가계통신비의사회경제적가치분석과주요통계관리 29. 11
1..,, IT.. 27 OECD. 29 OECD....,..
2...,,,.. 1 ( ), 2, (, ), 3 (,,, ), 4 (,, ), 5 ( ).,... 29 11
3 1 11 1 23 1 23 2 24 2, 25 1 25 1. 25 2. 32 2 32 1. 32 2. 36 3. (2 ) 4 4. 41 3 43 3 46 1 46 2 47 1. 47 2. 49 3. 52
4 4. 6 5. 67 3 68 1. 68 2. 7 3. 87 4 89 1 89 1. 89 2. 93 3. 95 4. 1 5. 13 6. 135 2 161 1. 161 2. 166 3. 17 5 173 175 1 (Conjoint Analysis) 178 2 229 3 231
5 2 1 26 2 2 UN OECD 28 2 3 COICOP (Communications) 29 2 4 3 2 5 31 2 6 31 2 7 33 2 8 33 2 9 34 2 1 35 2 11 36 2 12 2 37 2 13 2 39 2 14 4 2 15 (25=1) 42 2 16 43 3 1 68 3 2 7 3 3 74 3 4 75 4 1 ( ) 89
6 4 2 9 4 3 9 4 4 91 4 5 92 4 6 94 4 7 95 4 8 95 4 9 (29 3 ) 96 4 1 KT QOOK&SHOW 12 4 11 SK T Zone 13 4 12 15 4 13 EU 15 4 14 1 16 4 15 112 4 16 116 4 17 118 4 18 118 4 19 119 4 2 EU 12 4 21 121 4 22 3 ( ) 125 4 23 3 ( ) 126
7 4 24 3 ( ) 127 4 25 3 ( ) 129 4 26 3 ( ) 13 4 27 3 ( ) 131 4 28 SMS ( ) 133 4 29 SMS ( ) 134 4 3 SK.5KB 136 4 31 SK 3G 137 4 32 KT.5KB 138 4 33 KT 3G 139 4 34 LG.5KB 14 4 35 LG 141 4 36 Verizon Wireless 142 4 37 Verizon Wireless Nationwide Plan 142 4 38 AT&T 143 4 39 T-Mobile USA Web2go 144 4 4 O2 Bolt-on 144 4 41 Vodafone 145 4 42 Vodafone 145 4 43 T-Mobile 146
8 4 44 NTT DoCoMo 147 4 45 KDDI au 148 4 46 SoftBank 149 4 47 151 4 48 151 4 49 SK 152 4 5 SK 153 4 51 KT 154 4 52 KT 155 4 53 LG 156 4 54 LG 157 4 55 157 4 56 3 158 4 57 159 4 58, 16 4 59, 161 4 6 OECD 163 4 61 163 4 62 164 4 63 165 4 64 166 4 65 OECD 17
9 2 1 2 37 2 2 41 3 1 48 3 2 49 3 3 52 3 4 53 3 5 54 3 6 55 3 7 56 3 8 : (part-worth) (importance) 57 3 9 / 58 3 1 59 3 11 61 3 12 62 3 13 63 3 14 64 3 15 : (part-worth) (importance) 65 3 16 / 65 3 17 66 3 18 (25 =1) 69 3 19 71 3 2 72
1 3 21 (B2C) 76 3 22 77 3 23 ( 99 8 ) 78 3 24 79 3 25 8 3 26 81 3 27 82 3 28 EBS 83 3 29 84 3 3 ( ) 85 3 31 (G4C) 86 3 32 87 4 1 97 4 2 97 4 3 98 4 4 OECD MOU SMS (, ) 11 4 5 NTT DoCoMo Pake-hodai double 148 4 6 (1Mbps/s) 167 4 7 168 4 8 168 4 9 169 4 1 17 4 11 64kbit/s 171 4 12 2Mbit/s 172 4 13 34Mbit/s 172
11 1...,.,... 2,. 3.. 4,.
12 2, 1,,.. UN OECD,,. UN OECD,,,.,.,,..,. 2 29 1, 2 28 29 1, 25. 27 139,469 29 1 134,178 3.8%
13, 27 6.5% 29 1 5.8%.7%p. 2 27. 29 1 28, 97.5%., 24 59.4% 28 69.1% 9.7%p.,,,. 25 29 1 11.6%. 12 4.8%, 11. 25 29 1 48.%, 26.3%. 3....
14.., 2.. 28. 27..,.,,. 3 1.,.. 2 3, 2
15 3. 2.. /. /. Choice Based Conjoint(CBC)., 3%, 15%, 6%, 2%. 1 89%, 1 11%.,. (1), (2), (3) /, (4), (5) 5
16. (individual level) (part-worth) (importance). (43%) (34%). (11%), / (9%), /(3%),.,.. (individual base) 81,418.,.,.,, (outlier)..,,. 2 11, 5 5 2. (1%), (95%), / (93%), (82%)
17.,/,(72%), (71%)., 1 (43%), / (23%), (15%). 1 3% 3 29%, 5 61% 4. (1), (2), (3) /, (4) /, (5), (6) 6. (individual level) (part-worth) (importance). /(25%), (2%), (18%), / (18%), (11%). (8%).. / 3 4 / 4 5. 2. 2.. 64,843, / 21,124, / 14,322, 13,78.. 4 68,911, 2 67,622, 5 55,747.,,
18...,.,,...,.,. 3,,,.,.,,.,,.,,
19,.,,.,,. 4 1 : SMS OECD,,. 28 4 29 3, OECD 2%. KT Standard Tariff(1/2 discount on-net) 29 1 OECD ( ). KT Standard Tariff(1/2 discount on-net) OECD OECD OECD., (RPM: Revenue per minute) USD PPP.95 OECD 83%. 7 29 3, (2 ), (3 ),
2 (3 ).,,,. 2 :.,,,,., OECD., OECD.. SMS.,,,..,..,, Verizon Wireless.
21 3 NTT, KDDI, KT. 3 29 8 Teligen T-Basket, OECD 3 7, 8, 19. OECD, OECD., SOHO OECD 3 6, 16. SOHO OECD.,, OECD. USD.85 OECD 15 1.,,, OECD. 5.
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1 23 1 1... 27 OECD 4.5% OECD.........
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26 2 1,,, (ADSL,, ) :, :,, : 1588, ARS,,,,, :,, ( ) :,,, :,, :,, :, :,, () :, :,, :,,, : :, :,,,, : 1. 2., : (25), p.296.,,,, ( 9 1 1 12 )
2, 27.,. 2) 2 1.,,,,.,,.,,.. 3). 2) 4) UN 1993 (System of National Account: SNA). 5),,,,,,,,,,, 12.,.,,, TV,,, TV 2) (25), 296. 3) (ILO), (, (http://meta.kosis.kr/bzmt/main.jsp?c_id=19629)) 4) (25), 1. 5)
28.,. UN 1993, UN OECD.. UN OECD UN OECD, IMF 1993, 2 2. 2 2 UN OECD COICOP(Classification of Individual Consumption According to Purpose) COFOG(Classification of the Functions of Government) COPNI(Classification of the Purpose of Non-Profit Institutions Serving Households) COPP(Classification of the Outlays of Producers According to Purpose),,,, (,, ), (. ),,,,,,,, :, (http://www.nso.go.kr/statclass/statclassaction.do?method=class2) (Classification of Individual Consumption According to Purpose,, COICOP). COICOP 6),,. COICOP 12
2, 29,. 2 3,,. 2 3 COICOP (Communications) (Postal services) (Telephone and telefax equipment) (Telephone and telefax services) : UN(2),, (Payments for the delivery of letters, postcards and parcels) (private mail) (parcel delivery) :,, :,,,,, : PC ( ),,,,, (information transmission services), (Internet connection services),, :,,. Housing Utilities, Fuels and Public Service,. 7) (residential telephone/pay phone) (cellular phone service) 6) OECD, Glossary of Statistical Terms(http://stats.oecd.org/glossary/) 7) Bureau of Labor Statistics(28), 74.
3 (pager services) (phone cards). (Office for National Statistics) 21 2 COICOP. (communication) 2 4,. (Internet subscription fees). 2 4 (Postal services) (Telephone and telefax equipment) (Telephone and telefax services) : Office for National Statistics(29), 8.,, (telephone account) telephone coin and other payments (mobile phone account) (mobile phone-other payments).,. 8) 2 5,,,.,. 8) (27)
2, 31 2 5, ISDN PHS PHS ( ) : (27),,,, 2 6. 2 6 UN/OECD,. UN OECD
32,,..,. 2.,,... IPTV. IPTV.,. 2 1... 9) 9) ( ),
2, 33,. 28 9,, 22, 23..,. 7 (,,,,,, ),. 1) 2 7 1 1 2 ( + ),. 2 8, () () (, ) 1) (28a), 3.
34 : (28c), 1. 5, (,,,,,, ) 2,. 2,. 1 26, 23..,. 2 9 2 2. 2 9 1 2 1,198,621 7.5% 5,62,793 31.9% 1,241,14 7.8% 5,242,386 33.% 215,875 1.4% 712,167 4.5% 515,39 3.2% 1,699,17 1.7% 15,887,128 (1%) : 25, 1% : 1. (26) 2.,, (25) (1%)
2, 35. 23 2 1., 22, 23. 2 1 22 : (28b) 23. ( 9 1 ) 29 1 6 2 11.,. A B [] B [] A 29 25 28 29 1 / 29
36,. 2 11 : : ILO (1995) 1 : (29), 1. : ( ) ( ) : COICOP(OECD, UN, ILO, 1999), 2.. 2 29 1 2 134,178 5.78%. 28, 25. 27 139,469 29 1 134,178 3.8%, 27 6.5% 29 1 5.8%.7%p. 11) 11) 28 2 27 28
2, 37 2 1 2 : 29 1 ( ) :, (2, ). 1 12) 27 28, 28 29 1. 2 12 2 (:, %) 2 25 26 27 28 29.1Q 7 8 8 9.1Q 131,48 132,563 134,478 134,256 13,884.17% 2.51% 132,239 134,825 137,933 137,232 134,3.51% 2.14% 13,332 129,534 129,882 13,188 125,917.24% 3.28% 134,785 135,16 137,99 136,473 131,25.46% 3.83% 134,15 135,978 139,469 138,312 134,178.83% 2.99% 135,876 133,871 133,85 133,845 126,91.3% 5.18% 12) 1 2, 2 27 28.3 1.98%
38 2 1 (1 ) 25 26 27 28 29.1Q 7 8 8 9.1Q 144,83 142,261 142,987 135,451 13,69 5.27% 3.51% 138,65 14,213 141,795 135,918 133,195 4.14% 2.% 151,685 145,355 144,813 134,87 126,939 6.91% 5.84% N/A 48,696 49,487 49,89 44,895.81% 1.1% N/A 62,68 62,178 63,54 61,363 1.41% 2.68% N/A 38,234 4,661 41,448 34,711 1.94% 16.25% N/A 52,29 53,145 53,549 47,7.76% 1.92% N/A 65,74 64,885 66,1 62,894 1.73% 4.72% N/A 41,257 44,23 44,896 37,319 1.98% 16.88% N/A 119,83 119,927 116,897 113,216 2.53% 3.15% N/A 125,73 128,155 126,21 123,874 1.52% 1.85% N/A 11,994 11,15 15,985 1,232 3.74% 5.43% N/A 122,833 124,2 119,855 114,674 3.34% 4.32% N/A 127,698 13,386 127,611 123,912 2.13% 2.9% N/A 116,556 115,875 11,27 12,958 4.84% 6.63% : 1. 29 1 ( ) 2. 8 9.1Q 8 9 1 3. N/A: :, ( ) 2 27.
