4(11.1) 50(13.5) 154(16.5) 15% 38(15.1) 46(23.7) 20(23.8) 16(44.4) 100(27.0) 220(23.5) 184(73.0) 138(71.1) 58(69.0) 24(66.7) 248(67.0) 652(69.7) 50(19.8) 44(22.7) 18(21.4) 8(22.2) 84(22.7) 204(21.8), 18(7.1) 12(6.2) 8(9.5) 4(11.1) 38(10.3) 80(8.5) 252(100.0) 194(100.0) 84(100.0) 36(100.0) 370(100.0) 936(100.0) χ =36.852 p=.000 χ =11.871 p=.157 χ =46.309 p=.000 χ =5.049 p=.752 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 167
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구 < 6> -2 14m2 ~85m2 52(20.6) 70(36.1) 34(40.5) 10(27.8) 144(38.9) 310(33.1) χ =28.792 85m2 ~102m2 112(44.4) 70(36.1) 30(35.7) 12(33.3) 118(31.9) 342(36.5) 102m2 ~297m2 88(34.9) 54(27.8) 20(23.8) 14(38.9) 108(29.2) 284(30.3) p=.000 210(83.3) 82(42.3) 44(52.4) 26(72.2) 216(58.4) 578(61.8) χ =139.630 22(8.7) 62(32.0) 6(7.1) 0(.0) 46(12.4) 136(14.5) 8(3.2) 18(9.3) 18(21.4) 2(5.6) 36(9.7) 82(8.8) 12(4.8) 32(16.5) 16(19.0) 8(22.2) 72(19.5) 140(15.0) p=.000 88(34.9) 54(27.8) 14(16.7) 4(11.1) 26(7.0) 186(19.9) 38(15.1) 40(20.6) 24(28.6) 6(16.7) 58(15.7) 166(17.7) 32(12.7) 40(20.6) 8(9.5) 12(33.3) 78(21.1) 170(18.2) 56(22.2) 16(8.2) 14(16.7) 10(27.8) 34(9.2) 130(13.9) 38(15.1) 44(22.7) 24(28.6) 4(11.1) 174(47.0) 284(30.3) 192(76.2) 94(48.5) 40(47.6) 20(55.6) 62(16.8) 408(43.6) 38(15.1) 58(29.9) 30(35.7) 12(33.3) 148(40.0) 286(30.6) 12(4.8) 8(4.1) 4(4.8) 2(5.6) 34(9.2) 60(6.4) 10(4.0) 34(17.5) 10(11.9) 2(5.6) 126(34.1) 182(19.4) χ =180.290 p=.000 χ =242.066 p=.000 8(3.2) 24(12.4) 14(16.7) 2(5.6) 34(9.2) 82(8.8) χ =20.118 244(96.8) 170(87.6) 70(83.3) 34(94.4) 336(90.8) 854(91.2) p=.000 1km 40(15.9) 40(20.6) 22(26.2) 10(27.8) 24(6.5) 136(14.5) 10km 78(31.0) 56(28.9) 26(31.0) 14(38.9) 70(18.9) 244(26.1) χ =100.096 20km 104(41.3) 64(33.0) 30(35.7) 8(22.2) 152(41.1) 358(38.2) p=..000 20km 30(11.9) 34(17.5) 6(7.1) 4(11.1) 124(33.5) 198(21.2) 252(100.0) 194(100.0) 84(100.0) 36(100.0) 370(100.0) 936(100.0). 14m2 ~85m2 38.9%, 85m2 ~102m2 44.4%. 83.3%, 19.5%. 34.9%, 33.3%. 76.2%, 40.0%. 96.8%, 9.2%. 168 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境
이용석 박환용 20km 41.3%. 10km 38.9%. 3., -2LL 1756.395, 825.534. Nagelkerke 0.589 58.9%, 62.0%.,, 5.198, 2.418,,,.,, 0.045.,., 3%, 3~5%, 10~15%, 15% 0.433, 0.242, 0.355. 3%, 5~10%, 10~15%, 3%, 3~5%, 5~10%, 10~15%.,,, 6.985, 0.085, 4.864. 85~102m2,, 102~297m2, 0.290, 0.492. 14-85m2 2.682. 0.146, 0.163, 0.118, 0.161, 0.153, 0.258. 0.343, 0.135, 0.104,,.,,.,,, 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 169
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구 12.920. 13.,,,.,,,. 3.529, 5.361, 9.469. 1km 2.925, 9.555, 12.758, 10km 4.633. 20km 2,712, 0.493. < 7> ( ) 2.421 0.033 4.763 0.000 1.748 0.400 5.920 0.000 1.648 0.001 5.198-0.504 0.360 0.604 1.192 0.275 3.293 0.307 0.490 1.360 0.883 0.049 2.418-0.455 0.318 0.635 0.211 0.829 1.235 0.159 0.667 1.173 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - -3.096-0.329 0.570 0.720-0.522 0.480 0.594 0.016 0.045-0.417 0.456 0.659-0.402 0.570 0.669-0.408 0.625 0.665-2.165 0.127 0.115 0.084 0.900 1.087 0.478 0.438 1.613-1.111 0.206 0.329-2.343 0.093 0.096-0.852 0.175 0.427-0.808 0.180 0.446-0.670 0.370 0.512-0.413 0.694 0.662-0.876 0.131 0.416-0.537 0.337 0.584-0.289 0.679 0.749-0.878 0.413 0.416-0.655 0.229 0.520 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - 0.228 0.221 1.256-0.339 0.146 0.712 1.068 0.006 2.909 0.216 0.226 1.241 300-0.617 0.217 0.540 0.215 0.714 1.240 0.345 0.739 1.412-0.556 0.256 0.574 300~700 0.084 0.795 1.087-0.020 0.961 0.980-0.507 0.438 0.602 0.458 0.137 1.581 700 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - -0.837-2.543-1.433 0.043 0.433-0.916 0.087 0.400 0.002 0.079 3% 0.000 0.239-1.418-1.661 0.001 0.242-0.834 0.104 0.434-24.037. 