2004 6
LG
< >,,, i
, 25~292008, 5 25~29 2009 10 1990,, 20 10,, ii
< > < > 1 1 1 2 2 5 1 6 2 8 3 9 4 11 13 1 13 2 14 3 16 4 19 19 1 19 2 20 3 23 4 25 5 27 < > 29
< > <II-1> <III-1> <III-2> <III-3> 7 17 17 25~29 18 < I-1> 1 < I-2> 3 < II-1> 6 < II-2> 8 < II-3> 9 < II-4> 10 < II-5> 10 < II-6> 11 < II-7> 2002 12 < III-1> 13 < III-2> 14 < III-3> 15 < III-4> 17 < III-5> 18 < IV-1> 28
I 1 2003 38, 2, 50% (<1> ) < > ( ) (%) 1,600 15 30 1529 1,200 12 800 400 1529 9 6 3 0 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 : 2004 1/4 :, 0,,, (decent job) 1
2, 5 25~29,,, 2 2~3 (< 2> ),
<2> (%) 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 15~29 30~59 0 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 OECD 15~24 25~54 0 1962 1970 1978 1986 1994 2002 25 20 20 EU 15~24 16 15~24 15 12 10 25~54 8 25~54 5 4 0 1963 1976 1989 2002 0 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 12 10 8 15~24 6 4 2 25~54 0 1962 1972 1982 1992 2002 : OECD, Labor Force Statistics 3
(job mismatch), 3D, 3,, (< 2> ), 1970 80, (seniority),,, 2003 4
II 2~3 (15~29 )6~9%90 2%, 1980 (< 2> ) 2003 38 10, 10%, 10% 20% 2,,, 5
1 90,, (<1> ) 2 (< 1> ), (%) 100 <1> 80 60 40 20 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 :, 6 < 2> 20~60
< 1> ( : %) 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 310 284 262 286 301 275 211 217 228 201 204 196 276 293 322 296 281 278 99 110 104 102 109 157 60 55 47 76 75 64 06 08 07 10 08 10 38 34 30 30 21 21 14 03 02 03 05 00 53 45 60 86 97 83 382 385 368 331 311 308 154 127 132 190 181 196 298 375 388 292 316 316 64 48 35 83 79 90 35 17 14 15 11 08 : 1) =, + 2) = +, 3) = + :, 16 36 7
<2> (2002) 1,533 ( ) ( ) 1,102 1,312 918 2178 2377 2018 2009 :, 2 10 1030% 2002 85%, 20 50% (< 3> ) 10 10 36% 77% 20 2% 22% 30~40 10 10% 8
<3> (%) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 : = + :, 1519 5564 2029 3054 3 (<4> ), 9
30 40% 2002 80%,, 15 <4> ( ) ( ) 20 150 () 120 10 5 () 90 60 30 0 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 0 : 300, 500 :,, (%) 35 30 <5> 25 20 15 10 05 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 : 1) 300, 500 2) = / 100 :, 10
300 266% 95%(133 ),, 500 2003 034% (< 5> ) 2003 (300 ) (500 ) 62% (< 6> ) <6> ( ) (%) 215 80 210 () () 75 205 200 195 190 70 65 () 185 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 60 : 300, 500 :,, 4 1997 100 2002, 5 30~40 58~65% 130 11
20 5% 2002 120 (<7> ) 20 10%, <7> 2002 (1997=100) (52) 1287 (54) 1298 (58) 1328 (63) 1356 (63) 136 (65) 1372 2024 2529 3034 3539 4044 4549 : 1) 1997 100 2002 2) 5 (%) :,, 12
III 1,, (= 1 GDP), < 1>,, -2-4 -6-8 <1> (%) 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 : = 1 GDP :,,, 13
, 10 45~50%, 3~4%, 10 ( )1990 3% 4% 2 2 1970, 60 (< I 2> <2> ) (%) 30 <2> 25 20 15 10 EU 5 1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 : 2029, 1524 :,, OECD Labor Force Statistics 14
80 1980 (<3> ) 1990 ( ) 500 450 400 <3> 2024 2529 350 1519 300 250 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 :,, 2001 (15~29) 5 1 60~70 2, 15
25~29 (< 3> ), 1998 2008 20~24 2010, 5 3,, 10,, (< 1> ), 10 10 80, 90 (< 4> < 2> ) 25~29 80 90 90, 90 16
< 1> ( : %) 1993 719 281 1998 688 312 2003 656 344 2008 645 355 2014 615 385 :,,,,,,, :, ; 2008 20014 LG ( 10 ) <4> (%) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1980 1983 1986 1989 1992 1995 1998 2001 : :, 1) < 2> ( : %) 5) / / 4 / 2) 3) 4) 1995 514 735 818 898 442 2000 680 836 734 791 510 2003 797 1010 765 808 489 : 1), 2) 4 3) 2, 4) 4 5), :, 17
< 3> 25~29 ( : %) 4 1991 716 284 85 199 1996 644 356 126 230 2002 517 483 211 272 2008 398 602 288 314 2014 300 700 295 405 : 2008 <3-2>, 2014 45%, / 80%, 4 / 90% : 2002 OECD, Labor Force Statistics; 2008 LG, <5> (%) 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 : 1) 1998 10, 99 5 2) <3-1> :, 18
19, (< 5> ) 4 5 25~29, 25~29 5 10 10, IV 1
20 /, (, 2003, 2004 ) 2 IT IT IT IT,
,,,,,, 21
(New Deal for Young People) (Welfare to Work) 2 2000 5%, 27% 1998 4 18~24, (Gateway), (Options), (Follow-Through Support) 6 (Jobseeker's Allowance) (Employment Service) (Job Center),, 40%, (Subsidized Job), (Voluntary Sector), (Environment Task Force), (Full-Time Education & Training), 2003 48 90 15% 2003 107%, : wwwnewdealgovuk wwwdelnigovuk/sitecfm?websiteid=1&deptid=5&siteid=25 22
23,,, 3,,,,
, (Real Enterprises Programme) : ILO (2001), Meeting the Youth Employment Challenge wwwrealenterprisesorg 24
25 4 1990,,,,,,
,,,,,,,,,, 26
5 (= / ),, 20 30, 10 6 90% (, ),, (< 1> ) 27
(Martin, 2000; O Higgins, 2001),, (%) 20 <1> 16 12 8 4 0 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 : 2029 :, 28
29