2, 39 2 13 2 2 1 (1 ) 25 26 27 28 29.1Q 7 8 (%p) (:, %p) 8 9.1Q (%p) 7.% 6.8% 6.7% 6.3% 6.1%.4%.2% 6.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.1% 5.9%.5%.2% 7.2% 7.% 6.8% 6.7% 6.6%.1%.1% 7.% 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 6.%.3%.3% 6.9% 6.7% 6.5% 6.% 5.8%.5%.2% 7.2% 6.9% 6.8% 6.6% 6.5%.2%.1% 7.2% 7.% 6.9% 6.2% 6.%.7%.2% 7.1% 7.% 6.7% 5.9% 5.7%.8%.2% 7.4% 7.% 7.1% 6.6% 6.5%.5%.1% N/A 6.8% 6.3% 5.9% 5.4%.4%.5% N/A 7.4% 6.7% 6.4% 5.9%.3%.5% N/A 6.1% 5.9% 5.5% 5.%.4%.5% N/A 7.1% 6.6% 6.1% 5.5%.5%.6% N/A 7.7% 7.% 6.5% 6.%.5%.5% N/A 6.4% 6.2% 5.6% 5.1%.6%.5% N/A 6.8% 6.6% 6.3% 6.1%.3%.2% N/A 6.7% 6.6% 6.2% 5.9%.4%.3% N/A 6.9% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4%.2%.1% N/A 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 6.%.4%.2% N/A 6.7% 6.5% 6.1% 5.8%.4%.3% N/A 6.9% 6.7% 6.5% 6.3%.2%.2% : 1. 29 1 ( ) 2. 8 9.1Q 8 9 1 3. N/A: 4. %p %, % :, ( )
4 3. (2 ) 5 24 28,.8%. 4.7%,.6%,,,. 2 14 24 25 26 27 28 132,479 (4.5%) 78,644 (9.%) 24,699 ( 9.8%) 21,559 (1.9%) 6,532 (3.5%) 496 ( 22.4%) 259 ( 2.6%) 292 ( 41.6%) 133,11 (.5%) 81,477 (3.6%) 22,236 ( 1.%) 21,547 (.1%) 6,596 (1.%) 692 (39.5%) 261 (.8%) 291 (.3%) 135,4 (1.5%) 85,393 (4.8%) 2,677 ( 7.%) 21,497 (.2%) 6,555 (.6%) 467 ( 32.5%) 29 ( 19.9%) 242 ( 16.8%) 138,458 (2.5%) 91,894 (7.6%) 18,387 ( 11.1%) 21,88 (1.8%) 5,386 ( 17.8%) 468 (.2%) 212 (1.4%) 232 ( 4.1%) 136,79 ( 1.3%) 94,487 (2.8%) 17,79 ( 7.1%) 22,9 (1.%) 2,358 ( 56.2%) 325 ( 3.6%) 172 ( 18.9%) 199 ( 14.2%) (:, %) 4 8.8% 4.7% 8.8%.6% 22.5% 1.% 9.7% 9.1% : 1. 29 1 ( ) 2. 3. 24 28 (Compound Annual Growth Rate) :, (2, )
2, 41, 28 137,35, 94,487 (69.1%), 22,9 (16.2%), 17,79 (12.5%). 28, 97.5%., 24 59.4% 28 69.1% 9.8%p.,,. 2 2 : 1. 29 1 ( ) 2. :, (2, ) 4. 25 29 1 11.6%. 12
42 4.8%, 11. 2 15 (25=1) 25 26 27 28 29.1/4 1 12.2 14.8 19.7 111.6 1 98.7 96.7 95.3 95.2 1 1.5 13 18.2 115.9 1 99.8 1.2 1.8 11.7 1 12.7 15.4 18.1 111 1 12.9 15.2 19.7 11.2 1 11.8 15.9 111.2 115.1 1 12 13.8 15.8 17.6 1 14.6 18.4 117.9 19.8 1 97.9 96.4 98 1.4 1 14.9 111.2 117.2 118.9 1 11.9 13.8 18.8 111.6 1 14.9 19.2 119.1 127.5 : :, (25=1), 2 16. 5% (5.3%), (56.1%), LM(5.3%),,, LM, 25. 25 29 1 48.%, 26.3%.
2, 43 2 16 25 26 27 28 291/4 1% 1 98.7 96.7 95.3 95.2.2% 1 11 16 16 16.2% 1 11 16 16 16 6.% 1 78.7 62.8 59.1 57.2.7% 1 98.8 97.7 97.3 98.2 5.3% 1 76.2 58.5 54.3 52 93.9% 1 1 98.9 97.6 97.6 3.7% 1 1 1 1 1 2.7% 1 1 1 1 1 3.5% 1 1 1 1 1.5% 1 1 1 1 1 2.3% 1 1 1 1 1 56.1% 1 1 1 1 1 LM 5.3% 1 1 1 1 1.8% 1 1 1 1 1 1.5% 1 1 1 1 1 8.5% 1 1 87.6 73.7 73.7 : 1., (25=1), 2., ( ) 3...
44..... IPTV,... 2,,, 3.. 2. 2..
2, 45.. 28. 27. 27 1 11 28 3.. 28 1. 28.....,,..
46 3 1.,,,..,....,,...,.
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48 /. 14) 2 55 8 (master sample).,,. 95% ±3.5%. 2. 2. 3 1. 3 1 14)
3 49 51,852 28,436. 15) 7% ( ), 2% IPTV 12%. 19,369, 12,81, IPTV 11,672. 3 2 2. 16).. (conjoint analysis) ( 15)., 5 14.1% 16)
5 ) (attribute) (utility),. (1994),.. (part-worth).,. = + + + (reservation price) Jedid and Zhang(22),. (27).,,,,, 44,6.. : Choice Based Conjoint(CBC) Analysis. (full profile method), (self explicated conjoint approach),
3 51 (hybrid conjoint analysis), (adaptive conjoint analysis, ACA), choice based conjoint analysis (CBC). 17) choice based conjoint analysis(cbc). CBC 2 (choice set).. 1 2. CBC. CBC.,. ( : (27)) CBC,,.. (attribute) (level) CBC (attribute) (level).,. 6.. (range of levels) (number of levels). 17) ( )
52.. Green and Srinivasan(199) (attention).,. 3.. 1) 3G 52% 2G. 29%. 2 47%. 3 3 56% 44%
3 53. 1,547 1 43%. 3 4 2), 3%, 15%, 6%, 2%. / /, 5 12% 2 43%, / / 5 7%, 2 32%. 1 89%, 1 11%.,
54.. 3 5. 1). (1), (2), (3) /, (4), (5) 5.
3 55 3 6 ( ),,.. /,,.. 3%, 1%,, 1%..
56. 15. 3 7 통화가능정도 이동전화를이용한오락기능 모바일뱅킹 / 모바일쇼핑기능 ( 예 : 계좌이체, 주식거래, 공연티켓예매, 소액결제등 ) 모바일인터넷 ( 네이트, 준, 매직엔, 쇼, 오즈 ) 을통한정보검색기능 ( 예 : 위치 / 교통정보, 뉴스, 지식검색서비스등 ) 월이용요금수준 ( 현재이동전화월평균이용요금대비 ) A 어디서나음성통화 + 문자메세지가능 휴대폰자체 (MP3, 게임, 카메라 ) 오락기능 + 무선인터넷접속을통한게임 / 음악다운로드, 폰꾸미기가능 가능 불가능 1% 저렴 (-1%) B 어디서나음성통화 + 문자메세지 + 영상통화가능 휴대폰자체 (MP3, 게임, 카메라 ) 오락기능가능 ( 무선인터넷접속불가능 ) 불가능 가능 1% 추가 (+1%) 2) (individual level) (part-worth) (importance) 18). 18) Utility- Utility, %
3 57 (43%) (34%). (11%), / (9%), /(3%),. 3 8 : (part-worth) (importance).. 3G,...
58. 3 9 /,. 2 13% 1%. /.. /. 3) 19) 19)
3 59 ( 3 1 ). (individual base) 81,418.,.,.,, (outlier). 3 1 속성수준 Total 통화가능정도 이동전화를이용한오락기능 2 대 3 대 4 대 5 대서울인천 / 경기 대전 / 충청 지역 광주 / 전라 대구 / 경북 부산 / 울산 / 경남 (8) (198) (233) (244) (125) (189) (244) (72) (72) (86) (137) 지정된장소에서만음성통화가능 ( 문자메세지불가능 ) 638 642 34 783 95 521 584 33 129 183 436 어디서나음성통화가능 ( 문자메세지불가능 ) 25,135 39,99 25,57 18,413 15,2 25,272 29,268 26,417 19,462 19,289 23,565 어디서나음성통화 + 문자메시지가능 47,842 75,7 45,87 37,124 28,428 46,212 55,187 51,428 35,32 41,42 45,971 어디서나음성통화 + 문자메세지 + 영상통화가능 46,62 74,668 44,618 35,165 28,165 45,952 53,232 48,887 33,843 4,132 45,254 불가능 733 331 737 1156 535 68 679 1419 556 951 597 휴대폰자체오락기능가능 9,381 14,64 9,979 6,656 6,165 8,921 1,369 7,57 7,449 6,92 11,778 휴대폰자체오락기능가능 + 무선인터넷접속을통한게임 / 음악다운, 폰꾸미기가능 연령 13,923 21,84 13,896 1,294 8,575 13,65 15,666 12,736 9,87 1,78 17,17 모바일뱅킹 / 모바일쇼핑기능 불가능 612 13 333 462 333 254 812 1296 66 353 555 가능 14,99 1,645 16,814 15,774 16,425 13,358 14,794 19,796 13,694 11,98 17,163 모바일인터넷을통한정보검색기능 불가능 82 944 863 915 356 833 967 921 541 59 828 가능 4,744 5,363 3,917 4,919 4,965 4,478 5,364 6,3 5,396 3,26 3,955 이동전화서비스효용가치추정 81,418 113,512 8,434 68,111 58,393 77,112 91,12 89,99 64,28 66,36 84,259.
6,,. 2 11, 5 5 2. / (64,28 ) / (66,36 ). 47,842 / 14,99.. 4.. (1%), (95%), / (93%), (82%)., /, (72%), (71%).,, /,,.,.., 1 (43%), / (23%), (15%). 1 3% 3 29%, 5 61% 4.
3 61 3 11 5, (67%) (4%) 28% 12% 2. 2 69%, 3 87%, 4 95%, 5 97%. / 2 59%, 3 37%, 4 2%, 5 17%. /. / 5. 2
62. 3 12. 1). (1), (2), (3) /, (4) /, (5), (6) 6.,,,,,, /. IPTV. /
3 63,. %. (calculation cost). 3 13. 15.
64 3 14 상대방과의소통정도 인터넷을통한오락기능 ( 예 : 게임, 영화보기, 음악듣기, 실시간 TV 시청등 ) 인터넷뱅킹 / 인터넷쇼핑기능 ( 예 : 계좌이체, 주식거래, 쇼핑, 티켓예매등 ) 인터넷을통한정보검색 / 교육학습기능 ( 예 : 뉴스 / 지식검색, 맛집정보, 원격강의, E-learning 등 ) 커뮤니티활동 ( 예 : 카페, 블로그, 미니홈피, 여론참여등 ) 월이용요금수준 ( 현재초고속인터넷월용요금대비 ) A 이메일 + 쪽지 + 채팅 + 메신저 + 화상 / 음성통화가능 게임 + 영화보기 + 음악듣기 + 실시간 TV 보기 (IPTV) 가능 둘다가능 불가능 가능 3% 저렴 (-3%) B 이메일만가능 불가능 인터넷뱅킹만가능 ( 인터넷쇼핑불가능 ) 가능 불가능 동일수준 선택해주세요 2) (individual level) (part-worth) (importance). /(25%), (2%), (18%), / (18%), (11%). (8%).