0.000 3~5% 0.000 0.190 5~10% -0.159 0.680 0.853-0.487 0.321 0.614-1.987-0.857 0.006 0.137 0.026 0.424 10~15% -1.036-2.452-1.608 0.011 0.355-0.855 0.095 0.425 0.001 0.086 0.000 0.200 15% (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - 170 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境
이용석 박환용 < 7> ( )- 1.102 0.062 3.010 1.944-2.468 1.582 0.007 6.985 0.026 0.085 0.004 4.864 0.517 0.350 1.677 0.619 0.365 1.857-2.452 0.015 0.086 0.824 0.112 2.280 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - 14m2 ~85m2 0.145 0.732 1.157 0.986 0.068 2.682-0.757 0.396 0.469 0.528 0.194 1.696 85m2 ~102m2-0.544 0.072 0.580-0.188 0.640 0.828-1.237-0.708 0.042 0.290 0.015 0.492 102m2 ~297m2 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - -1.926-1.812-2.136-1.827 0.000 0.146 0.000 0.163 0.010 0.118 0.000 0.161 0.072 0.884 1.074-1.877-1.355 0.006 0.153-22.793. 0.000 0.008 0.258 0.509 0.416 1.663 1.184 0.078 3.268-1.462 0.272 0.232 0.416 0.501 1.517 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - -0.658 0.084 0.518-1.070-2.004-2.268 0.033 0.343 0.040 0.135 0.000 0.104 0.066 0.867 1.068 0.075 0.871 1.078-1.195 0.203 0.303-0.469 0.204 0.625-0.006 0.988 0.994-0.951 0.085 0.386 0.810 0.308 2.248-0.373 0.311 0.689-1.764-1.930 0.000 0.171-0.710 0.148 0.492-0.116 0.891 0.891 0.000 0.145 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - -2.362-2.751-3.757 0.000 0.094 0.000 0.064 0.012 0.993 1.012 0.000 0.023-0.441 0.368 0.643-0.431 0.458 0.650 2.569 0.054 13.054-1.039 0.018 0.354-1.659-1.723 0.016 0.190 0.040 0.179 2.559 0.096 12.920-1.014 0.071 0.363 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - 0.272 0.102 1.313-0.426 0.034 0.653-0.035 0.922 0.966-0.169 0.263 0.844-0.035 0.847 0.966 0.002 0.994 1.002-0.993 0.008 0.371 0.257 0.132 1.294 0.574-0.888 0.409 0.009 1.775 0.266 0.307 1.305 0.031 0.412 0.043 1.505-1.089-0.966-0.979 0.000 0.337 0.001 0.381 0.570 0.282 1.768 0.000 0.376 1.261 1.679 2.248 0.024 3.529 0.006 5.361-0.347 0.736 0.707 0.000 9.469 (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - 1km 1.073 2.257 2.546 0.026 2.925 0.001 9.555 0.021 12.758-0.601 0.223 0.548 10km 0.238 0.556 1.268 1.533 0.013 4.633 0.804 0.416 2.235-0.450 0.239 0.637 20km -0.177 0.643 0.838 0.998 0.089 2.712-0.390 0.698 0.677-0.708 0.041 0.493 20km (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - (A) - - : (a), p<.1,p<.05,p<.01-2ll(0) = 1756.395, -2LL(k) = 825.534, p=.000 Cox & Snell = 0.589, Nagelkerke = 0.628 第 11 卷第 1 號 ( 通卷第 20 號 ) 171
베이비부머의특성에따른주택유형선택변화연구 Ⅴ. 1 (1955 ~1963),,,,,.,,,,,.,,,.,,,,.,,,,..,,.. 1. (2012)..,, 10 1, pp31-45. 2. (2004).., 39 1, pp.191-204. 3. (2010). :.. 21 5. pp.83-92. 4. (2008).., 43 2, pp.87-98. 5. (2011)... 7. pp357~383. 6. (2010)... 64. pp21~37. 7. (2010).. 45 5. pp93-104. 8. (2010).., 44 3, pp.79-93. 9. (2011). :.. 33. pp7-44. 10. (2011)..,, 9 2, pp234-251 11. (2003).., 38 7, pp.69-80. 172 韓國住居環境學會誌 住居環境