3 65 3 15 : (part-worth) (importance), 3 16.. 3 16 /
66 / 3 4 / 4 5. 2. 2. 3) 2) ( 3 17 ). 64,843, / 21,124, / 14,322, 13,78.. 3 17 2)
3 67 4 68,911, 2 67,622, 5 55,747. //. 5.,,...,.,,.,...,.,.
68 3 1. 95 2.1% 8 5.7% 3.6%p,.,,,.. 3 1 (: %) 1995 2.1 9.2 1. 4.7 4.1 29. 3.8 4.7 7.7 5.3 19.4 2 4.7 11.3 11.2 4.3 5.3 27.4 3.5 3.6 5.6 5.2 17.8 25 6.4 1.9 11.8 4.9 4.9 26.4 3.4 4.1 5.3 4.9 16.9 28 5.7 11.3 12.6 5.1 4.9 25.6 3.4 4.3 5.1 4.7 17.3 ( 95 ) 3.6 2.1 2.6.4.7 3.4.4.4 2.6.6 2.1 : 1. 2 ( ) 2. 23, 1963 :.,.,.
3 69,,. 95 8,.,,,.,. 3 18 (25 = 1) : :, (25 = 1) 5 (Consumer Price Index, CPI) (CPI = 1),,.
7.,. 2.. KISDI (29),.,,, 3 2. 3 2,,,,, (HTS) /
3 71.., 28 5,26. 3 19 (:, ) : 1. 17, 2 2., 3. : (29) 2 55 8 KISDI (29) 83%. 663 78%,.
72 3 2 : Base:, N = 663 : KISDI (29).,.,. 1) 28,, 28 17.7% 5,26 25. 28 2,243, 22 8,586 25.1%, 23.1%..,.
3 73 14.8% 28 3,171, 22 6,919, 7,156,71. 365. 716, 5%. 716 1,75, 3,412,, 519. 2,321.5..,. 2) PC, PDA 21). 28 1,57 47.6%, 42.% 1,57. 15.%..,., 21) (29)
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4 89 4 1 1.. OECD (Low), (Medium), (High) OECD T-Basket. OECD T-Basket, 29 25 6 T- Basket. SMS, MMS. 4 1 ( ) SMS( ) MMS( ) 3 (44 ) 33.67 65 (114 ) 5.67 14 (246 ) 55 1 : Teligen(26), p.7 peak, off-peak,. 4 2. peak
9 off-peak. 4 2 Peak off-peak 48% 25% 27% 5% 24% 26% 6% 19% 21% : Teligen(26), p.7. ML, ML, MM, MM, 24). SMS 65% : 35%. 4 3 ML ML MM MM 15% 7% 48% 22% 8% 14% 7% 48% 24% 7% 13% 7% 47% 26% 7% : Teligen(26), p.7 (call duration).. 24) ML: (Mobile) (Land), MM:, MM :
4 91 4 4 ML/ MM MM 1.5 1.6 1.4.8 1.8 1.9 1.7.8 1.7 1.9 1.8.8 : (minutes). 1.5 1 3 : Teligen(26), p.8 OECD Teligen DB. Teligen DB OECD 3 1, 2. Teligen (,, ), 3., SMS 5% : Teligen(26), p.8
92. 28 4 29 3 KT Prepaid, 17,174. OECD 22 25 27 28, OECD OECD 2%. 28 4 SKT Family, 29 1 KT Standard Tariff(1/2 discount on-net). 28 4 28,496 29 1 25,715, OECD. 4 5 28.4Q 29.1Q 29.2Q 29.3Q KT, Prepaid 17,174 22 25 27 28 OECD 122% 132% 151% 148% SKT, Family KT, Standard Tariff(1/2 discount on-net) 28,496 25,715 18 17 2 2 OECD 16% 13% 122% 116% KT, 5 Hours KT, Standard Tariff(1/2 discount on-net) 41,462 35,36 17 15 16 15 OECD 1% 91% 112% 15% : PPP : Teligen(28), Teligen(29)
4 93 28 4 KT 5 Hours 41,462, 29 1 KT Standard Tariff (1/2 discount on-net) 35,36. 29 3 15 OECD 29 1 OECD. OECD SIM Teligen DB,.. 2.., (RPM: Revenue per minute). (ARPU: Average revenue per units) (MOU: Minutes of use).. PPP.95 OECD 83.%.
94 4 6 PPP (USD) (USD) RPM RPM MOU( ) 1.5 1.5 829 2.65 6.1 26 3.74 1.12 244 4.76 4.9 444 4.76 4.9 191 6.8 8.11 218 7.81 2.6 162 8.83 15.15 237 9.88 17.16 187 1.95 3.8 32 1.95 1.12 192 12.98 12.13 194 13.11 14.14 246 14.14 6.1 127 15.117 8.11 168 16.118 17.16 131 17.119 17.16 12 18.121 21.17 156 19.133 15.15 121 19.133 17.16 153 21.135 12.13 11 22.157 23.21 138 23.16 22.2 157 24.172 26.29 114 25.213 25.26 139 26.214 23.21 131 OECD.115.15 24 83.% 55.1% 157.% : 1. OECD,,, N/A 2. RPP 3. MOU 2 3% 4. PPP CPL(Comparative price levels) 28 6 PPP 28 8 : Merrill Lynch(29)
4 95 3... OECD 4 7. OECD,. ( i-, SMS ). SMS.. 4 7 ( / ) ( / ) (/ ) 44 7( 3 ) 95 385( 14 ) 16, 246 77( 27 ) : (29),,,,,,, 29 3 4 8 5% 11.625% 15.% 19.6% 19% 25% 1% : (29), p.2
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4 97 4 1 : (29), p.16. 4 2 : (29), p.16.
98 (VoD ). 4 3 : (29), p.16. () (NTT) (Verizon) S, i- 315. 5% (, ) M, 1, i- L, (), i- Nationwide Basic Family SharePlan 7 (minutes) 1 Nationwide Select Family SharePlan 7 (Nation) 1 Nationwide Basic Family SharePlan 7 1
4 99 () (Verizon) (Vodafone) (Orange France) (T-Mobile) (Telia Sonera) (SK) Nationwide Connect Family SharePlan 7Minutes(Nation) 1 Nationwide Basic Family SharePlan 7 1 Anytime( 1, SMS5 ) Anytime( 3, SMS ) Mobile Internet and email Pack( ) Initial( 3 ) Original star 1, option SMS/MMS 3 Origami zen 2 Original star 3, option SMS/MMS 12 Origami zen 2( ) Relax6 Relax6, Messaging M, Data5 Relax24, Messaging L, Web n walk HandyFlat Telia Mobil Prata på Telia Mobil Max 25 + Mobilsurf Bas Telia Mobil Prata på Telia Mobil Max 25, Mobilsurf Alltid Telia Mobil Prata på New save New save, Data35 General, SMS, Data Safe : 1. 2. : (29), p.18
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4 11 4 4 OECD MOU SMS (, ) : Merrill Lynch(29), Ovum(29). OECD..,.
12 / /.,. (27 7 ), (28 4 ), (28 5 ).. KT,. KT 29 1 2 QOOK&SHOW (FMC: Fixed Mobile Convergence). WiFi. 4 1 KT QOOK&SHOW i- i- i- i- 35, 45, 65, 95, 1 15 2 4 8 SMS/LMS 18 /1 3 /1 18 /1 3 /1 18 /1 3 /1 15 /1 3 /1 15 2 2 2 Data 1MB 5MB 1,MB 3,MB 21% 23% 28% 42% VoIP : KT(29) AP, VoIP, 13 /1, 39 /3 SK 29 11 9 T-Zone (FMS; Fixed Mobile Substitution).
4 13. 4 11 SK T Zone 13 /1 T Zone 2, VoIP 39 /1 T Zone VoIP 18 /1 : SK(29) LG LG LG 21 1 FMC.... PPP PPP. PPP. PPP.. 5. 26). 1) (international mobile roaming) 26) ITU(28), KPMG(28), OECD(29)
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4 15 4 12 A B B A B A 3 A B C A B B + [B ] + B + + B + + A + + B + + C + + B + + + : : ITU(28), p.7 /. 4 13 EU ( ) 11.6 12.34* 11.6 12.34* 1. 1.25* 1. 2.5 1. 2. ( ) 14. : * : ITU(28), p.8
16,,.. 4 13. 3) 5. GSMA 1 OECD. 3% 17%. 33%. 4 14 1 8% 33% 3% 1% 17% : OECD(29), p.19,.. IOT
4 17. (internalization) 23 (MNO). (steering) MNO., MNO IOT. MNO FreeMove, Starmap, Bridge Alliance IOT., MNO. 25 Vodafone Vodafone Passport. 27 Hutchison 3 3 Like Home. Vodafone Hutchison 3 MNO. IOT. (localization) MVNO IOT. MNO MVNO global-mvno. Global-MVNO MNO, MVNO,.
18 Eurotariff. IOT. 4), (ACPs; Alternative Calling Procedures).. SIM SIM WorldSIM SIM.,, 55., (itemized billing) (call forwarding) (call recording). SIM SIM SIM..,.. Devicom MyCosmik.
4 19 SIM SIM..,. Global SIM Global SIM. Global SIM (callback). 7 9%. Global SIM.,. Global SIM.., SIM 2 SIM Wi-Fi. CallGSM Global roaming phone 2 SIM. Skuku SIM USB VoIP. Wi-Fi, Wi-Fi
11 Wi-Fi VoIP.., ArrivedOK SMS SMS SMS. SMS.,,, PC.. (Iridium),. 5),,. (Double taxation),. (reverse engineering data).
4 111 3. OECD.,,... OECD. (25%) (18%)... GSMA. OECD.,. OECD 21.
112 4 15 (%) SIM SIM 1 2 EU 21 15.5 /. 19 25 22 19.6 19 19 2 24.5 24.5 21 5 /. 1 15 15 19 12.5 25 22 2 19 16 25 7.6 43 17.5 EU, 36 : OECD(29), pp.41 42 /.
4 113. IOT. OECD IOT USD.79 5.7,. IOT 3 2.. EU SIM EU AUD 4.54. SIM EU AUD 2.99. 6% EU.. 3, 2. SIM,,,. SIM 1%. 1 2%. 5,, 4%.
114 EU,..,,,, peak/off-peak,,,,.. 6). (Liberalization of international gateways). AREGNET(Arab Regulators Network). GSM 2 5%. 25%.
4 115.,., ( ), GDP, GNI.,...,.. SIM VoIP.,.. 1),,,,.
116 4 16 (No direct regulation) (Wholesale regulation only) (Retail regulation only) (Combination of both) : ITU(28) (inter-operator tariff; IOT) (No direct regulation)...,.,.. 8 9%,.,.,., water bed.
4 117..,.,....., EC. EC.,. EC. (Wholesale regulation only). (IOT),..
118 4 17 1. water bed. 2.. 3.. 4.. : ITU(28), p.11 1... 2.. (Retail regulation only). (margin squeeze).. EC. 4 18 1... 2.. 3.,. : ITU(28), p.12 1., (margin squeeze). 2.. 3.. 4..
4 119 (Combination of both),..... 4 19 1... 2.. : ITU(28), p.13 1.. 2.. 3.. 4.. 2) EU EU 27 Regulation No. 717/27.. EC. 26
12,. 26 EC., (MTR; mobile termination rate) (proxy). 3%. MTR 27 5 23. 4 2 EU (EC ) ( ) 3 2 MTR 3 MTR 2 MTR + 3% 3 3 MTR + 3% 3, 28, 26 (1, 2, 3) 49, 46, 43 (1, 2, 3) 1 MTR + 3% 24, 22, 19 (1, 2, 3) : 2 28 8 3, 3 29 8 3 : ITU(28), p.15 EU.., SMS, MMS, SMS. EU, 28,,. 3) EU
4 121. (ARENET; Arab Regulator s Network) 26 6, 2% 1,%. 27 2. 27 7,.., 3 ( 5%, 4%, 3% )., ( 5%, 4%, 3% )., 3%.,,, 4 21 3 1) 1.5; 1.4; 1.3 2) 1.5; 1.4; 1.3 2) 1.3 : 1. ( ). 2.,,. : ITU(28), pp.2
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4 123. 2 GSM CDMA.. 7., 5. KT.. 27) 1) OECD 29 2. OECD 28 9 ( ) (EEA) ( : ) SMS 4 SMS 27) OECD(29)
124, SMS, peak/off-peak peak 3 ( : ) 2) 1: OECD 3, USD 6.76. 3 3 USD 1.56.,,,,,,,,., EEA, 9 EEA USD 1.94. 31.,,,.
4 125 4 22 3 ( ) 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Korea 1.56 Korea 1.94 Japan 2.65 Japan 2.8 Switzerland 2.69 Norway 3.17 Australia 2.9 Australia 3.39 Norway 3.17 Sweden 3.46 Sweden 3.46 Switzerland 3.84 New Zealand 3.59 Israel 4.24 Canada 3.69 New Zealand 4.49 Israel 3.71 Canada 4.54 Greece 4.57 Greece 4.57 Denmark 4.6 Denmark 4.6 United States 5.16 Poland 5.63 Poland 5.63 United States 6.2 United Kingdom 6.12 United Kingdom 6.12 Czech Republic 6.73 Czech Republic 6.73 Netherlands 6.77 Netherlands 6.77 Hungary 6.92 Hungary 6.92 Turkey 6.96 Mexico 7.9 Finland 8.5 Finland 8.5 Ireland 8.55 Turkey 8.39 Mexico 8.65 Ireland 8.55 Iceland 8.75 Iceland 8.75 Portugal 9.13 Portugal 9.13 France 9.16 France 9.16 Germany 9.18 Germany 9.18 Spain 9.97 Spain 9.97 Belgium 1.9 Belgium 1.9 Italy 1.76 Italy 1.76 Austria 11.57 Austria 11.57 Luxembourg 11.75 Luxembourg 11.75 Slovak Republic 13.2 Slovak Republic 13.2 Average 6.76 Average 6.96 : OECD(29), p.47
126 4 23 3 ( ) 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Iceland 3.28 Iceland 3.28 Ireland 3.31 Ireland 3.31 Hungary 3.51 Hungary 3.51 Finland 3.54 Finland 3.54 Denmark 3.67 Denmark 3.67 Norway 3.8 Norway 3.8 Germany 3.83 Germany 3.83 Sweden 3.84 Sweden 3.84 Luxembourg 3.87 Luxembourg 3.87 Poland 3.88 Poland 3.88 Spain 3.88 Spain 3.88 Slovak Republic 3.9 Slovak Republic 3.9 Greece 3.93 Greece 3.93 Netherlands 3.97 Netherlands 3.97 Belgium 3.99 Belgium 3.99 Portugal 4.1 Portugal 4.1 United Kingdom 4.11 United Kingdom 4.11 France 4.13 France 4.13 Austria 4.31 Switzerland 4.21 Switzerland 4.39 Mexico 4.28 Italy 4.48 Austria 4.31 Czech Republic 4.56 Australia 4.37 Turkey 5.5 Canada 4.4 Canada 6.29 Italy 4.48 United States 6.34 Korea 4.53 Australia 7.28 Czech Republic 4.56 New Zealand 7.73 New Zealand 4.72 Korea 7.86 Turkey 4.75 Japan 8.1 Japan 4.87 Israel 8.34 Israel 5.39 Mexico 8.48 United States 5.49 Average 4.91 Average 4.16 : OECD(29), p.48
4 127 3., 3 USD 3.28.,,,,, USD 7.86 31 16%. EEA USD 4.16 31. 2: OECD 3 USD 7.79.,,,,,,,,. 1 EEA USD 8.16. 4 24 3 ( ) 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Switzerland 3.75 Mexico 3.89 Mexico 4.32 Belgium 4.76 Belgium 4.76 United Kingdom 5.6 United States 5.16 Poland 5.63 Korea 5.41 Ireland 5.74 United Kingdom 5.6 Korea 5.98 Poland 5.63 United States 6.2 Ireland 5.74 Sweden 6.5 Canada 6.8 Czech Republic 6.73 Japan 6.1 Japan 6.77
128 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Sweden 6.5 Netherlands 6.83 Czech Republic 6.73 Canada 6.89 Netherlands 6.83 Hungary 6.92 Hungary 6.92 Norway 7.19 Turkey 6.96 Switzerland 7.4 Australia 7.16 Denmark 7.44 Norway 7.19 Australia 7.68 Denmark 7.44 Finland 8.5 Finland 8.5 Luxembourg 8.32 Luxembourg 8.32 Turkey 8.39 Iceland 8.75 Iceland 8.75 Portugal 9.13 Portugal 9.13 France 9.16 France 9.16 Germany 9.18 Germany 9.18 Spain 9.97 Spain 9.97 Italy 1.76 Italy 1.76 New Zealand 11.14 Austria 11.57 Israel 11.23 New Zealand 12.51 Austria 11.57 Greece 12.71 Greece 12.71 Israel 13.18 Slovak Republic 13.2 Slovak Republic 13.2 Average 7.79 Average 8.16 : OECD(29), p.49,,,,,,,.
4 129 4 25 3 ( ) 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Norway 4.47 Norway 4.47 Luxembourg 4.74 Luxembourg 4.74 Iceland 4.83 Iceland 4.83 Switzerland 5.1 Finland 5.8 Finland 5.8 United Kingdom 5.49 United Kingdom 5.49 Sweden 5.52 Sweden 5.52 Netherlands 5.59 Netherlands 5.59 Ireland 5.64 Ireland 5.64 Germany 5.94 Germany 5.94 Denmark 6.4 Denmark 6.4 Hungary 6.15 Hungary 6.15 Austria 6.23 Austria 6.23 Switzerland 6.42 Slovak Republic 6.48 Slovak Republic 6.48 Turkey 6.51 Greece 6.6 Greece 6.6 United States 6.66 Spain 6.81 Spain 6.81 United States 6.82 Canada 7.1 Belgium 7.8 Belgium 7.8 Canada 7.13 New Zealand 7.8 Poland 7.26 Korea 7.9 Portugal 7.27 Poland 7.26 France 7.4 Portugal 7.27 Italy 7.72 France 7.4 Australia 8.17 Italy 7.72 New Zealand 8.77 Australia 7.99 Czech Republic 8.77 Japan 8.23 Korea 9.3 Turkey 8.35 Japan 9.38 Czech Republic 8.77 Israel 9.8 Israel 9.18 Mexico 11.4 Mexico 9.9 average 6.86 average 6.74 : OECD(29), p.5
13 3: 3, USD 4.49,,,,,. EEA 3 USD 4.65. 4 26 3 ( ) 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Korea 1.36 New Zealand 1.74 New Zealand 1.74 Korea 1.78 Switzerland 1.96 Hungary 2.3 Hungary 2.3 Greece 2.7 Australia 2.45 Iceland 2.92 Greece 2.7 Israel 3.16 Israel 2.73 Australia 3.17 Iceland 2.92 Luxembourg 3.23 Luxembourg 3.23 Turkey 3.3 Turkey 3.3 Poland 3.3 Poland 3.3 Norway 3.58 Norway 3.58 Slovak Republic 3.62 Slovak Republic 3.62 Japan 4.2 Japan 3.7 Switzerland 4.13 Netherlands 4.21 Netherlands 4.21 Belgium 4.3 Belgium 4.3 France 4.4 France 4.4 Portugal 4.42 Portugal 4.42 Sweden 4.45 Sweden 4.45 United Kingdom 4.73 United Kingdom 4.73 Czech Republic 4.99 Czech Republic 4.99
4 131 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA United States 5.16 Ireland 5.47 Ireland 5.47 Germany 5.97 Germany 5.97 Finland 5.99 Finland 5.99 United States 6.2 Canada 6.4 Austria 6.61 Austria 6.61 Canada 6.75 Denmark 7.12 Denmark 7.12 Italy 7.93 Mexico 7.9 Mexico 8.65 Italy 7.93 Spain 9.97 Spain 9.97 Average 4.49 Average 4.65 : OECD(29), p.51,,,,,,,,,. 4 27 3 ( ) 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Switzerland 2.68 United Kingdom 3.16 United Kingdom 3.16 Germany 3.19 Germany 3.19 Italy 3.19 Italy 3.19 France 3.2 France 3.2 Netherlands 3.22 Netherlands 3.22 Spain 3.26 Spain 3.26 Belgium 3.32 Belgium 3.32 Iceland 3.32 Iceland 3.32 Greece 3.38 Turkey 3.35 Ireland 3.43
132 31 (EEA ) 1 EEA Greece 3.38 Switzerland 3.45 Ireland 3.43 Hungary 3.48 Hungary 3.48 Luxembourg 3.5 Luxembourg 3.5 Sweden 3.5 Sweden 3.5 Denmark 3.51 Denmark 3.51 Finland 3.57 Finland 3.57 Norway 3.57 Norway 3.57 Austria 3.67 Austria 3.67 Australia 3.69 Portugal 3.91 New Zealand 3.69 Slovak Republic 3.92 Portugal 3.91 Czech Republic 4.2 Slovak Republic 3.92 Poland 4.18 Canada 3.96 Canada 4.32 Japan 3.99 United States 4.48 United States 4.2 Australia 4.56 Czech Republic 4.2 New Zealand 5.4 Poland 4.18 Japan 5.9 Turkey 4.42 Korea 5.48 Israel 4.66 Israel 5.53 Korea 4.67 Mexico 6.14 Mexico 5.2 Average 3.88 Average 3.71 : OECD(29), p.52. USD 1.56 13.2, USD 3.75 13.2, USD 1.36 9.97..
4 133 SMS OECD SMS 1 USD.55. USD.21,,,,. 1 USD 1.11. 4 28 SMS ( ) 31 SMS (EEA ) 1 EEA SMS Korea.21 Korea.18 Switzerland.34 Switzerland.34 France.36 France.36 Finland.37 Finland.37 Ireland.37 Ireland.37 Turkey.38 Turkey.38 Australia.41 Poland.41 Poland.41 Denmark.43 Denmark.43 Israel.45 Israel.45 Sweden.46 Sweden.46 Australia.46 New Zealand.46 New Zealand.46 United Kingdom.47 United Kingdom.47 Czech Republic.47 Czech Republic.47 Canada.48 Canada.48 Germany.5 Germany.5 Austria.51 Austria.51 Hungary.52 Hungary.52 United States.55 Mexico.53 Slovak Republic.58 United States.55 Norway.58 Slovak Republic.58 Luxembourg.6 Norway.58
134 31 SMS (EEA ) 1 EEA SMS Mexico.6 Luxembourg.6 Portugal.61 Portugal.61 Belgium.64 Belgium.64 Iceland.65 Iceland.65 Netherlands.7 Netherlands.7 Greece.8 Greece.8 Italy.91 Italy.91 Japan 1.8 Japan 1.8 Spain 1.11 Spain 1.11 Average.55 Average.55 : OECD(29), p.53,,,,,,,. 4 29 SMS ( ) 31 SMS (EEA ) 1 EEA SMS Luxembourg.49 Japan.4 Poland.49 New Zealand.46 United Kingdom.49 Canada.47 Hungary.49 United States.47 Ireland.49 Mexico.49 Slovak Republic.49 Luxembourg.49 Finland.49 Poland.49 Norway.49 United Kingdom.49 Germany.5 Hungary.49 Belgium.5 Ireland.49 Iceland.5 Slovak Republic.49 Switzerland.5 Finland.49
4 135 31 SMS (EEA ) 1 EEA SMS Greece.5 Norway.49 Netherlands.5 Germany.5 Czech Republic.5 Belgium.5 France.5 Iceland.5 Italy.5 Greece.5 Turkey.51 Netherlands.5 Sweden.51 Czech Republic.5 Denmark.51 France.5 Portugal.51 Italy.5 Austria.51 Sweden.51 United States.52 Turkey.51 Spain.52 Korea.51 Canada.52 Denmark.51 Japan.54 Portugal.51 Australia.55 Australia.51 New Zealand.56 Austria.51 Israel.59 Spain.52 Korea.61 Switzerland.52 Mexico.61 Israel.55 Average.52 Average.5 : OECD(29), p.54 SMS SMS, OECD. 6.. 1) SK SK 4 3.,
136.. 4 3. 4 3 SK.5KB 4.5 1.75.9 1.5 1.5 : : SK(29) WML,XHTML (Text,, ) (,, ),,, 2, GVM SK-VM Virtual Machine Flash,,, 2, VOD/ MOD MPEG4, WAVELET ( ) (PDA ) SK 4 31 (29 11 ). 4 31 3,5.
4 137 4 31 SK 3G ( ) 1 15 19 1,5 Nate June Data 1, 1MB 15, 5MB 19, 2GB DATA 35 3,5 7, DATA 7 7, 21, Nate June CP,, ( ), ( 2 ).2 /.5KB PC ( ) (: Data 35(1%), Data 7(2%)) (, ) : 1..5KB 4.5/1.75/.9/1.5 (/// ) 2. 3. WCDMA, CDMA 2 1X EV-DO, (1 15/11/7 (/ /)) : SK(29)
138 KT KT 4 32.,.. 4 32 KT.5KB 4.55 1.75 m-html Mobile Explorer (Text,, ) CP URL CP/SP BREW, JAVA, MAP VOD.45 MPEG4 VOD 1.75 1.3, (PC, PDA, ) ( Proxy 1.3 /.5KB Proxy 6.5 /.5KB ) : 5 9 5% ( ) : KT(29) KT 4 33 (29 11 ).
4 139 4 33 KT 3G SHOW i SHOW SHOW SHOW SHOW SHOW 5 SHOW 14, 26, 2, / 1 5, 2, 1, 5, 1, : 1.3 /.5KB VOD :.45 /.5KB, VOD : 1.3 /.5KB 1GB 24 : 1.3 /.5KB VOD :.45 /.5KB 75% ( ) 2,5 7,5 5, 2, 3, 9, 5,5 22, 3,5 1,5 1, 5, VOD.12 /.5KB :.5KB 3.5/2.1/.3/1 (/ 5, /VOD / ) (5, ) 1, 3, 1GB 2,5 7,5 5, 2, 3, 9, 5,5 22, 3,5 1,5 1, 5, : 1.,.5KB 4.55/1.75/1.3/.45 (// /VOD ) 2. : KT(29)
14 LG LG 4 34.,.. 4 34 LG.5KB 5.2 2. 1.4.25 1.5 : : LG(29) HDML WML ez-i ez-i,,, 2, Java Virtual Machine,,, 2 VOD/ MOD MPEG4 http (, (Active x,, ) ) PCS ( ) (, PDA ) LG 4 35 (29 11 ).
4 141 4 35 LG ( ) OZ OZ 8,5 / 1,5 1, / 24 3, 1, 6, 1GB : OZ, 3 1, / 1 MP, 8 /4 ez-i/oz Lite( /) ez-i ez-i 6% (29,5 ), () ez-i.5/kb (25, ) ez-i 8. 12. 31 9 2GB : 1.,.5KB 5.2/2./1.4/.25 (// /) 2. 3. CDMA 2 1X, (1 15/11/7 (//)) : LG(29) 2) Verizon Wireless Verizon Wireless, PDA.
142 4 36 Nationwide Plan. 4 36 Verizon Wireless 1.99/MB Nationwide Plan 5/ 1.99/MB Nationwide Plan : Verizon Wireless (http://www.verizonwireless.com) 4 37. Nationwide 9 Connect, $89.99 9, SMS/MMS,. 4 37 Verizon Wireless Nationwide Plan Basic Select Connect Premium 45 $39.99 $59.99 $69.99 $79.99 9 $59.99 $79.99 $89.99 $99.99 1,35 $79.99 $99.99 $19.99 $119.99 $99.99 $119.99 $129.99 $139.99 $1.99/MB $1.99/MB SMS $.2/ MMS $.25/ Vcast, VZ navigator : Verizon Wireless (http://www.verizonwireless.com) PDA, Blackberry, Nationwide Plan.
4 143 AT&T AT&T PDA, iphone. 1MB $2. Data Unlimited $15. Message & Data Unlimited $3. 4 38 PDA, Blackberry. 4 38 AT&T ( ) PDA/Blackberry Personal $35. ($3.) PDA/Blackberry Personal + tethering $65. ($6.) 5GB $.48/KB $.195/KB $.195/KB SMS/MMS $5(2 ), 15(15 ), 2() : 1. P2P, 2. : AT&T (http://www.wireless.att.com) iphone $3, SMS $.2. T-Mobile USA T-Mobile USA PDA. 4 39,.
144 4 39 T-Mobile USA Web2go Web Text (T-mobile Shadow) Unlimited Web $9.99 T-mobile Phone (T-mobile Shadow) Unlimited Web + $19.95 Unlimited Messages T-mobile Smartphone(or Blackberry, G1, Sidekick) Unlimited Web T-mobile Smartphone(or Blackberry, G1, Sidekick) Unlimited Web + Unlimited Messages : T-Mobile USA (http://www.t-mobile.com) $24.99 $34.99 Smartphone, Blackberry, G1, Sidekick PDA, Blackberry,. 3) O2 O2 4 4. O2 18 6 SMS, Bolt-on. 7.5 1 Bolt-on. 4 4 O2 Bolt-on O2 Web Bolt on O2 Web and Wi-Fi Bolt on 7.5 1 2MB Wi-Fi Hotspot : 1. Web Bolt on 2MB (fair use policy) 2. : O2 UK (http://www.o2.co.uk)
4 145 Vodafone Vodafone. 4 41. 4 41 Vodafone 5p a day Value pack Flexi pack 5p/ 5 7.5 25MB 5MB Pay as you go 5MB () : Value pack Flexi pack : Vodafone UK (http://online.vodafone.co.uk) 4 42, 18. 4 42 Vodafone ( ) ( ) SMS( ) 35 2 1, 35 6 35 7 25 4 6 45 9 55 15 8 3 : Vodafone live!. 15MB 1, MB 2 : Vodafone UK (http://online.vodafone.co.uk)
146 T-Mobile T-Mobile 4 43. 4 43 T-Mobile Web n walk day pass Web n walk 5day pass Web n walk 7.5 monthly option 1/ 2.5/ 5 7.5 1/ 2MB ( ) 1GB ( ) : T-Mobile UK (http://www.t-mobile.co.uk) Fair use policy: 4MB 4MB 1 : 2 : 3 : P2P, VoIP, Fair use policy: 4MB/1 4MB ( ) P2P, VoIP, Fair use policy: 1GB/ 4MB ( ) P2P, VoIP, 4) NTT DoCoMo NTT DoCoMo 4 44..2.2. 1 128Byte.
4 147 4 44 NTT DoCoMo i-mode PC, PDA ( ) 1 ( ) i-mode 3 Pake-hodai double 372 5.7 :.8 5.7 :.2 15 :.2 6 :.1 2 :.5 2 :.2 FOMA.2 /1 MOVA 1.3, 1.2 i : 4,2 i + : 5,7 PC, PDA + : 13, Data Plan SS 1,8.1 Data Plan SS Value 1,1 Data Plan S Packet Plus 2,9 Data Plan S Value 2,2 Data Plan M Packet Plus 5,2 Data Plan M Value 4,5 Data Plan L Packet Plus 7,4 Data Plan L Value 6,7 Data Plan LL Packet Plus 13,9 Data Plan LL Value 13,2.5 : 12.8MB(5 ).2 : 57.6MB(9 ).15 : 153.6MB(1.8 ).12 : 32MB(3 ) : 1. 1 = 128Byte 2. 3. Value : NTT DoCoMo (http://www.nttdocomo.co.jp) Pake-hodai double, 372 5,7.8 / 1, 5,7.2 /1. Pake-hodai double.
148 4 5 NTT DoCoMo Pake-hodai double KDDI au KDDI au 4 45. 4 45 KDDI au EZ-Web EZ WIN Plan EZ multi Plan ( ) 3 1 ( ).2 372.15 (1AM 5PM) 1:.2 1:.1.27 3,72 EZ-Web&E-mail : 4,2 + : 5,7 PC, PDA + : 13,
4 149 ( ) 1 ( ) 1,.8 2,.5 : 1. 1 = 128Byte 2. : KDDI au (http://www.au.kddi.com) 12,5, 4,5, 372 1.15, NTT DoCoMo Pake-hodai double. SoftBank SoftBank S! Basic Pack. S! Basic Pack 3 1.2 4 46 SoftBank S!Basic Pack ( ) 1 ( ) S!Basic Pack 3.2 98.8 SoftBank 3G(X),, PCSite, PCSiteDirect :4,2 PC Site : 5,7 PC Site Direct : 9,333
15 ( ) 1 ( ) S 371.1 98.8 : 4,2 PC Site : 5,7 PC Site Direct : 9,333 SoftBankX, iphone3g,, PCSite, PCSiteDirect : 5,7 : 1. 1 = 128Byte 2. 3., S, S! Basic Pack : SoftBank Mobile (http://mb.softbank.jp). S! Basic Pack 4 46.. 1). 3.,.., (, ) ( )
4 151., ( ) ( ) 1 PPP,., 4 47 3 29 4. 4 47 18% 3% 48% 31%,. 4 48 5/1/25/5/1/25/5MB, 1GB 1/2/3/4/5MB PPP,. 29 8 1 OANDA, PPP
152 29 6 OECD. 29 8 Teligen T- Basket. 2) SK SK, 4 49 29 11 16 5 3G. 4 49 SK (MB) DATA35 3,5 2 DATA7 7, 6 1 1, 1 15 15, 5 19 19, 2,48 : : SK(29) 1KB ( ) 9. (8.1) 9. (7.2) 9. (.4) 9. (.4) 9. (.4) 3.5 (3.15) 3.5 (2.8) 3.5 (.4) 3.5 (.4) 3.5 (.4) 1.8 (1.62) 1.8 (1.44) 1.8 (.4) 1.8 (.4) 1.8 (.4) (:, MB) 3. (2.7) 3. (2.4) 3. (.4) 3. (.4) 3. (.4) DATA35 DATA7 3,5, 7, 7, 21,., DATA35 DATA7 1%, 2%,. 1/15/19 1,, 15,, 19, 1MB, 5MB, 2GB.
4 153,..2 /KB. SK 4 5. 5MB DATA7, 1 1MB 1. 25 5MB 15, 1GB 19. DATA. 4 5 SK (: ) 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1GB DATA35 14,757 32,594 86,16 175,291 353,662 888,775 1,78,631 3,649,96 DATA7 7,7 2,93 68,496 147,772 36,324 781,98 1,574,741 3,236,366 1 11, 11, 11, 11, 11, 78,584 191,224 427,317 15 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 252,593 19 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 : DATA35, 5MB. = (A + B) (1%) = (3,5 + 9,916) 1.1 = 14,757 (A) = 3,5 (B) = a + b + c + d = 9,916 (a) = [5MB (1.9MB)] 124 18% 8.1 /KB = 4,565 (b) = [5MB (1.9MB)] 124 3% 3.15 /KB = 296 (c) = [5MB (1.9MB)] 124 48% 1.62 /KB = 2,435 (d) = [5MB (1.9MB)] 124 31% 2.7 /KB = 2,621
154 Data35 (MB) 3,5 7, 1KB ( ) 9. 3.5 1.8 3. (8.1) (3.15) (1.62) (2.7) (1.9MB) (= 7, [(4.5/.5) 18% + (1.75/.5) 3% + (.9/.5) 48% + (1.5/.5) 31%]) KT KT, 4 51 29 11 16 5 3G. 4 51 KT (MB) SHOW 5, 6 9.1 (2.28) SHOW SHOW 5 1, 17 1, 18 SHOW i 14, SHOW 26, 1KB ( ) 9.1 (9.1) 7. (7.) 3.5 (.88) 3.5 (3.5) 4.2 (4.2).9 (.23).24 (.24).6 (.6).9 (.9) 3.5 (.88) 3.5 (3.5) 3.5 (3.5) 3.5 (3.5) 3.5 (3.5) (:, MB) 75% / // : 1. SHOW, (, ) 2. : KT(29)
4 155 SHOW 5, 2,, 75%. SHOW 1, 5,,., 1, 5,. SHOW 5,, 1, 5,. SHOW i 14, ( ). SHOW 26,, VOD.,. 4 52 KT (: ) 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1GB SHOW SHOW SHOW 5 5,5 9,18 22,95 45,91 91,82 229,54 459,8 94,48 11, 11, 22, 11, 11, 33,693 111,387 266,774 732,934 1,59,869 3,138,323 SHOWi 23,944 32,487 58,119 1,837 186,275 442,587 869,774 1,765,159 SHOW : 34,711 4,821 59,154 89,77 15,814 334,136 639,672 1,28,75 KT 4 52. 25MB 5MB SHOW, 25MB
156 SHOW, 5MB SHOW.. KT 1GB 11, SHOW, (, ). LG LG, 4 53 29 11 16 2. 3, 1,, 6%. 29,5, 29,5. OZ 6, 1GB. 25, 25,, 2GB LG. 4 53 LG (MB) 3, 3 1.4 (4.16) OZ 6, 1,24.5 (.5) : : LG(29) 1KB ( ) 4. (1.6).5 (.5) 2.8 (.83).5 (.5).5 (1.26).5 (.5) (:, MB) 6% (29,5 ) (25, )
4 157 LG 4 54. 5MB OZ, 1MB OZ. 4 54 LG (: ) 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1GB 5,986 13,72 32,45 32,45 32,45 32,45 32,45 32,45 OZ 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 :, 4 55 29 11 16 6. 3 i-mode, ez-win plan, S! Basic Pack. 4 55 NTT DoCoMo KDDI au Pakehodai double (MB) 372.6 1KB.64 (5.7.16) 372 4.3.84 (:, MB) i : 4,2 i + : 5,7 PC, PDA + : 13, EZ-Web&E-mail : 4,41 + : 5,985 PC, PDA + : 13,65
158 KDDI au Softbank (MB) 1KB 1, 19.64, 2, 98.9.4, 98 1.5.64 : 4,2 PC Site : 5,7 PC Site Direct : 9,333 98 1.5.64 : 5,7 : 1. i-mode, ez-win plan, S! Basic Pack 2. : 4 56. 5 1MB KDDI au 4 56 3 NTT DoCoMo KDDI au Softbank (: ) 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1GB Pake-hodai double 5,328 79,214 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 38,315 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 17,513 17,513 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 3,984 3,984 3,984 3,984 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 53,832 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 48,184 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 8,827 : 1. i-mode, ez-win plan, S! Basic Pack 2.
4 159, 25 5MB KDDI au. 1MB 6., PPP PPP 4 57. 18 5MB KT SHOW 5,5, 1MB LG OZ 6,6. 4 57 (: PPP) 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1GB SKT KT LGT DATA35 14,757 32,594 86,16 175,291 353,662 888,775 1,78,631 3,649,96 DATA7 7,7 2,93 68,496 147,772 36,324 781,98 1,574,741 3,236,366 1 11, 11, 11, 11, 11, 78,584 191,224 427,317 15 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 16,5 252,593 19 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 2,9 SHOW SHOW SHOW 5 5,5 9,18 22,95 45,91 91,82 229,54 459,8 94,48 11, 11, 22, 11, 11, 33,693 111,387 266,774 732,934 1,59,869 3,138,323 SHOWi 23,944 32,487 58,119 1,837 186,275 442,587 869,774 1,765,159 SHOW 34,711 4,821 59,154 89,77 15,814 334,136 639,672 1,28,75 5,986 13,72 32,45 32,45 32,45 32,45 32,45 32,45 OZ 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6 6,6
16 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1MB 25MB 5MB 1GB NTT DoCoMo KDDI au Softbank : Pake-hodai double 26,666 41,972 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 2,31 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 9,279 9,279 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 16,417 16,417 16,417 16,417 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 28,523 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 25,53 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 42,826 3), 4 58,.,. 4 58, KB SKT 9. 3.5 1.8 KT 9.1 3.5.9 LGT 1.4 4. 2.1 NTT DoCoMo KDDI au Verizon Wireless : 1.9 i-mode(foma) 2,39 1.9 i-mode(mova) 2,39 16.3 EZWINPlan 2,39 1.9 EZMultiPlan 2,39 14.7 1.7 (: PPP) 15 1 1.9
4 161 PPP PPP 4 59. Verizon Wireless. 3 NTT DoCoMo. KDDI, KT. 4 59, (: PPP) 1MB 2MB 3MB 4MB 5MB SKT 4,226 8,453 12,679 16,96 21,132 KT 3,551 7,11 1,652 14,22 17,753 LGT 4,882 9,763 14,645 19,527 24,49 NTT DoCoMo KDDI au Verizon Wireless : 11,694 23,389 35,83 46,778 58,472 i-mode(foma) 13,836 25,53 37,225 48,919 6,614 i-mode(mova) 19,683 37,225 54,766 72,38 89,85 EZWINPlan 13,836 25,53 37,225 48,919 6,614 EZMultiPlan 17,929 33,716 49,54 65,291 81,79 1,9 3,8 5,699 7,599 9,499 2 1....,,, OECD (incumbent operators),...
162 (incumbent operators) 5., (installation) 2.,, OECD,., (Peak time), (offpeak time),. (selective discounts) SOHO 1 1, SME 3 3. SME () 3 1 US$.,, : Teligen(26), p.6..,. //, SOHO(Small Office Home Office).,. (//)
4 163 4 6., 6, 456 76%, 114 19%, 3 5%. 4 6 OECD SOHO SME : Teligen(26), p.2. 6 (1%) 1,2 (1%) 2,4 (1%) 1,8 (1%) 2,8 (1%) 456 (76%) 9 (75%) 1,56 (65%) 1,26 (67%) 2,16 (72%) 114 (19%) 276 (23%) 744 (31%) 522 (29%) 56 (2%) 3 (5%) 24 (2%) 96 (4%) 72 (4%) 224 (8%) 4 61. 4 61 11: 15: 2: 3: 11: (: %) 15: 3.2 28.1 23.6.9 8.2 9. 27.5 28. 23. 2. 8. 11.5 3. 29.2 23.8 1.1 7.3 8.6 SOHO 39.5 39.3 7.5 3.6 5.5 4.6 SME 4.2 4.5 6.5 3.4 4.7 4.7 28.6 28.6 2.5.6 1.1 11.6 29.1 3.5 2.5.7 8.5 1.7 3. 3.4 2..6 8.5 1.5 SOHO 39.5 39.5 4.5.3 9. 7.2 SME 44. 42. 1.2.1 6.3 6.4
164 Peak off-peak 33. 67. 33. 67. 33. 67. SOHO 8. 2. SME 8. 2. : Teligen(26), p.3. 4 62. 4 62 (26km ) (26km ) 11: 15: 2: 3: 11: 15: 3.7 3.7 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.5 3.7 3.7 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.5 3.7 3.7 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.5 SOHO 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 SME 1.9 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 4.4 4.4 7. 7. 6.6 6.6 4.4 4.4 7. 7. 6.6 6.6 4.4 4.4 7. 7. 6.6 6.6 SOHO 2.2 2.2 3. 3. 3.1 3.1 SME 2.2 2.2 3. 3. 3.1 3.1 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1 1.9 1.9 SOHO 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 SME 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 Peak off-peak 5.5 7.2 5.5 7.2 5.5 7.2 SOHO 2.9 3.9 SME 2.9 3.9 : Teligen(26), p.5.
4 165. 1) 6 KT Standard, 29 8. PPP USD 319.76 OECD 3 7, OECD (USD 399.83) 8.%. 1,2 KT Standard. USD 413.32 OECD 3 8, OECD (USD 523.53) 78.9%. 4 63 OECD (: USD PPP, %) OECD 399.83 KT, Standard 319.76 7 8.% 523.53 KT, Standard 413.32 8 78.9% 884.63 KT, Standard 92.62 19 14.1% : Teligen(29) 2,4 KT Standard. USD 92.62 OECD 3 19, OECD (USD 884.63) 14.1%. 2) 1,8 SOHO KT Standard. SOHO PPP USD 412.7 OECD 3 6, OECD
166 (USD 74.75) 55.6%. 2,8 KT Standard. USD 23,853.29 OECD 3 16, OECD (USD 29,739.64) 8.2%. 4 64 OECD (: USD PPP, %) OECD SOHO 74.75 KT, Standard 412.7 6 55.6% 29,739.64 KT, Standard 23,853.29 16 8.2% : Teligen(29) 2..,, OECD. OECD DSL,, DSL//FTTH 3.. 12.. ( 1Mbps)
4 167.. PPP USD.85 OECD 15 1. USD 64.9. 4 6 (1Mbps/s) (: USD PPP) : 28 1 : OECD broadband portal(29)., IPTV 256 2,48Kbit/s USD 28.6..,.
168 4 7 (: USD PPP) : 28 9 : OECD(29a), p.282 2.5 1Mbit/s IP. OECD USD 42.8 USD 4 8 (: USD PPP) : 28 9 : OECD(29a), p.282
4 169 25 5. USD 27.9 9.8. USD 35.9 OECD 84%. 12 32Mbit/s.,,. OECD PPP USD 59.1. 4 9 (: USD PPP) : 28 9 : OECD(29a), p.283 35Mbit/s OECD PPP USD 75,.
17 4 1 (: USD PPP) : 28 9 : OECD(29a), p.284 3... OECD 1. 2km. 64Kbit/s, 2Mbit/s, 34Mbit/s., 34Mbit/s 45Mbit/s.75(=34/45). 4 65 OECD 2km 2km 5km 1km 2km 5km OECD 1 35% 2% 15% 2% 5% 5% : Teligen(26), p.9
4 171. xdsl.. 2km 2km 2km. /. USD. 29 8 Teligen DB.. (64Kbit/s) OECD USD PPP 5,297 24 21,.,. 4 11 64kbit/s (: USD PPP) : OECD,,,,, : Teligen(29) (2Mbit/s) OECD USD PPP 23,39 56,42 OECD 2.4. 24.
172 4 12 2Mbit/s (: USD PPP) : OECD,,,, : Teligen(29) (34Mbit/s) OECD USD PPP 123,454 26,218 OECD 1.7. 4 13 34Mbit/s (: USD PPP) : OECD,,,,,,,, : Teligen(29)
5 173 5...,.,..,....,.
174,...,..,. OECD.. OECD OECD..
175,, e, EBS, (http://www.fss.or.kr) (1994),, ( ),, :, 121 185. (http://www.tworld.co.kr) (http://www.lgtelecom.com) (http://www.kfb.or.kr) (27),, 27-65. (http://www.show.co.kr) (http://www.koreanclick.com) (http://www.kosis.kr) (25), (26), 25 ( ) (28a), (28b), (28c), (29), 29-11,,, IDC(29), IT Opportunity in Dot com Industry 21, 29. 11. 3.
176 (29a), 28,, 29. 1. 23. (29b), 28, 29. 3. 12. (29), 28,, 29. 1. 3. (25), (29), 28,, 29. 1. (29a), 28, (29b), 29,, G4C SK(29), WCDMA (29. 11. 1 ) KISDI (29),,,, 29. 5. 29. KT(29), WCDMA (29. 9 ) LG(29), (29. 1. 7 ) AT&T (http://www.wireless.att.com) Bureau of Labor Statistics(28), Consumer Expenditure Survey Anthology Green, P.E., and Srinivasan, V.(199). Conjoint analysis in marketing: New developments with implications for research and practice. Journal of Marketing, 54 (October), 3-19. ITU(28), International Mobile Roaming Regulation-An Incentive for Cooperation, 8th Global Symposium for Regulators, Pattaya, Thailand, 11 13 March 28. Jedid and Zhang(22), Augmenting Conjoint Analysis to Estimate Consumer Reservation Price, Management Science, Vol. 48 No.1, pp.135 1368 KDDI au (http://www.au.kddi.com) KPMG(28), Report of findings on: International Mobile roaming charges, June 28. Merrill Lynch(29), Gobal Wireless Matrix, 13 April 29.
177 NTT DoCoMo (http://www.nttdocomo.co.jp) O2 (http://www.o2.co.uk) OECD(29a), OECD Communications Outlook 29. (29b), International Mobile Roaming Charging in the OECD Area, 19 May 29., Glossary of Statistical Terms(http://stats.oecd.org/glossary/) Office for National Statistics(29), Correction Notice: Family Spending and Family Expenditure Surveys 1997 27 SoftBank Mobile (http://mb.softbank.jp) T-Mobile UK (http://www.t-mobile.co.uk) T-Mobile USA (http://www.t-mobile.com) Teligen(26), OECD Telecom Price Benchmarking Baskets 26 (28), T-Basket (29), T-Basket Verizon Wireless (http://www.verizonwireless.com) Vodafone UK (http://online.vodafone.co.uk) UN(2), Statistical Papers, Series M No.84 (29), 2. (27), (19 1)
178 1 (Conjoint Analysis) 1. (conjoint analysis) ( ) (attribute) (utility),. 197,. (concept),,,,,.,, Procter & Gamble, Xerox, Levi Strauss, Marriott McKinsey, Boston Consulting Group. 198,.,.., choice-based conjoint. choice-based conjoint.
179.,,. choice-based conjoint.,., (, Green and Srinivasan 1978, 199),.,,.. 2 (traditional full-profile conjoint analysis)., (ParT-Worth Function Model), (Vector Model), (Ideal Point Model). 3 ACA(Adaptive Conjoint Analysis) CBC(Choice-Based Conjoint). 28) 4 2 3. 28) 2 (1994), pp.121 185
18 2. : (traditional full-profile conjoint analysis),.. (part-worth).,., = + + +.,.(.) 1. :,, 2. (km/l): 1, 15, 2, 25 1. (.),,,.
181.,,,..., A B. A(, 1km/1) = + 1km/l = 43 + = 43 B(, 2km/l) = + 2km/1 = + 17 = 17 1 1 (arbitrary)
182,.,,, (43 = 43) (26 = 26) 1.5 (43/26 = 1.5). 43, 26,. (constant)., (( + 43 + 26)/3 = 23).. 2. 2 1., 1.5... 2 ( ).
183,., 5, 1.. (attribute importance). =,. % 43 64%(43/67 = 64%) 24 36%(24/67 = 36%) 67 1%,. 5 1,..,., 25(km/l) 35(km/l),.,.
184. 1,.. S. 1 7 2 2 8 2 3km 3 9 1 6km? (rating scale). (traditional full-profile conjoint analysis) (profile), ( 1 ). 29). 29)..,. (inter-temporal reliability).
185 1 7 1 3? 81 (= 3 3 3 3). (factorial design),. 3) 81, 16 32. 81 18,?,,. fractional factorial design. (.2.2 ),. fractional factorial design (atlases) ( : Addelman 1962) ( : Bretton- Clark s Conjoint Designer). 3). (multicollinearity).
186 2 () l 3 3 3 3 1 2 3 2 2 1 15 3 3 1 l 2 13 4 2 3 2 2 3 5 2 2 1 3 7 6 2 1 3 1 11 7 1 3 l 1 16 8 1 2 3 2 12 9 l l 2 3 9 1 3 3 1 2 6 11 3 2 3 3 2 12 3 1 2 l 14 13 2 3 3 1 5 14 2 l 1 3 1 15 l 3 2 3 4 16 1 2 1 l 17 17 1 1 3 2 8 :. 2 2. 31),., 16 1. (dummy variable) 31) 18 17 fractional factorial design 18.
187. 2, ( : 1 ). 3 2. 3 () VARI VAR2 VAR3 VAR4 VAR5 VAR6 VAR7 VAR8 VAR9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 3 3 3 2 2 2 l 1 l 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 3 2 l 3 2 1 3 2 1 3 2 1 3 l 3 2 1 3 2 1 2 1 3 l 3 2 l 3 2 3 1 2 1 3 3 l 2 2 3 l 1 2 3 2 3 l l 3 3 l 2 1 1 1 l l l l 1 l l 1 1 l 1 1 l 1 l l l l 1 1 l l 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 l 1 l l 1 1 l 1 l 1 15 13 3 7 11 16 12 9 6 2 14 5 1 4 17 8 4. 32) 32), (normality). (standard error). LINMAP,
188 4 +Dependent variable: 1 VAR1 Variable Coefficient Standard Error t-test Signif P-value a VAR2 VAR3 VAR4 VAR5 VAR6 VAR7 VAR8 VAR9.444 2.5 1.222 5. 4.277 5. 2.277 7.5 2.777 1.469 1.138 1.229 1.138 1.229 1.138 1.229 1.138 1.229.32 2.196.994 4.392 3.478 4.392 1.852 6.587 2.259 N N N Y Y Y N Y N.77.59.349.2.8.2.11..54 The critical t-value from the table (alpha =.5) = 2.36 R-Squared =.924 R-Squared adjusted =.847 R =.961 Std. dev. of regr. = 1.972 F-test = 12.11 p-value =.1 F value from table(alpha =.5) = 3.44 Observations = 17. Degrees of freedom for numerator = 8, for denominator = 8 3 4.,, MONANOVA, PREFMAP Nonmetric., Nonmetric (predictive validity).(green and Srinivasan(1978), p.114) Nonmetric. Nonmetric., Nonmetric. LINMAP. Green and Srinivasan(1978), pp.113 114.
189 ( 2 ),., 2, 2, 1,,, ( )., 7, 9, 8. 3 4, 8 (parameter) (VAR3). 8 9
19., 8 9. 33). (vector model) (ideal-point model) (constraint)., ( 2, 2, 1 ), 2 2, 2 1. 3, (flexible functional form). (part-worth function model)., (parameter).,, 9 17. (predictive validity),. 33).. 4., (aggregate)., (power).. (, ), 17 9.
191.,.,,. (linear) (vector model). (, ) 9 7. 5 3. 5 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 VAR4 VAR5 VAR6 VAR7 () 1 1 1 1 1 1 *() 1= 17= 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 (Km) 6 3 3 6 3 6 3 6 6 6 3 () 1 15 13 3 7 11 16 12 9 6 2 14 5 1 4 17 8
192 (, 9, 6km ). 3. 6 5. 4 6, (VAR4, VAR5) (VAR6, VAR7),., = 1.25 * ( ) = 1.25 * (). 34) 6 ( ) Dependent variable: 1 VAR1 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-test Signif P-value a VAR4 VAR5 VAR6 VAR7 RENT DIST 16.98 5. 4.87 5. 2.87 1.25 1.25 5.445 1.317 1.39 1.317 1.39.658.219 3.118 3.796 3.456 3.796 2.19 1.898 5.695 The critical t-value from the table (alpha =.5) = 2.228 R-Squared =.872 R-Squared adjusted =.796 R =.934 Std. dev. of regr. = 2.281 F-test = 11.4 p-value =.1 F value from table (alpha =.5) = 3.22 Observations = 17 Degrees of freedom for numerator = 6, for denominator = 1 Y Y Y Y N N Y.11.4.6.4.71.87. 34) ( 1.25).
193, 7 9, 2.5 (= 1.25 2). 3., (, km) 6km, 7.5(= 1.25 6). 3.,,.,. (ideal-point model). (quadratic function) ( 4 ). Y = intercept + ax + bx2 4,.,..
194. 7 5. 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 월화숙비 거리 VAR4 VAR5 VAR6 VAR7 1 1 1 1 1 1 *() 1= 17= 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 9 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 81 81 81 64 64 64 49 49 49 81 81 81 64 64 49 49 49 6 3 3 6 3 6 3 6 6 6 3 36 9 9 36 9 36 9 36 36 36 9 1 15 13 3 7 11 16 12 9 6 2 14 5 1 4 17 8 8 7.
195 8 () Dependent variable: 1 VAR1 Variable Coefficient Std. Error t-test Signif P-value a VAR4 VAR5 VAR6 VAR7 RENT RENT**2 DIST DIST**2 174.55 5. 4.277 5. 2.277 4.85 2.472 1.898.18 69.332 1.138 1.229 1.138 1.229 17.45 1.9.751.121 2.51 4.392 3.478 4.392 1.852 2.338 2.268 2.527.892 The critical t-value from the table (alpha =.5) = 2.36 R-Squared =.924 R-Squared adjusted =.847 R =.961 Std. dev. of regr. = 1.972 F-test = 12.11 P-value =.1 F value from table (alpha =.5) = 3.44 Observations = 17 Degrees of freedom for numerator = 8, for denominator = 8 Y Y Y Y N Y N Y N.36.2.8.2.11.48.53.35.398 9.( 3,., 4.) 8, (VAR4, VAR5) (VAR6, VAR7) 4.,. = 4.86 ( ) + 2.472 ( )2 = 1.898 () +.18 ()2, 7 9, 2.6
196, km 6km, 7.5..( 3 ),.,?.. ( ) 1 2 1,. 1. (qualitative) ( :, ). 2. (quantitative) ( :, ) : (1) 3 (interpolation). (2) 4 (interpolation), R2(adjusted R2).,, R2. 6 8 R2.796.847
197..... 1).., (benefit segmentation) 2) (population). (product category)..., (bias).,. 1
198,.( 3,.), (standard error),.. 3). (in-person interviews). (mall intercepts),,. (telephone-mail-telephone method), (,, ),. (probability sampling method), (interview completion rate) ( 6 7%), (missing data). 4) 6 1 (focus group interview).
199...( : ).( :, ),..., lkm, 11km, 12km,.., lkm 3km,.( 3km ). ( 2, 3, 4).,. 35), lkm 3km, 5 1,5. 3 (1, 2, 3km), 3 (5, 1,, 1,5), 3 (1, 2, 3km), 5 (5, 75, 1,, 1,25, 1,5),.,.
2 5),. full profile method tradeoff method( two-factor-at-a-time method ). full profile method, tradeoff method. full profile method,. full profile method fractional factorial design.,. fractional factorial design (atlas)(, Addelman(1962) (, Bretton-Clark s Conjoint Designer),. fractional factorial design,., 18 27. 36),?., (information overload)., 35) Green and Srinivasan(199), p.7.. 36) 2 18 17.
21. (pretest).,,, 37).,, 1.5.,, 9 (intercept 1 2 ), 18 2. 7,., 27 18. fractional factorial design,.,.(,,, ).. fractional factorial design,.,. (.3 ),. 1, ( 1 37) Green and Srinivasan(l99), p.5 (1)
22 )..,. 6) full profile method. (1),,.. (2),,. (3). (4) ( : ). (5) ( 6 ) (3). (5) (cross-validity)., (3), (5) (5) ( ). (5). (3) main profile, (5) hold-out profile. hold-out profile main profile fractional factorial design., 6. (4),
23., hold-out profile, (3). (1) (5) 3, (pretest). 7)., 1, 1.. (1) Nonmetric Procedure: LINMAP, PREFMAP, MONANOVA. (2) Metric Procedure:,.,., Nonmetric Procedure.(Green and Srinivasan(1978), p.114) Nonmetric Procedure,. Nonmetric Procedure LINMAP., LINMAP (linear programming), (calculus), global optimum. LINMAP (constraint)
24,,. MONANOVA. 8),,.. 9).., (ex-ante segmentation)..,,., (ex-post segmentation) (benefit seg- mentation)., (cluster analysis).. 1) (cross-validity) 6),. 11) (choice simulation).,
25, 4. 1 8 1 2 9 2 6km 3 7 2 3km 4 9 1 3km 2,. 9 2 9 res1 142.954 8.363 5.84 7.625 12.79 13.673 1.329 12.344 7.784.363 res2.71 5.71 2.855 2.855 4.122 6.23 1.325 2.59 1.32 res3 27.571.669 4.631 2.315 2.315 21.283 12.22 33.35 1.932.386 res4 1.164 6.253 1.787 4.467 18.238 12.626 5.613 2.752.219 res5 16.724 4.742 3.156 2.929.227 6.311 6.311 1.95.715 res6 58.246 3.12 8.39 9.885 1.846 21.397 4.129 25.525 1.139.38 res7 155.171 8.71 2.253 3.78 1.526 14.876 15.118.242 3.562.295 res8.42 8.79 6.463 1.616 25.217 8.79 33.296.65.89 res9 1.484 4.72.182 4.254 6.226 6.226 1.538.875 res1 54.341 3.328 4.43 2.215 34.15 31.936 2.215 3.793 res11 24.667.383 2.526 1.762 4.288 21.27 9.85 31.57 2.27.337 res12 72.68 3.426 4.56 2.28 2.28 19.662 12.11 31.773 3.736.642 res13 11.18 1.326 5.556 4.23 3.73 2.294 32.367.43.162 res14 4.855 2.428 2.428 13.25 5.742 18.768 2.76 1.769 res15 9.744 2.437 2.437 4.873 25.991 16.244 42.235 2.845.47 res16 95.674 3.929 3.995 3.196.799 11.986.799 11.186 1.466.133 res17 27.571.669 4.631 2.315 2.315 21.283 12.22 33.35 1.932.386 res18 26.4 1.814 3.622 3.622 7.245 31.248 7.99 38.347 6.448 1.29 res19 4.42 5.693 2.847 2.847 15.145 17.347 32.492 1.199 1.12 res2 1.68 4.94 3.96.998 1.967 5.81 3.113 3.755.187
26.,,,,,.., (res1), 142.954 8.363, 5.84, 7.625, 12.79,, ( ), 13.673, 1.329, 12.344 2, 2, 1, 7.784.363., intercept... 1 = 142.954(8) + 8.363(82) 12.79 12.344 7.784() +.363(2) = 633.453 2 = 142.954(9) + 8.363(92) + 7.625 + 13.673 7.784(6) +.363(62) = 621.521 3 = 142.954(7) + 8.363(72) + 7.625 1.329 7.784(3) +.363(32) = 64.68 4 = 142.954(9) + 8.363(92) + 5.84 12.344 7.784(3) +.363(32) = 636.528 3 3.,.
27 1 3 6 3 11 3 16 3 2 1 7 3 12 3 17 3 3 3 8 3 13 2 18 2 4 3 9 1 14 1 19 3 5 3 1 2 15 3 2 3 1 15%(= 3/2), 2 15%(= 3/2), 3 7% (= 14/2), 4 %.,.,,,. (, ),., 1%. most preferred rule. most preferred rule., A B,. most preferred rule, A B A 1%., most preferred rule.,
28.. Bradley-Terry-Luce(BTL) (logit model). 38) Uij i j(j = 1, 2,..., k.,..., m.), BTL i k. Pik = Uik/(Ui1 + Ui2 +... + Uik +... + Uim), (1, 1.1,.9), most preferred rule 1%, BTL, P11 = 1/(1 + 1.1 +.9) =.33 P12 = 1.1/(1 + 1.1 +.9) =.37 P13 =.9/(1 + 1.1 +.9) =.3. BTL Uij Pij. 2. BTL., Uij 1 Pij, Pij = (.33,.34,.33). 38),, Maddala(1983), pp.13 34, pp.59 78. Ben-Akiva and Lerman(1985), pp. 1 123.
29 BTL,., i k. Pik = exp(uik)/[exp(uil) + exp(ui2) + + exp(uik) + + exp(uim)], P11 = exp(1)/[exp(1) + exp(l.1) + exp(.9)] =.33 P12 = exp(l)/[exp(1) + exp(1.1) + exp(.9)] =.37 P13 = exp(.9)/[exp(1) + exp(1.1) + exp(.9)] =.3 BTL,. Uij Pij..., Uij 1 (, 1 ) Pij, Pij = (.25,.67,.9).,,. 1,. Uij (+) most preferred rule.? most preferred rule (high involvement goods)( : ), BTL (low involvement goods)( : ).
21 12)... AT&T Courtyard by Marriott (Wind et al.(1989)) Sunbeam (food processor) (Page and Rosenbaum(1987)) (Ottawa)(Montreal) (Davidson(1973)) (Fiedler(1972)) (lift truck) (Clarke(1981)) (Dolan(199)) (Currim, Weinberg, and Wittink(1982)_ (Saigal et al.(27)) ( : (benefit package) ).. (Parker and Srinivasan(1976)) (Bennett and Moore(1981)) (Srinivasan et al.(1981)) (Vavra, Green and Krieger(1999)) 13),.
211,.... fractional factorial design...,.,.,.,..,.,.(bettman (1971)).,,, ( 6 8% ).,,.
212 3. 198.., (, 6 ),. 1,., self-explicated approach, (hybrid conjoint analysis), (adaptive conjoint analysis, ACA).,, task.,. choice-based conjoint(cbc). self-explicated approach, (ACA), choice-based conjoint(cbc). choice-based conjoint.. self-explicated approach,.
213 (decompositional approach). selfexplicated approach, (compositional approach).,. 5 self-explicated approach
214 self-explicated approach 1.,. ( 5 ). self-explicated approach (expectancy-value model)(wilkie and Pessemier(1973)). self-explicated approach,..,.,. MBA,,., self-explicated approach. self-explicated approach. Wright and Kriewall(198), Leigh, MacKay, and Summers(1984), Srinivasan(1988), Srinivasan and Park(1997) selfexplicated approach, self-explicated approach (Green 1984, Table 2 ). 39) 39) self-explicated approach Green and Srinivasan(199), pp. 9 1.
215. (adaptive conjoint analysis, ACA) self-explicated approach, self-explicated approach. (ACA). self-explicated approach. ACA Sawtoowth Software. ACA.. ACA, 1 4 (4 = ). ACA self-explicated approach. ACA. 6 (ACA)
216,. 1 9 ( 6 ). ACA, self-explicated approach. ACA. 1 15 ACA. ACA. ACA 2 9 1. 8. 4) ACA, ( 3 9 ).,,., ACA ACA. ACA. Green, Krieger, and Agarwal(1991) ACA 1 9.. self-explicated approach ACA. Huber et al.(1993) ACA full-profile 4) ACA Johnson(1987)
217. 41). Choice-Based Conjoint(CBC) choice-based conjoint(cbc) 198 (Louviere and Woodworth 1983), CBC. CBC 2 (choice set) ( 7 ).. 1 2. 7 CBC 7 3, ( None ). CBC no choice.( no choice.) CBC multinomial logit 41) Agarwal and Green(1991) self-explicated approach ACA. Johnson(1991)
218. CBC, 2. fractional factorial design, (computer optimization algorithms(huber and Zwerina 1996; Kuhfeld, Tobias, and Garratt 1994) (randomization routines). CBC. no choice CBC. CBC. no choice. no choice,. CBC (interaction effects) CBC. CBC CBC. CBC..CBC multinomial logit,. multinomial logit
219, multinomial logit. CBC,. CBC. 199 latent class model hierarchical Bayes(HB) CBC CBC. HB CBC HB.. CBC. CBC aggregate-level, segment-level (latent class model), individual-level(hb), aggregate-level segmentlevel, segment-level individual-level.( : Huber et al., 1998; Moore et al., 1998; Vriens et al., 1998; Moore et al., 24) CBC. 4. 2 3
22 ( ).. Choice-Based Conjoint (CBC) vs. (,, self-explicated approach, ACA, CBC ). 3,.. ( :, ). CBC.,. ( : (27)) CBC,,.. 1), ()
221 (, ). 6 (,, /, /,, )., 6 (6, 3 ). 6 2 4. 2,. ( /, ) binary( /) 2, 2. 4 4. 2 4,, 2., 4,.,. 4 (3%, 1%,, 1% ).
222 ( : 2, 3, 4 ). task relevant. 2),, (, ). 5 (,, /,, ). 5 (6, 3 ). 5 24. 1. ( /, ) binary(/) 2, 2. (,, ) 4, 4., 2 4,, 2
223., 4,.,. 4 (3%, 1%,, 1%) ( : 3, 4 ).,. ( : (27)).. 3.. Choice-Based Conjoint(CBC) CBC aggregate level individual level, HB individual level aggregate level. aggregate level individual level, individual-level individual-level. ( : (27)) CBC aggregate level.
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229 2 42).,. + (= ) = + + + (= ),,,. (commodity flow method). 8 42) (25), p.218
23. 8.,..,.,,.
231 3 1. 28 4 28 4. PPP 1722 OECD. 1 28 4 PPP (: ) 17,174 28,496 41,462 OECD 14,49 26,997 41,428 22 18 17 OECD 122% 16% 1% OECD 22,121 42,819 65,171 12 1 8 OECD 78% 67% 64% : USD 1 1,474 28 11, PPP CPL (Comparative price level).67 28 1 : Teligen(28) PPP 17,174 OECD 122%. OECD 22.
232 9 OECD PPP 28,496 OECD 16% OECD.
233 1 OECD PPP 41,462 OECD 1% OECD.
234 11 OECD 2. 29 1 29 1 OECD, OECD.
235 11 29 1 PPP (: ) 17,174 25,715 35,36 OECD 13,52 25,56 38,619 25 17 16 OECD 132% 13% 91% OECD 2,736 4,113 61,561 12 7 6 OECD 83% 64% 57% : USD 1 1,549 29 3, PPP CPL (Comparative price level).66 28 12 : Teligen(29) PPP 17,174 OECD 132%. 28 4 2. 25 28 4. 12 OECD
236 PPP 25,715 OECD 13% OECD. 13 OECD
237 PPP 38,619 OECD 91% OECD. 14 OECD
238 3. 29 2 29 2, OECD. 12 29 2 PPP (: ) 17,174 25,715 35,36 OECD 11,372 21,161 31,418 27 2 17 OECD 151% 122% 112% OECD 17,882 33,656 49,366 16 12 8 OECD 96% 76% 71% : USD 1 1,285 29 5, PPP CPL (Comparative price level).63 28 12 : Teligen(29)
239 PPP,, 4, OECD 151%. 15 OECD
24 25,715 2, OECD 122%.,,. 16 OECD
241 35,36 PPP OECD 112% OECD. 17 OECD
242 4. 29 3 29 3 OECD. PPP 15 28 OECD. 13 29 3 PPP (: ) 17,174 25,715 35,36 OECD 11,569 22,129 33,33 28 2 15 OECD 148% 116% 15% OECD 17,548 33,41 49,878 15 11 8 OECD 98% 77% 7% : USD 1 1,222 29 8, PPP CPL (Comparative price level).71 29 6 : Teligen(29) 18 OECD
243 17,174, 3. OECD 148%. 25,715 PPP OECD 116%. 19 OECD